2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

Not to be confused with 2020 Illinois Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

November 3, 2020
Turnout	72.14%
Nominee Dick Durbin Mark Curran Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 3,278,930 2,319,870 Percentage 54.93% 38.87%
County results Congressional district results Precinct results Durbin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Curran:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      No data
U.S. senator before election Dick Durbin Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Dick Durbin Democratic

The 2020 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections and the Illinois Fair Tax. Incumbent Democratic Senator Dick Durbin, who had been Senate Minority Whip since 2015, won reelection to a fifth term in office, defeating Republican nominee Mark Curran.

Durbin decisively won re-election with 54.9% of the vote. Key to Durbin's landslide victory was the heavily populated and very Democratic Cook County home of Chicago, which he won by around 560,000 votes. Durbin also did well in the suburban, often called collar counties of Chicago, winning all of them except McHenry County. Durbin did well in Champaign County, home of the University of Illinois, and St. Clair County, where his birth home of East St. Louis is located. Nevertheless, Curran did well in most rural areas of the state, including winning rural Alexander County where a Republican had not won since 1972. Durbin became the first senator from Illinois to be elected five consecutive times since senators began being elected by popular vote in 1913.^[1]

Background

The primaries and general elections coincide with those for federal (president and House) and those for state offices.

For the primaries, turnout was 28.36% with 2,279,439 votes cast.^[2][3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dick Durbin, incumbent U.S. senator and Senate Minority Whip^[4]

Withdrawn

• Marilyn Jordan Lawlor, anti-war activist^[5]
• Anne Stava-Murray, state representative^[6]

Declined

• Cheri Bustos, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 17th congressional district (running for re-election)^[7][8]
• Lisa Madigan, former Illinois Attorney General^[9]

Endorsements

Dick Durbin

Organizations

• Brady Campaign^[10]
• Chicago Federation of Labor^[11]
• End Citizens United^[12]
• Illinois AFL–CIO^[13]
• J Street^[14]
• National Organization for Women^[15]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[16]
• Planned Parenthood Illinois Action^[16]
• Sierra Club^[17]

Results

Democratic primary results^[3]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dick Durbin (incumbent)	1,446,118	100.00%
Total votes			1,446,118	100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mark Curran, former Lake County sheriff and candidate for attorney general in 2014^[18]

Eliminated in primary

• Casey Chlebek, businessman^[19]
• Peggy Hubbard, U.S. Navy veteran and former police officer^[20]
• Robert Marshall, physician and perennial candidate, Democratic primary candidate for Governor of Illinois in 2018^[21][22]
• Richard Mayers (as a write-in candidate),^[23] perennial candidate and alleged white supremacist;^[24]
• Tom Tarter, cancer surgeon^[25]

Withdrew

• Preston Nelson, Republican candidate for Illinois's 12th congressional district in 2018^[26](Ran for IL-08 as a Libertarian)
• Dean Seppelfrick^[26]
• Connor Vlakancic, CEO of 5Star Inc.^[26] (switched to independent)^[27]

Declined

• Rodney Davis, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 13th congressional district (running for re-election)^[28]
• Erika Harold, attorney, former Miss America, candidate for IL-13 in 2014, and nominee for attorney general in 2018^[28]
• Darin LaHood, incumbent U.S. representative for Illinois's 18th congressional district (running for re-election)^[29]

Endorsements

Mark Curran

U.S. representatives

• Bob Dold, former congressman (IL-10)
• Randy Hultgren, former congressman (IL-14)

U.S. Lieutenant Governors

• Evelyn Sanguinetti, former Lt. Governor of Illinois

U.S. Attorneys General

• Jim Ryan, former Attorney General of Illinois

Illinois legislators

• Mike Connelly, former state senator and state representative
• Dan McConchie, state senator
• Matt Murphy, former state senator
• Paul Schimpf, state senator
• W. Timothy Simms, former state senator and state representative
• Al Salvi, former state representative
• Darlene Senger, former state representative
• Tom Weber, state representative

Newspapers

• Chicago Sun-Times
• Chicago Tribune
• Daily Herald

Organizations

• Addison Township
• Cook County GOP
• Fremont Township GOP
• Illinois Family Action PAC
• Illinois Federation for Right to Life PAC
• Lake County GOP
• Libertyville Township GOP
• Lyons Township GOP
• National Right to Life Committee
• New Trier Republican Organization
• Niles Township Republican Organization
• Northfield Township GOP
• Northwest Side GOP Club
• Paul Caprio's Family-PAC
• Republican Women of Park Ridge
• Republicans of Maine Township
• United Hellenic Voters of America
• Warren Township GOP
• Wheeling Township GOP

Individuals

• David Clarke, former Milwaukee County Sheriff

^[30]

Results

Results by county

Curran

•   Curran—60–70%
•   Curran—50–60%
•   Curran—40–50%
•   Curran—30–40%
•   Curran—<30%

Hubbard

•   Hubbard—40–50%
•   Hubbard—30–40%
•   Hubbard—<30

Tarter

•   Tarter—30–40%
•   Tarter—<30

Republican primary results^[3]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mark Curran	205,747	41.55%
	Republican	Peggy Hubbard	113,189	22.86%
	Republican	Robert Marshall	75,561	15.26%
	Republican	Tom Tarter	73,009	14.74%
	Republican	Casey Chlebek	27,655	5.58%
	Republican	Richard Mayers (write-in)	7	0.00%
Total votes			495,168	100.00%

Other candidates

A legal ruling, taking note of the COVID-19 pandemic in Illinois, allowed the Libertarian and Green Parties to have their selected candidate on the ballot without the normal signature requirements, as they each ran a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016.^[31]

Constitution Party

Removed from Ballot

• Chad Koppie, perennial candidate and former member of the Kane County Regional Board Of School Trustees.^[27][32]

Green Party

Nominee

• David F. Black, Green Party nominee for Illinois Attorney General in 2010^[33]

Independent American Party

Withdrawn

• Keith Richardson^[34][35]

Libertarian Party

Nominee

• Danny Malouf, human resource director,^[36][37] former Republican candidate for the 2020 Illinois 14th congressional district election^[38][39][40]

Willie Wilson Party

Declared

• Willie Wilson, businessman and perennial candidate^[41]

Independents

Declared

• Kevin Keely, substitute teacher and community activist (as a write-in candidate)^[42][43]
• Albert A. Schaal (as a write-in candidate)^[44]
• Lowell Martin Seida, perennial candidate (as a write-in candidate)^[45]

Withdrawn

• Patrick Feges^[46][32]
• Julie Rushing^[46]
• Connor Vlakancic, affiliated with the Republican Party (switched from Republican candidacy)^[27][32]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[47]	Safe D	October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[48]	Safe D	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[50]	Safe D	October 30, 2020
Politico[51]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
RCP[52]	Safe D	October 23, 2020
DDHQ[53]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
538[54]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
Economist[55]	Safe D	November 2, 2020

Additional general election endorsements

Dick Durbin (D)

U.S. presidents

• Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)^[56]

Newspapers

• Chicago Sun-Times^[57]
• Daily Chronicle^[58]
• Daily Herald^[59]
• The Dispatch /The Dispatch–Argus^[60]
• The News-Gazette^[61]

Organizations

• Council for a Livable World^[62]
• Everytown for Gun Safety^[63]
• Giffords^[64]
• Human Rights Campaign^[65]
• Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund^[66]
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs^[67]
• League of Conservation Voters^[68]
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare^[69]
• National Education Association^[70]
• Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund^[71]

Unions

• International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers^[72]
• SEIU Healthcare: Indiana-Illinois-Missouri-Kansas^[73]
• United Auto Workers^[74]

Mark Curran (R)

Organizations

• Log Cabin Republicans^[75]
• Tazewell County Republican Party^[76]

Willie Wilson (WW)

Alderman

• Nicholas Sposato, Alderman for Chicago's 38th Ward^[77]
• Anthony Napolitano, Alderman for Chicago's 41st Ward^[77]
• Chris Taliaferro, Alderman for Chicago's 29th Ward^[77]

Organizations

• Chicago Police Union^[78]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Dick Durbin (D)	Mark Curran (R)	Willie Wilson (I)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.[79]	October 31 – November 1, 2020	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	52%	30%	–	4%[b]	14%
Victory Research[80]	October 26 – November 1, 2020	1,208 (LV)	± 2.8%	51%	26%	15%	5%[c]	4%

Hypothetical polling

with Dick Durbin, generic Republican and Willie Wilson

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Dick Durbin (D)	Generic Republican (R)	Willie Wilson (I)	Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[81][A]	September 4, 2019	449 (LV)	± 4.31%	44%	34%	4%	18%

with Dick Durbin and Willie Wilson

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Dick Durbin (D)	Willie Wilson (I)	Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[81][A]	September 4, 2019	420 (LV)	± 4.31%	44%	25%	31%

Results

Durbin also kept his landslide winning streak by winning with at least a ten-point margin. Durbin was sworn in on January 3, 2021, for his fifth term, which expires on January 3, 2027.

United States Senate election in Illinois, 2020^[82]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Dick Durbin (incumbent)	3,278,930	54.93%	+1.38%
	Republican	Mark Curran	2,319,870	38.87%	−3.82%
	Willie Wilson Party	Willie Wilson	237,699	3.98%	N/A
	Libertarian	Danny Malouf	75,673	1.27%	−2.49%
	Green	David Black	56,711	0.95%	N/A
	Write-in		18	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			5,968,901	100.0%
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Alexander (Largest city: Cairo)
• Calhoun (Largest village: Hardin)
• Fulton (Largest city: Canton)
• Gallatin (Largest city: Shawneetown)
• Henderson (Largest village: Oquawka)
• Knox (Largest city: Galesburg)
• Pulaski (Largest city: Mounds)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• DeKalb (Largest city: DeKalb)
• DuPage (Largest city: Aurora)
• Kane (Largest city: Aurora)
• Kendall (Largest village: Oswego)
• McLean (Largest city: Bloomington)
• Peoria (Largest city: Peoria)
• Will (Largest city: Joliet)
• Winnebago (Largest city: Rockford)

By congressional district

Durbin won 12 of the 18 congressional districts, with the remaining 6 going to Curran, including one that elected a Democrat.^[83]

District	Durbin	Curran	Representative
1st	64%	22%	Bobby Rush
2nd	68%	18%	Robin Kelly
3rd	55%	37%	Dan Lipinski
			Marie Newman
4th	78%	14%	Chuy García
5th	69%	25%	Mike Quigley
6th	51%	44%	Sean Casten
7th	75%	12%	Danny Davis
8th	58%	37%	Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th	68%	27%	Jan Schakowsky
10th	60%	36%	Brad Schneider
11th	59%	35%	Bill Foster
12th	44%	53%	Mike Bost
13th	47.7%	48.3%	Rodney Davis
14th	47%	48%	Lauren Underwood
15th	29%	68%	Mary Miller
16th	41%	55%	Adam Kinzinger
17th	49%	48%	Cheri Bustos
18th	37%	60%	Darin LaHood

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Someone else" with 4%
3. Malouf (L) with 3%; Black (G) with 2%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Willie Wilson's campaign

References

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76. "Endorsements". Tazewell County Republican Party. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
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External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Illinois", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Illinois: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Illinois". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Illinois at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

• David Black (G) for U.S. Senate Archived October 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Mark Curran (R) for U.S. Senate
• Dick Durbin (D) for U.S. Senate
• Danny Malouf (L) for U.S. Senate Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
• Willie Wilson (I) for U.S. Senate Archived October 16, 2019, at the Wayback Machine