Results of the 2019 Canadian federal election
Results of the 43rd Canadian federal election
2019 Canadian federal election
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
The 2019 Canadian federal election was held on October 21, 2019, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 43rd Canadian Parliament . The Liberal Party of Canada , having previously held a majority of the seats in the House, was returned with a minority of the seats, while the Conservative Party of Canada gained fewer seats than expected and the Bloc Québécois saw its standing revived in Quebec .
In this election there were 18,170,880 valid votes cast with 179,479 votes rejected, for total voter turnout of 67 percent of the 27,373,028 registered voters.[ 1]
Summary
Grid cartogram of the 2019 Canadian general election, showing percentage of the popular vote by constituency. Majority victories are depicted as spirals, plurality victories as stacks. Cartogram at bottom right shows first-place results only.
Elections Canada sign posted in front of polling place
Campaign strategy was weak in most of the political parties. As one commentator remarked, "Never before have both major parties taken such a small share of the vote. Never before, in my memory, have both declined steadily and together throughout a campaign."[ 2] While the Conservative share of the vote rose from 31.9 percent in 2015 to 34.4 percent in 2019, and saw its share of the popular vote rise in 194 of the ridings, its share of the vote fell In the remaining 144.[ a] [ 3] The Liberals emerged from the election with a strategic advantage in seats in both Ontario and Quebec, and the Conservatives' weakness on election day may lead to questions about the future of its leader Andrew Scheer ,[ 4] [ 5] but there is also discussion as to whether the Tories' shortfall is due to more systemic reasons,[ 6] [ 7] [ 8] especially with respect to the urban/rural divide in the electorate.[ 9]
Opinion polling was generally accurate, although in most polls support for the Liberals and Conservatives was mildly understated, while that for the Bloc and the Greens was overstated.[ 10] Seats won fell within poll projections, but it was noted that at least eight seats expected to go to the NDP actually went Liberal, leading to the conjecture that the prior departure of their long-time NDP MPs revealed the underlying weakness of the party brand.[ 10]
Synopsis of results
Results by riding - 2019 Canadian federal election[ a 1]
Riding
Prov/ Terr
2015
Winning party
Turnout[ a 2]
Votes[ a 3]
Party
Votes
Share
Margin #
Margin %
Lib
Con
NDP
BQ
Green
PPC
Ind
Other
Total
Banff—Airdrie
AB
Con
Con
55,504
71.1%
47,079
60.3%
73.1%
8,425
55,504
8,185
–
3,315
2,651
–
–
78,080
Battle River—Crowfoot
AB
Con
Con
53,309
85.5%
50,124
80.4%
77.3%
2,557
53,309
3,185
–
1,689
1,620
–
–
62,360
Bow River
AB
Con
Con
46,279
83.9%
43,106
78.2%
70.1%
3,173
46,279
3,086
–
826
1,321
–
453
55,138
Calgary Centre
AB
Lib
Con
37,306
56.6%
19,535
29.7%
69.4%
17,771
37,306
6,516
–
2,853
907
138
373
65,864
Calgary Confederation
AB
Con
Con
36,312
55.1%
21,404
32.5%
72.2%
14,908
36,312
7,312
–
5,700
1,136
–
524
65,892
Calgary Forest Lawn
AB
Con
Con
23,805
59.6%
15,115
37.8%
53.5%
8,690
23,805
4,227
–
1,318
1,089
388
447
39,964
Calgary Heritage
AB
Con
Con
40,817
70.7%
32,760
56.8%
70.9%
8,057
40,817
5,278
–
2,027
1,123
228
185
57,715
Calgary Midnapore
AB
Con
Con
50,559
74.3%
43,052
63.2%
73.2%
7,507
50,559
6,445
–
1,992
1,585
–
–
68,088
Calgary Nose Hill
AB
Con
Con
38,588
69.8%
29,885
54.0%
66.9%
8,703
38,588
5,304
–
1,554
1,089
–
71
55,309
Calgary Rocky Ridge
AB
Con
Con
48,253
68.3%
35,241
49.9%
72.3%
13,012
48,253
6,051
–
2,011
1,053
270
–
70,650
Calgary Shepard
AB
Con
Con
58,614
75.0%
49,970
63.9%
70.2%
8,644
58,614
6,828
–
2,345
1,709
–
–
78,140
Calgary Signal Hill
AB
Con
Con
44,421
70.0%
34,699
54.7%
72.1%
9,722
44,421
5,355
–
2,139
1,130
–
711
63,478
Calgary Skyview
AB
Lib
Con
26,533
52.5%
12,206
24.1%
60.7%
14,327
26,533
7,540
–
800
603
–
749
50,552
Edmonton Centre
AB
Lib
Con
22,006
41.4%
4,482
8.4%
65.4%
17,524
22,006
10,959
–
1,394
805
119
285
53,092
Edmonton Griesbach
AB
Con
Con
24,120
51.4%
12,320
26.2%
57.5%
8,100
24,120
11,800
–
1,189
1,074
216
464
46,963
Edmonton Manning
AB
Con
Con
30,425
55.9%
18,733
34.4%
61.5%
11,692
30,425
9,555
–
1,255
1,109
–
344
54,380
Edmonton Mill Woods
AB
Lib
Con
26,736
50.3%
8,857
16.7%
69.0%
17,879
26,736
6,422
–
968
953
–
219
53,177
Edmonton Riverbend
AB
Con
Con
35,126
57.4%
21,088
34.5%
71.0%
14,038
35,126
9,332
–
1,797
855
–
–
61,148
Edmonton Strathcona
AB
NDP
NDP
26,823
47.3%
5,788
10.2%
73.7%
6,592
21,035
26,823
–
1,152
941
–
202
56,745
Edmonton West
AB
Con
Con
35,719
60.9%
23,907
40.8%
66.6%
11,812
35,719
8,537
–
1,441
1,126
–
–
58,635
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin
AB
Con
Con
63,346
72.4%
52,544
60.1%
71.4%
10,802
63,346
9,820
–
1,660
1,616
–
211
87,455
Foothills
AB
Con
Con
53,872
82.1%
50,016
76.3%
76.6%
3,856
53,872
3,767
–
2,398
1,698
–
–
65,591
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake
AB
Con
Con
40,706
79.9%
35,858
70.3%
65.6%
4,848
40,706
2,883
–
865
1,674
–
–
50,976
Grande Prairie-Mackenzie
AB
Con
Con
51,198
84.0%
46,953
77.0%
72.4%
2,910
51,198
4,245
–
1,134
1,492
–
–
60,979
Lakeland
AB
Con
Con
48,314
83.9%
44,586
77.4%
73.6%
2,565
48,314
3,728
–
1,105
1,468
–
398
57,578
Lethbridge
AB
Con
Con
40,713
65.8%
31,603
51.1%
70.5%
8,443
40,713
9,110
–
1,939
1,007
–
670
61,882
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner
AB
Con
Con
42,045
79.2%
37,406
70.4%
68.1%
3,528
42,045
4,639
–
1,203
1,350
337
–
53,102
Peace River—Westlock
AB
Con
Con
41,659
80.7%
37,773
73.1%
70.4%
3,148
41,659
3,886
–
1,377
1,579
–
–
51,649
Red Deer—Lacombe
AB
Con
Con
53,843
79.8%
47,831
70.9%
72.8%
3,540
53,843
6,012
–
1,596
2,453
–
–
67,444
Red Deer—Mountain View
AB
Con
Con
54,765
80.3%
49,819
73.1%
76.8%
3,795
54,765
4,946
–
2,026
2,637
–
–
68,169
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan
AB
Con
Con
53,600
73.4%
44,733
61.2%
77.0%
7,357
53,600
8,867
–
1,592
1,334
–
300
73,050
St. Albert—Edmonton
AB
Con
Con
39,506
60.7%
27,029
41.5%
70.7%
12,477
39,506
9,895
–
1,594
1,268
–
351
65,091
Sturgeon River—Parkland
AB
Con
Con
53,235
77.5%
46,295
67.4%
74.2%
4,696
53,235
6,940
–
1,745
1,625
–
416
68,657
Yellowhead
AB
Con
Con
45,964
82.1%
42,066
75.2%
76.2%
2,912
45,964
3,898
–
1,272
1,592
–
330
55,968
Abbotsford
BC
Con
Con
25,162
51.4%
14,602
29.8%
65.9%
10,560
25,162
8,257
–
3,702
985
–
270
48,936
Burnaby North—Seymour
BC
Lib
Lib
17,770
35.5%
1,585
3.2%
65.4%
17,770
9,734
16,185
–
4,801
1,079
271
219
50,059
Burnaby South
BC
NDP
NDP
16,956
37.7%
3,042
6.8%
56.9%
10,706
13,914
16,956
–
2,477
645
–
308
45,006
Cariboo—Prince George
BC
Con
Con
28,848
52.7%
17,916
32.7%
65.5%
10,932
28,848
8,440
–
4,998
1,206
350
–
54,774
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola
BC
Con
Con
31,135
47.9%
14,883
22.9%
69.2%
16,252
31,135
10,904
–
5,086
1,345
–
213
64,935
Chilliwack—Hope
BC
Con
Con
26,672
49.6%
15,824
29.4%
65.7%
10,848
26,672
8,957
–
5,243
1,760
–
275
53,755
Cloverdale—Langley City
BC
Lib
Con
20,936
37.7%
1,394
2.5%
65.0%
19,542
20,936
10,508
–
3,572
930
–
–
55,488
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam
BC
Lib
Lib
20,178
34.7%
390
0.7%
63.7%
20,178
19,788
13,383
–
4,025
703
–
98
58,175
Courtenay—Alberni
BC
NDP
NDP
29,790
41.2%
5,854
8.1%
72.3%
8,620
23,936
29,790
–
9,762
–
–
172
72,280
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford
BC
NDP
NDP
23,519
36.1%
6,560
10.1%
70.7%
10,301
16,959
23,519
–
13,181
1,066
–
202
65,228
Delta
BC
Lib
Lib
22,257
41.2%
4,448
8.2%
70.7%
22,257
17,809
8,792
–
3,387
948
783
–
53,976
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke
BC
NDP
NDP
23,887
34.1%
5,381
7.7%
70.9%
12,554
13,409
23,887
–
18,506
1,089
282
398
70,125
Fleetwood—Port Kells
BC
Lib
Lib
18,545
37.7%
1,899
3.9%
61.5%
18,401
16,518
10,533
–
2,360
1,093
–
–
48,905
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo
BC
Con
Con
32,415
44.7%
12,699
17.5%
70.8%
19,716
32,415
9,936
–
8,789
1,132
–
465
72,453
Kelowna—Lake Country
BC
Lib
Con
31,497
45.6%
8,870
12.8%
69.4%
22,627
31,497
8,381
–
5,171
1,225
219
–
69,120
Kootenay—Columbia
BC
NDP
Con
30,168
44.8%
7,019
10.4%
73.8%
6,151
30,168
23,149
–
6,145
1,378
–
339
67,330
Langley—Aldergrove
BC
Con
Con
29,823
47.0%
13,569
21.4%
68.9%
16,254
29,823
10,690
–
4,881
1,305
–
499
63,452
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon
BC
Lib
Con
19,535
42.4%
7,236
15.7%
67.2%
12,299
19,535
8,089
–
5,019
1,055
–
69
46,066
Nanaimo—Ladysmith
BC
NDP
Grn
24,844
34.6%
6,210
8.6%
69.5%
9,735
18,634
16,985
–
24,844
1,049
306
311
71,864
New Westminster—Burnaby
BC
NDP
NDP
23,437
44.2%
11,023
20.8%
62.3%
12,414
11,439
23,437
–
4,378
862
83
364
52,977
North Island—Powell River
BC
NDP
NDP
23,834
37.9%
3,332
5.3%
70.6%
8,251
20,502
23,834
–
8,891
1,102
287
48
62,915
North Okanagan—Shuswap
BC
Con
Con
36,154
48.8%
19,371
26.1%
70.0%
16,783
36,154
11,353
–
7,828
2,027
–
–
74,145
North Vancouver
BC
Lib
Lib
26,979
42.9%
10,071
16.0%
71.7%
26,979
16,908
10,340
–
7,868
835
–
–
62,930
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge
BC
Lib
Con
19,650
36.2%
3,525
6.5%
68.2%
16,125
19,650
12,958
–
4,332
698
468
–
54,231
Port Moody—Coquitlam
BC
NDP
Con
16,855
31.2%
153
0.3%
66.4%
15,695
16,855
16,702
–
3,873
821
–
57
54,003
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies
BC
Con
Con
38,473
69.8%
32,082
58.2%
69.8%
6,391
38,473
5,069
–
3,448
1,748
–
–
55,129
Richmond Centre
BC
Con
Con
19,037
49.0%
7,985
20.6%
53.4%
11,052
19,037
5,617
–
2,376
538
197
–
38,817
Saanich—Gulf Islands
BC
Grn
Grn
33,454
49.1%
19,670
28.9%
75.5%
11,326
13,784
8,657
–
33,454
929
–
–
68,150
Skeena—Bulkley Valley
BC
NDP
NDP
16,944
40.9%
3,188
7.7%
62.7%
4,793
13,756
16,944
–
3,280
940
321
1,350
41,384
South Okanagan—West Kootenay
BC
NDP
NDP
24,809
36.4%
796
1.2%
69.6%
11,705
24,013
24,809
–
5,672
1,638
359
–
68,196
South Surrey—White Rock
BC
Con
Con
24,310
41.9%
2,618
4.5%
69.6%
21,692
24,310
6,716
–
4,458
852
–
–
58,028
Steveston—Richmond East
BC
Lib
Con
17,478
41.7%
2,747
6.5%
57.4%
14,731
17,478
6,321
–
2,972
–
449
–
41,951
Surrey Centre
BC
Lib
Lib
15,453
37.4%
4,100
9.9%
54.9%
15,453
10,505
11,353
–
2,558
709
243
498
41,319
Surrey—Newton
BC
Lib
Lib
18,960
45.0%
6,654
15.8%
63.4%
18,960
8,824
12,306
–
1,355
653
–
–
42,098
Vancouver Centre
BC
Lib
Lib
23,599
42.2%
10,319
18.4%
61.5%
23,599
10,782
13,280
–
7,002
724
180
379
55,946
Vancouver East
BC
NDP
NDP
29,236
52.6%
19,151
34.4%
61.1%
10,085
6,724
29,236
–
8,062
679
–
825
55,611
Vancouver Granville
BC
Lib
Ind
17,265
32.6%
3,177
6.0%
65.0%
14,088
11,605
6,960
–
2,683
431
17,265
–
53,032
Vancouver Kingsway
BC
NDP
NDP
21,680
49.1%
11,486
26.0%
59.4%
10,194
8,804
21,680
–
2,675
427
–
91
44,163
Vancouver Quadra
BC
Lib
Lib
22,093
43.5%
8,011
15.8%
68.0%
22,093
14,082
7,681
–
6,308
428
162
–
50,754
Vancouver South
BC
Lib
Lib
17,808
41.2%
3,420
7.9%
58.9%
17,808
14,388
8,015
–
2,451
532
–
–
43,194
Victoria
BC
NDP
NDP
23,765
33.2%
2,382
3.3%
73.5%
15,952
9,038
23,765
–
21,383
920
111
380
71,549
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country
BC
Lib
Lib
22,673
34.9%
5,314
8.2%
69.1%
22,673
17,359
9,027
–
14,579
1,010
159
173
64,980
Brandon—Souris
MB
Con
Con
26,148
63.5%
20,343
49.4%
66.4%
4,972
26,148
5,805
–
2,984
691
326
280
41,206
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley
MB
Lib
Con
18,815
40.7%
2,417
5.2%
71.1%
16,398
18,815
6,556
–
2,178
1,975
140
166
46,228
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski
MB
NDP
NDP
11,919
50.3%
6,303
26.6%
48.8%
5,616
4,714
11,919
–
1,144
294
–
–
23,687
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa
MB
Con
Con
26,103
64.3%
20,379
50.2%
66.2%
5,344
26,103
5,724
–
2,214
711
–
470
40,566
Elmwood—Transcona
MB
NDP
NDP
19,786
45.6%
3,546
8.2%
62.8%
5,346
16,240
19,786
–
1,480
512
–
–
43,364
Kildonan—St. Paul
MB
Lib
Con
19,856
44.8%
7,500
16.9%
67.7%
12,356
19,856
9,387
–
1,777
510
108
304
44,298
Portage—Lisgar
MB
Con
Con
31,600
70.8%
26,821
60.1%
68.5%
4,779
31,600
3,872
–
2,356
1,169
–
860
44,636
Provencher
MB
Con
Con
31,821
65.9%
25,474
52.7%
70.5%
6,347
31,821
6,187
–
2,884
1,066
–
–
48,305
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital
MB
Lib
Lib
20,300
42.9%
4,864
10.3%
69.9%
20,300
15,436
8,037
–
2,671
591
303
–
47,338
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman
MB
Con
Con
31,109
62.7%
22,236
44.8%
68.7%
6,003
31,109
8,873
–
2,934
683
–
–
49,602
Winnipeg Centre
MB
Lib
NDP
13,073
41.2%
2,369
7.5%
54.2%
10,704
5,561
13,073
–
1,661
474
–
251
31,724
Winnipeg North
MB
Lib
Lib
15,581
47.6%
7,112
21.7%
52.4%
15,581
6,820
8,469
–
905
324
231
404
32,735
Winnipeg South
MB
Lib
Lib
20,182
42.1%
1,645
3.4%
69.9%
20,182
18,537
6,678
–
2,073
419
–
–
47,889
Winnipeg South Centre
MB
Lib
Lib
22,799
45.0%
7,748
15.3%
71.6%
22,799
15,051
8,965
–
3,173
569
–
104
50,661
Acadie—Bathurst
NB
Lib
Lib
26,547
55.1%
16,195
33.6%
73.5%
26,547
10,352
6,967
–
4,277
–
–
–
48,143
Beauséjour
NB
Lib
Lib
24,948
46.5%
10,643
19.8%
78.0%
24,948
9,438
3,940
–
14,305
1,054
–
–
53,685
Fredericton
NB
Lib
Grn
16,640
33.7%
1,629
3.3%
75.5%
13,544
15,011
2,946
–
16,640
776
–
492
49,409
Fundy Royal
NB
Lib
Con
22,389
46.0%
9,956
20.5%
75.4%
12,433
22,389
4,804
–
7,275
1,249
295
201
48,646
Madawaska—Restigouche
NB
Lib
Lib
17,331
50.3%
7,530
21.8%
69.4%
17,331
9,801
2,212
–
5,125
–
–
–
34,469
Miramichi—Grand Lake
NB
Lib
Lib
12,722
36.8%
370
1.1%
72.8%
12,722
12,352
2,875
–
3,914
1,179
1,556
–
34,598
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe
NB
Lib
Lib
22,261
43.0%
10,061
19.4%
70.0%
22,261
12,200
6,164
–
9,287
1,258
–
658
51,828
New Brunswick Southwest
NB
Lib
Con
19,451
49.1%
9,341
23.6%
74.5%
10,110
19,451
3,251
–
5,352
1,214
–
200
39,578
Saint John—Rothesay
NB
Lib
Lib
15,443
37.4%
1,437
3.5%
65.5%
15,443
14,006
5,046
–
4,165
1,260
1,333
–
41,253
Tobique—Mactaquac
NB
Lib
Con
19,229
50.3%
9,598
25.1%
70.0%
9,631
19,229
3,007
–
5,398
936
–
–
38,201
Avalon
NL
Lib
Lib
19,122
46.3%
6,267
15.2%
60.4%
19,122
12,855
7,142
–
2,215
–
–
–
41,334
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity
NL
Lib
Lib
14,707
45.7%
2,010
6.2%
55.8%
14,707
12,697
3,855
–
920
–
–
–
32,179
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame
NL
Lib
Lib
16,514
48.3%
4,433
13.0%
55.6%
16,514
12,081
4,224
–
1,363
–
–
–
34,182
Labrador
NL
Lib
Lib
4,851
42.5%
1,303
11.4%
57.7%
4,851
3,548
2,796
–
224
–
–
–
11,419
Long Range Mountains
NL
Lib
Lib
18,199
47.4%
7,326
19.1%
56.2%
18,199
10,873
7,609
–
1,334
–
–
411
38,426
St. John's East
NL
Lib
NDP
21,148
46.9%
6,186
13.7%
69.0%
14,962
8,141
21,148
–
821
–
–
–
45,072
St. John's South—Mount Pearl
NL
Lib
Lib
20,793
51.1%
9,903
24.4%
61.4%
20,793
7,767
10,890
–
740
335
–
141
40,666
Cape Breton—Canso
NS
Lib
Lib
16,694
38.9%
1,873
4.4%
72.1%
16,694
14,821
6,354
–
3,321
925
685
140
42,940
Central Nova
NS
Lib
Lib
20,718
46.6%
7,517
16.9%
74.5%
20,718
13,201
5,806
–
3,478
938
149
180
44,470
Cumberland—Colchester
NS
Lib
Lib
16,672
36.7%
453
1.0%
68.9%
16,672
16,219
5,451
–
6,015
608
232
253
45,450
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour
NS
Lib
Lib
24,259
45.3%
9,824
18.4%
70.0%
24,259
8,638
14,435
–
5,280
887
–
–
53,499
Halifax
NS
Lib
Lib
23,681
42.5%
6,934
12.4%
75.0%
23,681
6,456
16,747
–
8,013
633
–
222
55,752
Halifax West
NS
Lib
Lib
26,885
49.5%
16,397
30.2%
71.1%
26,885
10,488
10,429
–
6,555
–
–
–
54,357
Kings—Hants
NS
Lib
Lib
20,806
43.3%
8,901
18.5%
69.5%
20,806
11,905
8,254
–
6,029
786
–
256
48,036
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook
NS
Lib
Lib
19,925
40.2%
8,065
16.3%
69.8%
19,925
11,211
11,860
–
5,725
816
–
–
49,537
South Shore—St. Margarets
NS
Lib
Lib
21,886
41.7%
7,142
13.6%
67.7%
21,886
14,744
8,361
–
6,070
667
541
249
52,518
Sydney—Victoria
NS
Lib
Lib
12,536
30.9%
1,309
3.2%
68.4%
12,536
11,227
8,146
–
2,249
–
6,159
248
40,565
West Nova
NS
Lib
Con
18,390
39.3%
1,365
2.9%
67.7%
17,025
18,390
5,010
–
5,939
–
–
434
46,798
Ajax
ON
Lib
Lib
35,198
57.7%
19,334
31.7%
66.3%
35,198
15,864
7,033
–
2,040
588
297
–
61,020
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing
ON
NDP
NDP
16,883
41.6%
6,258
15.4%
62.6%
9,879
10,625
16,883
–
2,192
887
–
125
40,591
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
ON
Lib
Con
23,568
44.4%
1,060
2.0%
64.4%
22,508
23,568
3,820
–
2,154
530
–
529
53,109
Barrie—Innisfil
ON
Con
Con
23,765
43.8%
7,886
14.5%
63.0%
15,879
23,765
8,880
–
4,716
1,013
–
–
54,253
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
ON
Con
Con
20,981
39.0%
4,176
7.8%
66.9%
16,805
20,981
7,972
–
7,066
969
–
–
53,793
Bay of Quinte
ON
Lib
Lib
24,099
39.2%
1,449
2.4%
66.1%
24,099
22,650
9,851
–
3,740
1,207
–
–
61,547
Beaches—East York
ON
Lib
Lib
32,647
57.2%
20,451
35.8%
70.9%
32,647
8,026
12,196
–
3,378
831
–
–
57,078
Brampton Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
18,771
47.2%
8,075
20.3%
59.8%
18,771
10,696
7,819
–
1,685
681
–
106
39,758
Brampton East
ON
Lib
Lib
24,050
47.4%
10,682
21.0%
66.4%
24,050
12,125
13,368
–
666
244
211
89
50,753
Brampton North
ON
Lib
Lib
25,970
51.4%
11,997
23.8%
65.9%
25,970
13,973
8,533
–
1,516
510
–
–
50,502
Brampton South
ON
Lib
Lib
24,085
49.5%
10,257
21.1%
62.8%
24,085
13,828
7,985
–
1,926
354
–
505
48,683
Brampton West
ON
Lib
Lib
28,743
53.5%
15,919
29.7%
62.6%
28,743
12,824
9,855
–
1,271
505
–
485
53,683
Brantford—Brant
ON
Con
Con
26,849
40.3%
6,395
9.6%
62.2%
20,454
26,849
13,131
–
4,257
1,320
261
394
66,666
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
ON
Con
Con
26,830
46.1%
9,345
16.1%
65.6%
17,485
26,830
6,797
–
5,114
1,614
–
321
58,161
Burlington
ON
Lib
Lib
34,989
48.4%
11,059
15.4%
72.6%
34,989
23,930
7,372
–
4,750
944
–
–
71,985
Cambridge
ON
Lib
Lib
22,903
39.5%
5,494
9.5%
64.9%
22,903
17,409
11,177
–
4,343
1,872
–
238
57,942
Carleton
ON
Con
Con
32,147
46.3%
5,629
8.1%
79.5%
26,518
32,147
6,479
–
3,423
792
–
–
69,359
Chatham-Kent—Leamington
ON
Con
Con
25,359
46.9%
8,460
15.6%
63.3%
16,899
25,359
8,229
–
2,233
1,061
–
307
54,088
Davenport
ON
Lib
Lib
23,251
43.7%
1,439
2.7%
67.1%
23,251
4,921
21,812
–
2,397
496
165
138
53,180
Don Valley East
ON
Lib
Lib
25,295
59.8%
15,180
35.9%
49.8%
25,295
10,115
4,647
–
1,675
562
–
–
42,294
Don Valley North
ON
Lib
Lib
23,495
50.4%
6,989
15.0%
62.0%
23,495
16,506
4,285
–
1,803
482
–
–
46,571
Don Valley West
ON
Lib
Lib
29,148
55.8%
12,844
24.6%
71.5%
29,148
16,304
3,804
–
2,257
444
–
277
52,234
Dufferin—Caledon
ON
Con
Con
28,852
42.0%
6,207
9.0%
65.1%
22,645
28,852
7,981
–
7,303
1,516
–
319
68,616
Durham
ON
Con
Con
30,752
42.1%
7,205
9.9%
68.5%
23,547
30,752
13,323
–
3,950
1,442
–
–
73,014
Eglinton—Lawrence
ON
Lib
Lib
29,850
53.3%
11,301
20.2%
68.1%
29,850
18,549
4,741
–
2,278
586
–
–
56,004
Elgin—Middlesex—London
ON
Con
Con
31,026
50.2%
16,702
27.0%
66.7%
14,324
31,026
11,019
–
3,562
956
–
867
61,754
Essex
ON
NDP
Con
28,274
41.4%
4,671
6.8%
67.3%
12,987
28,274
23,603
–
2,173
1,251
–
–
68,288
Etobicoke Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
32,800
51.9%
10,996
17.4%
69.5%
32,800
21,804
4,881
–
2,775
664
–
295
63,219
Etobicoke North
ON
Lib
Lib
26,388
61.4%
16,864
39.3%
58.8%
26,388
9,524
4,654
–
1,080
1,196
–
104
42,946
Etobicoke—Lakeshore
ON
Lib
Lib
36,061
51.9%
16,109
23.2%
68.0%
36,061
19,952
8,277
–
4,141
921
–
163
69,515
Flamborough—Glanbrook
ON
Con
Con
24,527
39.2%
1,652
2.6%
70.5%
22,875
24,527
10,322
–
3,833
982
–
–
62,539
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
ON
Lib
Lib
31,293
47.4%
7,633
11.6%
72.2%
31,293
23,660
6,851
–
2,113
1,174
239
461
65,791
Guelph
ON
Lib
Lib
30,497
40.4%
11,261
14.9%
72.3%
30,497
14,568
9,297
–
19,236
1,087
219
664
75,568
Haldimand—Norfolk
ON
Con
Con
28,018
46.8%
13,314
22.2%
66.3%
14,704
28,018
9,192
–
4,878
1,234
–
1,900
59,926
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
ON
Con
Con
32,257
49.1%
15,190
23.1%
66.9%
17,067
32,257
9,676
–
5,515
1,245
–
–
65,760
Hamilton Centre
ON
NDP
NDP
20,368
46.2%
7,717
17.5%
60.3%
12,651
6,341
20,368
–
3,370
833
377
182
44,122
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
ON
Lib
Lib
20,112
38.6%
5,182
9.9%
62.2%
20,112
13,130
14,930
–
2,902
1,072
–
–
52,146
Hamilton Mountain
ON
NDP
NDP
19,135
36.1%
3,078
5.8%
66.0%
16,057
13,443
19,135
–
3,115
760
–
439
52,949
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
ON
Lib
Lib
30,214
46.6%
12,874
19.8%
74.6%
30,214
17,340
11,527
–
4,770
894
–
156
64,901
Hastings—Lennox and Addington
ON
Lib
Con
21,968
41.4%
2,247
4.2%
66.7%
19,721
21,968
6,984
–
3,114
1,307
–
–
53,094
Humber River—Black Creek
ON
Lib
Lib
23,187
61.1%
15,989
42.1%
56.8%
23,187
6,164
7,198
–
804
402
–
203
37,958
Huron—Bruce
ON
Con
Con
29,512
48.5%
9,345
15.4%
71.1%
20,167
29,512
7,421
–
2,665
1,102
–
–
60,867
Kanata—Carleton
ON
Lib
Lib
28,746
43.1%
4,385
6.6%
77.4%
28,746
24,361
8,317
–
4,387
961
–
–
66,772
Kenora
ON
Lib
Con
9,445
34.0%
1,110
4.0%
61.4%
8,335
9,445
7,923
–
1,526
388
170
–
27,787
Kingston and the Islands
ON
Lib
Lib
31,205
45.8%
15,349
22.5%
70.5%
31,205
13,304
15,856
–
6,059
1,769
–
–
68,193
King—Vaughan
ON
Lib
Lib
28,725
45.0%
1,141
1.8%
64.9%
28,725
27,584
4,297
–
2,511
731
–
–
63,848
Kitchener Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
20,316
36.7%
5,922
10.7%
67.1%
20,316
13,191
6,238
–
14,394
1,033
–
202
55,374
Kitchener South—Hespeler
ON
Lib
Lib
20,986
40.2%
3,506
6.7%
66.0%
20,986
17,480
6,945
–
5,671
1,005
–
146
52,233
Kitchener—Conestoga
ON
Con
Lib
20,480
39.7%
365
0.7%
69.6%
20,480
20,115
5,204
–
4,946
790
–
–
51,535
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
ON
Con
Con
28,651
49.0%
13,837
23.7%
66.6%
14,814
28,651
9,355
–
3,463
1,804
–
325
58,412
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston
ON
Con
Con
30,077
48.1%
14,636
23.4%
72.5%
15,441
30,077
8,835
–
7,011
1,117
–
–
62,481
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes
ON
Con
Con
28,630
49.0%
13,148
22.5%
69.8%
15,482
28,630
8,201
–
5,152
988
–
–
58,453
London North Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
27,247
42.7%
12,181
19.1%
67.3%
27,247
15,066
14,887
–
4,872
1,532
–
137
63,741
London West
ON
Lib
Lib
30,622
43.0%
10,712
15.0%
72.0%
30,622
19,910
15,220
–
3,827
1,171
–
523
71,273
London—Fanshawe
ON
NDP
NDP
22,671
40.8%
7,747
13.9%
60.4%
14,924
13,770
22,671
–
2,781
1,132
297
–
55,575
Markham—Stouffville
ON
Lib
Lib
25,055
38.9%
5,352
8.3%
68.4%
25,055
19,703
4,132
–
1,621
537
13,340
–
64,388
Markham—Thornhill
ON
Lib
Lib
24,124
53.9%
8,650
19.3%
62.8%
23,899
15,319
3,233
–
1,247
357
276
–
44,331
Markham—Unionville
ON
Con
Con
26,133
48.9%
5,649
10.6%
60.9%
20,484
26,133
3,524
–
2,394
861
–
–
53,396
Milton
ON
Con
Lib
30,882
51.7%
9,318
15.6%
70.8%
30,882
21,564
3,851
–
2,769
613
–
–
59,679
Mississauga Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
29,974
55.8%
14,100
26.2%
62.3%
29,974
15,874
5,173
–
1,646
837
252
–
53,756
Mississauga East—Cooksville
ON
Lib
Lib
27,923
53.1%
10,259
19.5%
62.1%
27,923
17,664
4,643
–
1,578
637
–
178
52,623
Mississauga—Erin Mills
ON
Lib
Lib
31,181
53.5%
12,131
20.8%
66.6%
31,181
19,050
5,236
–
2,147
648
–
–
58,262
Mississauga—Lakeshore
ON
Lib
Lib
29,526
48.4%
6,786
11.1%
68.2%
29,526
22,740
5,103
–
2,814
717
–
99
60,999
Mississauga—Malton
ON
Lib
Lib
27,890
57.5%
15,362
31.7%
62.0%
27,890
12,528
6,103
–
1,251
369
–
396
48,537
Mississauga—Streetsville
ON
Lib
Lib
29,618
50.4%
10,144
17.3%
67.6%
29,618
19,474
6,036
–
2,688
706
–
243
58,765
Nepean
ON
Lib
Lib
31,933
45.9%
8,613
12.4%
75.2%
31,933
23,320
9,104
–
4,379
687
–
160
69,583
Newmarket—Aurora
ON
Lib
Lib
26,488
43.1%
3,236
5.3%
67.3%
26,488
23,252
6,576
–
3,551
588
–
1,005
61,460
Niagara Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
20,292
35.0%
2,305
4.0%
64.9%
20,292
17,987
15,469
–
3,054
776
–
385
57,963
Niagara Falls
ON
Con
Con
24,751
35.5%
2,061
3.0%
62.3%
22,690
24,751
12,566
–
3,404
968
4,997
358
69,734
Niagara West
ON
Con
Con
24,447
45.3%
7,018
13.0%
72.5%
17,429
24,447
6,540
–
3,620
869
–
1,019
53,924
Nickel Belt
ON
Lib
Lib
19,046
39.0%
3,390
6.9%
64.7%
19,046
10,343
15,656
–
2,644
1,159
–
–
48,848
Nipissing—Timiskaming
ON
Lib
Lib
19,352
40.5%
6,368
13.3%
64.6%
19,352
12,984
9,784
–
3,111
2,496
–
–
47,727
Northumberland—Peterborough South
ON
Lib
Con
27,385
39.7%
2,408
3.5%
71.7%
24,977
27,385
9,615
–
5,524
1,460
–
–
68,961
Oakville
ON
Lib
Lib
30,265
46.3%
4,704
7.2%
73.1%
30,265
25,561
4,928
–
3,704
798
–
145
65,401
Oakville North—Burlington
ON
Lib
Lib
33,597
48.3%
7,113
10.2%
71.9%
33,597
26,484
5,866
–
2,925
751
–
–
69,623
Orléans
ON
Lib
Lib
44,183
54.3%
21,199
26.0%
77.3%
44,183
22,984
9,428
–
3,829
986
–
–
81,410
Oshawa
ON
Con
Con
24,087
38.9%
6,419
10.4%
61.5%
15,750
24,087
17,668
–
3,151
1,215
–
112
61,983
Ottawa Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
38,391
48.7%
15,575
19.7%
80.1%
38,391
9,920
22,916
–
5,837
720
242
876
78,902
Ottawa South
ON
Lib
Lib
34,205
52.3%
18,180
27.8%
72.0%
34,205
16,025
10,457
–
3,645
717
228
99
65,376
Ottawa West—Nepean
ON
Lib
Lib
28,378
45.6%
11,502
18.5%
72.6%
28,378
16,876
11,646
–
3,894
839
71
502
62,206
Ottawa—Vanier
ON
Lib
Lib
32,679
51.2%
19,163
30.0%
71.0%
32,679
11,118
13,516
–
4,796
1,064
305
403
63,881
Oxford
ON
Con
Con
29,310
48.1%
17,004
27.9%
66.2%
11,745
29,310
12,306
–
4,770
1,774
–
986
60,891
Parkdale—High Park
ON
Lib
Lib
28,852
47.4%
9,672
15.9%
74.0%
28,852
8,015
19,180
–
3,916
643
–
281
60,887
Parry Sound-Muskoka
ON
Con
Con
22,845
41.8%
6,230
11.4%
66.4%
16,615
22,845
6,417
–
8,409
–
377
–
54,663
Perth Wellington
ON
Con
Con
25,622
46.3%
10,620
19.2%
67.3%
15,002
25,622
8,094
–
4,949
894
–
733
55,294
Peterborough—Kawartha
ON
Lib
Lib
27,400
39.3%
3,043
4.4%
70.5%
27,400
24,357
11,872
–
4,930
890
180
172
69,801
Pickering—Uxbridge
ON
Lib
Lib
32,387
51.0%
13,925
21.9%
68.9%
32,387
18,462
7,582
–
3,799
1,265
–
–
63,495
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
ON
Con
Con
31,080
52.7%
19,548
33.2%
69.1%
11,532
31,080
8,786
–
3,230
1,463
2,242
624
58,957
Richmond Hill
ON
Lib
Lib
21,804
43.5%
212
0.4%
59.9%
21,804
21,592
4,425
–
1,695
507
–
126
50,149
Sarnia—Lambton
ON
Con
Con
28,623
49.4%
15,979
27.6%
68.7%
12,041
28,623
12,644
–
2,490
1,587
–
531
57,916
Sault Ste. Marie
ON
Lib
Lib
16,284
39.1%
2,877
6.9%
63.5%
16,284
13,407
9,459
–
1,809
741
–
–
41,700
Scarborough Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
25,695
55.2%
15,308
32.9%
62.4%
25,695
10,387
5,452
–
1,336
1,162
2,524
–
46,556
Scarborough North
ON
Lib
Lib
20,911
53.4%
9,073
23.2%
59.7%
20,911
11,838
5,039
–
796
370
–
83
39,037
Scarborough Southwest
ON
Lib
Lib
28,965
57.2%
18,463
36.5%
65.3%
28,965
10,502
7,865
–
2,477
590
–
236
50,635
Scarborough—Agincourt
ON
Lib
Lib
21,115
50.5%
5,623
13.4%
59.3%
21,115
15,492
3,636
–
1,050
521
–
–
41,814
Scarborough-Guildwood
ON
Lib
Lib
26,123
61.1%
16,570
38.8%
63.9%
26,123
9,553
4,806
–
1,220
648
252
140
42,742
Scarborough—Rouge Park
ON
Lib
Lib
31,360
62.2%
21,245
42.1%
66.4%
31,360
10,115
5,801
–
2,330
467
–
353
50,426
Simcoe North
ON
Con
Con
27,241
43.4%
7,931
12.6%
65.0%
19,310
27,241
8,850
–
5,882
1,154
–
341
62,778
Simcoe—Grey
ON
Con
Con
32,812
43.5%
8,887
11.8%
66.0%
23,925
32,812
8,462
–
8,589
1,416
–
305
75,509
Spadina—Fort York
ON
Lib
Lib
33,822
55.8%
21,634
35.7%
67.7%
33,822
10,680
12,188
–
3,174
672
114
–
60,650
St. Catharines
ON
Lib
Lib
24,183
40.2%
5,205
8.7%
67.0%
24,183
18,978
12,431
–
3,695
826
–
–
60,113
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry
ON
Con
Con
28,976
53.9%
15,209
28.3%
64.0%
13,767
28,976
7,674
–
2,126
1,168
–
–
53,711
Sudbury
ON
Lib
Lib
19,643
40.9%
5,758
12.0%
65.2%
19,643
9,864
13,885
–
3,225
873
205
282
47,977
Thornhill
ON
Con
Con
29,187
54.6%
10,241
19.1%
63.8%
18,946
29,187
3,469
–
1,600
–
–
294
53,496
Thunder Bay—Rainy River
ON
Lib
Lib
14,498
35.3%
2,459
6.0%
63.0%
14,498
12,039
11,944
–
1,829
741
–
–
41,051
Thunder Bay—Superior North
ON
Lib
Lib
18,502
42.9%
7,466
17.3%
66.1%
18,502
11,036
9,126
–
3,639
734
–
140
43,177
Timmins-James Bay
ON
NDP
NDP
14,885
40.5%
4,978
13.5%
58.6%
9,443
9,907
14,885
–
1,257
1,248
–
–
36,740
Toronto Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
31,271
57.4%
19,129
35.1%
68.5%
31,271
6,613
12,142
–
3,852
–
126
508
54,512
Toronto—Danforth
ON
Lib
Lib
27,681
47.7%
8,398
14.5%
71.9%
27,681
6,091
19,283
–
3,761
621
210
412
58,059
Toronto—St. Paul's
ON
Lib
Lib
32,494
54.3%
19,561
32.7%
71.6%
32,494
12,933
9,442
–
4,042
923
–
–
59,834
University—Rosedale
ON
Lib
Lib
29,652
51.7%
17,079
29.8%
71.6%
29,652
9,342
12,573
–
4,861
510
–
453
57,391
Vaughan—Woodbridge
ON
Lib
Lib
25,810
51.3%
7,521
14.9%
63.7%
25,810
18,289
3,910
–
1,302
852
165
–
50,328
Waterloo
ON
Lib
Lib
31,085
48.8%
15,470
24.3%
74.8%
31,085
15,615
9,710
–
6,184
1,112
–
–
63,706
Wellington—Halton Hills
ON
Con
Con
33,044
47.4%
13,267
19.0%
70.8%
19,777
33,044
6,499
–
8,851
1,509
–
–
69,680
Whitby
ON
Lib
Lib
30,182
43.7%
5,618
8.1%
70.8%
30,182
24,564
9,760
–
3,735
860
–
–
69,101
Willowdale
ON
Lib
Lib
22,282
49.0%
5,830
12.8%
58.2%
22,282
16,452
4,231
–
1,671
563
–
271
45,470
Windsor West
ON
NDP
NDP
20,800
40.0%
1,922
3.7%
56.0%
18,878
9,925
20,800
–
1,325
958
–
76
51,962
Windsor—Tecumseh
ON
NDP
Lib
19,046
33.4%
629
1.1%
60.5%
19,046
15,851
18,417
–
2,177
1,279
–
187
56,957
York Centre
ON
Lib
Lib
21,680
50.2%
5,828
13.5%
62.5%
21,680
15,852
4,251
–
1,403
–
–
–
43,186
York South—Weston
ON
Lib
Lib
25,976
58.4%
17,561
39.5%
57.8%
25,976
8,415
7,754
–
1,633
685
–
–
44,463
York—Simcoe
ON
Con
Con
24,918
46.3%
10,511
19.5%
60.7%
14,407
24,918
7,620
–
4,650
875
–
1,311
53,781
Cardigan
PE
Lib
Lib
10,939
49.3%
4,500
20.3%
75.5%
10,939
6,439
1,481
–
3,068
–
–
240
22,167
Charlottetown
PE
Lib
Lib
8,812
44.3%
4,164
20.9%
73.4%
8,812
4,040
2,238
–
4,648
–
–
172
19,910
Egmont
PE
Lib
Lib
8,016
39.7%
1,082
5.4%
72.0%
8,016
6,934
1,230
–
3,998
–
–
20,178
Malpeque
PE
Lib
Lib
9,533
41.4%
3,430
14.9%
77.1%
9,533
5,908
1,495
–
6,103
–
–
–
23,039
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou
QC
NDP
BQ
11,432
36.1%
2,469
7.8%
50.2%
8,963
5,240
4,104
11,432
1,151
379
–
387
31,656
Abitibi—Témiscamingue
QC
NDP
BQ
22,803
45.5%
10,386
20.7%
62.2%
12,417
7,537
5,093
22,803
1,818
487
–
–
50,155
Ahuntsic-Cartierville
QC
Lib
Lib
28,904
52.4%
16,930
30.7%
67.5%
28,904
4,013
6,284
11,974
3,352
584
–
–
55,111
Alfred-Pellan
QC
Lib
Lib
26,015
47.9%
10,466
19.3%
69.9%
26,015
5,917
4,109
15,549
1,958
471
113
177
54,309
Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation
QC
Lib
Lib
18,896
37.8%
729
1.5%
63.4%
18,896
6,044
3,758
18,167
2,411
721
–
–
49,997
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia
QC
Lib
BQ
18,500
51.4%
6,312
17.5%
61.4%
12,188
2,756
1,435
18,500
699
210
–
180
35,968
Beauce
QC
Con
Con
22,860
38.5%
6,064
10.2%
70.2%
6,971
22,860
1,847
8,410
1,461
16,796
–
1,084
59,429
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d'Orléans—Charlevoix
QC
Con
BQ
18,407
36.4%
3,363
6.6%
67.5%
10,608
15,044
2,841
18,407
1,355
1,045
1,335
–
50,635
Beauport—Limoilou
QC
Con
BQ
15,149
30.2%
1,964
3.9%
66.1%
13,020
13,185
5,599
15,149
2,127
1,033
–
78
50,191
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel
QC
BQ
BQ
29,653
56.7%
20,321
38.8%
67.4%
9,332
8,434
2,732
29,653
1,697
489
–
–
52,337
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis
QC
Con
Con
32,283
50.1%
17,529
27.2%
69.6%
10,734
32,283
3,256
14,754
1,925
1,307
–
188
64,447
Beloeil—Chambly
QC
NDP
BQ
35,068
50.5%
19,009
27.4%
73.7%
16,059
4,305
10,086
35,068
3,255
512
–
205
69,490
Berthier—Maskinongé
QC
NDP
BQ
21,200
37.6%
1,502
2.7%
68.0%
7,796
5,812
19,698
21,200
1,008
428
154
261
56,354
Bourassa
QC
Lib
Lib
23,231
57.6%
14,188
35.2%
59.1%
23,231
2,899
3,204
9,043
1,343
347
212
72
40,351
Brome—Missisquoi
QC
Lib
Lib
23,450
38.2%
2,298
3.7%
70.1%
23,450
7,697
4,887
21,152
3,302
456
–
497
61,441
Brossard—Saint-Lambert
QC
Lib
Lib
30,537
53.9%
19,406
34.3%
68.7%
30,537
6,112
5,410
11,131
2,935
527
–
–
56,652
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles
QC
Con
Con
22,484
38.0%
6,431
10.8%
70.3%
12,584
22,484
4,554
16,053
2,042
1,379
–
–
59,096
Châteauguay—Lacolle
QC
Lib
Lib
20,118
38.4%
639
1.2%
68.4%
20,118
5,851
4,005
19,479
1,929
563
–
457
52,402
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord
QC
Lib
Con
16,155
36.8%
834
1.9%
68.3%
7,504
16,155
2,855
15,321
1,388
359
–
299
43,881
Compton—Stanstead
QC
Lib
Lib
21,731
37.3%
3,160
5.4%
70.2%
21,731
8,446
5,607
18,571
3,044
586
–
252
58,237
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle
QC
Lib
Lib
27,821
52.9%
18,847
35.8%
62.5%
27,821
5,543
6,207
8,974
2,898
528
–
603
52,574
Drummond
QC
NDP
BQ
24,574
44.8%
15,022
27.4%
66.7%
9,552
9,083
8,716
24,574
1,856
525
–
518
54,824
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine
QC
Lib
Lib
16,296
42.5%
637
1.7%
60.5%
16,296
3,022
1,722
15,659
1,130
198
–
353
38,380
Gatineau
QC
Lib
Lib
29,084
52.1%
17,158
30.8%
67.0%
29,084
5,745
6,128
11,926
2,264
560
–
76
55,783
Hochelaga
QC
NDP
Lib
18,008
34.0%
328
0.6%
65.4%
18,008
2,381
11,451
17,680
2,618
377
–
522
53,037
Honoré-Mercier
QC
Lib
Lib
29,543
58.7%
19,564
38.8%
65.4%
29,543
4,808
4,130
9,979
1,373
459
–
71
50,363
Hull—Aylmer
QC
Lib
Lib
29,732
54.1%
21,721
39.5%
70.4%
29,732
4,979
7,467
8,011
3,869
638
–
297
54,993
Joliette
QC
BQ
BQ
33,590
58.2%
20,595
35.7%
66.3%
12,995
5,176
2,623
33,590
2,343
498
–
474
57,699
Jonquière
QC
NDP
BQ
17,577
35.6%
5,436
11.0%
69.3%
7,849
10,338
12,141
17,577
1,009
453
–
–
49,367
La Pointe-de-l'Île
QC
BQ
BQ
26,010
46.8%
9,112
16.4%
66.2%
16,898
3,984
6,057
26,010
1,910
388
–
287
55,534
La Prairie
QC
Lib
BQ
25,707
41.8%
3,203
5.2%
72.0%
22,504
5,540
4,744
25,707
2,565
393
–
100
61,553
Lac-Saint-Jean
QC
Con
BQ
23,839
44.0%
10,206
18.8%
65.6%
13,633
12,544
2,753
23,839
1,010
448
–
–
54,227
Lac-Saint-Louis
QC
Lib
Lib
34,622
58.2%
25,539
42.9%
71.6%
34,622
9,083
7,263
3,169
4,176
805
–
407
59,525
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
QC
Lib
Lib
22,803
43.5%
10,184
19.4%
64.7%
22,803
3,690
8,628
12,619
3,583
490
274
304
52,391
Laurentides—Labelle
QC
Lib
BQ
30,625
46.8%
8,970
13.7%
66.2%
21,655
4,983
4,122
30,625
3,157
418
174
272
65,406
Laurier—Sainte-Marie
QC
NDP
Lib
22,306
41.8%
8,853
16.6%
65.4%
22,306
1,502
13,453
12,188
3,225
320
42
373
53,409
Laval—Les Îles
QC
Lib
Lib
26,031
48.2%
14,911
27.6%
65.8%
26,031
8,816
4,803
11,120
2,306
885
–
–
53,961
Lévis—Lotbinière
QC
Con
Con
28,297
44.6%
12,376
19.5%
72.4%
10,761
28,297
4,355
15,921
1,908
2,247
–
–
63,489
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne
QC
Lib
Lib
20,114
39.0%
1,320
2.6%
62.8%
20,114
3,811
5,289
18,794
2,978
558
–
–
51,544
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert
QC
NDP
BQ
23,061
38.5%
2,590
4.3%
69.9%
20,471
3,779
5,104
23,061
6,745
467
217
–
59,844
Louis-Hébert
QC
Lib
Lib
25,140
40.5%
7,765
12.5%
76.6%
25,140
10,912
4,884
17,375
2,466
1,016
267
–
62,060
Louis-Saint-Laurent
QC
Con
Con
29,279
44.7%
14,605
22.3%
70.7%
13,571
29,279
4,339
14,674
2,155
1,543
–
–
65,561
Manicouagan
QC
BQ
BQ
21,768
53.9%
13,975
34.6%
53.8%
7,793
7,771
1,482
21,768
1,293
283
–
–
40,390
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
QC
Lib
Lib
24,865
44.5%
6,796
12.2%
72.4%
24,865
5,423
4,741
18,069
2,111
465
143
–
55,817
Mégantic—L'Érable
QC
Con
Con
23,392
49.2%
11,143
23.5%
68.5%
7,388
23,392
1,936
12,249
1,258
812
217
256
47,508
Mirabel
QC
BQ
BQ
33,219
51.1%
17,057
26.2%
68.7%
16,162
5,940
5,219
33,219
3,517
641
–
332
65,030
Montarville
QC
Lib
BQ
25,366
42.8%
4,305
7.3%
77.8%
21,061
4,138
4,984
25,366
2,967
501
–
211
59,228
Montcalm
QC
BQ
BQ
31,791
58.0%
20,591
37.6%
63.4%
11,200
4,942
3,514
31,791
2,416
524
–
419
54,806
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup
QC
Con
Con
20,989
41.7%
4,728
9.4%
65.7%
8,210
20,989
3,481
16,261
1,030
417
–
–
50,388
Mount Royal
QC
Lib
Lib
24,590
56.3%
13,703
31.4%
60.5%
24,590
10,887
3,609
1,757
2,389
362
–
85
43,679
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount
QC
Lib
Lib
28,323
56.3%
20,570
40.9%
66.4%
28,323
5,759
7,753
2,359
5,397
565
98
67
50,321
Outremont
QC
NDP
Lib
19,148
46.2%
10,829
26.1%
62.2%
19,148
2,707
8,319
5,741
5,018
369
–
155
41,457
Papineau
QC
Lib
Lib
25,957
51.1%
16,209
31.9%
65.5%
25,957
2,155
9,748
8,124
3,741
322
185
549
50,781
Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères
QC
BQ
BQ
31,009
51.0%
13,676
22.5%
76.3%
17,333
4,910
4,192
31,009
2,955
384
–
–
60,783
Pierrefonds—Dollard
QC
Lib
Lib
31,305
56.4%
21,508
38.8%
67.4%
31,305
9,797
5,687
4,469
2,866
711
636
–
55,471
Pontiac
QC
Lib
Lib
30,217
48.9%
19,801
32.0%
68.2%
30,217
10,416
6,503
9,929
3,762
775
–
245
61,847
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier
QC
Con
Con
28,110
43.5%
12,403
19.2%
70.9%
12,876
28,110
3,758
15,707
2,308
1,915
–
–
64,674
Québec
QC
Lib
Lib
18,047
33.3%
325
0.6%
70.0%
18,047
8,118
6,220
17,722
2,949
674
–
468
54,198
Repentigny
QC
BQ
BQ
34,837
53.2%
16,726
25.6%
72.2%
18,111
4,878
4,470
34,837
2,289
524
–
347
65,456
Richmond—Arthabaska
QC
Con
Con
26,553
45.3%
10,014
17.1%
68.8%
8,868
26,553
2,864
16,539
3,133
681
–
–
58,638
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques
QC
NDP
BQ
17,314
37.8%
4,264
9.3%
66.5%
10,095
4,073
13,050
17,314
824
232
–
179
45,767
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
QC
Lib
BQ
23,629
40.6%
2,620
4.5%
72.1%
21,009
4,684
5,002
23,629
3,015
845
–
–
58,184
Rivière-du-Nord
QC
BQ
BQ
31,281
52.0%
17,879
29.7%
64.0%
13,402
7,120
4,194
31,281
3,345
407
127
225
60,101
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie
QC
NDP
NDP
25,575
42.5%
10,999
18.3%
71.4%
14,576
1,405
25,575
14,306
3,539
293
–
512
60,206
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot
QC
NDP
BQ
23,143
41.4%
11,240
20.1%
70.1%
11,903
8,062
10,297
23,143
2,031
478
–
–
55,914
Saint-Jean
QC
Lib
BQ
27,750
44.8%
8,844
14.3%
69.3%
18,906
6,612
4,794
27,750
3,127
397
–
289
61,875
Saint-Laurent
QC
Lib
Lib
23,527
58.6%
16,522
41.2%
60.0%
23,527
7,005
4,065
2,845
2,150
484
–
71
40,147
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel
QC
Lib
Lib
27,866
61.3%
22,443
49.4%
60.4%
27,866
5,423
2,964
4,351
1,183
501
3,061
85
45,434
Saint-Maurice—Champlain
QC
Lib
Lib
23,104
39.6%
3,154
5.4%
65.2%
23,104
9,542
3,071
19,950
1,809
938
–
–
58,414
Salaberry—Suroît
QC
NDP
BQ
29,975
47.7%
11,293
18.0%
67.0%
18,682
6,116
5,024
29,975
1,997
767
–
342
62,903
Shefford
QC
Lib
BQ
23,503
38.6%
898
1.5%
68.4%
22,605
7,495
3,705
23,503
2,814
497
–
294
60,913
Sherbrooke
QC
NDP
Lib
17,490
29.3%
609
1.0%
68.3%
17,490
6,362
16,881
15,470
2,716
–
588
219
59,726
Terrebonne
QC
BQ
BQ
31,029
50.6%
13,035
21.3%
70.5%
17,944
4,640
4,627
31,029
2,277
399
159
260
61,335
Thérèse-De Blainville
QC
Lib
BQ
24,486
41.8%
3,498
6.0%
72.1%
20,988
5,264
4,431
24,486
2,710
366
89
215
58,549
Trois-Rivières
QC
NDP
BQ
17,240
28.5%
1,466
2.4%
66.7%
15,774
15,240
10,090
17,240
1,492
565
137
–
60,538
Vaudreuil—Soulanges
QC
Lib
Lib
32,254
47.3%
15,654
23.0%
72.4%
32,254
7,804
7,368
16,600
3,405
711
–
–
68,142
Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Sœurs
QC
Lib
Lib
28,087
53.5%
19,813
37.7%
60.3%
28,087
4,609
8,274
6,899
3,718
520
230
185
52,522
Vimy
QC
Lib
Lib
26,490
47.7%
11,035
19.9%
64.3%
26,490
5,951
4,779
15,455
2,125
733
–
–
55,533
Battlefords—Lloydminster
SK
Con
Con
28,030
78.3%
23,932
66.8%
70.7%
2,426
28,030
4,098
–
605
662
–
–
35,821
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek
SK
Con
Con
35,313
78.6%
29,778
66.2%
78.5%
2,085
35,313
5,535
–
873
799
344
–
44,949
Cypress Hills—Grasslands
SK
Con
Con
31,140
81.1%
27,474
71.5%
77.2%
1,595
31,140
3,666
–
719
1,075
220
–
38,415
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
SK
NDP
Con
11,531
42.3%
3,790
13.9%
59.8%
7,225
11,531
7,741
–
543
217
–
–
27,257
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan
SK
Con
Con
31,993
71.1%
24,333
54.1%
76.9%
2,517
31,993
7,660
–
1,201
1,613
–
–
44,984
Prince Albert
SK
Con
Con
26,891
67.7%
19,996
50.3%
69.8%
4,107
26,891
6,925
–
839
778
170
39,710
Regina—Lewvan
SK
NDP
Con
27,088
52.5%
12,321
23.9%
75.9%
6,826
27,088
14,767
–
2,099
573
201
60
51,614
Regina—Qu'Appelle
SK
Con
Con
24,463
63.1%
16,778
43.3%
70.7%
4,543
24,463
7,685
–
1,282
513
78
191
38,755
Regina—Wascana
SK
Lib
Con
22,418
49.4%
7,176
15.8%
76.3%
15,242
22,418
5,801
–
1,316
450
128
–
45,355
Saskatoon West
SK
Con
Con
18,597
47.7%
2,889
7.4%
64.7%
2,863
18,597
15,708
–
1,042
775
–
–
38,985
Saskatoon—Grasswood
SK
Con
Con
26,336
53.3%
13,664
27.6%
77.6%
8,419
26,336
12,672
–
1,320
692
–
–
49,439
Saskatoon—University
SK
NDP
Con
24,514
52.1%
10,520
22.4%
77.3%
6,146
24,514
13,994
–
1,401
667
–
305
47,027
Souris—Moose Mountain
SK
Con
Con
35,067
84.4%
31,853
76.7%
80.2%
1,718
35,067
3,214
–
681
702
–
168
41,550
Yorkton—Melville
SK
Con
Con
29,523
76.2%
24,776
63.9%
74.0%
2,488
29,523
4,747
–
1,070
941
38,769
Northwest Territories
Terr
Lib
Lib
6,467
39.7%
2,310
14.2%
54.3%
6,467
4,157
3,640
–
1,731
296
–
–
16,291
Nunavut
Terr
Lib
NDP
3,861
40.8%
943
10.0%
51.1%
2,918
2,469
3,861
–
206
–
–
–
9,454
Yukon
Terr
Lib
Lib
7,034
33.5%
153
0.7%
73.2%
7,034
6,881
4,617
–
2,201
284
–
–
21,017
Results overview
Summary analysis
↓
157
121
32
24
3
1
Liberal
Conservative
BQ
NDP
G
I
Party
Votes
Seats
Liberal
6,018,728
6.4pp
27
Conservative
6,239,227
2.5pp
22
Bloc Québécois
1,384,030
3.0pp
22
New Democratic
2,903,722
3.8pp
20
Green
1,189,607
3.0pp
1
Independent
75,836
0.1pp
1
Seats, of total, by party
Votes, of total, by party
Popular vote
Conservative
34.34%
Liberal
33.12%
NDP
15.98%
Bloc Québécois
7.63%
Green
6.55%
Others
2.38%
Seat totals
Liberal
46.45%
Conservative
35.80%
Bloc Québécois
9.47%
NDP
7.10%
Green
0.89%
Independents
0.30%
Change in popular vote
Results by province
Distribution of seats and popular vote %, by party by province/territory (2019)
Party name
BC
AB
SK
MB
ON
QC
NB
NS
PE
NL
YT
NT
NU
Total
Liberal
Seats:
11
–
–
4
79
35
6
10
4
6
1
1
–
157
Vote:
26.2
13.8
11.7
26.5
41.6
34.3
37.5
41.4
43.7
44.9
33.5
39.7
30.9
33.1
Conservative
Seats:
17
33
14
7
36
10
3
1
–
–
–
–
–
121
Vote:
34.0
69.0
64.0
45.2
33.1
16.0
32.8
25.7
27.3
27.9
32.7
25.5
26.1
34.3
NDP
Seats:
11
1
–
3
6
1
–
–
–
1
–
–
1
24
Vote:
24.4
11.6
19.6
20.8
16.8
10.8
9.4
18.9
7.6
23.7
22.0
22.3
40.8
16.0
Bloc Québécois
Seats:
32
32
Vote:
32.4
7.6
Green
Seats:
2
–
–
–
–
–
1
–
–
–
–
–
–
3
Vote:
12.5
2.8
2.6
5.1
6.2
4.5
17.2
11.0
20.9
3.1
10.5
10.6
2.2
6.5
People's
Seats:
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Vote:
1.7
2.2
1.8
1.7
1.6
1.5
2.0
1.2
–
0.1
1.4
1.8
–
1.6
Independents and others
Seats:
1
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
1
Vote:
0.9
0.8
0.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.3
–
–
–
–
–
0.2
Seats:
42
34
14
14
121
78
10
11
4
7
1
1
1
338
Seats won and lost by party
Elections to the 43rd Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2015–2019
Party
2015
Gain from (loss to)
2019
Lib
Con
NDP
BQ
Grn
Ind
Liberal
184
2
(21)
5
(3)
(8)
(1)
(1)
157
Conservative
99
21
(2)
6
(3)
121
New Democratic
44
3
(5)
(6)
(11)
(1)
24
Bloc Québécois
10
8
3
11
32
Green
1
1
1
3
Independent
–
1
1
Total
338
34
(7)
5
(27)
23
(3)
(22)
(2)
(1)
338
The following 62 seats (representing 18.34 percent of seats in the House of Commons) changed allegiance from the 2015 election:
Liberal to Conservative (22)
NDP to Bloc (11)
Liberal to Bloc (8)
NDP to Conservative (6)
NDP to Liberal (5)
Liberal to NDP (3)
Conservative to Bloc (3)
Conservative to Liberal (2)
Liberal to Green (1)
NDP to Green (1)
Liberal to Independent (1)
The reasons for the changes were:
Reason
# of MPs
Defeated in general election
45
Open seats that changed hands
11
Vacancies previously filled in byelections; subsequently retained
3
Vacancies previously filled in byelections; subsequently lost to another party
1
Standing under different political affiliation
2
Total
62
Defeated MPs
^ previously served as MP in 2008-2015
^ previously served as MP in 2004-2015
^ previously served as MP in 2011-2015
^ previously served as MP in 2008-2015
^ previously served as Alliance MP in 2000-2004
^ expelled from NDP caucus in 2019; stood as a Green candidate in general election
^ previously served as MP in 2006-2011
Open seats that changed hands
Of the 44 seats that were open at dissolution, 11 were won by candidates of non-incumbent parties:
Vacancies filled in earlier byelections
Three open seats were filled in earlier byelections, retained by the winners in the ensuing general election:
Two vacancies were filled in earlier byelections, but the winners failed to keep them in the general election. They were both upset votes in favour of the Liberals, where one subsequently returned to the previous party, while the other went to a third party.
MPs standing under a different political affiliation
Leona Alleslev had previously crossed the floor from the Liberals to the Conservatives in 2018, and was subsequently re-elected as a Conservative. Jody Wilson-Raybould contested her seat as an Independent and won, after having been expelled from the Liberal caucus.
Swing analysis within the largest provinces
Results in BC (2019 vs 2015)
Party
Seats
Votes
2015
Gained
Lost
2019
Total
%
Change (%)
Conservative
10
7
–
17
799,239
34.1
+4.1
Liberal
17
–
-6
11
612,098
26.1
-9.1
New Democratic
14
–
-3
11
572,063
24.4
-1.5
Green
1
1
–
2
290,629
12.4
+4.2
People's
–
–
–
–
39,549
1.7
New
Independent and other
–
1
–
1
30,182
1.3
+0.6
Total
42
2,343,760
Turnout
65.0%
Liberal to Conservative swing
6.6%
Liberal to Green swing
6.6%
Results in Alberta (2019 vs 2015)
Party
Seats
Votes
2015
Gained
Lost
2019
Total
%
Change (%)
Conservative
29
4
–
33
1,413,360
69.2
+9.7
Liberal
4
–
-4
–
280,309
13.7
-10.9
New Democratic
1
–
–
1
235,013
11.5
-0.1
Green
–
–
–
–
57,468
2.8
+0.3
Independent and other
–
–
–
–
9,476
0.6
-1.2
Total
34
2,041,445
Turnout
68.5%
Liberal to Conservative swing
10.3%
Results in Saskatchewan (2019 vs 2015)
Party
Seats
Votes
2015
Gained
Lost
2019
Total
%
Change (%)
Conservative
10
4
–
14
366,611
64.3
+15.8
New Democratic
3
–
-3
–
111,379
19.5
-5.6
Liberal
1
–
-1
–
66,031
11.6
-12.3
Green
–
–
–
–
14,417
2.5
+0.4
People's
–
–
–
–
10,211
1.8
New
Independent and other
–
–
–
–
1,856
0.3
-0.1
Total
14
570,505
Turnout
71.7%
Liberal to Conservative swing
14.0%
Results in Manitoba (2019 vs 2015)
Party
Seats
Votes
2015
Gained
Lost
2019
Total
%
Change (%)
Conservative
5
2
–
7
264,071
45.4
+8.1
Liberal
7
–
-3
4
152,803
26.3
-18.3
New Democratic
2
1
–
3
120,533
20.7
+6.9
Green
–
–
–
–
29,768
5.1
+1.9
People's
–
–
–
–
10,021
1.7
New
Independent and other
–
–
–
–
3,840
0.8
-0.3
Total
14
581,036
Turnout
63.8%
Liberal to Conservative swing
13.2%
Results in Ontario (2019 vs 2015)
Party
Seats
Votes
2015
Gained
Lost
2019
Total
%
Change (%)
Liberal
80
2
-3
79
2,814,010
41.5
-3.3
Conservative
33
3
–
36
2,252,238
33.2
-1.8
New Democratic
8
–
-2
6
1,138,735
16.8
+0.2
Green
–
–
–
–
420,397
6.2
+3.3
People's
–
–
–
–
107,673
1.6
New
Independent and other
–
–
–
–
53,989
0.7
–
Total
121
6,787,042
Turnout
65.3%
Liberal to Green swing
3.3%
Results in Quebec (2019 vs 2015)
Party
Seats
Votes
2015
Gained
Lost
2019
Total
%
Change (%)
Liberal
40
1
-6
35
1,447,712
34.2
-1.5
Bloc Québécois
10
22
–
32
1,376,135
32.5
+13.2
Conservative
12
1
-3
10
677,283
16.0
-0.7
New Democratic
16
–
-15
1
454,550
10.7
-14.7
Green
–
–
–
–
188,347
4.4
+2.1
People's
–
–
–
–
63,203
1.5
New
Independent and other
–
–
–
–
23,408
0.1
+0.1
Total
78
4,230,638
Turnout
65.5%
NDP to Bloc Québécois swing
13.9%
Voter demographics
Post-election analysis from Elections Canada
Elections Canada reported the following general characteristics of voter turnout in the election, compared to 2015:[ 11]
Estimated voter turnout %, by age and sex, all Canada (2019 v 2015)
Age group
All voters
Male
Female
2019
2015
Change (pp)
2019
2015
Change (pp)
2019
2015
Change (pp)
First-time voters
53.6
58.3
4.7
49.7
54.9
5.2
57.7
61.9
4.2
Not first time
54.2
55.1
0.9
50.2
52.0
1.8
58.4
58.3
0.1
18–24 yrs
53.9
57.1
3.2
49.9
53.8
3.9
58.0
60.5
2.5
25–34 yrs
58.4
57.4
1.0
55.5
54.3
1.2
61.3
60.6
0.7
35–44 yrs
64.6
61.9
2.7
62.7
58.7
4.0
66.4
65.1
1.3
45–54 yrs
68.1
66.6
1.5
66.7
63.6
3.1
69.5
69.6
0.1
55–64 yrs
73.3
73.7
0.4
71.9
71.4
0.5
74.6
76.0
1.4
65–74 yrs
79.1
78.8
0.3
78.9
79.0
0.1
79.2
78.6
0.6
75 yrs +
68.6
67.4
1.2
72.3
74.1
1.8
65.7
62.8
2.9
All ages
67.0
66.1
0.9
65.5
64.1
1.4
68.5
68.0
0.5
From polling firms after Election Day
Per Ipsos
Ipsos 2019 election day poll[ 12]
Social group
Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Bloc
Green
PPC
Other
Actual results
Total vote
33
34
16
8
6
2
1
Gender
Male
32
36
14
7
6
4
1
Female
31
31
22
7
7
2
1
Age
18–34
31
31
26
4
7
5
1
35–54
31
33
19
7
7
2
1
55+
32
39
12
9
5
2
1
Per Leger
Leger post-election poll (2019)[ 13]
Social group
Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Bloc
Green
PPC
Other
Actual results
Total vote
33
34
16
8
6
2
1
Gender
Male
31
37
15
8
6
2
1
Female
35
31
17
7
8
1
1
Age
18–34
30
29
24
6
9
1
1
35–54
32
37
15
5
6
2
2
55+
35
35
12
10
6
2
0
Per Abacus
Abacus post-election poll (2019)[ 14]
Social group
Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Bloc
Green
PPC
Other
Actual results
Total vote
33
34
16
8
6
2
1
Age
18–29
34
23
26
N/A
9
N/A
N/A
30–44
34
35
18
7
5
N/A
N/A
45–59
33
36
12
8
8
N/A
N/A
60+
31
38
12
10
7
N/A
N/A
Strategic voting and vote splitting
Strategic voting may have played a significant part in determining the results. A survey by Angus Reid , issued several days after the election,[ 15] revealed that 23% of undecided voters did not make up their mind until election day. Of that number, 52% voted for the candidate and party they liked, while 48% voted based on who they disliked the least.[ 16] Of all undecided voters, 45% cast their vote for the Liberals, while 25% supported the Conservatives.[ 16] NDP voters were the least likely group to have made up their mind early on in the campaign.[ 16] An Ipsos-Reid exit poll conducted on election day[ 12] found that 26% of all voters made their choice as to try to ensure which party did not win, and the Liberals were the main beneficiary of such activity.[ 16] (Apparently these decisions were based on perception of the local situation so the vote was used - when used strategically - to try to produce the election of a local candidate not so well liked but definitely more liked than a competitor in that same district.)
Vote splitting skewed the results in many ridings. Vote splitting did not arise from multiple candidates of the same party running in a district (as that did not happen anywhere in Canada in this election) but from like-minded candidates of different parties running in the same district. Thus this analysis is based on somewhat arbitrary grouping of votes of like-minded parties despite different party labels into single voting blocks. Vote-splitting mainly benefited the Conservatives in Ontario and Metro Vancouver , the Liberals in Quebec and the Maritimes, and the NDP in BC and Ontario outside the GTA , while the Bloc benefited from multiple splits in the federalist parties, a wide group of all the nation-wide parties that ran candidates in Quebec.[ 17] The seats affected (where 2nd and 3rd place votes combined were greater than what the 1st place candidate received) are summarized thus:
Closest victories and greatest landslides
The total of the nine close results where Liberal were elected means a shift of just slightly more than 3205 voters away from Liberal candidates in those ridings would have lost the Liberals nine seats and given the Conservatives nine more, making the Liberal minority government weaker than it already was. Approximately 3000 votes is already anything at all when the votes are counted in the millions.
20 safest seats (2019)[ 19]
Rank
Riding
2015
2019
1st place
2nd place
Margin (pp)
Plurality
1
Battle River—Crowfoot
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
80.4
50,124
2
Bow River
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
78.2
43,106
3
Lakeland
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
77.4
44,586
4
Grande Prairie-Mackenzie
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
77.0
46,953
5
Souris—Moose Mountain
SK
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
76.7
31,853
6
Foothills
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ Liberal
76.3
50,016
7
Yellowhead
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
75.2
42,066
8
Peace River—Westlock
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
73.1
37,773
9
Red Deer—Mountain View
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
73.1
49,819
10
Cypress Hills—Grasslands
SK
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
71.5
27,474
11
Red Deer—Lacombe
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
70.9
47,831
12
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
70.4
37,406
13
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ Liberal
70.3
35,858
14
Sturgeon River—Parkland
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
67.4
46,295
15
Battlefords—Lloydminster
SK
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
66.8
23,932
16
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek
SK
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
66.2
29,778
17
Yorkton—Melville
SK
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
63.9
24,776
18
Calgary Shepard
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ Liberal
63.9
49,970
19
Calgary Midnapore
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ Liberal
63.2
43,052
20
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan
AB
█ Conservative
█ Conservative
█ New Democratic
61.2
44,733
Significant results among independent and minor party candidates
Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
Significant vote tallies for independent and minor party candidates
Riding
Candidate
Votes
Placed
Beauce
QC
█ Rhinoceros
Maxime Bernier
1,084
7th
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—Charlevoix
QC
█ Independent
Raymond Bernier
1,335
6th
Haldimand—Norfolk
ON
█ Veterans Coalition
Harold Stewart
1,083
6th
Markham—Stouffville
ON
█ Independent
Jane Philpott
13,216
3rd
Miramichi—Grand Lake
NB
█ Independent
Allison MacKenzie
1,160
6th
Niagara Falls
ON
█ Independent
Mike Strange
4,997
4th
Niagara West
ON
█ Christian Heritage
Harold Jonker
1,019
5th
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
ON
█ Independent
Dan Criger
1,125
6th
Saint John—Rothesay
NB
█ Independent
Stuart Jamieson
1,183
6th
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel
QC
█ Independent
Hassan Guillet
3,061
4th
Scarborough Centre
ON
█ Independent
John Cannis
2,524
4th
Skeena—Bulkley Valley
BC
█ Christian Heritage
Rod Taylor
1,343
5th
Sydney—Victoria
NS
█ Independent
Archie MacKinnon
5,679
4th
Vancouver Granville
BC
█ Independent
Jody Wilson-Raybould
16,357
1st
York—Simcoe
ON
█ Libertarian
Keith Komar
1,311
5th
Ridings won in major cities
Notes and references
Notes
References
^ "forty-third general election 2019 Official Voting Results" . Elections Canada . Retrieved April 9, 2023 .
^ Coyne, Andrew (October 22, 2019). "The Liberals didn't win the 2019 federal election, they just lost less than the Conservatives" . National Post . Toronto. Archived from the original on August 8, 2021. Retrieved October 26, 2019 .
^ Fournier, Philippe J. (October 27, 2019). "A 338Canada analysis: Where the Conservatives lost" . Maclean's . Toronto. Archived from the original on July 6, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2019 .
^ Hébert, Chantal (October 25, 2019). "Election has left Conservatives in a bad place" . Toronto Star . Archived from the original on October 27, 2019. Retrieved October 27, 2019 .
^ Colpron, Suzanne (October 26, 2019). "Scheer a manqué de "couilles", estime Sylvie Fréchette" [Scheer lacked 'balls', figures Sylvie Fréchette]. La Presse (in French). Montreal. Archived from the original on October 27, 2019. Retrieved October 27, 2019 .
^ "It's deeper than Andrew Scheer: The root of the Conservative Party's failure to launch" . The Globe and Mail . Toronto. October 25, 2019. Archived from the original on October 27, 2019. Retrieved October 27, 2019 .
^ Cornellier, Manon (October 26, 2019). "Reform Party 2.0?" . Le Devoir (in French). Montreal. Archived from the original on October 26, 2019. Retrieved October 27, 2019 .
^ Coyne, Andrew (October 31, 2019). "No point in Tories changing their leader if they don't change their message" . National Post . Toronto. Archived from the original on August 8, 2021. Retrieved October 31, 2019 .
^ "It's deeper than Andrew Scheer: The root of the Conservative Party's failure to launch, Part 2" . The Globe and Mail . Toronto. October 29, 2019. Archived from the original on October 30, 2019. Retrieved October 30, 2019 .
^ a b Grenier, Éric (October 24, 2019). "Canada's pollsters nailed the outcome of the federal election - mostly" . CBC News . Toronto. Archived from the original on October 26, 2019. Retrieved October 26, 2019 .
^ "Voter Turnout by Sex and Age" . elections.ca . Archived from the original on January 23, 2021. Retrieved June 7, 2021 . this result differs from the Official Voting Results, which is based on registered electors
^ a b Simpson, Sean (October 22, 2019). "Election Day Poll" . ipsos.com . Archived from the original on October 26, 2019. Retrieved October 26, 2019 .
^ "Leger Post-Election Poll" (PDF) . Leger . October 24, 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 31, 2019. Retrieved October 31, 2019 .
^ Coletto, David (October 24, 2019). "Federal vote by age. Liberal share was consistent across age groups, Conservative third among youth, first among seniors. From a post-election survey we conducted, Oct 22 to 24, n=1,500 #elxn43 #cdnpolipic.twitter.com/48FinTCZ4v" . Twitter . Archived from the original on October 25, 2019. Retrieved November 29, 2019 .
^ "Why and when did uncommitted voters lock in? Study shows Liberals benefitted most from strategic voting" . angusreid.org . October 25, 2019. Archived from the original on October 26, 2019. Retrieved October 26, 2019 .
^ a b c d Abedi, Maham (October 25, 2019). " 'Hold your nose and vote': How undecided Canadian voters made up their minds" . Global News . Archived from the original on October 26, 2019. Retrieved October 26, 2019 .
^ a b Carman, Tara (October 23, 2019). "How vote-splitting helped — and hurt — the federal parties" . CBC News . Toronto. Archived from the original on July 6, 2021. Retrieved October 26, 2019 .
^ Berthiaume, Lee (October 22, 2019). "Down to the wire: The 10 closest races in Monday's federal election" . Canadian Press . Archived from the original on August 8, 2021. Retrieved October 26, 2019 .
^ a b "Federal election 2019: Trudeau's Liberals have a minority government. What now? A guide to Oct. 21's results" . The Globe and Mail . Toronto. October 23, 2019. Archived from the original on July 6, 2021. Retrieved November 1, 2019 .