Ted Cruz Republican
The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican incumbent Ted Cruz won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger and U.S. Representative Colin Allred.[1][2][3] The primary election took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday.[4]
Early polling showed Cruz as a clear favorite, but polls closer to the election showed a closer race. Cruz ultimately outperformed polling and expectations and won re-election by 8.49 points, improving on his 2018 margin by six points and flipping thirteen counties.[5][6] Cruz won a majority of Hispanic and Latino voters in the election.
Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994.[7] Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas's U.S. House congressional delegation. Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 15.84 points and was reelected in 2018 by only 2.56 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke.[8][9] The close elections in 2018 prompted many electoral analysts to speculate that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans increased their margins of victory.[10][7] This race was considered to generally favor Cruz, but some considered the race to have the potential to become competitive.[11]
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Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Cruz won 25 of 38 congressional districts.[180]
Cruz won a majority of Hispanic and Latino voters, particularly those living on the border with Mexico who had traditionally supported Democratic candidates; exit polls showed 52% of Latinos supported Cruz, a 17-point increase from 2018.[182]
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As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, [Drew Landry] said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott.
Julián Castro, the former U.S. housing secretary and San Antonio mayor, does not plan to run, according to a spokesperson.
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