2012 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary

2012 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary

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12 Republican National Convention delegates
The number of delegates received is determined by the popular vote
 
Candidate Mitt Romney Ron Paul Jon Huntsman
Home state Massachusetts Texas Utah
Delegate count 7 3 2[1]
Popular vote 97,591 56,872 41,964
Percentage 39.28% 22.89% 16.89%

 
Candidate Rick Santorum Newt Gingrich
Home state Pennsylvania Georgia
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 23,432 23,421
Percentage 9.43% 9.43%

  Mitt Romney
  Ron Paul
  Jon Huntsman
  N/A
Romney:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%
Paul:      30–40%

The 2012 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary took place on Tuesday, January 10, 2012.[2] Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney won the primary.

Background and campaign

In the 2008 Republican nomination contest, Mitt Romney's campaign invested heavily in the New Hampshire, but ultimately came up short to eventual nominee John McCain.[3]

In 2012, Romney, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum were heavily contesting and campaigning in the New Hampshire primary.

Though Santorum ultimately won the Iowa Caucus on January 3, it was believed at the time that Romney had won by 8 votes.

Televised debates in New Hampshire were held on January 7, 2012, on ABC News at Saint Anselm College and the following morning on January 8, 2012, on NBC's Meet the Press and MSNBC. All major Republican candidates attended both debates.

Ballot

In 2012, a record 33 Republican candidates filed to appear on the ballot in New Hampshire, including various single-issue activists, protest candidates, and perennial candidates.[4] For instance, Stewart Greenleaf, who had no interest in becoming president, registered for the ballot to promote the issue of government spending in the Republican Party.[5] Under New Hampshire's lenient ballot access laws, a candidate is only required to pay $1,000 to the state's treasury, and needs no party approval or petitions for placement.[6]

Endorsements

Newspapers

Various newspapers that circulate widely in New Hampshire made endorsements ahead of the New Hampshire primary.[7] While the conservative Union Leader, the only statewide newspaper, endorsed Gingrich, various newspapers endorsed Huntsman, with the Valley News stating that Huntsman was "a candidate whose views are solidly conservative, but not myopically so" and criticizing Romney and Gingrich, stating that "The former has raised the flip-flop to an art form, while the latter has done the same for hypocrisy" and endorsing Huntsman "in the hopes that the cooler heads will prevail in New Hampshire and elsewhere." Romney also received support, including from the Portsmouth Herald of the Seacoast Region.[8]

State politicians

Romney led the field in endorsements from New Hampshire Republican elected officials.[22] The New York Times reported that after losing New Hampshire in the 2008 primary to John McCain, Romney devoted considerable time and money to gain the support of New Hampshire Republican figures.[22] Romney's political action committee (PAC) "spread thousands of dollars" to New Hampshire Republican campaigns, including that of youthful Republican state Representative D.J. Bettencourt of the Republican-heavy Salem area, elected state House majority leader in 2011, who is one of Romney's most active supporters.[22] Romney's PAC also donated $25,000 to the New Hampshire Republican State Committee under the chairmanship of prominent New Hampshire party player John H. Sununu, a former governor and White House Chief of Staff.[22] Republican candidates for state Senate and state House, small-town Republican committees, and county sheriffs and district attorneys were all "recipients of [Romney's] largesse."[23] Romney was criticized by some as "buying" endorsements, who referenced "blatantly transactional terms that lie behind the announcements."[24] A large number of officials endorsing Romney, in New Hampshire and in other early primary states, had received contributions first.[25]

By December 11, Romney had already received the endorsement of Ted Gatsas, mayor of Manchester (New Hampshire's largest city) and former state Senate president, and 58 endorsements from state representatives.[26] According to prominent Romney supporter Thomas D. Rath, a former state attorney general described as a Republican power broker, on the eve of the primary the Romney campaign had been endorsed by 11 of 19 Republicans in the State Senate, 73 or 74 of the Republican state representatives, and eight of the 10 sheriffs, as well as the mayor of the largest city.[22] The New York Times reported that so many officials endorsed Romney that it took a three-page pamphlet mailed to New Hampshire Republicans to list them all. The Times reported that Romney-supporting officials "introduce him at virtually every campaign stop, flood gyms and seniors centers with crowds on short notice and attack his Republican rivals."[22]

New Hampshire House Speaker William L. (Bill) O'Brien endorsed Gingrich, while former House speakers George Roberts, Howard Burns, John Tucker, Donna Sytek, and Doug Scamman endorsed Romney.[27][28][29] State Senators Jim Forsythe, Andy Sanborn, and Ray White endorsed Ron Paul.

Newt Gingrich campaigning in Concord, New Hampshire
Newt Gingrich campaigning in Concord, New Hampshire

Federal politicians

Of the three Republicans in New Hampshire's congressional delegation, Senator Kelly Ayotte and Representative Charles Bass endorsed Romney, while Frank Guinta declined to endorse a candidate.[30] Executive Council members Raymond S. Burton (who has represented northern New Hampshire since the 1970s),[22] Christopher T. Sununu, and Raymond Wieczorek; State Senate Majority Leader Jeb Bradley, state Senators David Boutin, John Barnes, Jr., Jim Rausch, and Chuck Morse; and former state Senate President Tom Eaton endorsed Romney before December 7.[31] Douglas Dutile, the sheriff of Grafton County, also endorsed Romney.[22]

Senator John McCain of Arizona, who won the New Hampshire Republican primary in 2000 and 2008 and was the Republican nominee for president in 2008, endorsed Romney following the Iowa caucuses and ahead of the New Hampshire primary at a Manchester rally on January 4,[32] despite prior tension between the two in the 2008 primary race.[33][34]

Tea Party

After Iowa but before the New Hampshire primaries, tea party movement-aligned Buffalo, New York businessman Carl Paladino, the 2010 gubernatorial candidate in nearby New York, supported Gingrich and sharply criticized the rest of the candidates.[35]

Rick Santorum in New Hampshire during the 2012 Republican primary campaign
Rick Santorum in New Hampshire during the 2012 Republican primary campaign

Rick Santorum's endorsements

Notably, former PA Sen. Rick Santorum gained a disproportionately high number of endorsements (when compared to his pre-Iowa polling in the single digits) in the run up to and including the NH Primary. At one point Santorum led the entire field of GOP candidates in total number of endorsements (until the entrance of Romney and Perry), and finished with more endorsees than even Huntsman who finished third in the race. This was due in large part to the efforts of Santorum's State Co-chairs: Rep. Dan Tamburello, a current member of the NH House of Representatives from Londonderry who spearheaded the effort, Hon. Bill Cahill, a former Governor's Councilor and member of the NH House, and Claira Monier, a notable Republican party activist who was instrumental in Reagan's NH victory in 1980. Sen Santorum's national campaign manager was by Mike Biundo, who was the architect of former Manchester mayor Frank Guinta's surprising 2010 primary upset for the NH 1st Congressional district; Guinta went on to win the NH-1 district in November 2010 in a decisive victory over Democrat Carol-Shea Porter, who never conceded the race. Other notable endorsements for the Senator included Sen. Jim Luther, Sen. Fenton Groen, former candidate for Governor Karen Testerman, Rep Susan DeLemus, and NH Tea-Party luminary Jerry DeLemus. Testerman and the DeLemus' endorsed Rick after having defected from the Bachmann camp.

Polling

Result

Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 10% or more of the vote proportionally.

New Hampshire Republican primary, February 10, 2012 - certified result[36]
Candidate Votes Percentage Projected delegate count
AP[37] CNN[38] GP[39]
Mitt Romney 97,591 39.28% 8 8 7
Ron Paul 56,872 22.89% 3 3 3
Jon Huntsman 41,964 16.89% 1 0 2
Rick Santorum 23,432 9.43% 0 0 0
Newt Gingrich 23,421 9.43% 0 0 0
Rick Perry 1,764 0.71% 0 0 0
Buddy Roemer 950 0.38% 0 0 0
Michele Bachmann (withdrawn) 350 0.14% 0 0 0
Fred Karger 345 0.14% 0 0 0
Barack Obama (write-in) 285 0.11% 0 0 0
Kevin Rubash 250 0.10% 0 0 0
Gary Johnson (withdrawn) 181 0.07% 0 0 0
Herman Cain (withdrawn) 161 0.06% 0 0 0
Jeff Lawman 119 0.05% 0 0 0
Chris Hill 108 0.04% 0 0 0
Benjamin Linn 83 0.03% 0 0 0
Michael Meehan 54 0.02% 0 0 0
Keith Drummond 42 0.02% 0 0 0
Rickey Story 42 0.02% 0 0 0
Bear Betzler 29 0.01% 0 0 0
Joe Robinson 25 0.01% 0 0 0
Stewart Greenleaf 24 0.01% 0 0 0
Donald Trump (write-in) 24 0.01% 0 0 0
Sarah Palin (write-in) 23 0.01% 0 0 0
Mark Callahan 20 0.01% 0 0 0
Andy Martin 19 0.01% 0 0 0
Linden Swift 18 0.01% 0 0 0
Tim Brewer 15 0.01% 0 0 0
Vern Wuensche 15 0.01% 0 0 0
L. John Davis 14 0.01% 0 0 0
Randy Crow 12 0.00% 0 0 0
Vermin Supreme (write-in) 4 0.00% 0 0 0
James Vestermark 3 0.00% 0 0 0
Hugh Cort 3 0.00% 0 0 0
Other Write-ins[40] 213 0.09% 0 0 0
Total: 248,475 100.00% 12 11 12

References

  1. ^ Huntsman still has his 2 NH delegates...for now, DemocraticConventionWatch.com (Feb. 2, 2012)
  2. ^ "CNN.com: New Hampshire to vote Jan. 10". Archived from the original on December 27, 2011. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
  3. ^ Healy, Patrick; Cooper, Michael (January 8, 2008). "Clinton Stuns Obama; McCain Wins". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 9, 2023.
  4. ^ "N.H. primary ballot becomes equalizer between top-tier, perennial candidates". The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on October 31, 2011.
  5. ^ "Sen. Greenleaf to seek a national stage with presidential ballot spot…". Archived from the original on September 8, 2012.
  6. ^ Memoli, Michael A. (October 28, 2011). "Record number of Republicans file for New Hampshire primary". Los Angeles Times.
  7. ^ Paul Briand, "Rundown of NH newspaper endorsements in GOP presidential race" (January 6, 2012). Examiner.com.
  8. ^ Ros Krasny, "Huntsman gets New Hampshire newspaper endorsements" (December 18, 2011). Reuters.
  9. ^ Joseph W. McQuaid. "An Editorial: For President, Newt Gingrich Archived 2016-03-03 at the Wayback Machine" (November 27, 2011). New Hampshire Union Leader.
  10. ^ "Mitt Romney: Best suited to be the GOP's standard-bearer Archived July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine" (December 4, 2011). Foster's Daily Democrat.
  11. ^ "Economic smarts make Romney best of GOP field Archived 2012-01-16 at the Wayback Machine" (December 18, 2011). Portsmouth Herald.
  12. ^ "Jon Huntsman" (December 18, 2011). Keene Sentinel.
  13. ^ "Jon Huntsman: The Better Choice Archived 2012-01-14 at the Wayback Machine" (December 18, 2011). Valley News.
  14. ^ "Editorial: Romney to Win[permanent dead link]" (December 21, 2011). Conway Daily Sun.
  15. ^ "Huntsman is the best choice for GOP" (December 22, 2011). Concord Monitor.
  16. ^ "Endorsement: Nation needs Romney" (December 28, 2011). Boston Herald.
  17. ^ Kenneth Rapoza, "Three NH Newspapers Endorse Ron Paul" (January 4, 2012). Forbes.
  18. ^ "Romney our choice for GOP nomination" (December 5, 2011). Nashua Telegraph.
  19. ^ "For vision and national unity, Huntsman for GOP nominee Archived 2012-03-26 at the Wayback Machine" (January 6, 2012). Boston Globe.
  20. ^ "Jon Huntsman's Global Warming Views Earn Kudos from Boston Globe - Yahoo! News". news.yahoo.com. Archived from the original on August 19, 2012.
  21. ^ "Editorial: Romney is best choice in New Hampshire" (January 6, 2011). Eagle-Tribune.
  22. ^ a b c d e f g h Nicholas Confessore, "For Romney, Friends in High Places Help Get Out the N.H. Vote" (January 9, 2012), New York Times.
  23. ^ Alec MacGillis, "Unremitting: How Romney wore down New Hampshire" (November 3, 2011). New Republic.
  24. ^ Alec MacGillis, "Buys, Er, Receives Haley Nod" (December 16, 2011). New Republic.
  25. ^ Edward Matson, "35 Romney endorsers received contributions first: Mitt takes the endorsement game "to a whole new level" (January 7, 2011). Salon.
  26. ^ Shira Schoenberg, "Mayor Ted Gatsas endorses Mitt Romney Archived 2012-01-10 at the Wayback Machine" (December 11, 2011). Boston Globe.
  27. ^ Amy Gardner, "Gingrich collects endorsements from Iowa, New Hampshire House speakers, faces Occupy-style protesters" (December 21, 2011). Washington Post.
  28. ^ Philip Rucker, "In N.H. and Iowa, Gingrich and Romney engage in endorsements duel" (December 20, 2011). Washington Post.
  29. ^ Michael Falcone and Amy Walter, "Rivals Try To Rain On Romney’s New Hampshire Parade" (December 21, 2011). ABC News.
  30. ^ Lauren W. Whittington, "Frank Guinta Declines to Make Pre-Primary Endorsement" (January 8, 2011). Roll Call.
  31. ^ Shira Schoenberg, "Mitt Romney plans mailer for New Hampshire" (December 7, 2011). Boston Herald.
  32. ^ Katharine Q. Seelye and Jeff Zeleny, "McCain Backs Romney After Santorum's Surge in Iowa (January 4, 2012). New York Times.
  33. ^ Peter Schroeder, "McCain downplays tension with Romney" (January 8, 2012). The Hill.
  34. ^ Michael D. Shear, "Does McCain's Endorsement Really Help Romney? (January 5, 2012). New York Times.
  35. ^ Benjy Sarlin, "Carl Paladino Trash-Talks The Entire GOP Field (Except Newt) Archived 2012-01-09 at the Wayback Machine" (January 8, 2012). Talking Points Memo.
  36. ^ "New Hampshire Secretary of State 2012 Presidential Primary Election Results". Retrieved March 29, 2012.
  37. ^ "2012 Election: Primaries". USA Today.
  38. ^ "Iowa Results". CNN. Archived from the original on March 3, 2012.
  39. ^ "New Hampshire Republican Delegation 2012".
  40. ^ List also contain write-ins votes for Donald Trump and Sarah Palin: http://www.sos.nh.gov/presprim2012/Republican%20Write-Ins.pdf Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine