2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska
2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska
County results Congressional district results Fischer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%Kerrey: 50–60%
The 2012 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic senator Ben Nelson chose to retire instead of seeking a third term.[ 1] Democrat Bob Kerrey , who held this seat from 1989 to 2001, and Republican state senator Deb Fischer won their respective parties' primary elections on May 15, 2012.
Fischer won the general election with 57.8% of the vote. Her election marked the first time since 1970 that a Republican was elected to Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat , as well as the first time that a woman was elected to a full Senate term in the state's history. This was the only Republican flip of the 2012 U.S. Senate elections. Fischer 's inauguration marked the first time since the resignation of Roman Hruska in 1976 where Republicans held both Senate seats from Nebraska.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Bob Kerrey , former U.S. Senator and former governor of Nebraska[ 2]
Steven Lustgarten, video production company owner[ 3]
Larry Marvin, landlord and perennial candidate[ 4]
Sherman Yates[ 4]
Withdrew
Declined
Endorsements
Bob Kerrey
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Declined
Polling
Endorsements
Results
General election
Candidates
Bob Kerrey , (Democrat), former U.S. senator and former governor of Nebraska
Deb Fischer , (Republican), state senator
Debates
The first debate took place at the Heartland Events Center during the Nebraska State Fair at 4 p.m. Saturday, August 25, 2012. Kerrey and Fischer participated.
The second debate took place on September 28, 2012, KETV-TV , Chamber of Commerce of Greater Omaha. Kerrey and Fischer participated.
The third debate took place on October 1, 2012, NET-TV . Kerrey and Fischer participated. Topics included agriculture policy, the economy, taxes and education.
External links
Fundraising
Candidate (party)
Receipts
Disbursements
Cash on hand
Debt
Bob Kerrey (D)
$4,877,704
$4,582,224
$295,480
$0
Deb Fischer (R)
$4,536,837
$3,472,721
$1,458,122
$65,000
Source: Federal Election Commission [ 49] [ 50] [ 51]
Top contributors
[ 52]
Bob Kerrey
Contribution
Deb Fischer
Contribution
Rural Media Group
$62,500
Elliott Management Corporation
$29,413
MacAndrews & Forbes
$51,000
Hawkins Construction
$20,000
Tenet Healthcare
$25,650
Kelly PAC
$20,000
Nix, Patterson & Roach
$25,000
Tenaska Energy
$17,500
Allen & Company
$22,500
Werner Enterprises
$15,250
Kirkland & Ellis
$21,500
T&L Irrigation
$13,200
Level 3 Communications
$17,000
Union Pacific
$11,500
Genworth Financial
$16,000
Pinnacle Financial Partners
$10,500
Williams Kherkher
$16,000
21st Century Majority Fund
$10,000
Bank of America
$15,250
AG Processing
$10,000
Top industries
[ 53]
Bob Kerrey
Contribution
Deb Fischer
Contribution
Lawyers /Law Firms
$293,434
Leadership PACs
$165,500
Retired
$219,224
Retired
$124,546
Leadership PACs
$203,500
Agribusiness
$105,052
Financial Institutions
$182,150
Commercial Banks
$54,990
Entertainment Industry
$119,000
Financial Institutions
$54,416
Lobbyists
$104,400
General Contractors
$54,300
Real Estate
$87,675
Real Estate
$38,000
Manufacturing & Distributing
$61,700
Insurance
$36,000
Education
$53,000
Health Professionals
$31,850
Insurance
$51,500
Electric Utilities
$29,900
Predictions
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Bob Kerrey (D)
Deb Fischer (R)
Other
Undecided
Rasmussen Reports [ 58]
March 5, 2012
500
±4.5%
34%
46%
10%
10%
Public Policy Polling [ 29]
March 22–25, 2012
1,028
±3.1%
38%
48%
—
14%
Rasmussen Reports [ 59]
May 16, 2012
500
±4.5%
38%
56%
2%
3%
WeAskAmerica [ 60]
August 14, 2012
1,273
±2.8%
34%
55%
—
11%
Omaha World-Herald [ 61]
September 17–20, 2012
800
±3.5%
42%
52%
—
6%
Pharos Research [ 62]
October 19–21, 2012
783
±3.5%
46%
48%
—
6%
Omaha World-Herald [ 63]
October 23–25, 2012
800
±3.5%
45%
48%
—
7%
We Ask America [ 64]
November 1, 2012
1,178
±3.0%
41%
54%
—
5%
Hypothetical polling
With Kerrey
With Lathrop
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Steve Lathrop (D)
Jon Bruning (R)
Other
Undecided
Magellan Strategies [ 65]
January 10–11, 2012
675
±3.77%
29%
52%
–
19%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Steve Lathrop (D)
Don Stenberg (R)
Other
Undecided
Magellan Strategies [ 65]
January 10–11, 2012
675
±3.77%
27%
52%
–
21%
With Nelson
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ben Nelson (D)
Pat Flynn (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [ 67]
January 26–27, 2011
977
±3.1%
42%
33%
––
24%
Public Policy Polling [ 68]
September 30 – October 2, 2011
739
±3.6%
43%
36%
––
21%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Ben Nelson (D)
Dave Heineman (R)
Other
Undecided
Magellan Strategies [ 69]
November 20–21, 2011
645
±3.9%
33%
51%
––
16%
With Robak
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kim Robak (D)
Jon Bruning (R)
Other
Undecided
Magellan Strategies [ 65]
January 10–11, 2012
675
±3.77%
34%
51%
–
15%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Kim Robak (D)
Don Stenberg (R)
Other
Undecided
Magellan Strategies [ 65]
January 10–11, 2012
675
±3.77%
32%
50%
–
18%
Results
By county
From Secretary of State of Nebraska [ 70]
County
Deb Fischer
Republican
Bob Kerrey
Democratic
Total votes
%
#
%
#
Adams
64.65%
8,170
35.35%
4,468
12,638
Antelope
81.32%
2,625
18.68%
603
3,228
Arthur
86.74%
229
13.26%
35
264
Banner
84.91%
349
15.09%
62
411
Blaine
89.23%
265
10.77%
32
297
Boone
76.31%
2,139
23.69%
664
2,803
Box Butte
60.41%
2,838
39.59%
1,860
4,698
Boyd
80.36%
851
19.64%
208
1,059
Brown
86.80%
1,342
13.20%
204
1,546
Buffalo
70.01%
13,491
29.99%
5,779
19,270
Burt
59.55%
1,977
40.45%
1,343
3,320
Butler
68.86%
2,642
31.14%
1,195
3,837
Cass
59.25%
7,153
40.75%
4,919
12,072
Cedar
70.31%
3,041
29.69%
1,284
4,325
Chase
83.57%
1,546
16.43%
304
1,850
Cherry
77.91%
2,328
22.09%
660
2,988
Cheyenne
72.54%
3,344
27.46%
1,266
4,610
Clay
74.52%
2,194
25.48%
750
2,944
Colfax
65.23%
1,992
34.77%
1,062
3,054
Cuming
73.00%
2,893
27.00%
1,070
3,963
Custer
80.78%
4,439
19.22%
1,056
5,495
Dakota
45.63%
2,770
54.37%
3,300
6,070
Dawes
64.86%
2,405
35.14%
1,303
3,708
Dawson
69.54%
5,422
30.46%
2,375
7,797
Deuel
75.00%
762
25.00%
254
1,016
Dixon
60.22%
1,618
39.78%
1,069
2,687
Dodge
59.30%
8,823
40.70%
6,056
14,879
Douglas
48.25%
106,951
51.75%
114,700
221,651
Dundy
78.35%
767
21.65%
212
979
Fillmore
67.18%
1,918
32.82%
937
2,855
Franklin
72.59%
1,107
27.41%
418
1,525
Frontier
77.12%
1,008
22.88%
299
1,307
Furnas
77.43%
1,729
22.57%
504
2,233
Gage
53.74%
5,172
46.26%
4,452
9,624
Garden
75.76%
819
24.24%
262
1,081
Garfield
81.99%
774
18.01%
170
944
Gosper
75.31%
738
24.69%
242
980
Grant
83.52%
299
16.48%
59
358
Greeley
69.61%
827
30.39%
361
1,188
Hall
61.32%
12,350
38.68%
7,790
20,140
Hamilton
72.27%
3,498
27.73%
1,342
4,840
Harlan
75.64%
1329
24.36%
428
1,757
Hayes
83.49%
445
16.51%
88
533
Hitchcock
74.98%
1,112
25.02%
371
1,483
Holt
79.17%
3,896
20.83%
1,025
4,921
Hooker
82.84%
333
17.16%
69
402
Howard
67.69%
1,940
32.31%
926
2,866
Jefferson
60.04%
2,052
39.96%
1,366
3,418
Johnson
55.76%
1,147
44.24%
910
2,057
Kearney
74.08%
2,343
25.92%
820
3,163
Keith
73.76%
2,988
26.24%
1,063
4,051
Keya Paha
84.62%
407
15.38%
74
481
Kimball
73.39%
1,233
26.61%
447
1,680
Knox
71.52%
2,880
28.48%
1,147
4,027
Lancaster
46.15%
58,306
53.85%
68,046
126,352
Lincoln
66.00%
10,285
34.00%
5,298
15,583
Logan
82.45%
357
17.55%
76
433
Loup
78.71%
281
21.29%
76
357
Madison
72.92%
10,089
27.08%
3,746
13,835
McPherson
86.35%
253
13.65%
40
293
Merrick
71.44%
2,491
28.56%
996
3,487
Morrill
76.24%
1,675
23.76%
522
2,197
Nance
66.42%
1,068
33.58%
540
1,608
Nemaha
59.09%
1,901
40.91%
1,316
3,217
Nuckolls
70.21%
1,532
29.79%
650
2,182
Otoe
58.58%
4,067
41.42%
2,876
6,943
Pawnee
64.11%
861
35.89%
482
1,343
Perkins
78.60%
1,091
21.40%
297
1,388
Phelps
77.00%
3,368
23.00%
1,006
4,374
Pierce
79.55%
2,716
20.45%
698
3,414
Platte
73.13%
9,801
26.87%
3,601
13,402
Polk
74.65%
1,820
25.35%
618
2,438
Red Willow
75.25%
3,692
24.75%
1,214
4,906
Richardson
62.08%
2,312
37.92%
1,412
3,724
Rock
86.90%
683
13.10%
103
786
Saline
48.30%
2,387
51.70%
2,555
4,942
Sarpy
57.56%
40,682
42.44%
29,996
70,678
Saunders
63.72%
6,547
36.28%
3,728
10,275
Scotts Bluff
64.96%
9,299
35.04%
5,017
14,316
Seward
63.18%
4,764
36.82%
2,776
7,540
Sheridan
80.24%
1,986
19.76%
489
2,475
Sherman
63.20%
960
36.80%
559
1,519
Sioux
82.76%
605
17.24%
126
731
Stanton
74.99%
1,979
25.01%
660
2,639
Thayer
65.79%
1,742
34.21%
906
2,648
Thomas
85.23%
352
14.77%
61
413
Thurston
40.38%
900
59.62%
1,329
2,229
Valley
72.91%
1,599
27.09%
594
2,193
Washington
65.52%
6,660
34.48%
3,505
10,165
Wayne
67.56%
2,484
32.44%
1,193
3,677
Webster
69.66%
1,203
30.34%
524
1,727
Wheeler
79.78%
359
20.22%
91
450
York
74.78%
4,726
25.22%
1,594
6,320
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Fischer won all 3 congressional districts.[ 71]
See also
References
^ "Ben Nelson retiring from Senate" . Politico. December 27, 2011.
^ "Bob Kerrey will run for U.S. Senate" . Omaha World-Herald . February 29, 2012. Archived from the original on March 3, 2012. Retrieved February 29, 2012 .
^ "Omahan files as Democratic Senate candidate" . Lincoln Journal Star . January 23, 2012. Retrieved February 15, 2012 .
^ a b c d Scalora, Christine (May 6, 2012). "Alternative candidates: Issues drew them to Senate race" . North Platte Bulletin . Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved May 7, 2012 .
^ "Nebraska: Democratic Field Clears for Bob Kerrey | At the Races" . Archived from the original on March 11, 2012. Retrieved March 8, 2012 .
^ Star, DON WALTON / Lincoln Journal (December 29, 2011). "Beutler brushes off Senate speculation; Nelson staff mulls campaign funds" . JournalStar.com .
^ a b Shefte, Jordan (December 28, 2011). "Jane Kleeb comments on Senator Nelson's retirement" . KHAS-TV . Archived from the original on May 11, 2012. Retrieved December 29, 2011 .
^ Sullivan, Sean (February 13, 2012). "Lathrop Won't Run for Ben Nelson's Seat" . National Journal . Archived from the original on October 19, 2012. Retrieved February 13, 2012 .
^ Bresnahan, John (December 27, 2011). "Ben Nelson: 'It's time to move on' " . POLITICO .
^ "Robak out of Senate race, too - Omaha.com" . Retrieved February 1, 2023 .[permanent dead link ]
^ "Our Campaigns - NE US Senate Race - Nov 06, 2012" . www.ourcampaigns.com .
^ Morton, Joseph (November 2, 2012). "Todd Packer finally picks a side in Nebraska Senate race" . Omaha World Herald .
^ a b "Official Report of the Board of State Canvassers of the State of Nebraska" (PDF) . Secretary of State of Nebraska . Archived from the original (PDF) on November 8, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2012 .
^ Tysver, Robynn (January 5, 2011). "Bruning makes Senate bid official" . Omaha World-Herald . Archived from the original on January 13, 2011. Retrieved January 5, 2011 .
^ "Fischer kicks off U.S. Senate bid - Omaha.com" . Archived from the original on August 6, 2012. Retrieved February 1, 2023 .
^ Walton, Don (November 19, 2010). "Pat Flynn launches GOP Senate campaign" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved November 22, 2010 .
^ "Nebraska Treasurer to Enter GOP Senate Primary" . Roll Call . February 28, 2011.
^ Walton, Don (June 18, 2011). "Republican Senate field becoming crowded" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved June 18, 2011 .
^ a b Tysver, Robynn (December 15, 2010). "More Republicans eyeing Senate?" . Omaha World-Herald . Archived from the original on April 30, 2011. Retrieved December 15, 2010 .
^ Warneke, Kent (November 9, 2010). "Senate race doesn't interest Flood" . Omaha World-Herald . Archived from the original on November 11, 2010. Retrieved November 19, 2010 .
^ Walton, Don (January 9, 2012). "Fortenberry won't seek Senate seat" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved January 9, 2012 .
^ Paul HammelWORLD-HERALD BUREAU. "Heineman: No Senate bid in 2012" . Omaha.com. Archived from the original on June 16, 2011. Retrieved November 5, 2010 .
^ "Nebraska Senate GOP Primary Gets a New Candidate : Roll Call Politics" . Retrieved February 1, 2023 .
^ Walton, Don (January 3, 2011). "Don Walton: Electoral vote battle looms" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved January 3, 2011 .
^ Beck, Margery A. (November 14, 2010). "US Senate race wide open for Neb. GOP candidates" . Associated Press . Retrieved December 10, 2010 .
^ "No Senate bid for Fortenberry - Omaha.com" . Archived from the original on January 12, 2012. Retrieved February 1, 2023 .
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Public Policy Polling
^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
^ We Ask America
^ We Ask America
^ Public Policy Polling
^ a b c d e f g h "Jon Bruning for Senate - Endorsements" . Archived from the original on March 15, 2014. Retrieved May 8, 2012 .
^ Walton, Don (May 25, 2011). "Mike Huckabee endorses Jon Bruning" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved November 17, 2011 .
^ Walton, Don (June 30, 2011). "Mike Flood endorses Bruning Senate bid" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved January 24, 2012 .
^ "Arizona sheriff endorses Bruning" . Lincoln Journal Star . February 20, 2012. Retrieved February 24, 2012 .
^ "Our Campaigns - Candidate - Bill Schuette" .
^ Toeplitz, Shira (May 11, 2011). "Tea Party Express Endorses Jon Bruning in Nebraska" . Roll Call . Retrieved November 17, 2011 .
^ "American Future Fund Political Action" . Archived from the original on August 24, 2011. Retrieved November 17, 2011 .
^ Walton, Don (May 10, 2012). "Fortenberry endorsement adds to Fischer surge" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved May 11, 2012 .
^ a b Livingston, Abby (May 9, 2012). "Sarah Palin Endorses Deb Fischer in Nebraska Senate Race" . Roll Call . Archived from the original on May 12, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2012 .
^ "Protecting Life : Deb Fischer 2012" . Archived from the original on May 20, 2012. Retrieved May 15, 2012 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Endorsements | Stenberg for Senate 2012" . Archived from the original on November 18, 2011. Retrieved April 19, 2012 .
^ Walton, Don (November 8, 2011). "DeMint endorses Stenberg, sponsors fundraising drive" . Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved November 17, 2011 .
^ Pershing, Ben (October 18, 2011). "Mike Lee looks to carve a niche on the campaign trail" . The Washington Post . Retrieved November 17, 2011 .
^ Senate 2012, Don Stenberg for U. S. "Ken Blackwell, an NRA & Club for Growth Board Member, Endorses Don Stenberg in Nebraska" . PRLog . {{cite web }}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link )
^ Catanese, David (July 29, 2011). "Stenberg wins Mark Levin primary" . POLITICO .
^ "FreedomWorks PAC Endorses Don Stenberg in the Nebraska Senate Race" . www.businesswire.com . September 28, 2011.
^ "J. Robert Kerrey" . Federal Election Commission . Archived from the original on December 16, 2012. Retrieved January 27, 2023 .{{cite web }}
: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link )
^ "Debra S. Fischer" . Federal Election Commission . Archived from the original on December 10, 2012. Retrieved January 27, 2023 .{{cite web }}
: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link )
^ "Paul Russell Anderson" . Federal Election Commission . Archived from the original on December 16, 2012. Retrieved January 27, 2023 .{{cite web }}
: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link )
^ Kansas District 04 2012 Race OpenSecrets
^ "Kansas District 04 2012 Race" . OpenSecrets .
^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012" . The Cook Political Report . Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018 .
^ "2012 Senate" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved September 20, 2018 .
^ "2012 Senate Ratings" . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018 .
^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012" . Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018 .
^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ WeAskAmerica
^ Omaha World-Herald
^ Pharos Research
^ Omaha World-Herald Archived October 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
^ We Ask America
^ a b c d e f Magellan Strategies
^ a b Magellan Strategies
^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
^ a b c d Magellan Strategies
^ a b "Official Results of Nebraska General Election - November 6, 2012". Nebraska Secretary of State. p. 12. Retrieved January 2, 2013.
^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index" .
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