2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.

Not to be confused with 2024 Wyoming Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming

November 5, 2024

Nominee John Barrasso Scott Morrow Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 198,418 63,727 Percentage 75.11% 24.12%

County results Barrasso:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Morrow:      60–70%

U.S. senator before election John Barrasso Republican Elected U.S. senator John Barrasso Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wyoming. Incumbent Senator John Barrasso was appointed to the Senate in 2007 after Craig Thomas died. Barrasso won a 2008 special election to complete Thomas' term and won full terms in 2012 and 2018. He was seeking a third full term, and has declared his intent to run for Assistant Republican Leader at the end of the year.^[1] Primary elections took place on August 20, 2024. Barrasso won renomination and defeated Democrat Scott Morrow in the general election. Wyoming has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 1977 and Barasso was heavily favored to win another term.^[2]

Barrasso was easily re-elected with over 75% of the vote, carrying every county except Teton, and flipping Albany. Barrasso overperformed president Donald Trump in the concurrent Presidential election by 4.51%. This was the largest margin of victory in any U.S. Senate election since North Dakota in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Barrasso, incumbent U.S. senator (2007–present)^[1]

Eliminated in primary

• John Holtz, retired circuit court judge and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020^[3]
• Reid Rasner, financial executive^[4]

Endorsements

John Barrasso

Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021)^[5]

U.S. Senators

• Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Senator from Wyoming^[6]

U.S. Representatives

• Harriet Hageman, U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2023–present)^[5]

Organizations

• American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)^[7]
• ClearPath Action Fund^[8]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Reid Rasner (R)	$262,251	$180,915	$81,336
John Barrasso (R)	$7,171,125	$3,736,139	$7,392,759
Source: Federal Election Commission[9]

Results

Primary results by county

  Barrasso

•   60–70%
•   70–80%

Republican primary results^[10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Barrasso (incumbent)	70,494	67.9%
	Republican	Reid Rasner	25,427	24.5%
	Republican	John Holtz	7,868	7.6%
Total votes			103,789	100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Scott Morrow, educator^[3]

Results

Democratic primary results^[10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Scott Morrow	10,088	100.0%
Total votes			10,088	100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[11]	Solid R	May 3, 2023
Inside Elections[12]	Solid R	July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13]	Safe R	January 24, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14]	Safe R	June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[15]	Safe R	May 4, 2023
CNalysis[16]	Solid R	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[17]	Solid R	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[18]	Safe R	October 23, 2024
538[19]	Solid R	October 23, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	John Barrasso	Scott Morrow	Undecided
Cygnal (R)[20]	October 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	73%	26%	1%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2024^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	John Barrasso (incumbent)	198,418	75.11%	+8.15%
	Democratic	Scott Morrow	63,727	24.12%	−5.98%
	Write-in		2,017	0.76%	+0.60%
Total votes			264,162	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

References

1. "Wyoming Sen. Barrasso Will Run for No. 2 Spot in GOP Leadership, Narrowing Race to Replace McConnell". US News & World Report. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
2. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
3. "Wyoming's Primary Election Is Set: 167 Candidates In 72 Contested Races". cowboystatedaily.com. May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
4. Rasner, Ryan (August 4, 2023). "Reid Rasner of Wyoming Announces Candidacy for United States Senate". EIN News. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
5. Hageman, Harriet (May 4, 2024). "I'm Endorsing Sen. John Barrasso For Re-Election And Here's Why". Cowboy State Daily. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
6. https://goconow.com/senator-lummis-endorses-barrasso-for-reelection/
7. "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
8. "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
9. "2024 Election United States Senate - Wyoming". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
10. "Legislative Candidates Summaries" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
11. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
12. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
13. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
14. "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
15. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
16. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
17. "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
18. "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
19. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
20. Cygnal (R)
21. Wyoming Secretary of State. "2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary" (PDF). Retrieved November 16, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites

• John Barrasso (R) for Senate
• Scott Morrow (D) for Senate
• Reid Rasner (R) for Senate