Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
Saskatchewan electoral district
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River in relation to other Saskatchewan federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order.
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Gary Vidal
Conservative
District created1996
First contested1997
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]70,891
Electors (2019)45,985
Area (km²)[2]342,903
Pop. density (per km²)0.21
Census division(s)Division No. 14, Division No. 15, Division No. 16, Division No. 17, Division No. 18
Census subdivision(s)Meadow Lake, La Ronge, Meadow Lake No. 588, La Loche

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River (French: Desnethé—Missinippi—Rivière Churchill; formerly known as Churchill River) is a federal electoral district in Saskatchewan, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

Geography

This is a rural riding located in northern Saskatchewan. The riding encompasses the northern half of the province and is the third largest federal riding, that is located in a province, in Canada, trumped only by Churchill—Keewatinook Aski in Manitoba and Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou in Quebec. The territorial ridings of Yukon, Northwest Territories and Nunavut are also larger.

The 2023 redistribution order removed most of the territory outside of the Northern Saskatchewan Administration District from the riding, reducing its population considerably. That will have the effect of creating an overwhelmingly Indigenous riding more similar to the territorial ridings.

Demographics

Panethnic groups in Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[3] 2016[4] 2011[5]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
Indigenous 49,660 70.18% 49,840 70.91% 48,395 70.58%
European[a] 19,605 27.71% 19,650 27.96% 19,655 28.67%
Southeast Asian[b] 690 0.98% 320 0.46% 250 0.36%
South Asian 320 0.45% 165 0.23% 40 0.06%
African 205 0.29% 160 0.23% 35 0.05%
East Asian[c] 170 0.24% 130 0.18% 110 0.16%
Middle Eastern[d] 25 0.04% 10 0.01% 0 0%
Latin American 20 0.03% 30 0.04% 0 0%
Other/multiracial[e] 60 0.08% 10 0.01% 0 0%
Total responses 70,760 98.98% 70,290 99.15% 68,565 98.7%
Total population 71,488 100% 70,891 100% 69,471 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.
According to the 2011 Canadian census; 2013 representation[6][7]

Languages: 64.6% English, 21.3% Cree, 10.8% Dene, 1.3% French
Religions: 76.8% Christian (41.5% Catholic, 18.5% Anglican, 4.1% United Church, 2.5% Lutheran, 1.6% Pentecostal, 8.5% Other), 2.7% Traditional Aboriginal Spirituality, 20.4% No religion
Median income (2010): $18,910
Average income (2010): $28,554

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River boasts the following demographic records:

  • Highest % of people of the Métis aboriginal group (16.4%)[8]
  • Highest % of people of Métis ethnic origin (12.0%)[9]
  • Highest % of people with Dene as their mother tongue (10.5%)[10]

History

The electoral district was created as "Churchill River" in 1996 from Prince Albert—Churchill River, Mackenzie and The Battlefords—Meadow Lake ridings.

In 2004, it was renamed "Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River".

This riding lost territory to Prince Albert and a fraction to Yorkton—Melville, and gained a fraction of territory from Prince Albert during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

2006 election controversy

In the 2006 federal election, Liberal candidate Gary Merasty defeated incumbent Conservative MP Jeremy Harrison by a slim margin of 68 votes after trailing much of the election night, despite Harrison's vote increasing several points. Merasty's win raised issues of questionable tactics to increase voter turnout.[11] However, an investigation conducted by Elections Canada determined that no wrongdoing had taken place.[12]

2015 election recount

In the 2015 federal election, New Democrat candidate Georgina Jolibois defeated the Liberal candidate, Lawrence Joseph, by a narrow margin of 71 votes. Joseph requested a judicial recount of the votes.[13]

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of the House of Commons of Canada:

Parliament Years Member Party
Churchill River
Riding created from Prince Albert—Churchill River, Mackenzie
and The Battlefords—Meadow Lake
36th  1997–2000     Rick Laliberte New Democratic
 2000–2000     Liberal
37th  2000–2004
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
38th  2004–2006     Jeremy Harrison Conservative
39th  2006–2007     Gary Merasty Liberal
 2008–2008     Rob Clarke Conservative
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019     Georgina Jolibois New Democratic
43rd  2019–2021     Gary Vidal Conservative
44th  2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, 2004–present

2021 federal election redistributed results[14]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 3,811 46.35
  New Democratic 1,975 24.02
  Conservative 1,938 23.57
  People's 257 3.13
  Independent 146 1.78
  Green 96 1.17
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Gary Vidal 10,036 48.8 +6.5 $83,338.84
Liberal Buckley Belanger 5,533 26.8 +0.3 $98,928.73
New Democratic Harmonie King 3,548 17.2 -11.4 $35,359.65
People's Dezirae Reddekopp 1,002 4.9 +4.1 $1,007.06
Independent Stephen King 240 1.2 $0.00
Green Nasser Dean Chalifoux 215 1.0 -1.0 $1,294.43
Total valid votes/Expense limit 20,574 $121,058.43
Total rejected ballots 127 0.6 -0.2
Turnout 20,701 44.8 -12.5
Eligible voters 46,257
Conservative hold Swing +4.0
Source: Elections Canada[15][16]


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Gary Vidal 11,531 42.30 +12.17 $64,212.77
New Democratic Georgina Jolibois 7,741 28.40 -5.75 $89,787.05
Liberal Tammy Cook-Searson 7,225 26.51 -7.38 $63,291.05
Green Sarah Kraynick 543 1.99 +0.17 $1,816.39
People's Jerome Perrault 217 0.80 $2,050.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 27,257 99.21
Total rejected ballots 216 0.79 +0.49
Turnout 27,473 57.25 -7.47
Eligible voters 47,985
Conservative gain from New Democratic Swing +8.96
Source: Elections Canada[17][18]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Georgina Jolibois 10,319 34.15 -11.23 $26,597.41
Liberal Lawrence Joseph 10,237 33.88 +28.62 $50,341.46
Conservative Rob Clarke 9,105 30.14 -16.75 $83,236.17
Green Warren Koch 552 1.83 -0.64 $1,984.03
Total valid votes/expense limit 30,213 99.70   $228,699.20
Total rejected ballots 91 0.30
Turnout 30,304 64.72
Eligible voters 46,824
New Democratic gain from Conservative Swing +2.76
These results were subject to a judicial recount and modified from the validated results in accordance with the Judge's rulings. The margin of Georgina Jolibois over Lawrence Joseph increased from 71 votes to 82 votes as a result of the recount.[19]
Source: Elections Canada[20][21]
2011 federal election redistributed results[22]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 9,767 46.88
  New Democratic 9,454 45.38
  Liberal 1,097 5.27
  Green 514 2.47
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Rob Clarke 10,509 47.93 +1.26 $74,871
New Democratic Lawrence Joseph 9,715 44.30 +26.53 $74,655
Liberal Gabe Lafond 1,144 5.22 -25.06 $57,456
Green George Morin 560 2.55 -1.26 $4
Total valid votes/expense limit 21,928 99.57  
Total rejected ballots 95 0.43 -0.11
Turnout 22,023 50.35 +5.60
Eligible voters 43,739
Conservative hold Swing -12.64
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Rob Clarke 8,964 46.67 -1.16 $81,066
Liberal David Orchard 5,816 30.28 -1.30 $88,314
New Democratic Brian Morin 3,414 17.77 +0.24 $1,459
Green George Morin 733 3.82 +0.75 $1,387
First Peoples National Rob Ballantyne 282 1.47
Total valid votes/expense limit 19,209 100.00   $90,390
Total rejected ballots 105 0.54 +0.19
Turnout 19,314 44.75 +20.03
Conservative hold Swing -1.1
By-election on March 17, 2008
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Rob Clarke 4,992 47.83 +6.74
Liberal Joan Beatty 3,296 31.58 -9.79
New Democratic Brian Morin 1,830 17.53 +2.16
Green Robin Orr 320 3.07 +0.90
Total valid votes 10,438 100.00
Total rejected ballots 37 0.35 -0.01
Turnout 10,475 24.72 -33.71
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing -8.3
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Gary Merasty 10,191 41.37 +11.50 $69,229
Conservative (x)Jeremy Harrison 10,124 41.09 +3.70 $78,578
New Democratic Anita Jackson 3,787 15.37 -4.72 $43,976
Green John McDonald 534 2.17 -0.60 $128
Total valid votes 24,636 100.00  
Total rejected ballots 88 0.36 -0.03
Turnout 24,724 58.43 +11.02
  Liberal gain from Conservative Swing -3.9
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Jeremy Harrison 7,279 37.39 +1.62 $27,194
Liberal Al Ducharme 5,815 29.87 -11.94 $52,686
New Democratic Earl Cook 3,910 20.09 -1.72 $9,005
Independent (x)Rick Laliberte 1,923 9.88 -31.93
Green Marcella Gall 539 2.77
Total valid votes 19,466 100.00 
Total rejected ballots 76 0.39 -0.01
Turnout 19,542 47.41 -12.1
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing -6.8

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in the 2000 election.

Churchill River, 1997–2004

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal (x)Rick Laliberte 9,856 41.81 +13.41 $39,223
Alliance Kerry Peterson 7,679 32.57 +0.59 $62,019
New Democratic Ray Funk 5,141 21.81 -12.72 $48,853
Progressive Conservative David J. Rogers 755 3.20 -1.90
Canadian Action Brendan Cross 143 0.61 $1,398
Total valid votes 23,574 100.00  
Total rejected ballots 95 0.40 -0.09
Turnout 23,669 59.5 +2.3
  Liberal gain from New Democrat Swing -13.1

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in the 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Rick Laliberte 7,288 34.53 $41,198
Reform Daryl Wiberg 6,750 31.98 $25,132
Liberal Roy Bird 5,994 28.40 $40,104
Progressive Conservative Bert Provost 1,077 5.10 $79
Total valid votes 21,109 100.00  
Total rejected ballots 105 0.49
Turnout 21,214 57.2

See also

References

  • "Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River (Code 47003) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ Statistics Canada: 2012
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
  6. ^ "2011 National Household Survey Profile - Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)". May 8, 2013.
  7. ^ "2011 National Household Survey Profile - Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)". May 8, 2013.
  8. ^ "Aboriginal Identity (8), Sex (3) and Age Groups (12) for the Population of Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2006 Census - 20% Sample Data". 2.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
  9. ^ "2Profile of Ethnic Origin and Visible Minorities for Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2006 Census". 2.statcan.gc.ca. Archived from the original on October 5, 2013. Retrieved December 2, 2012.
  10. ^ "2011 Census of Canada: Topic-based tabulations | Detailed Mother Tongue (232), Knowledge of Official Languages (5), Age Groups (17A) and Sex (3) for the Population Excluding Institutional Residents of Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2011 Census". 2.statcan.gc.ca. October 24, 2012. Retrieved November 16, 2012.
  11. ^ "Chief responds to TV-for-votes allegation". CBC News. January 27, 2006. Retrieved October 31, 2015.
  12. ^ "Commissioner of Canada Elections Finds No Wrongdoing in Federal Vote Held in Riding of Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River, Saskatchewan". Elections Canada. October 26, 2006. Archived from the original on November 8, 2007.
  13. ^ "Judicial recount to be held in Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River". CBC News. October 30, 2015. Retrieved October 31, 2015.
  14. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders" (PDF). elections.ca. Elections Canada. April 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  15. ^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  16. ^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
  17. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  18. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
  19. ^ "NDP candidate wins Saskatchewan riding after recount: Elections Canada". CTV News. November 3, 2015. Retrieved November 3, 2015.
  20. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, 30 September 2015
  21. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived August 15, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  22. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections


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