2012 United States Senate election in California

2012 United States Senate election in California

November 6, 2012
Turnout	55.2% (voting eligible)[1]
Candidate Dianne Feinstein Elizabeth Emken Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 7,864,624 4,713,887 Percentage 62.52% 37.48%
County results Congressional district results Feinstein:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Emken:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election Dianne Feinstein Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein Democratic

The 2012 United States Senate election in California took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primary election on June 5 took place under California's new blanket primary law, where all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters voted for any candidate listed, or write-in any other candidate. The top two finishers—regardless of party—advanced to the general election in November, even if a candidate managed to receive a majority of the votes cast in the June primary. In the primary, less than 15% of the total 2010 census population voted. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein announced her intention to run for a fourth full term in April 2011^[2] and finished first in the blanket primary with 49.5% of the vote. The second-place finisher was Republican candidate and autism activist Elizabeth Emken, who won 12.7% of the vote.

Feinstein ultimately defeated Emken in the general election on November 6, winning 62.5% of the vote to Emken's 37.5%. Feinstein's total of 7.86 million popular votes was the most ever received by a candidate for U.S. Senate in American history until Adam Schiff won the same seat with over 8 million votes in 2024.^[3] For a full decade, Emken was the only Republican candidate to have advanced to a general U.S. Senate election in California, as only Democratic candidates advanced to the general election in 2016 and 2018; however, this streak was broken in 2022.

Primary

Candidates

Democratic Party

• Dianne Feinstein, incumbent U.S. senator^[4]
• Colleen Shea Fernald
• David Levitt, computer scientist and engineer^[5]
• Nak Shah, environmental health consultant
• Diane Stewart, businesswoman
• Mike Strimling, attorney and former U.S. Peace Corps legal adviser

Republican Party

• John Boruff, businessman^[6]
• Oscar Alejandro Braun, businessman and rancher
• Greg Conlon, businessman and CPA
• Elizabeth Emken, candidate for the 11th congressional district in 2010^[7][8]
• Rogelio Gloria, U.S. Naval Officer
• Dan Hughes, businessman^[9]
• Dennis Jackson
• Dirk Konopik, former congressional aide^[8]
• Donald Krampe
• Robert Lauten
• Al Ramirez, businessman^[10]
• Nachum Shifren, rabbi and state senate candidate in 2010^[11]
• Orly Taitz, dentist, Birther movement activist and candidate for California Secretary of State in 2010^[12]
• Rick Williams, business attorney^[13]

Libertarian

• Gail Lightfoot, retired nurse

Peace and Freedom

• Kabiruddin Karim Ali, businessman
• Marsha Feinland, retired teacher

American Independent

• Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor

Despite Don J. Grundmann running, the American Independent Party gave their party endorsement to Republican Robert Lauten.^[14]

Polling

Open Primary

Survey USA poll of 1,314 likely voters, March 29–April 2, 2012. MoE: ±2.8%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dianne Feinstein (incumbent)		51
	Republican	Dan Hughes		2
	Republican	Elizabeth Emken		2
	Democratic	Diane Stewart		1
	Republican	John Boruff		1
	Republican	Rick Williams		1
	Republican	Al Ramirez		1
	Republican	Robert Lauten		1
	Republican	Orly Taitz		1
	Libertarian	Gail Lightfoot		1
	Democratic	David Alex Levitt		1
	Republican	Greg Conlon		1
	Republican	Dennis Jackson		1
	Republican	Donald Krampe		1
	American Independent	Don J. Grundmann		1
	Republican	Oscar Alejandro Braun		0
	Republican	Dirk Allen Konopik		0
	Democratic	Mike Strimling		0
	Democratic	Nak Shah		0
	Democratic	Colleen Shea Fernald		0
	Peace and Freedom	Marsha Feinland		0
	Republican	Rogelio T. Gloria		0
	Peace and Freedom	Kabiruddin Karim Ali		0
	Republican	Nachum Shifren		0
	n/a	Undecided		30
Total votes

Survey USA poll of 1,232 likely voters, May 27–29, 2012. MoE: ±2.8%

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dianne Feinstein (incumbent)		42
	Republican	Elizabeth Emken		4
	Republican	Dan Hughes		4
	Republican	Rick Williams		3
	Republican	Al Ramirez		3
	Republican	Donald Krampe		2
	Democratic	Diane Stewart		2
	Democratic	David Alex Levitt		2
	Libertarian	Gail Lightfoot		2
	Republican	Orly Taitz		1
	Republican	Greg Conlon		1
	Republican	Robert Lauten		1
	Republican	Nachum Shifren		1
	Republican	Dennis Jackson		1
	Republican	John Boruff		1
	Republican	Dirk Allen Konopik		1
	Democratic	Colleen Shea Fernald		1
	Democratic	Mike Strimling		1
	Peace and Freedom	Marsha Feinland		1
	American Independent	Don J. Grundmann		1
	Republican	Oscar Alejandro Braun		0
	Peace and Freedom	Kabiruddin Karim Ali		0
	Democratic	Nak Shah		0
	Republican	Rogelio T. Gloria		0
	n/a	Undecided		24
Total votes

Results

Primary results by county:

  Feinstein ≥ 20%

  Feinstein ≥ 30%

  Feinstein ≥ 40%

  Feinstein ≥ 50%

  Feinstein ≥ 60%

  Feinstein ≥ 70%

United States Senate primary election in California, 2012^[15]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dianne Feinstein (incumbent)	2,392,822	49.3%
	Republican	Elizabeth Emken	613,613	12.6%
	Republican	Dan Hughes	323,840	6.7%
	Republican	Rick Williams	157,946	3.3%
	Republican	Orly Taitz	154,781	3.2%
	Republican	Dennis Jackson	137,120	2.8%
	Republican	Greg Conlon	135,421	2.8%
	Republican	Al Ramirez	109,399	2.3%
	Libertarian	Gail Lightfoot	101,648	2.1%
	Democratic	Diane Stewart	97,782	2.0%
	Democratic	Mike Strimling	97,024	2.0%
	Democratic	David Levitt	76,482	1.6%
	Republican	Oscar Braun	75,842	1.6%
	Republican	Robert Lauten	57,720	1.2%
	Peace and Freedom	Marsha Feinland	54,129	1.2%
	Democratic	Colleen Shea Fernald	51,623	1.1%
	Republican	Donald Krampe	39,035	0.8%
	American Independent	Don J. Grundmann	33,037	0.7%
	Republican	Dirk Allen Konopik	29,997	0.6%
	Republican	John Boruff	29,357	0.6%
	Democratic	Nak Shah	27,203	0.6%
	Republican	Rogelio T. Gloria	22,529	0.5%
	Republican	Nachum Shifren	21,762	0.4%
	Peace and Freedom	Kabiruddin Karim Ali	12,269	0.3%
	Republican	Linda R. Price (write-in)	25	0.0%
Total votes			4,852,406	100.0%

Election contest

In July 2012, Taitz sued to block the certification of the primary election results, alleging "rampant election fraud", but her suit was denied.^[16][17]

General election

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Dianne Feinstein (D)	$12,673,306	$12,105,960	$865,541	$373,734
Elizabeth Emken (R)	$1,114,350	$1,110,209	$4,140	$4,479
Source: Federal Election Commission[18][19]

Top contributors

Dianne Feinstein	Contribution	Elizabeth Emken	Contribution
Pacific Gas and Electric Company	$120,700	Thomas H. Lee Partners	$10,000
JStreetPAC	$82,171	DevicePharm, Inc.	$7,500
General Atomics	$56,750	Troy Group	$7,500
Edison International	$54,250	Jelly Belly	$5,500
General Dynamics	$43,500	Autism Advocate	$5,000
BAE Systems	$40,000	Geier Group	$5,000
Diamond Foods	$31,599	Generations Healthcare	$5,000
Northrop Grumman	$30,800	Gingery Development	$4,000
International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees	$30,000	MIR3, Inc.	$3,000
Wells Fargo	$27,250	Northrop Grumman	$2,800
Source: OpenSecrets[20]

Top industries

Dianne Feinstein	Contribution	Elizabeth Emken	Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms	$565,129	Retired	$63,849
Retired	$463,058	Republican/Conservative	$35,800
Agribusiness	$367,132	Financial Institutions	$26,100
Real Estate	$334,321	Real Estate	$19,200
Lobbyists	$324,196	Business Services	$16,000
Financial Institutions	$321,744	Misc Finance	$12,750
Electric Utilities	$313,450	Printing & Publishing	$8,000
Entertainment Industry	$300,321	Food & Beverage	$6,000
Women's Issues	$207,449	Petroleum Industry	$6,000
High-Tech Industry	$205,789	Lawyers/Law Firms	$5,458
Source: OpenSecrets[21]

Candidates

• Dianne Feinstein (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
• Elizabeth Emken (R), former Vice President of Autism Speaks^[22]

Debates

No debates were scheduled. Senator Feinstein decided to focus on her own campaign rather than debate her challenger.^[23][24]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[25]	Solid D	November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]	Safe D	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[27]	Safe D	November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[28]	Safe D	November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dianne Feinstein (D)	Elizabeth Emken (R)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA[29]	May 27–29, 2012	1,575	±2.5%	50%	34%	—	15%
The Field Poll[30]	June 21 – July 2, 2012	848	±3.5%	51%	32%	—	17%
CBRT Pepperdine[31]	July 30 – August 1, 2012	873	±3.3%	46%	34%	—	21%
SurveyUSA[32]	September 9–11, 2012	524	±4.2%	55%	37%	—	9%
The Field Poll[33]	September 6–18, 2012	902	±3.4%	57%	31%	—	12%
SurveyUSA[34]	October 7–9, 2012	539	±4.3%	54%	35%	—	10%
Reason-Rupe[35]	October 11–15, 2012	508	±5.1%	60%	34%	2%	5%
LA Times/USC[36]	October 15–21, 2012	1,440	±n/a	55%	38%	1%	6%
The Field Poll[37]	October 17–24, 2012	815	±3.6%	56%	32%	—	12%
The Field Poll[37]	October 25–30, 2012	751	±3.6%	54%	33%	—	13%

Results

United States Senate election in California, 2012^[38]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Dianne Feinstein (incumbent)	7,864,624	62.52%	+3.09%
	Republican	Elizabeth Emken	4,713,887	37.48%	+2.46%
Total votes			12,578,511	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

By county

	Dianne Feinstein		Elizabeth Emken
County	Votes	%	Votes	%
Alameda	468,456	81.9%	103,313	18.1%
Alpine	409	64.1%	229	35.9%
Amador	7,051	40.8%	10,232	59.2%
Butte	43,681	49.3%	44,981	50.7%
Calaveras	8,878	41.6%	12,479	58.4%
Colusa	2,482	43.3%	3,253	56.7%
Contra Costa	300,194	70.1%	128,310	29.9%
Del Norte	4,065	47.4%	4,502	52.6%
El Dorado	35,776	41.3%	50,820	58.7%
Fresno	129,267	51.1%	123,499	48.9%
Glenn	3,520	39.0%	5,515	61.0%
Humboldt	36,162	65.0%	19,437	35.0%
Imperial	25,342	67.2%	12,346	32.8%
Inyo	3,333	42.6%	4,494	57.4%
Kern	92,252	42.3%	125,906	57.7%
Kings	13,304	42.6%	17,916	57.4%
Lake	13,543	59.0%	9,424	41.0%
Lassen	3,150	29.9%	7,390	70.1%
Los Angeles	2,183,654	71.5%	868,924	28.5%
Madera	15,997	41.1%	22,942	58.9%
Marin	105,153	80.1%	26,105	19.9%
Mariposa	3,551	40.3%	5,268	59.7%
Mendocino	24,254	70.3%	10,224	29.7%
Merced	32,955	55.0%	27,000	45.0%
Modoc	1,188	30.1%	2,761	69.9%
Mono	2,600	52.0%	2,404	48.0%
Monterey	84,585	69.6%	36,930	30.4%
Napa	37,122	66.5%	18,682	33.5%
Nevada	25,495	50.4%	25,078	49.6%
Orange	515,902	47.5%	570,574	52.5%
Placer	68,599	41.4%	97,139	58.6%
Plumas	4,162	42.8%	5,560	57.2%
Riverside	327,698	51.9%	303,651	48.1%
Sacramento	302,078	60.7%	195,412	39.3%
San Benito	11,389	61.1%	7,255	38.9%
San Bernardino	298,067	54.0%	253,433	46.0%
San Diego	622,781	54.4%	521,884	45.6%
San Francisco	305,126	88.5%	39,589	11.5%
San Joaquin	113,706	57.0%	85,787	43.0%
San Luis Obispo	62,216	50.8%	60,262	49.2%
San Mateo	213,503	77.2%	62,979	22.8%
Santa Barbara	93,921	59.6%	63,599	40.4%
Santa Clara	454,647	72.9%	168,722	27.1%
Santa Cruz	91,109	78.2%	25,463	21.8%
Shasta	27,155	36.5%	47,184	63.5%
Sierra	677	38.6%	1,078	61.4%
Siskiyou	8,196	42.0%	11,334	58.0%
Solano	98,251	66.0%	50,634	34.0%
Sonoma	154,892	73.7%	55,256	26.3%
Stanislaus	78,470	51.8%	73,060	48.2%
Sutter	12,395	41.2%	17,715	58.8%
Tehama	8,349	37.0%	14,241	63.0%
Trinity	2,658	47.5%	2,943	52.5%
Tulare	42,395	42.9%	56,499	57.1%
Tuolumne	10,336	42.8%	13,823	57.2%
Ventura	171,483	54.4%	143,603	45.6%
Yolo	49,148	67.7%	23,468	32.3%
Yuba	7,896	41.0%	11,376	59.0%
Totals	7,864,624	62.52%	4,713,887	37.48%

Shift by county

Trend by county

Legend

•   Republican — >15%
•   Republican — +12.5−15%
•   Republican — +10−12.5%
•   Republican — +7.5−10%
•   Republican — +5−7.5%
•   Republican — +2.5−5%
•   Republican — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5−5%
•   Democratic — +5−7.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Butte (largest city: Chico)
• Del Norte (largest community: Crescent City)
• Trinity (largest community: Weaverville)

By congressional district

Feinstein won 41 of the 53 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.^[39]

District	Emken	Feinstein	Representative
1st	57.54%	42.46%	Doug LaMalfa
2nd	26.57%	73.43%	Jared Huffman
3rd	43.53%	56.47%	John Garamendi
4th	58.51%	41.49%	Tom McClintock
5th	27.52%	72.48%	Mike Thompson
6th	28.74%	71.26%	Doris Matsui
7th	46.52%	53.48%	Ami Bera
8th	56.52%	43.48%	Paul Cook
9th	40.39%	59.61%	Jerry McNerney
10th	47.93%	52.07%	Jeff Denham
11th	28.5%	71.5%	George Miller
12th	11.19%	88.81%	Nancy Pelosi
13th	9.14%	90.86%	Barbara Lee
14th	20.65%	79.35%	Jackie Speier
15th	29.32%	70.68%	Eric Swalwell
16th	40.69%	59.31%	Jim Costa
17th	25.22%	74.78%	Mike Honda
18th	28.45%	71.55%	Anna Eshoo
19th	26.49%	73.51%	Zoe Lofgren
20th	26.87%	73.13%	Sam Farr
21st	44.36%	55.64%	David Valadao
22nd	56.76%	43.24%	Devin Nunes
23rd	61.99%	38.01%	Kevin McCarthy
24th	44.1%	55.9%	Lois Capps
25th	50.8%	49.2%	Buck McKeon
26th	43.8%	56.2%	Julia Brownley
27th	34.85%	65.15%	Judy Chu
28th	26.59%	73.41%	Adam Schiff
29th	22.21%	77.79%	Tony Cárdenas
30th	31.44%	68.56%	Brad Sherman
31st	41.33%	58.67%	Gary Miller
32nd	33.33%	66.67%	Grace Napolitano
33rd	35.5%	64.5%	Henry Waxman
34th	15.4%	84.6%	Xavier Becerra
35th	31.96%	68.04%	Gloria Negrete McLeod
36th	46.35%	53.65%	Raul Ruiz
37th	13.92%	86.08%	Karen Bass
38th	33.43%	66.57%	Linda Sánchez
39th	50.82%	49.18%	Ed Royce
40th	18.76%	81.24%	Lucille Roybal-Allard
41st	37.03%	62.97%	Mark Takano
42nd	56.82%	43.18%	Ken Calvert
43rd	21.7%	78.3%	Maxine Waters
44th	15.29%	84.71%	Janice Hahn
45th	55.57%	44.43%	John B. T. Campbell III
46th	36.98%	63.02%	Loretta Sánchez
47th	38.56%	61.44%	Alan Lowenthal
48th	55.06%	44.94%	Dana Rohrabacher
49th	53.31%	46.69%	Darrell Issa
50th	60.48%	39.52%	Duncan Hunter
51st	29.92%	70.08%	Juan Vargas
52nd	45.51%	54.49%	Scott Peters
53rd	36.67%	63.33%	Susan Davis

See also

• 2012 United States Senate elections
• 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California

References

1. Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
2. Marinucci, Carla (April 30, 2011). "US Sen. Dianne Feinstein on nuclear energy and her 2012 re-election: "My plan is to run"". San Francisco Chronicle Politics Blog. Archived from the original on January 22, 2012.
3. Mahtesian, Charles (November 26, 2012). "Feinstein's record: 7.3 million votes". POLITICO. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
4. Reston, Maeve (October 25, 2010). "Feinstein hints she'll run again in 2012". Los Angeles Times. Archived from the original on January 13, 2011. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
5. Milhalcik, Carrie. "Citizen candidate to challenge Dianne Feinstein in Senate race". Current TV. Archived from the original on March 20, 2012. Retrieved March 22, 2012.
6. Walker, Mark (December 1, 2011). "REGION: Ramona man running against Feinstein in 2012". North County Times. Archived from the original on September 7, 2012. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
7. Van Oot, Torey (November 28, 2011). "Republican Elizabeth Emken to run against Sen. Dianne Feinstein". The Sacramento Bee. Archived from the original on November 30, 2011. Retrieved November 28, 2011.
8. Richman, Josh (November 29, 2011). "Danville woman seeks GOP nod to take on Feinstein". Oakland Tribune. Contra Costa Times. Archived from the original on December 31, 2011. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
9. Merl, Jean (February 6, 2012). "GOP businessman joins field challenging Sen. Dianne Feinstein". Los Angeles Times. Archived from the original on February 13, 2012. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
10. Archibald, Ashley (January 28, 2012). "Santa Monican hopes to unseat Feinstein". Santa Monica Daily Press. Retrieved February 12, 2012.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
11. Surowski, Peter (May 18, 2011). "Rabbi Who Denounced Temecula Mosque Runs for Senate". Temecula Patch. Archived from the original on May 22, 2012. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
12. "Orly Taitz Senate Campaign: 'Birther Queen' Running As GOP Candidate For U.S. Senate Seat In California". The Huffington Post. November 4, 2011. Archived from the original on November 7, 2011. Retrieved November 7, 2011.
13. "Rick Williams for Senate". Archived from the original on March 9, 2012. Retrieved March 13, 2012.
14. "Voter Information Guide" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 28, 2015. Retrieved December 30, 2022.
15. "Statement of Vote (June 5, 2012, Presidential Primary Election)" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 7, 2017. Retrieved December 1, 2017.
16. Wisckol, Martin (July 12, 2012). "O.C. 'birther' sues to block primary election results". The Orange County Register. Archived from the original on July 17, 2012.
17. Wisckol, Martin (July 13, 2012). "O.C. 'birther' suit to block election results denied". The Orange County Register. Archived from the original on July 17, 2012.
18. Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California FEINSTEIN, DIANNE". fec.gov. Archived from the original on July 21, 2013.
19. Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California EMKEN, ELIZABETH". fec.gov. Archived from the original on July 21, 2013.
20. "Top Contributors 2012 Race: California Senate". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on April 7, 2014.
21. "Top Industries 2012 Race: California Senate". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on April 7, 2014.
22. "Elizabeth Emken". ElizabethEmken.com. Archived from the original on October 18, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
23. PaoloPhotoFilms (September 8, 2012). ""Feinstein Walks Out On Reporter", California US Senate debate". Archived from the original on January 12, 2018 – via YouTube.
24. "Sen. Feinstein explains decision not to debate". ocregister.com. November 1, 2012. Archived from the original on December 9, 2012.
25. "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
26. "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
27. "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
28. "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
29. SurveyUSA
30. The Field Poll
31. CBRT Pepperdine
32. SurveyUSA
33. The Field Poll
34. SurveyUSA
35. Reason-Rupe
36. LA Times/USC ^{[permanent dead link‍]}
37. The Field Poll
38. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on December 24, 2016. Retrieved January 15, 2018.
39. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

External links

• Elections at Secretary of State of California
• Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
• Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
• Candidate issue positions at On the Issues

Official campaign sites (Archived)

• Elizabeth Emken for Senate
• Dianne Feinstein for Senate