2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
← 2008 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2020 →
 
Nominee Mike Enzi Charlie Hardy Curt Gottshall
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 121,554 29,377 13,311
Percentage 72.19% 17.45% 7.90%
County results
Enzi:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Mike Enzi
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Enzi
Republican

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The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]

Republican primary

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3][4]
  • Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker[5][6]
  • Mike Enzi, incumbent senator[7]
  • James "Coaltrain" Gregory[5]
  • Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant[5]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Mike Enzi
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)

U.S. Ambassadors

Individuals

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Enzi 		Liz
Cheney 		Undecided
Harper Polling[19] July 17–18, 2013 422 ± 4.77% 55% 21% 24%
Public Policy Polling[20] July 19–21, 2013 780 ± 3.5% 54% 26% 19%
Wickers Group ^[21] August 22–28, 2013 400 ± 4.5% 61% 21% 18%
Wickers Group ^[21] October 25–28, 2013 400 ± 4.5% 69% 17% 14%
  • ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Liz
Cheney 		Cynthia
Lummis 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20] July 19–21, 2013 780 ± 3.5% 34% 41% 25%

Results

Results by county:
  Enzi
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 77,965 78.51%
Republican Bryan E. Miller 9,330 9.39%
Republican James "Coaltrain" Gregory 3,740 3.77%
Republican Thomas Bleming 2,504 2.52%
Republican Arthur Bruce Clifton 1,403 1.41%
Republican Write-in 346 0.35%
Republican Over Votes 51 0.05%
Republican Under Votes 3,973 4.00%
Total votes 99,312 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[5]
  • Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012[23]
  • Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate[5][24][25]
  • Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010[26]

Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Hardy
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Wilde
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Hardy 7,200 39.33%
Democratic Rex Wilde 3,012 16.46%
Democratic Al Hamburg 2,988 16.32%
Democratic William Bryk 1,670 9.12%
Democratic Write-in 216 1.18%
Democratic Over Votes 31 0.17%
Democratic Under Votes 3,189 17.42%
Total votes 18,306 100.00%

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Solid R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[32] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[33] Safe R November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Enzi (R) 		Charlie
Hardy (D) 		Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34] July 5–24, 2014 419 ± 5.1% 66% 23% 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[35] August 20–21, 2014 700 ± 4% 63% 27% 4% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36] August 18 – September 2, 2014 350 ± 8% 66% 21% 4% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] September 20 – October 1, 2014 264 ± 7% 75% 17% 2% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] October 16–23, 2014 258 ± 11% 67% 27% 0% 6%
Hypothetical polling

With Enzi

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Enzi (R) 		Dave
Freudenthal (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 54% 31% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Enzi (R) 		Gary
Trauner (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 66% 19% — 14%

With Cheney

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Liz
Cheney (R) 		Dave
Freudenthal (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 42% 45% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Liz
Cheney (R) 		Gary
Trauner (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 49% 31% — 20%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014[38]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 121,554 72.19% −3.44%
Democratic Charlie Hardy 29,377 17.45% −6.81%
Independent Curt Gottshall 13,311 7.90% N/A
Libertarian Joseph Porambo 3,677 2.18% N/A
Write-in 471 0.28% +0.17%
Total votes 168,390 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also

References

  1. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
  2. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
  3. ^ "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
  4. ^ "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  5. ^ a b c d e "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  6. ^ "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  7. ^ Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
  8. ^ Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.
  9. ^ a b c Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  10. ^ a b c d e Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  11. ^ a b "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  12. ^ Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  13. ^ Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  14. ^ Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  15. ^ "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  16. ^ "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  17. ^ Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  18. ^ Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  19. ^ Harper Polling
  20. ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
  21. ^ a b Wickers Group ^
  22. ^ a b "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  23. ^ Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  24. ^ Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  25. ^ Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  26. ^ Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  27. ^ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  28. ^ Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  29. ^ Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  30. ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  31. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  32. ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  33. ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  34. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  35. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  36. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  37. ^ a b CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  38. ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.

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