2016 Missouri gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2016 United States gubernatorial elections.

2016 Missouri gubernatorial election

November 8, 2016

Nominee Eric Greitens Chris Koster Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 1,433,397 1,277,360 Percentage 51.14% 45.57%

County results Congressional Districts results Precinct results Greitens:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Koster:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

Governor before election Jay Nixon Democratic Elected Governor Eric Greitens Republican

The 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primaries were held on August 2. Incumbent Democratic governor Jay Nixon was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office.^[1] State Attorney General Chris Koster and businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL Eric Greitens won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.^[2][3] On election day, November 8, 2016, the Associated Press declared Greitens the winner of the election, and Koster conceded shortly after.^[4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Koster, Attorney General of Missouri^[5][6][7]

Eliminated in primary

• Eric Morrison, pastor, community leader ^[8]
• Leonard Steinman, perennial candidate^[9]
• Charles Wheeler, former mayor of Kansas City and former state senator^[10]

Declined

• Claire McCaskill, U.S. senator, former state auditor of Missouri and nominee for governor in 2004^[11][12]
• Clint Zweifel, State Treasurer of Missouri^[13]
• Joe Maxwell, former lieutenant governor of Missouri^[14]

Endorsements

Chris Koster

• St. Louis Post-Dispatch^[15]
• The Kansas City Star^[16]
• Missouri Farm Bureau

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster	Eric Morrison	Leonard Steinman	Charles Wheeler	Other	Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon[17]	July 23–27, 2016	400	± 5.0%	73%	3%	1%	8%	—	15%
SurveyUSA[18]	July 20–24, 2016	500	± 4.4%	57%	7%	3%	7%	—	26%

Results

Results by county:

  Koster

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%

Democratic primary results^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Koster	256,272	78.75%
	Democratic	Eric Morrison	31,474	9.67%
	Democratic	Charles Wheeler	25,756	7.92%
	Democratic	Leonard Steinman	11,911	3.66%
Total votes			325,413	100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Eric Greitens, businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL^[20]

Eliminated in primary

• John Brunner, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[21]
• Catherine Hanaway, former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives and former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Missouri^[22]
• Peter Kinder, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri^[23]

Deceased

• Tom Schweich, State Auditor of Missouri (died February 26, 2015)^{[7][24][25][26][27]}

Withdrew

• Randy Asbury, former state representative^[21][28]
• Bob Dixon, state senator^[29][30]
• Mike Parson, state senator (running for Lieutenant Governor)^[31][32]

Declined

• Tim Jones, Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives^{[33][34][35][36]}
• Bart Korman, state representative^[37][38]
• Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. representative^{[24][39][40][41]}
• Ron Richard, state senator and former speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives^[42]
• Dave Spence, businessman and nominee for governor in 2012^[43]
• Jim Talent, former U.S. senator^[44]

Endorsements

John Brunner

• James E. Livingston, retired United States Marine Corps major general
• Rand Paul, U.S. senator from Kentucky
• Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas
• Gun Owners of America

Eric Greitens

• Jane Cunningham, former Missouri state senator^[45]
• John Lamping, former Missouri state senator^[45]
• Jim Lembke, former Missouri state senator^[45]
• Sarah Steelman, former State Treasurer of Missouri^[45]
• David Steelman, former Missouri House minority leader^[45]
• George Herbert Walker III, former United States Ambassador to Hungary^[45]
• Kirk Mathews, Missouri state representative^[45]
• Glen Klippenstein, former Missouri state representative^[45]
• Nate Walker, Missouri state representative^[45]
• Bill White, Missouri state representative^[45]
• Robert O'Neill, Navy SEAL
• Ben Carson, 2016 presidential candidate^[46]
• Joe Maxwell, former Missouri Lieutenant Governor^[47] (Democrat)

Catherine Hanaway

• Kit Bond, former U.S. senator and former governor of Missouri^[48]
• Tom Dempsey, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate^[49]
• Nikki Haley, Governor of South Carolina
• Ron Richard, majority leader of the Missouri Senate^[50]
• Ann Wagner, U.S. representative, former United States Ambassador to Luxembourg, and former chair of the Missouri Republican Party^[51]
• St. Louis Post-Dispatch^[15]
• The Kansas City Star^[16]

Peter Kinder

• John Danforth, former U.S. senator and former United States Ambassador to the United Nations^[52][53]
• Rush Limbaugh, conservative radio talk show host, long-time Cape Girardeau family friend^[54]
• Dana Loesch, conservative talk radio and television host who has worked for TheBlaze and Breitbart News, author, co-founder the St. Louis Tea Party^[55]
• Jared Ogden, former Navy SEAL, Ultimate Survival Alaska celebrity, and Missouri resident^[56]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Brunner	Eric Greitens	Catherine Hanaway	Peter Kinder	Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon[17]	July 23–27, 2016	400	± 5.0%	23%	21%	21%	18%	17%
SurveyUSA[18]	July 20–24, 2016	773	± 3.6%	21%	25%	18%	18%	18%
OnMessage Inc.[57]	July 17–18, 2016	500	± 4.4%	23%	21%	25%	19%	12%
Public Policy Polling[58]	July 11–12, 2016	462	± 3.2%	16%	24%	22%	15%	23%
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout[59]	July 7–8, 2016	1,022	± 3.0%	22%	29%	16%	12%	21%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Brunner	Catherine Hanaway	Peter Kinder	Tom Schweich	Dave Spence	Other	Undecided
Remington Research Group[60]	February 2–3, 2015	747	3.6%	10%	13%	—	16%	—	—	62%
				—	12%	24%	15%	—	—	48%
				—	16%	—	19%	—	18%	47%
Remington Research Group[61]	January 2015	1,355	?	—	44%	—	56%	—	—	—
				—	39%	—	37%	25%	—	—

Results

Results by county:

  Greitens

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Brunner

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%

  Kinder

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

Republican primary results^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Eric Greitens	236,481	34.56%
	Republican	John Brunner	169,620	24.79%
	Republican	Peter Kinder	141,629	20.70%
	Republican	Catherine Hanaway	136,521	19.95%
Total votes			684,251	100.00%

Third party and independent candidates

Green Party

Candidates

Declared

• Don Fitz^[62][63]

Independent

Candidates

Declared

• Les Turilli Jr., businessman^[64]

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

• Cisse W. Spragins, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Missouri Secretary of State in 2012^[65]

Results

Libertarian primary results ^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Cisse W. Spragins	3,515	100.00%
Total votes			3,515	100.00%

General election

Debates

• Complete video of debate, September 30, 2016 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[66]	Tossup	August 12, 2016
Daily Kos[67]	Tossup	November 8, 2016
Inside Elections[68]	Tossup	November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69]	Lean R (flip)	November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[70]	Tossup	November 1, 2016
Governing[71]	Tossup	November 4, 2016

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Chris Koster (D)	Eric Greitens (R)	Other/Undecided [a]	Margin
Real Clear Politics[72]	October 28 – November 1, 2016	November 1, 2016	45.5%	46.0%	8.5%	Greitens +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	Eric Greitens (R)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey[73]	November 1–7, 2016	1,368	± 4.6%	48%	47%	—	5%
SurveyMonkey[74]	October 31–Nov 6, 2016	1,119	± 4.6%	49%	46%	—	5%
SurveyMonkey[75]	October 28–Nov 3, 2016	879	± 4.6%	49%	47%	—	4%
Public Policy Polling[76]	November 1–2, 2016	871	± 3.4%	47%	44%	4%	6%
SurveyMonkey[77]	October 27 – November 2, 2016	774	± 4.6%	50%	47%	—	3%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)[78]	October 31 – November 1, 2016	1,722	± 2.4%	45%	46%	4%	4%
DFM Research[79]	October 27 – November 1, 2016	508	± 4.4%	45%	39%	10%	6%
SurveyMonkey[80]	October 26 – November 1, 2016	649	± 4.6%	52%	46%	—	2%
Monmouth University[81]	October 28–31, 2016	405	± 4.9%	46%	46%	2%	5%
SurveyMonkey[82]	October 25–31, 2016	671	± 4.6%	54%	44%	—	2%
Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R)[83]	October 27–28, 2016	1,698	± 2.4%	46%	45%	—	9%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon[84]	October 24–26, 2016	625	± 4.0%	46%	45%	—	9%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)[85]	October 23–25, 2016	2,559	± 1.9%	47%	45%	4%	4%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)[86]	October 9–11, 2016	2,171	± 2.1%	48%	42%	5%	5%
Monmouth University[87]	October 9–11, 2016	406	± 4.9%	46%	43%	2%	8%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)[88]	October 4–5, 2016	1,588	± 2.6%	44%	41%	5%	10%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)[89]	September 26–27, 2016	1,279	± 3.0%	51%	35%	5%[90]	10%
The Tarrance Group (R-Greitens)[91]	September 19–22, 2016	606	± 4.1%	45%	42%	—	13%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)[92]	September 19–20, 2016	1,076	± 3.2%	47%	37%	4%[93]	13%
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing[94]	September 11–13, 2016	604	± 4.0%	49%	41%	—	8%
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing[95]	September 4–6, 2016	589	± 4.0%	47%	41%	3%[96]	9%
Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R)[97]	September 1–2, 2016	1,275	± 3.0%	46%	42%	—	12%
Monmouth University[98]	August 19–22, 2016	401	± 4.9%	51%	40%	3%	6%
Remington Research Group (R)[99]	August 5–6, 2016	1,280	± 3.0%	45%	43%	—	7%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon[100]	July 23–24, 2016	625	± 4.0%	52%	33%	—	15%
DFM Research[101]	March 17–24, 2016	674	± 3.8%	41%	24%	3%	31%
Public Policy Polling[102]	September 22–23, 2015	731	± 3.6%	37%	44%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling[103]	August 7–9, 2015	859	± 3.3%	40%	34%	—	26%

Hypothetical polling

with John Brunner

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	John Brunner (R)	Other	Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon[100]	July 23–24, 2016	625	± 4.0%	46%	40%	—	14%
DFM Research[101]	March 17–24, 2016	674	± 3.8%	42%	28%	2%	28%
Public Policy Polling[103]	August 7–9, 2015	859	± 3.3%	41%	36%	—	23%

with Catherine Hanaway

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	Catherine Hanaway (R)	Other	Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon[100]	July 23–24, 2016	625	± 4.0%	52%	36%	—	12%
DFM Research[101]	March 17–24, 2016	674	± 3.8%	43%	31%	3%	23%
Public Policy Polling[103]	August 7–9, 2015	859	± 3.3%	40%	36%	—	23%
Gravius Public Polling[104]	January 7–8, 2015	?	± 6%	29%	23%	—	48%
Wilson Perkins Allen (R-Hanaway)[105]	January 15–19, 2014	700	± 3.7%	33%	35%	—	32%

with Peter Kinder

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	Peter Kinder (R)	Other	Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon[100]	July 23–24, 2016	625	± 4.0%	47%	46%	—	7%
DFM Research[101]	March 17–24, 2016	674	± 3.8%	39%	37%	2%	22%
Public Policy Polling[103]	August 7–9, 2015	859	± 3.3%	37%	40%	—	24%

with Bob Dixon

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	Bob Dixon (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[103]	August 7–9, 2015	859	± 3.3%	39%	35%	—	26%

with Bart Korman

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	Bart Korman (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[103]	August 7–9, 2015	859	± 3.3%	39%	31%	—	30%

with Tom Schweich

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	Tom Schweich (R)	Other	Undecided
Gravius Public Polling[104]	January 7–8, 2015	?	± 6%	30%	26%	—	44%

with Randy Asbury

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Koster (D)	Randy Asbury (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[103]	August 7–9, 2015	859	± 3.3%	40%	35%	—	25%

with Claire McCaskill

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Claire McCaskill (D)	Catherine Hanaway (R)	Other	Undecided
Gravius Public Polling[104]	January 7–8, 2015	?	± 6%	19%	30%	—	51%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Claire McCaskill (D)	Tom Schweich (R)	Other	Undecided
Gravius Public Polling[104]	January 7–8, 2015	?	± 6%	20%	34%	—	46%

Results

Missouri gubernatorial election, 2016^[106]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Eric Greitens	1,433,397	51.14%	+8.61%
	Democratic	Chris Koster	1,277,360	45.57%	−9.20%
	Libertarian	Cisse Spragins	41,154	1.47%	−1.22%
	Independent	Lester Benton Turilli, Jr.	30,019	1.07%	N/A
	Green	Don Fitz	21,088	0.75%	N/A
	Write-in		28	0.00%	0.00%
Total votes			2,803,046	100.00%	N/A
	Republican gain from Democratic

State Senate Districts results

State House Districts results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Adair (largest city: Kirksville)
• Audrain (Largest city: Mexico)
• Bates (Largest city: Butler)
• Buchanan (Largest city: St. Joseph)
• Chariton (Largest city: Salisbury)
• Clark (Largest city: Kahoka)
• Clay (Largest city: Liberty)
• Clinton (Largest city: Cameron)
• Dunklin (Largest city: Kennett)
• Franklin (Largest city: Washington)
• Greene (largest city: Springfield)
• Henry (Largest city: Clinton)
• Hickory (Largest city: Hermitage)
• Howard (Largest city: Fayette)
• Iron (Largest city: Ironton)
• Jefferson (Largest city: Arnold)
• Johnson (largest city: Warrensburg)
• Knox (Largest city: Edina)
• Lafayette (Largest city: Odessa)
• Lewis (Largest city: Canton)
• Linn (Largest city: Brookfield)
• Madison (Largest city: Fredericktown)
• Mississippi (Largest city: Charleston)
• Monroe (Largest city: Monroe City)
• New Madrid (Largest city: New Madrid)
• Nodaway (Largest city: Maryville)
• Pemiscot (Largest city: Caruthersville)
• Pettis (largest city: Sedalia)
• Pike (Largest city: Bowling Green)
• Platte (largest city: Kansas City)
• Ray (Largest city: Richmond)
• Reynolds (Largest city: Ellington)
• Saline (Largest city: Marshall)
• Scott (Largest city: Sikeston)
• Shannon (Largest city: Winona)
• St. Charles (largest city: O'Fallon)
• St. Francois (Largest city: Farmington)
• Ste. Genevieve (largest city: Ste. Genevieve)
• Washington (Largest city: Potosi)
• Wayne (Largest city: Piedmont)

By congressional district

Greitens won 6 of 8 congressional districts.^[107]

District	Koster	Greitens	Representative
1st	82%	16%	Lacy Clay
2nd	47%	51%	Ann Wagner
3rd	40%	57%	Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th	39%	57%	Vicky Hartzler
5th	60%	37%	Emanuel Cleaver
6th	40%	57%	Sam Graves
7th	32%	65%	Billy Long
8th	32%	65%	Jason Smith

Campaign finance investigations

On April 28, 2017, the Missouri Ethics Commission fined Greitens' campaign $1,000 for violating state campaign ethics rules regarding campaign disclosure. Greitens did not contest the fine.^[108]

In 2018, Missouri attorney general Josh Hawley announced the opening of an investigation of Greitens' 2016 campaign financing.^[109]

On June 1, 2018, Eric Greitens resigned from office, leaving Mike Parson, his lieutenant governor, to succeed him.

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

References

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External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

• Chris Koster (D) for Governor
• Eric Greitens (R) for Governor
• Les Turilli, Jr. (I) for Governor