2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.

Not to be confused with 2024 Indiana Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

November 5, 2024

Nominee Jim Banks Valerie McCray Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 1,659,416 1,097,061 Percentage 58.64% 38.77%

County results Banks:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% McCray:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election Mike Braun Republican Elected U.S. senator Jim Banks Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Republican congressman Jim Banks was elected to his first term, defeating Democratic psychologist Valerie McCray in the general election.^[1] Banks will succeed Republican incumbent Mike Braun, who opted instead to run for governor.^[2] This was the first election for this seat in which there was no incumbent running since 1958,^[a] and the first since 2006 without Joe Donnelly as the Democratic nominee. Banks also flipped 6 counties (Delaware, La Porte, Porter, St. Joseph, Tippecanoe, and Vigo) which Braun lost in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Banks, U.S. representative for Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)^[3]

Disqualified

• John Rust, former chairmain of the board for Rose Acre Farms^[4]

Declined

• Mike Braun, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present) (ran for governor)^[2]
• Mitch Daniels, former governor of Indiana (2005–2013), former President of Purdue University (2013–2022), and former Director of the Office of Management and Budget (2001–2003)^[5]
• Eric Holcomb, Governor of Indiana (2017–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016^[6]
• Mike Pence, former vice president of the United States (2017–2021), former Governor of Indiana (2013–2017), and former U.S. Representative for Indiana's 5th congressional district (2001–2013)^[7] (ran for president)^[8]
• Victoria Spartz, U.S. representative for Indiana's 5th congressional district (2021–present) (ran for re-election)^[9]
• Todd Rokita, Indiana Attorney General (2021–present), former U.S. Representative for Indiana's 4th congressional district (2011–2019), former Indiana Secretary of State (2002–2010) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 (ran for re-election)^[10]

Endorsements

Jim Banks (R)

Executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[11]
• Stephen Miller, former Senior Advisor to the President (2017–2021)^[12]
• Mike Pompeo, U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021), Director of the CIA (2017–2018), and U.S. representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district (2011–2017)^[13]

U.S. senators

• John Barrasso, U.S. senator from Wyoming (2007–present)^[14]
• Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)^[15]
• Mike Braun, U.S. senator from Indiana (2019–present)^[16]
• Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present)^[17]
• Kevin Cramer, U.S. senator from North Dakota (2019–present)^[15]
• Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas (2013–present)^[18]
• Steve Daines, U.S. senator from Montana (2015–present)^[19]
• Bill Hagerty, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2021–present)^[15]
• Cynthia Lummis, U.S. senator from Wyoming (2021–present)^[15]
• Mitch McConnell, U.S. senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)^[20]
• Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present)^[21]
• John Thune, U.S. senator from South Dakota (2005–present)^[22]
• Tommy Tuberville, U.S. senator from Alabama (2021–present)^[23]
• JD Vance, U.S. senator from Ohio (2023–present)^[24]

U.S. representatives

• Susan Brooks, former U.S. representative for Indiana's 5th congressional district (2013–2021)^[25]
• Larry Bucshon, U.S. representative for Indiana's 8th congressional district (2011–present)^[26]
• Erin Houchin, U.S. representative for Indiana's 9th congressional district (2023–present)^[27]
• Ronny Jackson, U.S. representative for Texas's 13th congressional district (2021–present)^[28]
• Greg Pence, U.S. representative for Indiana's 6th congressional district (2019–present)^[26]
• Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative for New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)^[28]

Statewide officials

• Suzanne Crouch, Lieutenant Governor of Indiana (2017–present)^[29]

State legislators

• Justin Busch, state senator for the 16th district (2018–present)^[17]
• Michelle Davis, state representative for the 54th district (2020–present)^[17]

Individuals

• Charlie Kirk, activist^[28]
• Mark Levin, Host of The Mark Levin Show and Life, Liberty & Levin^[30]

Political Parties

• Indiana Republican Party^[31]

Organizations

• AIPAC^[32]
• Catholic Vote^[33]
• Club for Growth^[3]
• Eagle Forum^[34]
• International Franchise Association^[35]
• NRA Political Victory Fund^[36]
• Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America^[37]
• Turning Point Action^[38]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 17, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Jim Banks (R)	$4,731,928	$3,188,805	$2,878,607
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Jim Banks	Mitch Daniels	Trey Hollingsworth	Todd Rokita	Victoria Spartz	Other	Undecided
Bellwether Research[40]	December 11–17, 2022	1,000 (LV)	–	14%	–	11%	16%	12%	9%	39%
				10%	32%	9%	7%	7%	6%	29%
Response:AI[41][A]	December 9–16, 2022	503 (RV)	±4.3%	14%	35%	6%	—	14%	16%[c]	17%

Results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jim Banks	475,729	100.00%
Total votes			475,729	100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Valerie McCray, psychologist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022^[42]

Eliminated in primary

• Marc Carmichael, former state representative (1986–1991) and nominee for Indiana's 2nd congressional district in 1996^[43]

Withdrew

• Keith Potts, former Indianapolis city councilor (2020–2023)^[44]

Declined

• Joe Donnelly, former U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See (2022–2024) and former U.S. Senator (2013–2019)^[45]
• Ron Klain, former White House Chief of Staff (2021–2023)^[46]

Endorsements

Valerie McCray

Labor unions

• Indiana AFL–CIO^[47]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Marc Carmichael (D)	$115,161[d]	$98,370	$16,125
Valerie McCray (D)	$61,506[e]	$45,953	$15,684
Keith Potts (D)	$99,485[f]	$98,302	$1,183
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]

Results

Primary results by county:

  McCray

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%

  Carmichael

•   50–60%

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Valerie McCray	121,734	68.01%
	Democratic	Marc Carmichael	57,256	31.99%
Total votes			178,990	100.00%

Libertarian convention

Nominee

• Andy Horning, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012^[48]

Write-in candidates

Declared

• Phillip Beachy, retired carpenter and Democratic candidate for Indiana's 3rd congressional district in 2022^[49]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[50]	Solid R	November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[51]	Solid R	November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[52]	Safe R	November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[53]	Safe R	June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[54]	Safe R	May 4, 2023
CNalysis[55]	Solid R	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[56]	Solid R	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[57]	Safe R	October 23, 2024
538[58]	Solid R	October 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Jim Banks (R)	$5,553,816	$3,713,830	$3,175,470
Valerie McCray (D)	$61,507[g]	$45,953	$15,685
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]

Debate

2024 United States Senate general election in Indiana debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Participants
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
					Banks	McCray	Horning
1	October 29, 2024	Indiana Debate Commission	Laura Merrifield Wilson	[59]	A	P	P

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Jim Banks (R)	Valerie McCray (D)	Other	Undecided
ActiVote[60]	October 5–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–	–
ActiVote[61]	September 3 – October 5, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–	–
ARW Strategies[62][B]	September 23–25, 2024	600 (LV)	–	49%	35%	–	16%
Emerson College[63][C]	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	33%	5%[h]	14%
Emerson College[64]	October 1–4, 2023	462 (RV)	± 4.4%	31%	22%	8%[i]	39%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Indiana^[65]^[66]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Jim Banks	1,659,416	58.64%	+7.91%
	Democratic	Valerie McCray	1,097,061	38.77%	−6.07%
	Libertarian	Andrew Horning	73,233	2.59%	−1.83%
	Write-in		187	0.00%
Total votes			2,829,897	100.0%
	Republican hold

On election day, Republican Banks defeated Democrat Valerie McCray by a near 20-percentage-point margin, winning all but three counties. Indiana has not elected a Democrat to the United States Senate since Joe Donnelly was elected in 2012.

Notes

1. Richard Lugar, the incumbent Senator at the time, ran for re-election to a seventh term in 2012, but lost in the Republican primary to Richard Mourdock.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Jennifer Ruth-Green with 4%; Curtis Hill with 2%; "Someone else" with 10%
4. $1,000 of this total was self-funded by Carmichael
5. $1,407 of this total was self-funded by McCray
6. $20,345 of this total was self-funded by Potts
7. $4,407 of this total was self-funded by McCray
8. Horning (L) with 5%
9. "Someone else" at 8%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Spartz's campaign.
2. Poll sponsored by IndyPolitics.org
3. Poll sponsored by The Hill

References

1. "Indiana U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: McCray vs. Banks". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
2. Wren, Adam. "Braun to run for Indiana governor, opening Senate seat in 2024". POLITICO.
3. Wright, David (January 17, 2023). "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign". CNN.
4. Carloni, Brittany (February 27, 2024). "Jim Banks won't face Republican challenger in May. Here's who was removed from the ballot". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
5. Weaver, Al (January 31, 2023). "Mitch Daniels passes on Senate campaign". The Hill.
6. Holcomb, Eric (June 15, 2023). "Op/Ed: America is in what I call the Disaster Paradox. Here's how we overcome it". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved June 15, 2023. No, I am no genius or saint, am not running for U.S. House, Senate, or president and have never uttered the words, 'Only I can fix it.'
7. Wren, Adam (December 19, 2022). "'He's Got a Huge Problem'". Politico. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
8. Kevin Breuninger (June 5, 2023). "Mike Pence files paperwork to launch 2024 Republican presidential campaign". CNBC.
9. Weaver, Al (February 3, 2023). "Victoria Spartz passes on Senate run, to retire from Congress at end of term". The Hill.
10. "Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita not seeking higher office". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
11. Weaver, Al (February 1, 2023). "Trump endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate seat". The Hill.
12. Shaw, Adan (January 23, 2023). "Jim Banks wins Stephen Miller's backing for 'bold pro-American agenda,' after launching Senate bid". Fox News.
13. "Pompeo endorses Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana Senate race". Washington Examiner. September 26, 2023. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
14. Oshin, Olafimihan (February 2, 2023). "Banks lands first endorsement from Senate Republican leadership". The Hill.
15. Gans, Jared (February 21, 2023). "Ten Republican Senators hosting fundraiser for Banks' Senate bid". The Hill.
16. Howell, James (September 14, 2023). "Senator Mike Braun endorses Jim Banks for Senate seat". WRTV.
17. "Indiana Rep. Jim Banks announces bid for Braun's Senate seat". NBC News. January 17, 2023. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
18. "Sen. Ted Cruz endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate". WTRC-FM. October 19, 2023.
19. "Steve Daines endorses Jim Banks". about.bgov.com. Bloomberg.com. February 2023. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
20. Elkind, Elizabeth (March 6, 2023). "McConnell to appear at fundraiser for Trump ally Jim Banks' Senate campaign". Fox News.
21. "Marco Rubio Endorses Jim Banks in Heated Hoosier Senate Race". American Reveille. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
22. Sivak, David (March 23, 2023). "Jim Banks picks up endorsement of No. 2 Senate Republican". Washington Examiner.
23. "Republicans offer up nominees for quote of the week". Indiana Capital Chronicle. May 16, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
24. Shaw, Adan (January 31, 2023). "Sen. JD Vance of Ohio backs Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana's Senate GOP primary". Fox News.
25. Altimari, Daniela; McIntire, Mary Ellen; Ackley, Kate (February 23, 2023). "At the Races: Train wreck — it's not just a metaphor". Roll Call.
26. "Banks' shot: Rising conservative dives into Indiana Senate race". January 17, 2023.
27. McIntyre, Michael (July 25, 2023). "Endorsements Continue To Roll In For Congressman Banks' Bid For Senate". WOWO.
28. "Jim Banks rakes in endorsements after jumping into Indiana Senate race". Washington Examiner. January 18, 2023. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
29. Garbacz, Steve (March 21, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Crouch endorses Banks for Senate". KPC News.
30. Gertz, Matt (January 18, 2023). "Rep. Jim Banks launches Senate campaign with tour of right-wing fever swamp". Media Matters for America.
31. Dwyer, Kayla (August 11, 2023). "Indiana Republican Party gives U.S. Rep. Jim Banks Senate endorsement, RNC support". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
32. "Support Pro-Israel Candidates".
33. "CatholicVote.org Candidate Fund Endorses Jim Banks for Senate".
34. "You Can Bank on Banks!". Eagle Forum. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
35. "IFA Endorses Mike Braun for Governor and Jim Banks for U.S. Senate Ahead of Next Week's Indiana Primary Elections". www.franchise.org. May 3, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
36. "Indiana". nrapvf.org. Retrieved April 23, 2024.
37. "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Pro-Life Champion Jim Banks for U.S. Senate".
38. "We are pleased to announce our first endorsement in the 2024 cycle for conservative warrior @Jim_Banks! Jim is committed to an America First agenda and we are behind him 100%".
39. "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
40. Bellwether Research
41. Response:AI
42. Bergquist, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "McCray prioritizes mental health issues in 2024 US Senate bid". WISH-TV. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
43. Downard, Whitney (June 6, 2023). "Marc Carmichael announces campaign for U.S. Senate". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved June 7, 2023.
44. Bonilla Muñiz, Leslie (December 11, 2023). "Democrat Keith Potts drops out of U.S. Senate race". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved December 13, 2023.
45. "Joe Donnelly plans to stay on as ambassador to the Vatican through 2024, forgoing an Indiana governor or Senate run". Politico. June 13, 2023.
46. Wren, Adam; Stokols, Eli; Egan, Lauren (March 7, 2023). "Klain tells Indiana Dems he's not interested in a Senate bid". Politico.
47. "Labor 2024 | Indiana State AFL-CIO". inaflcio.org. Retrieved June 18, 2024.
48. Bergquist, Garrett (March 2, 2024). "Indiana Libertarians nominate 2024 candidates". WISH-TV. Retrieved March 3, 2024.
49. "May 7, 2024 Primary Election Candidates". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
50. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
51. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
52. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
53. "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
54. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
55. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
56. "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
57. "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
58. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
59. Video
60. ActiVote
61. ActiVote
62. ARW Strategies
63. Emerson College
64. Emerson College
65. "Indiana U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. ISSN 1553-8095. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
66. "2024 Indiana Election Results". INSOS. Retrieved December 13, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Jim Banks (R) for Senate
• Phillip Beachy (WI) for Senate
• Andy Horning (L) for Senate
• Valerie McCray (D) for Senate