2020 Texas House of Representatives election
The 2020 Texas House of Representatives elections took place as part of the biennial United States elections . Texas voters elected state representatives in all 150 of the state house's districts. Primary elections were held in March 2020.[ 1] The winners of this election served in the 87th Texas Legislature . Two seats changed hands, both in Harris County, one Democratic flip and one Republican flip, for no net change.[ 2]
Background
In the 2018 election , the Texas Democrats had a net gain of 12 seats from the opposing Texas Republicans .
In 2019, House Speaker Dennis Bonnen announced he would not seek reelection.[ 3]
In October 2020, The Washington Post identified this state election as one of eight whose outcomes could affect partisan balance during post-census redistricting .[ 4]
Predictions
Analysts considered the Texas House to be competitive in the 2020 elections, with Republicans holding the advantage. Due to the large number of competitive seats, Democrats had an opening to win control of the chamber for the first time since 2000 , but they would have to win almost all of them.[ 5] Near election day, however, The Cook Political Report shifted their rating for the chamber to "Tossup" due to the heavy amount of early voting taking place in the state's urban areas in the leadup to the election.[ 6]
Polling
House District 26
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jacey Jetton (R)
L. Sarah DeMerchant (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
44%
50%
6%
House District 28
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Gary Gates (R)
Elizabeth Markowitz (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
47%
45%
9%
House District 45
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Erin Zweiner (D)
Carrie Issac (R)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
54%
39%
7%
House District 54
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Brad Buckley (R)
Likeitha Williams (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
38%
54%
8%
House District 64
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Lynn Stucky (R)
Angela Brewer (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
47%
43%
10%
House District 65
House District 66
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Matt Shaheen (R)
Sharon Hirsch (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
46%
48%
6%
House District 67
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jeff Leach (R)
Lorenzo Sanchez (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
44%
46%
10%
House District 92
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jeff Cason (R)
Jeff Whitfield (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
50%
38%
12%
House District 93
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Matt Krause (R)
Lydia Bean (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
46%
45%
9%
House District 94
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Tony Tinderholt (R)
Alisa Simmons (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
43%
45%
12%
House District 96
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
David Cook (R)
Joe Drago (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
38%
43%
19%
House District 97
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Craig Goldman (R)
Elizabeth Beck (D)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
40%
53%
7%
Hypothetical polling in District 97
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Generic Republican
Generic Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling /DLCC [ 10] [ B]
September 23–24, 2020
528 (V)
± 4.3%
46%
46%
8%
House District 102
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Ana-Maria Ramos (D)
Linda Koop (R)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
54%
42%
4%
House District 108
Hypothetical polling in District 108
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Generic Republican
Generic Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling /DLCC [ 12] [ D]
September 23–24, 2020
458 (V)
± 4.6%
41%
51%
7%
House District 112
House District 113
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Will Douglas (R)
Rhetta Bowers (D)
EMC Research /Rhetta Bowers (D)[ 14] [ F]
Jul 29 – Aug 2, 2020
405 (LV)
± 4.9%
36%
53%
House District 121
House District 126
House District 132
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Gina Calanni (D)
Mike Schofield (R)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
50%
40%
10%
House District 134
House District 135
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jon Rosenthal (D)
Justin Ray (R)
Undecided
Reform Austin [ 8]
Released Oct 9, 2020
>400 (LV)
± 4.89%
48%
39%
13%
House District 138
Hypothetical polling in District 138
Summary of results
Summary of the November 3, 2020 Texas House of Representatives election results[ 2]
Party
Candi- dates
Votes
%
Seats
+/–
%
Republican Party
120
5,706,147
54.91%
83
-
55.33%
Democratic Party
124
4,525,726
43.56%
67
-
44.67%
Libertarian Party
32
156,883
1.51%
0
–
0%
Green Party
2
2,341
0.02%
0
–
0%
Total
278
10,391,097
100.00%
150
–
Popular vote
Republican
54.91%
Democratic
43.56%
Libertarian
1.51%
Green
0.02%
House seats won
Republican
55.33%
Democratic
44.67%
Close races
Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:
District 112, 0.33%
District 135, 0.40%
District 66, 0.98%
District 47, 0.99%
District 108, 1.62%
District 45, 1.06%
District 52, 2.96%
District 65, 3.02%
District 138, 3.28%
District 67, 3.42%
District 113, 3.54%
District 26, 3.58%
District 92, 3.67%
District 132, 3.75% (gain) (tipping-point district)
District 134, 4.54% (gain)
District 94, 5.07%
District 96, 5.12%
District 126, 6.64%
District 54, 6.78%
District 121, 6.90%
District 114, 7.30%
District 97, 7.36%
District 74, 7.84%
District 102, 7.88%
District 93, 8.94%
District 64, 9.90%
Results by district
Election results:[ 26]
Detailed results
Districts 1-9
Districts 10-19
Districts 20-29
Districts 30-39
Districts 40-49
Districts 50-59
Districts 60-69
See also
Notes
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ "Undecided/no vote" with 13%
^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
^ a b c d According to the secretary of state, this race was not included in the ballot because this candidate ran unopposed.[ 26]
Partisan clients
^ Poll sponsored by Beckley's campaign
^ The DLCC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
^ Poll sponsored by Cattanach's campaign
^ The DLCC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
^ Poll sponsored by Chambers' campaign
^ Poll sponsored by Bowers' campaign
^ a b The Texas House Democratic Campaign Committee exclusively supports the election of Democrats in Texas
^ Poll sponsored by Johnson's campaign
^ The TXHDCC endorsed Bacy prior to the sampling period
^ The TXHDCC endorsed Bacy prior to the sampling period
^ The DLCC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
References
^ Staff, K. U. T. (March 3, 2020). "2020 Primary Election Results: Texas Legislature" . www.kut.org . Retrieved September 3, 2020 .
^ a b "2020 Texas State House Election Results | USA TODAY" . www.usatoday.com . Retrieved February 4, 2022 .
^ Pollock, Cassandra (October 22, 2019). "Texas House Speaker Dennis Bonnen won't seek reelection after recording scandal" . The Texas Tribune . Retrieved September 3, 2020 .
^ Phillips, Amber (October 2, 2020). "The state legislative battles to watch in 2020" . The Washington Post . Retrieved October 2, 2020 .
^ Jacobson, Louis (October 21, 2020). "October Overview: Handicapping the 2020 State Legislature Races" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved August 12, 2024 .
^ a b "Final State Legislature Rating Change: Texas House Moves to Toss Up" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved December 7, 2020 .
^ Nuttycombe, Chaz (May 7, 2020). "The State of the States: The Legislatures" . University of Virginia Center for Politics.
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Reform Austin
^ EMC Research/Kronda Thimesch (R)
^ Public Policy Polling/DLCC Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ GQR Research/Joanna Cattanach (D)
^ Public Policy Polling/DLCC Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ GQR Research/Brandy for Texas (D)
^ EMC Research/Rhetta Bowers (D)
^ Lake Research Partners/Ann Johnson (D)
^ [1]
^ [2]
^ GQR Research/Texas House Democratic Campaign Committee (D)
^ Lake Research Partners/Ann Johnson (D)
^ a b PPP/TXHDCC
^ [3]
^ GQR Research (D)
^ [4]
^ [5]
^ Public Policy Polling/DLCC Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ a b "Texas 2020 election" . The Texas Tribune . November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2021 .
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