2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina
The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina . Republican congressman Ted Budd won his first term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Cheri Beasley . Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022,[ 1] but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.
Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. senator Richard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[ 2] Former chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley [ 3] and U.S. Representative Ted Budd won the Democratic and Republican primaries , respectively.[ 4] [ 5] [ 6] [ 7] The race was considered competitive, with Budd narrowly leading in polls.[ 8] [ 9] Budd ultimately won with 50.5% of the vote to Beasley's 47.3%—a margin of 3.2%.[ 10]
Despite Budd's win in the election, it marked the Class III seat's worst performance by a Republican since 1998 .
Republican primary
Former Governor Pat McCrory from Charlotte finished second in the primary.
Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker from Greensboro finished third in the primary.
With Burr's retirement, this primary was expected to be very competitive.[ 11] Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his candidacy, on December 1, 2020.[ 12] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for reelection in 2020 because his district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Former president Donald Trump 's daughter-in-law Lara Trump was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat.[ 11] She received encouragement and support from U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham [ 13] and Kellyanne Conway ,[ 11] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary.[ 14] On April 14, 2021, former governor Pat McCrory announced his candidacy.[ 15] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021.[ 4]
Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns.[ 16]
On June 5, 2021, the North Carolina Republican Party held a convention in Greenville . At the convention, former president Trump announced that he was endorsing Budd for the U.S. Senate seat.[ 17] Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former president also took a shot at McCrory, saying, "You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values." McCrory lost both the 2008 and 2016 gubernatorial elections.[ 18] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump's intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage.[ 18] Both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race.[ 5]
Meanwhile, North Carolina redrew its congressional maps, making Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans than it had been before 2020. After that, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run for his old House seat, newly numbered as the 7th district.[ 19] Walker filed to switch races, but later decided against it in favor of staying in the Senate race.[ 20]
The first primary debate was held on February 26 in Raleigh. It was sponsored by the John Locke Foundation , a conservative think tank based in North Carolina. McCrory, Walker and Eastman participated. Budd was invited, but did not attend, leaving an empty podium.[ 21] [ 22] The first televised debate was held by WRAL-TV on April 14 and featured McCrory and Walker, with Budd once again declining to attend.[ 23] A third debate was held on April 20 on Spectrum News 1 . McCrory, Walker, and Eastman participated.[ 24] A fourth debate, sponsored by Nexstar Media Group , was held on April 26 and aired on television stations across North Carolina, including WJZY , WNCN , WGHP , and WNCT-TV .[ 25] McCrory and Walker participated. Budd declined and Eastman was not invited.[ 26]
Budd won the primary overwhelmingly with over 58% of the vote. McCrory finished second with almost 25%, and Walker third with 9%. Budd won a plurality in every county in the state except for Mecklenburg , which McCrory won by under 100 votes. After the results were released, McCrory declared his political career over. He did not endorse Budd for the general election.[ 27]
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Jen Banwart, Department of Defense employee (2001–2020), and legislative staffer on Capitol Hill (1994–1996)[ 28] [ 29]
Lee Brian, videographer and withdrawn candidate for NC-04 in 2018 [ 30]
Leonard Bryant, Senior Religious Affairs Advisor for the United States Army [ 31] [ 30]
Drew Bulecza, businessman[ 30]
Marjorie Eastman , author and veteran[ 32]
David Flaherty, former state representative [ 33] [ 30]
Benjamin Griffiths[ 30]
Kenneth Harper, business owner[ 34]
Pat McCrory , former governor of North Carolina (2013–2017), former mayor of Charlotte (1995–2009)[ 15]
Charles Kenneth Moss, radio evangelist and former member of the Randolph County Soil & Water Board[ 30] [ 35]
Lichia Sibhatu, daycare owner[ 30] [ 36]
Debora Tshiovo[ 30]
Mark Walker , former U.S. Representative for NC-06 (2015–2021)[ 37]
Withdrawn
Declined
Richard Burr , incumbent U.S. Senator[ 2] (endorsed Pat McCrory )[ 40]
Dan Forest , former lieutenant governor of North Carolina (2013–2021) and nominee for governor in 2020 [ 11]
Virginia Foxx , U.S. Representative for NC-5 (2005–present)[ 41]
Mark Meadows , former White House chief of staff , former U.S. Representative for NC-11 and former chairman of the Freedom Caucus (2013–2020)[ 42] (endorsed Ted Budd )[ 43]
Tim Moore , Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives [ 11] (2015–present) (running for reelection )[ 44]
Mark Robinson , lieutenant governor of North Carolina (2021–present)[ 45]
Lara Trump , television producer, senior advisor to Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign , and daughter-in-law of former president of the United States Donald Trump (endorsed Ted Budd )[ 11] [ 46] [ 47] [ 48]
Michael Whatley , chair of the North Carolina Republican Party [ 49] [ 50] [ 51]
Endorsements
Ted Budd
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
John M. Alexander Jr. , State Senator from District 18 (2019–2021) and District 15 (2015–2019)[ 58]
W. Ted Alexander , State Senator from District 44 (2019–present)[ 58]
Tom Apodaca , State Senator from District 48 (2003–2016)[ 58]
Kristin Baker , State Representative from District 82 (2020–present)[ 58]
Patrick J. Ballantine , State Senator from District 18 (1995–2004)[ 58]
James L. Boles Jr. , State Representative from District 52 (2009–present)[ 58]
Danny Britt , State Senator from District 13 (2017–present)[ 58]
Jim Burgin , State Senator from District 12 (2019–present)[ 58]
Warren Daniel , State Senator from District 46 (2013–present) and District 44 (2011–2013)[ 58]
Carl Ford , State Senator from District 33 (2019–present)[ 58]
Holly Grange , State Representative from District 20 (2016–2021)[ 58]
Julia C. Howard , State Representative from District 77 (2019–present), District 79 (2003–2019), District 74 (1999–2003) and District 37 (1989–1993)[ 58]
Frank Iler , State Representative from District 17 (2009–present)[ 58]
Jake Johnson , State Representative from District 113 (2019–present)[ 58]
Keith Kidwell , State Representative from District 79 (2019–present)[ 58]
Joyce Krawiec , State Senator from District 31 (2014–present)[ 58]
Michael Lazzara , State Senator from District 6 (2021–present)[ 58]
Tom McInnis , State Senator from District 25 (2015–present)[ 58]
Jeffrey McNeely , State Representative from District 84 (2019–present)[ 58]
Grey Mills , State Representative from District 95 (2021–present, 2009–2013)[ 58]
Paul Newton , State Senator from District 36 (2017–present)[ 58]
Ray Pickett , State Representative from District 93 (2021–present)[ 58]
Larry Pittman , State Representative from District 83 (2019–present) and District 82 (2011–2019)[ 58]
Larry Potts , State Representative from District 81 (2017–present)[ 58]
Mark Robinson , Lieutenant Governor (2021–present)[ 59]
Bob Rucho , State Senator from District 39 (2008–2017, 2003–2005) and District 35 (1997–2003)[ 58]
Jason Saine , State Representative from District 97 (2011–present)[ 58]
Mitchell S. Setzer , State Representative from District 89 (2003–present) and District 43 (1999–2003)[ 58]
Fred Smith , State Senator from District 12 (2003–2009)[ 58]
Jeff Tarte , State Senator from District 41 (2013–2019)[ 58]
Harry J. Warren , State Representative from District 76 (2019–present) and District 77 (2011–2019)[ 58]
Sam Watford , State Representative from District 80 (2021–present, 2015–2019)[ 58]
Jeff Zenger , State Representative from District 74 (2021–present)[ 58]
Organizations
Pat McCrory
U.S. senators
U.S. governors
Jim Martin , 70th Governor of North Carolina (1985–1993) and former U.S. Representative for NC-09 (1973–1985)[ 67]
Executive branch officials
U.S. governors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Polling
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Ted Budd
Marjorie Eastman
Pat McCrory
Mark Walker
Other[ a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [ 73]
April 1 – May 5, 2022
May 12, 2022
40.3%
2.8%
22.3%
8.5%
26.1%
Budd +18.0
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Ted Budd
Marjorie Eastman
Pat McCrory
Mark Walker
Other
Undecided
Emerson College [ 74]
May 7–9, 2022
467 (LV)
± 4.5%
43%
2%
16%
12%
12%[ c]
16%
co/efficient (R)[ 75]
May 4–5, 2022
1,089 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
3%
20%
13%
5%
11%
Atlantic Polling Strategies (R)[ 76]
April 25–28, 2022
534 (LV)
± 4.9%
45%
3%
21%
9%
2%
20%
Meredith College [ 77]
April 25–27, 2022
588 (LV)
± 4.0%
33%
3%
26%
7%
6%
34%
WPA Intelligence (R)[ 78] [ A]
April 24–26, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
43%
4%
23%
9%
1%
20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 79]
April 23–25, 2022
1,049 (LV)
± 3.0%
53%
6%
29%
8%
–
4%
Spry Strategies (R)[ 80]
April 6–10, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
40%
2%
27%
8%
3%
20%
SurveyUSA [ 81]
April 6–10, 2022
593 (LV)
± 5.0%
33%
2%
23%
7%
2%[ d]
33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[ 82] [ A]
April 3–5, 2022
510 (LV)
± 4.4%
44%
3%
31%
11%
1%
11%
Emerson College [ 83]
April 2–4, 2022
508 (LV)
± 4.3%
38%
1%
22%
9%
8%[ e]
23%
Cygnal (R)[ 84]
April 1–3, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
32%
1%
21%
7%
1%[ f]
39%
34%
3%
24%
10%
–
30%
Vitale & Associates (R)[ 85] [ B]
March 22–23, 2022
504 (LV)
± 4.4%
32%
2%
29%
12%
–
25%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[ 86] [ C]
February 26 – March 1, 2022
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
25%
4%
31%
16%
–
23%
Ingress Research Group (R)[ 87] [ D]
February 27, 2022
864 (LV)
± 3.3%
18%
4%
29%
11%
–
35%
Remington Research Group (R)[ 88] [ E]
February 2022
– (LV)
–
24%
3%
35%
17%
–
21%
Cygnal (R)[ 89]
January 7–9, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
19%
1%
24%
7%
1%[ g]
49%
Strategic Partners Solutions (R)[ 90] [ F]
January 5, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
21%
1%
30%
8%
<1%[ h]
41%
WPA Intelligence (R)[ 91] [ A]
November 1–3, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
33%
–
36%
13%
–
18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[ 92] [ F]
October 16–19, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
25%
–
40%
8%
–
–
WPA Intelligence (R)[ 93] [ A]
June 22–24, 2021
509 (LV)
± 4.4%
21%
–
45%
13%
–
21%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[ 94] [ C]
June 9–10, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
19%
–
45%
12%
–
23%
Spry Strategies (R)[ 95]
April 21–24, 2021
700 (LV)
± 4.4%
5%
–
40%
11%
–
44%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[ 96] [ F]
April 6–8, 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
9%
–
48%
13%
–
–
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Ted Budd
Dan Forest
George Holding
Pat McCrory
Tim Moore
Mark Robinson
Lara Trump
Mark Walker
Other
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[ 80]
April 6–10, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
50%
–
–
30%
–
–
–
–
–
20%
Cygnal (R)[ 89]
January 7–9, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
34%
–
–
33%
–
–
–
–
–
33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[ 97] [ A]
December 19–21, 2021
504 (LV)
± 4.4%
47%
–
–
43%
–
–
–
–
–
10%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[ 98]
April 20, 2021
500 (LV)
± 6.2%
2%
–
–
36%
–
–
36%
10%
–
15%
Cygnal (R)[ 99]
April 2021
500 (LV)
± 4.4%
–
13%
–
14%
–
20%
32%
3%
–
–
Meredith College [ 100]
March 12–15, 2021
217 (LV)
± 6.3%
6%
–
–
17%
–
–
27%
7%
4%
39%
UNLV Lee Business School [ 101]
November 30 – December 2, 2020
221 (RV)
± 7.0%
–
–
3%
23%
2%
–
24%
7%
3%
39%
Debates
2022 North Carolina US Senate election Republican primary debates
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Participants
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Ted Budd
Marjorie Eastman
Pat McCrory
Mark Walker
1
February 16, 2022
John Locke Foundation Carolina Journal
Jonah Kaplan
Video
A
P
P
P
2
April 14, 2022
WRAL-TV
Lena Tillett
Video
A
N
P
P
3
April 20, 2022
Spectrum News 1
Tim Boyum
Video
A
P
P
P
4
April 26, 2022
Nexstar Media Group
Bob Buckley Rod Carter
Video
A
N
P
P
Results
Results by county 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
Democratic primary
After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in the North Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for reelection to the State Senate instead.[ 103] [ 104] In fall 2020, Jackson said he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties.[ 105] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020.[ 106] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race.[ 107] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27.[ 108]
In November 2021, Smith filed papers to run for North Carolina's 1st congressional district in 2022 after Representative G. K. Butterfield announced he would not seek reelection.[ 109] On November 23, Smith officially launched her House campaign and ended her Senate campaign.[ 110] She endorsed Beasley on November 30.[ 111]
On December 16, 2021, Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Beasley,[ 112] making Beasley the presumptive nominee.[ 113]
Beasley easily won the nomination with over 81% of the vote.[ 114]
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Greg Antoine, physician[ 30]
Chrelle Booker, Tryon city councillor (2019–present)[ 116]
James L. Carr Jr.[ 30]
Robert Colon[ 30]
Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond[ 30]
Constance Johnson, perennial candidate[ 117]
Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor[ 34]
B. K. Maginnis[ 30]
Rett Newton, former mayor of Beaufort (2017–2021)[ 118]
Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate[ 30]
Withdrawn
Declined
Sydney Batch , state senator (2021–present)[ 121]
Mandy Cohen , Secretary of the North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (2017–present)[ 122] [ 123]
Roy Cooper , Governor of North Carolina (2017–present)[ 124]
Anita Earls , associate justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (2019–present)[ 125]
Terence Everitt , state representative[ 126]
Anthony Foxx , former United States Secretary of Transportation (2013–2017) and former mayor of Charlotte (2009–2013)[ 121]
Joan Higginbotham , electrical engineer and former NASA astronaut[ 127]
Vi Lyles , Mayor of Charlotte (2017–present) (running for re-election )[ 121]
Grier Martin , state representative (2005–present)[ 103]
Deborah K. Ross , U.S. Representative from NC-2 [ 128]
Heath Shuler , former U.S. Representative for NC-11 (2007–2013)[ 129]
Endorsements
Cheri Beasley
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers and publications
Polling
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Cheri Beasley
Jeff Jackson
Rett Newton
Erica Smith
Richard Watkins
Other
Undecided
Meredith College [ 77]
April 25–27, 2022
392 (LV)
± 4.9%
49%
–
–
–
–
16%[ i]
35%
SurveyUSA [ 81]
April 6–10, 2022
523 (LV)
± 5.3%
37%
–
2%
–
–
13%[ j]
49%
December 16, 2021
Jackson withdraws from the race.
November 23, 2021
Smith withdraws from the race.
November 17, 2021
Watkins withdraws from the race.
Global Strategy Group (D)[ 157] [ G]
November 1–7, 2021
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
39%
25%
–
–
–
–
36%
Public Policy Polling (D)[ 158] [ H]
August 31 – September 1, 2021
700 (LV)
± 3.7%
33%
24%
–
–
–
–
43%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[ 98]
April 20, 2021
500 (LV)
± 6.2%
32%
26%
8%
16%
3%
–
14%
Meredith College [ 159]
March 12–15, 2021
312 (LV)
± 5.3%
13%
13%
–
11%
4%
3%
57%
Results
Results by county 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Independents and third-party candidates
Libertarian Party
Declared
Green Party
Declared
Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran[ 161]
Independents
Write-in candidates
Michelle Lewis, activist[ 162]
Failed to make general election ballot
General election
Debates
2022 North Carolina Senate general election debates[ i]
No.
Date
Organizer
Location
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Source
Cheri Beasley
Ted Budd
1
October 7, 2022
Spectrum News 1 North Carolina
Raleigh
P
P
[ 164]
^ Minor candidates that aren't invited to any of the debates are omitted.
Predictions
Endorsements
Ted Budd (R)
U.S. presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Jay Adams , State Representative from District 96 (2015–present)[ 183]
John M. Alexander Jr. , State Senator from District 18 (2019–2021) and District 15 (2015–2019)[ 58]
W. Ted Alexander , State Senator from District 44 (2019–present)[ 58]
Tom Apodaca , State Senator from District 48 (2003–2016)[ 58]
Kristin Baker , State Representative from District 82 (2020–present)[ 58]
Patrick J. Ballantine , State Senator from District 18 (1995–2004)[ 58]
James L. Boles Jr. , State Representative from District 52 (2009–present)[ 58]
Danny Britt , State Senator from District 13 (2017–present)[ 58]
Jim Burgin , State Senator from District 12 (2019–present)[ 58]
Mike Clampitt , State Representative from District 119 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 183]
Warren Daniel , State Senator from District 46 (2013–present) and District 44 (2011–2013)[ 58]
Jimmy Dixon , State Representative from District 4 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 183]
Jeffrey Elmore , State Representative from District 94 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 183]
Carl Ford , State Senator from District 33 (2019–present)[ 58]
Karl Gillespie , State Representative from District 120 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 183]
Holly Grange , State Representative from District 20 (2016–2021)[ 58]
Bobby Hanig , State Senator from District 6 (2022–present) and State Representative from District 120 (2019–2022)[ 183]
Kathy Harrington , Majority Leader of the North Carolina Senate (2021–present) and State Senator from District 43 (2011–present)[ 183]
Julia C. Howard , State Representative from District 77 (2019–present), District 79 (2003–2019), District 74 (1999–2003) and District 37 (1989–1993)[ 58]
Frank Iler , State Representative from District 17 (2009–present)[ 58]
Jake Johnson , State Representative from District 113 (2019–present)[ 58]
Brenden Jones , State Representative from District 46 (2017–present)[ 183]
Keith Kidwell , State Representative from District 79 (2019–present)[ 58]
Joyce Krawiec , State Senator from District 31 (2014–present)[ 58]
Donny Lambeth , State Representative from District 75 (2013–present)[ 183]
Michael Lazzara , State Senator from District 6 (2021–present)[ 58]
Tom McInnis , State Senator from District 25 (2015–present)[ 58]
Jeffrey McNeely , State Representative from District 84 (2019–present)[ 58]
Charlie Miller , State Representative from District 19 (2021–present)[ 183]
Grey Mills , State Representative from District 95 (2021–present, 2009–2013)[ 58]
Cleta Mitchell , State Representative from District 44 (1977–1985)[ 184]
Ben Moss , State Representative from District 66 (2021–present)[ 183]
Paul Newton , State Senator from District 36 (2017–present)[ 58]
Ray Pickett , State Representative from District 93 (2021–present)[ 58]
Larry Pittman , State Representative from District 83 (2019–present) and District 82 (2011–2019)[ 58]
Mark Pless , State Representative from District 118 (2021–present)[ 183]
Larry Potts , State Representative from District 81 (2017–present)[ 58]
Bill Rabon , State Senator from District 8 (2011–present)[ 183]
David Rogers , State Representative from District 112 (2016–present)[ 183]
Bob Rucho , State Senator from District 39 (2008–2017, 2003–2005) and District 35 (1997–2003)[ 58]
Jason Saine , State Representative from District 97 (2011–present)[ 58]
Wayne Sasser , State Representative from District 67 (2019–present)[ 183]
John I. Sauls , State Representative from District 51 (2017–present, 2003–2007)[ 183]
Mitchell S. Setzer , State Representative from District 89 (2003–present) and District 43 (1999–2003)[ 58]
Fred Smith , State Senator from District 12 (2003–2009)[ 58]
Sarah Stevens , Speaker pro tempore of the North Carolina House of Representatives (2017–present) and State Representative from District 90 (2009–present)[ 183]
Jeff Tarte , State Senator from District 41 (2013–2019)[ 58]
Harry J. Warren , State Representative from District 76 (2019–present) and District 77 (2011–2019)[ 58]
Sam Watford , State Representative from District 80 (2021–present, 2015–2019)[ 58]
Matthew Winslow , State Representative from District 7 (2021–present)[ 183]
Jeff Zenger , State Representative from District 74 (2021–present)[ 58]
Local officials
Newspaper
Organizations
Cheri Beasley (D)
U.S. presidents
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Michelle Lewis (write-in)
Fundraising
In the first quarter of 2022, Beasley raised $3.6 million.[ 215] In the second quarter of 2022, Beasley reported raising $7.42 million, narrowly beating a second quarter record set by Cal Cunningham in 2020.[ 216]
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Ted Budd (R)
Cheri Beasley (D)
Undecided[ k]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [ 217]
October 20 – November 6, 2022
November 7, 2022
51.0%
45.0%
4.0%
Budd +6.0
FiveThirtyEight [ 218]
November 10, 2021 – November 6, 2022
November 7, 2022
49.5%
45.2%
5.3%
Budd +4.3
270toWin [ 219]
November 2–7, 2022
November 7, 2022
50.5%
45.5%
4.0%
Budd +5.0
Average
50.3%
45.2%
4.4%
Budd +5.1
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Ted Budd (R)
Cheri Beasley (D)
Other
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 220]
November 4–6, 2022
1,098 (LV)
± 2.9%
51%
45%
2%
1%
Data for Progress (D)[ 221]
November 2–6, 2022
1,322 (LV)
± 2.0%
51%
45%
3%[ l]
–
East Carolina University [ 222]
November 1–3, 2022
1,183 (LV)
± 3.3%
52%
47%
1%[ m]
–
ActiVote [ 223]
August 5 – November 3, 2022
250 (LV)
± 6.0%
48%
47%
5%[ n]
–
Remington Research Group (R)[ 224]
November 1–2, 2022
1,140 (LV)
± 2.9%
50%
43%
2%[ o]
5%
Civiqs [ 225]
October 29 – November 2, 2022
674 (LV)
± 4.9%
49%
49%
2%[ p]
1%
Meredith College [ 226]
October 27–30, 2022
724 (RV)
± 3.4%
44%
43%
7%[ q]
7%
Emerson College [ 227]
October 27–29, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
45%
3%[ r]
2%
51%
46%
4%[ s]
–
Cygnal (R)[ 228] [ I]
October 20–22, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
43%
2%[ t]
7%
Marist College [ 229]
October 17–20, 2022
1,130 (RV)
± 3.8%
44%
44%
2%[ u]
10%
899 (LV)
± 4.2%
49%
45%
1%[ v]
5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 230]
October 16–19, 2022
1,081 (LV)
± 2.9%
48%
44%
3%[ w]
5%
East Carolina University [ 231]
October 10–13, 2022
902 (LV)
± 3.8%
50%
44%
2%[ x]
5%
Wick Insights [ 232]
October 8–13, 2022
1,009 (LV)
± 3.1%
49%
44%
2%[ y]
5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[ 233] [ J]
October 7–8, 2022
606 (LV)
± 4.0%
46%
45%
–
9%
SurveyUSA [ 234]
September 28 – October 2, 2022
677 (LV)
± 4.4%
43%
42%
2%[ z]
13%
Cygnal (R)[ 235] [ I]
September 24–26, 2022
650 (LV)
± 3.79%
44%
44%
2%[ aa]
10%
Meredith College [ 236]
September 20–23, 2022
731 (LV)
± 3.3%
41%
41%
4%[ ab]
14%
Civiqs [ 237]
September 17–20, 2022
586 (LV)
± 5.5%
48%
49%
1%[ ac]
2%
Global Strategy Group (D)[ 238] [ G]
September 12–20, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
46%
46%
–
–
Emerson College [ 239]
September 15–16, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
43%
3%[ ad]
9%
East Carolina University [ 240]
September 7–10, 2022
1,020 (LV)
± 3.6%
49%
46%
1%[ ae]
4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 241]
September 1–4, 2022
1,079 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
44%
4%[ af]
6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[ 242]
August 29–30, 2022
601 (V)
± 4.0%
41%
42%
6%[ ag]
12%
Cygnal (R)[ 243]
August 13–15, 2022
615 (LV)
± 3.9%
42%
42%
3%[ ah]
13%
Blueprint Polling (D)[ 244]
August 4–6, 2022
656 (LV)
± 3.8%
42%
46%
–
12%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[ 245] [ K]
July 22–24, 2022
300 (LV)
± 5.7%
40%
43%
2%
15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 246]
June 29 – July 1, 2022
1,068 (LV)
± 2.9%
48%
45%
4%[ ai]
3%
Cygnal (R)[ 247]
June 17–19, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
45%
40%
4%[ aj]
11%
SurveyUSA [ 248]
June 8–12, 2022
650 (LV)
± 5.1%
40%
44%
2%[ ak]
14%
Cygnal (R)[ 249]
May 21–22, 2022
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
42%
3%[ al]
12%
East Carolina University [ 250]
May 19–20, 2022
635 (RV)
± 4.5%
49%
42%
2%
7%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[ 251] [ L]
May 12–16, 2022
500 (RV)
± 4.4%
46%
45%
–
10%
Emerson College [ 74]
May 7–9, 2022
1,000 (RV)
± 3.0%
48%
41%
–
10%
Global Strategy Group (D)[ 252] [ G]
April 28 – May 4, 2022
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
45%
45%
–
10%
Emerson College [ 83]
April 2–4, 2022
1,047 (RV)
± 3.0%
50%
43%
–
8%
Cygnal (R)[ 253]
March 30–31, 2022
513 (LV)
± 4.3%
45%
43%
–
12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [ 254]
November 10, 2021
777 (RV)
± 3.5%
37%
36%
3%
18%
757 (LV)
± 3.6%
40%
39%
3%
16%
Hypothetical polling
Marjorie Eastman vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Marjorie Eastman (R)
Cheri Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson College [ 83]
April 2–4, 2022
1,047 (RV)
± 3.0%
44%
44%
12%
Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley
Mark Walker vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Mark Walker (R)
Cheri Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson College [ 83]
April 2–4, 2022
1,047 (RV)
± 3.0%
47%
42%
11%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Generic Republican
Generic Democrat
Other
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[ 253]
March 30–31, 2022
513 (LV)
± 4.3%
50%
44%
–
7%
Spry Strategies (R)[ 255]
August 17, 2021
303 (LV)
± 5.6%
46%
34%
5%
15%
Cygnal (R)[ 256]
May 6–8, 2021
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
46%
–
6%
Cygnal (R)[ 256]
March 2021
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
47%
46%
–
7%
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Budd and Beasley each won 7 of 14 congressional districts.[ 258]
See also
Notes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ a b c d e f g h Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Harper with 3%; Flaherty and Bulecza with 2%; Banwart, Bryant, Griffiths, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 1%; Brian and Moss with 0%
^ Brian and Moss with 1%; Banwart, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
^ Griffiths with 2%; Brian, Bulecza, Flaherty, Harper, Moss, and Sibhatu with 1%; Banwart with 0%
^ Banwart, Brian, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Moss, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
^ Bishop with 1%, Banwart with 0%
^ Cooke with <1%; Banwart and Harper with 0%
^ Williams with 9%, "Someone else" with 6%
^ Williams with 4%; Booker, Carr, and Hammond with 2%; Antoine, Johnson, and LaGrone with 1%; Colon and Maginnis with 0%
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with <1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
^ Hoh (G) with 4%; Bray (L) with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 2%
^ Bray (L) with 4%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%
^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
^ "Someone else" with 2%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 2%
^ "Someone else" with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%, "Someone else" with 1%
^ Hoh (G) with 1%; Bray (L) with <1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 5%; Hoh (G) with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; "Other" with 2%
^ Bray (L) with 3%; Hoh (G) with 1%
^ Bray (L) with 2%
^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
Partisan clients
^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign.
^ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Values Coalition
^ a b Poll conducted for Budd's campaign
^ Poll conducted for Awake Carolina, which supports Walker
^ Poll conducted for Walker's campaign
^ a b c Poll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee
^ a b c d Poll conducted for Beasley's campaign
^ Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period
^ a b Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation , a conservative think tank.
^ This poll was sponsored by Carolina Forward, which supports Beasley
^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
^ This poll was sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform
References
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^ Real Clear Politics
^ a b c Emerson College
^ co/efficient (R)
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^ a b Meredith College
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^ a b Spry Strategies (R)
^ a b SurveyUSA
^ WPA Intelligence (R)
^ a b c d e Emerson College
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^ Ingress Research Group (R)
^ Remington Research Group (R)
^ a b Cygnal (R)
^ Strategic Partners Solutions (R) Archived January 13, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
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^ WPA Intelligence (R)
^ Meeting Street Insights (R)
^ Spry Strategies (R)
^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
^ WPA Intelligence (R)
^ a b Cardinal Point Analytics (R)
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^ Everitt, Terence [@TerenceEveritt] (December 9, 2020). "I'm officially announcing that I've decided to NOT run for U.S. Senate in 2022. Jenn and I were going to talk about it over the holiday but then she reminded me that we live together and see each other literally all of the time – so there was really no point in dragging it out" (Tweet ). Archived from the original on December 9, 2020. Retrieved September 8, 2021 – via Twitter .
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^ a b Ross, Deborah [@DeborahRossNC] (December 16, 2021). "I'm proud to endorse Cheri Beasley for the United States Senate. She knows the priorities of North Carolinians" (Tweet ). Archived from the original on December 19, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2022 – via Twitter .
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^ https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=318728113622606&set=pb.100064562594799.-2207520000 .. [user-generated source ]
^ a b "NC-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Cheri Beasley (D) Win Us A Real Senate Democratic Majority" . Daily Kos .
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^ a b Robertson, Gary D. "North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper backs Cheri Beasley as Senate primary field clears" . Burlington Times-News . Archived from the original on January 12, 2022. Retrieved January 12, 2022 .
^ a b Kruse, Michael. "One of These People Is the Future of the Democratic South" . Politico Magazine . Retrieved October 30, 2021 .
^ a b "Cheri Beasley – Climate Hawks Vote" . Climate Hawks Vote .
^ a b Addison, Yolonda (June 28, 2021). "Cheri Beasley Endorsement" (Press release). Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Archived from the original on July 9, 2021. Retrieved July 9, 2021 .
^ a b c d Ackey, Kate; Bowman, Bridget; Akin, Stephanie (July 1, 2021). "At the Races: Hot mule sweat summer" . Roll Call . Archived from the original on July 9, 2021. Retrieved July 9, 2021 .
^ a b "Senate Candidates" . Council for a Livable World .
^ a b Simpson, Yvette (June 28, 2021). "Democracy for America : DFA joins CBC PAC and HHFA PAC in endorsing Cheri Beasley for U.S. Senate in NC" (Press release). Democracy for America . Archived from the original on July 12, 2021. Retrieved July 9, 2021 .
^ a b Cain, Emily (May 6, 2021). "EMILY's List Endorses Cheri Beasley for U.S. Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). EMILY's List . Archived from the original on May 22, 2021. Retrieved May 22, 2021 .
^ a b Robillard, Kevin (May 6, 2021). "EMILY's List Bets On Cheri Beasley As North Carolina's First Black Senator" . Huffington Post . Archived from the original on May 6, 2021. Retrieved May 6, 2021 .
^ a b c d Manchester, Julia (October 6, 2021). "End Citizens United, Let America Vote endorse Mandela Barnes, Cheri Beasley ahead of 2022" . The Hill . Archived from the original on October 6, 2021. Retrieved October 7, 2021 .
^ a b "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements" . Feminist Majority Foundation . Retrieved April 9, 2022 .
^ a b "Giffords PAC Endorses Cheri Beasley for US Senate" (Press release). Giffords . February 25, 2022.
^ a b Luneau, Delphine (March 7, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Cheri Beasley of North Carolina In Campaign For U.S. Senate" (Press release). Human Rights Campaign .
^ a b "Jewish Dems Announce New Endorsements Across 13 States" (Press release). Jewish Democratic Council of America . March 29, 2022.
^ a b "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Non-Incumbent Sentate Endorsements" (Press release). League of Conservation Voters . February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022 .
^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Cheri Beasley for Election to the U.S. Senate" . NARAL Pro-Choice America . February 17, 2022.
^ a b "Our Recommended Candidates" . educationvotes.nea.org . National Education Association .
^ a b "NRDC Action Fund Endorses Beasley for U.S. Senate" . nrdcactionfund.org . March 8, 2022.
^ a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund 2022 Endorsements" . Planned Parenthood Action Fund .
^ a b "2022 House & Senate Endorsements" . Population Connection Action Fund . Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022 .
^ a b "Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements" . Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide . March 19, 2021.
^ "2022 Primary Endorsements: US House and Senate" . INDY Week . April 27, 2022. Retrieved April 30, 2022 .
^ "2022 Endorsements: Federal & State" . Indy Week . October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022 .
^ Global Strategy Group (D)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Meredith College
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^ "Matthew Hoh for Senate" . Matthew Hoh for Senate .
^ Jurkowitz, Mark. " 'Partisan politics are tearing us up' – Manteo's Michelle Lewis to launch unaffiliated U.S. Senate bid" . The Outer Banks Voice.
^ "Ex-Republican Rhinehardt seeks NC Senate bid as independent" . The Telegraph . Associated Press . March 9, 2021. Archived from the original on March 11, 2021. Retrieved May 2, 2021 .
^ "NC Senate hopefuls Budd, Beasley agree to October debate" . WUNC . Associated Press . September 15, 2022. Archived from the original on September 15, 2022. Retrieved September 16, 2022 .
^ "2022 Senate Race ratings" . The Cook Political Report . Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved July 22, 2021 .
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^ "North Carolina Senate Race 2022" . Politico . April 1, 2022.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2022" . RealClearPolitics . January 10, 2022.
^ "2022 Election Forecast" . Fox News . May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022 .
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^ "2022 Election Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022 .
^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast" . The Economist . September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022 .
^ Curto, Christian (September 30, 2022). "Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Ted Budd for U.S. Senate" . John Bolton PAC | BoltonPAC.com . Retrieved September 7, 2023 .
^ Mercer, Matt (July 15, 2022). "Nikki Haley endorses Ted Budd in US Senate race" . North State Journal . Retrieved September 27, 2022 .
^ a b Fain, Travis (August 12, 2022). "In NC Senate race, GOP's Budd steps up public appearances to tout law enforcement support" . WRAL . Retrieved August 12, 2022 .
^ Battagalia, Danielle (November 1, 2022). "Former VP Mike Pence to visit North Carolina for Budd campaign" . The News & Observer . Retrieved November 2, 2022 .
^ Deatherage, Stan (August 10, 2022). "Secretary Pompeo Endorses Ted Budd For Senate" (Press release). Mike Pompeo . Retrieved September 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
^ Brand, Hayley (October 11, 2022). "Ted Budd Speaks at Rally Ahead of Midterm Election" . WCCB .
^ @votetimscott (July 17, 2022). "I'm endorsing Ted Budd because he fights hard to protect North Carolina families every single day. I firmly believe @TedBuddNC will work to make North Carolina and our country a better place to live." " (Tweet ). Retrieved July 20, 2022 – via Twitter .
^ Deatherage, Stan (July 3, 2021). "Congressman Brian Mast Endorses Ted Budd for US Senate" (Press release). Brian Mast . Retrieved September 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
^ Deatherage, Stan (October 11, 2022). "NC Farmers Fact-Check Beasley Pre-Debate!" (Press release). Steve Troxler . Retrieved November 1, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Deatherage, Stan (April 6, 2022). "Conservative NC Lawmakers Endorse Ted Budd Never-Trumper Hosts McCrory!" (Press release). Jay Adams . Retrieved September 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
^ Battaglia, Danielle (August 5, 2022). "Trump Adviser Who Tried To Overturn Election Hosts NC fundraiser For US Senate Candidate" . The Charlotte Observer . Retrieved September 27, 2022 .
^ Hammer, Josh (October 24, 2022). "Rhino Times Midterm Election Endorsements" . Rhino Times . Retrieved November 2, 2022 .
^ "APP Congratulates Ted Budd on Victory in N.C. GOP Senate Primary" . American Principles Project . May 18, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022 .
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^ "Why You and Other North Carolinians should vote for Ted Budd" . The Conservative Caucus. Archived from the original on September 27, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022 .
^ "FRC Action PAC Endorses Ted Budd for U.S. Senate in North Carolina" . August 9, 2022. Retrieved August 13, 2022 .
^ "Home" . HSLDA Action PAC .
^ "North Carolina" . HUCK PAC .
^ "North Carolina's Small Business Community Endorses Ted Budd" . nfib.com . August 23, 2022. Retrieved August 25, 2022 .
^ "North Carolina" . National Republican Senatorial Committee .
^ "National Right to Life Endorses Ted Budd in North Carolina Senate Race" (Press release). National Right to Life Committee . May 24, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022 .
^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - North Carolina" . nrapvf.org . NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.{{cite web }}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link )
^ "Vote Freedom First. Vote Ted Budd for U.S. Senate!" . NRA-PVF . Archived from the original on September 27, 2022.
^ "RJC endorsed candidates" . rjcpac.com . Archived from the original on June 11, 2020. Retrieved September 9, 2022 .
^ "Election Alert: Tea Party Express Endorses Ted Budd for Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Tea Party Express . Retrieved September 27, 2022 .
^ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Budd as Planned Parenthood drops millions in N.C. for Democrats" . The Carolina Journal . John Locke Foundation . October 12, 2022. Retrieved November 2, 2022 .
^ Schoenbaum, Hannah (October 25, 2022). "Obama endorses North Carolina candidate in crucial Senate race for Democrats" . The Virginian-Pilot . Associated Press . Archived from the original on October 31, 2022.
^ Levine, Marianne (October 4, 2022). "Dems agonize over N.C. spending debacle as Senate race tightens" . Politico . Archived from the original on October 29, 2022.
^ "Cheri Beasley's For the People: Get Out the Vote Tour -- Chapel Hill with Senator Jon Ossoff" . Mobilize. September 8, 2022.
^ a b "Clyburn, Stabenow to campaign for Beasley in North Carolina Senate race" . The Hill . October 18, 2022.
^ "U.S. Senate hopeful Beasley rallies supporters in Greenville" . October 28, 2022.
^ Shapero, Julia (November 3, 2022). "Oprah Winfrey backs Fetterman" . The Hill .
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^ "Editorial: Our endorsements for the 2022 midterm elections" .
^ "2022 Endorsements: Federal & State" . INDY Week . October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022 .
^ Hackmer, Michael (November 1, 2022). "Reform Party Endorses Michelle Lewis for US Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Reform Party National Committee. Retrieved November 1, 2022 .
^ "Pat McCrory refuses endorse Ted Budd after losing GOP primary in North Carolina" (video). NBC News .
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^ Wright, Will (July 13, 2022). "Beasley campaign beats second-quarter fundraising record in North Carolina Senate bid" . The News & Observer . Retrieved July 14, 2022 .
^ Real Clear Politics
^ FiveThirtyEight
^ 270toWin
^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
^ Data for Progress (D)
^ East Carolina University
^ ActiVote
^ Remington Research Group (R)
^ Civiqs
^ Meredith College
^ Emerson College
^ Cygnal (R)
^ Marist College
^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
^ East Carolina University
^ Wick Insights
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ SurveyUSA
^ Cygnal (R)
^ Meredith College
^ Civiqs
^ Global Strategy Group (D)
^ Emerson College
^ East Carolina University
^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Cygnal (R)
^ Blueprint Polling (D)
^ PEM Management Corporation (R)
^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
^ Cygnal (R)
^ SurveyUSA
^ Cygnal (R)
^ East Carolina University
^ Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived May 18, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
^ a b Global Strategy Group (D)
^ a b c Cygnal (R)
^ a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies
^ Spry Strategies (R)
^ a b Cygnal (R)
^ "11/08/2022 OFFICIAL LOCAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE" . North Carolina State Board of Elections .
^ Results . docs.google.com (Report).
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