Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (Senedd constituency)

Not to be confused with Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (UK Parliament constituency).

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Dwyrain Caerfyrddin a Dinefwr
Senedd county constituency for the Senedd
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr shown within the Mid and West Wales electoral region and the region shown within Wales
Current Senedd county constituency
Created	1999
Party	Plaid Cymru
MS	Adam Price
Preserved county	Dyfed

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (Welsh: Dwyrain Caerfyrddin a Dinefwr) is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. It is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

It had been held since its formation in 1999 by the Plaid Cymru politician, Rhodri Glyn Thomas until his retirement in 2016. It is now held by Plaid Cymru politician Adam Price, who became leader of the party in 2018.

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries

1999 to 2007

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Westminster constituency. It was a Dyfed constituency, one of five constituencies covering, and entirely within, the preserved county of Dyfed.

The other four Dyfed constituencies were Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli and Preseli Pembrokeshire. They were all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consisted of the eight constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli, Meirionnydd Nant Conwy, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

From 2007

The constituency includes the whole of 41 Carmarthenshire communities (Abergwili; Ammanford; Betws; Cenarth; Cilycwm; Cwmamman; Cynwyl Gaeo; Dyffryn Cennen; Gorslas; Llanarthney; Llanddarog; Llanddeusant; Llandeilo; Llandovery; Llandybie; Llandyfaelog; Llanegwad; Llanfair-ar-y-bryn; Llanfihangel Aberbythych; Llanfihangel-ar-Arth; Llanfihangel Rhos-y-Corn; Llanfynydd; Llangadog; Llangathen; Llangeler; Llangunnor; Llangyndeyrn; Llanllawddog; Llanllwni; Llansadwrn; Llansawel; Llanwrda; Llanybydder; Llanycrwys; Manordeilo and Salem; Myddfai; Newcastle Emlyn; Pencarreg; Quarter Bach; St Ishmael; Talley).

Boundaries changed for the 2007 Assembly election. Carmarthen East and Dinefwr remains one of five Dyfed constituencies and one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales region. However, boundaries within Dyfed changed, to realign them with local government ward boundaries and to reduce the disparities in the sizes of constituency electorates, and the boundaries of the region changed, to align them with the boundaries of preserved counties.

The other four Dyfed constituencies are, again, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli and Preseli Pembrokeshire, all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consists of the constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Dwyfor Meirionnydd, Llanelli, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

For Westminster purposes, the same new constituency boundaries became effective for the 2010 United Kingdom general election.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly members and Members of the Senedd

Election		Member	Party
	1999	Rhodri Glyn Thomas	Plaid Cymru
	2016	Adam Price

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

2021 Senedd election: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr^[1]

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional[2]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Adam Price[a]	15,261	45.9	-2.6	13,403	40.0	-3.2
	Labour	Robert James	8,448	25.41	+6.2	8,531	25.5	+5.5
	Conservative	Havard Hughes	7,751	23.31	+8.2	7,125	21.3	+6.8
	Liberal Democrats	Monica French	975	2.93	+0.1	732	2.2	-0.9
	Reform UK	Karl Pollard	818	2.46	New	350	1.0	New
	Green					1,320	3.9	+1.2
	Abolish					785	2.3	-1.0
	UKIP					508	1.5	-9.9
	Christian					174	0.5	New
	Freedom Alliance (UK)					163	0.5	New
	Gwlad					154	0.5	New
	Propel					128	0.4	New
	Communist					92	0.3	+0.1
	TUSC					26	0.1	New
Majority			6,813	20.48	−8.8
Turnout			33,253	51.94[3]	−1.8
	Plaid Cymru hold		Swing
Notes Incumbent member for this constituency

Elections in the 2010s

Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Party		Candidate	Constituency[4]			Regional[5]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Adam Price	14,427	48.5	+3.6	12,825	43.2	+3.2
	Labour	Steve Jeacock	5,727	19.2	-10.8	5,930	20.0	-6.6
	Conservative	Matthew Paul	4,489	15.1	-5.1	4,288	14.5	-3.2
	UKIP	Neil Hamilton	3,474	11.7	New	3,393	11.4	+7.6
	Liberal Democrats	William Powell	837	2.8	-2.0	919	3.1	-0.8
	Green	Freya Amsbury	797	2.7	New	787	2.7	-1.2
	Abolish					973	3.3	New
	People First (Wales)					159	0.5	New
	Monster Raving Loony					122	0.4	New
	Welsh Christian					116	0.4	-0.3
	Association of Welsh Independents					83	0.3	New
	Communist					68	0.2	-0.1
Majority			8,700	29.3	+14.4
Turnout			29,751	53.7	+2.4
	Plaid Cymru hold		Swing	+7.2

Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Party		Candidate	Constituency [6]			Regional[7]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Rhodri Glyn Thomas	12,501	44.9	-8.6	11,129	40.0	-4.3
	Labour	Antony Jones	8,353	30.0	+5.4	7,419	26.6	+5.1
	Conservative	Henrietta Hensher	5,635	20.2	+4.2	4,941	17.7	+3.0
	Liberal Democrats	Will Griffiths	1,339	4.8	-1.2	1,085	3.9	-0.4
	Green					1,088	3.9	-0.3
	UKIP					1,058	3.8	+0.6
	Socialist Labour					470	1.7	+0.6
	BNP					392	1.4	-1.2
	Welsh Christian					194	0.7	0.0
	Communist					71	0.3	0.0
Majority			4,148	14.9	−14.0
Turnout			27,828	51.3	−3.6
	Plaid Cymru hold		Swing	-7.1

Regional ballots rejected: 132^[8]

Elections in the 2000s

Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional[9]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Rhodri Glyn Thomas	15,655	53.5	+5.0	12,956	44.3	+3.2
	Labour	Kevin Madge	7,186	24.6	-6.6	6,282	21.5	-7.6
	Conservative	Henrietta Hensher	4,676	16.0	+2.6	4,292	14.7	+2.6
	Liberal Democrats	Ian Walton	1,752	6.0	-1.0	1,244	4.3	-2.6
	Green					1,219	4.2	-+0.4
	UKIP					948	3.2	+0.8
	BNP					756	2.6	New
	Gwynoro Jones - Independent					423	1.4	New
	Caroline Evans - Independent					390	1.3	New
	Socialist Labour					321	1.1	New
	Welsh Christian					194	0.7	New
	Communist					91	0.3	New
	Veritas					79	0.3	New
	CPA					40	0.1	New
Majority			8,469	28.9	+11.6
Turnout			29,269	55.7	+6.2
	Plaid Cymru hold		Swing	+5.9

Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional[10]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Rhodri Glyn Thomas	12,969	48.5	-4.6	11,021	41.1	-12.1
	Labour	Anthony Cooper	8,355	31.2	-0.5	7,810	29.1	+3.8
	Conservative	Harri Lloyd Davies	3,576	13.4	+4.9	3,253	12.1	+2.4
	Liberal Democrats	Steffan John	1,866	7.0	+0.3	1,859	6.9	+0.9
	Green					1,018	3.8	Unknown
	Mid and West Wales Pensioners					848	3.2	New
	UKIP					644	2.4	New
	Cymru Annibynnol					188	0.7	New
	Vote 2 Stop the War					103	0.4	New
	Prolife Alliance					51	0.2	New
Majority			4,614	17.3	−4.1
Turnout			26,766	49.5	−11.5
	Plaid Cymru hold		Swing	-2.1

2003 Electorate: 54,110
Regional ballots rejected: 239

Elections in the 1990s

Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Rhodri Glyn Thomas	17,328	53.1	N/A	17,469	53.3	N/A
	Labour	Chris Llewelyn	10,348	31.7	N/A	8,253	25.3	N/A
	Conservative	Helen Stoddart	2,776	8.5	N/A	3,168	9.7	N/A
	Liberal Democrats	Juliana Hughes	2,202	6.7	N/A	1,961	6.0	N/A
	Other list parties					1,782	5.5	N/A
Majority			6,980	21.4
Turnout			32,654	61.0
	Plaid Cymru win (new seat)

References

1. [1] Archived 12 May 2021 at the Wayback Machine Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Statement of Persons Nominated
2. "Senedd Cymru Elections: Mid and West Wales region - Carmarthen East and Dinefwr". Carmarthenshire Council. Retrieved 29 July 2021.
3. Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 20 November 2021.
4. "Wales elections > Carmarthen East and Dinefwr". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
5. "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
6. "Wales elections > Carmarthen East and Dinefwr". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2011.
7. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 30 October 2021.
8. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
9. "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 24 October 2021.
10. The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Archived from the original on 3 June 2023. Retrieved 24 October 2021.

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