2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary

2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary

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182 delegates (155 pledged, 27 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 95 60
Popular vote 986,661 605,701
Percentage 58.94% 36.18%

Results by county
Biden:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Sanders:      40-50%
Pledged national
convention
delegates
Type Del. Type Del.
CD1 8 CD10 5
CD2 7 CD11 5
CD3 6 CD12 5
CD4 5 CD13 5
CD5 7 CD14 5
CD6 6 CD15 3
CD7 8 CD16 4
CD8 5 CD17 5
CD9 8 CD18 4
PLEO 20 At-large 34
Total pledged delegates 155

The 2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 17, 2020, the third primary Tuesday of the month, as one of three states voting on the same day in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, while the contest in Ohio had been postponed for roughly a month. The Illinois primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 182 delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 155 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Immediately after the polls closed at 7:00 pm Central Time, the Associated Press declared former vice president Joe Biden the winner of the Illinois primary. Biden was victorious in all but one county, Champaign County, winning 59% of the vote and 95 delegates, while senator Bernie Sanders received the rest of 36% and 60 delegates. Together with his victories on the same day in Florida and Arizona, Biden greatly expanded the gap in delegates between him and Sanders.[1] Voter turnout was significantly down from 2016, due to the closure of polling places as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.[2][3]

Procedure

Illinois was one of three states which held primaries on March 17, 2020, alongside Arizona and Florida,[4] while only one day before Ohio had been the first state to postpone its primary due to the COVID-19 pandemic and cancel in-person voting, accepting ballots until April 28 instead.

Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 155 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between three and eight were allocated to each of the state's 18 congressional districts and another 20 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 34 at-large delegates.[5] As a March primary on Stage I of the primary timetable Illinois received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[6]

National convention district level delegates were listed on the ballot and chosen during the primary. The national convention delegation meeting was subsequently held on April 27, 2020, to vote on the 34 at-large and 20 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention through a quorum of district delegates. The delegation also included 27 unpledged PLEO delegates: 10 members of the Democratic National Committee, 15 members of Congress (both senators and 13 representatives), the governor J. B. Pritzker, and former president Barack Obama.[5]

Candidates

The following candidates qualified for the ballot in Illinois:[7]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Un-
decided[d]
270toWin[8] Mar 17, 2020 Mar 7–16, 2020 58.6% 30.2% 2.0% 9.2%
RealClear Politics[9] Mar 17, 2020 Mar 10–12, 2020 60.0% 30.5% [e] 9.5%
FiveThirtyEight[10] Mar 17, 2020 until Mar 16, 2020[f] 61.5% 26.6% 1.5% 10.4%
Average 60.0% 29.1% 1.8% 9.1%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Illinois Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Swayable[11] Mar 16, 2020 1,861 (LV) ± 3.0% 63% 28% 10%[h]
Emerson College/Nexstar[12] Mar 11–12, 2020 567 (LV) ± 4.1% 57% 36% 2%[i] 6%
Gravis Marketing[13] Mar 10–12, 2020 549 (LV) ± 4.2% 63% 25% 12%
ROI Rocket[14] Mar 6–12, 2020 960 (LV) ± 3.1% 57% 34% [j] [j]
Victory Research[15] Mar 7–9, 2020 1,200 (LV) ± 2.83% 55% 36% 1%[k] 8%
Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club[16] Mar 8, 2020 457(LV) ± 4.58% 64% 32% 4%[l] [m]
55% 26% 2%[n] 16%
Mar 1–5, 2020 Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race
Victory Research[17] Feb 17–19, 2020 1,200(LV) ± 2.83% 20.3% 14.5% 11.4% 6.3% 25.6% 6.6% 4.4%[o] 10.9%
Southern Illinois University[18] Feb 10–17, 2020 475 (LV) ± 4.5% 14% 17% 13% 8% 22% 6% 2%[p] 17%
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Victory Research[19] Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2019 1,500 (RV) ±2.83% 23.2% 3.6% 15.9% 3.2% 2.6% 15.0% 17.4% 12.3%[q] 6.9%
Victory Research[20] Jul 26–29, 2019 1,200 ± 2.83% 36.1% 9.3% 8.6% 1.7% 15.2% 12.8% 9.2%[r] 7.3%

Results

2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary[21]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[22]
Joe Biden 986,661 58.94 95
Bernie Sanders 605,701 36.18 60
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)[b] 25,500 1.52
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)[b] 24,413 1.46
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[c] 9,729 0.58
Tulsi Gabbard 9,642 0.58
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[a] 4,021 0.24
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 2,684 0.16
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[c] 1,684 0.10
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)[a] 1,567 0.09
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)[a] 1,346 0.08
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,185 0.07
Total 1,674,133 100% 155

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f Candidate withdrew after the New Hampshire primary when early voting had already begun.
  2. ^ a b c d Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday during early voting.
  3. ^ a b c d Candidate withdrew shortly before Super Tuesday during early voting.
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  5. ^ Gabbard not averaged
  6. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  7. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 7%
  9. ^ Gabbard with 2%
  10. ^ a b Not yet released
  11. ^ Gabbard with 1%
  12. ^ Gabbard with 4%
  13. ^ Result after "Undecided" is ruled out as an option.
  14. ^ Gabbard with 2%
  15. ^ Steyer with 3.4%; Gabbard with 1.0%
  16. ^ Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
  17. ^ Patrick with 2.4%; Booker with 2.3%; Steyer with 1.8%; Castro with 1.6%; Yang with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Williamson with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bullock with 0.5%; Sestak with 0.3%; Delaney with 0.1%
  18. ^ O'Rourke with 2.1%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%

References

  1. ^ "Illinois Election Results: Live Presidential Primary 2020". New York Times. March 17, 2020. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
  2. ^ "The Coronavirus Outbreak Has Made Voting In Illinois Today A Full Mess". BuzzFeed News. March 17, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
  3. ^ Levine, Sam (March 18, 2020). "Closures and confusion as US voters go to the polls amid coronavirus concerns". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
  4. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  5. ^ a b "Illinois Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 20, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  6. ^ "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  7. ^ "Election Results – 2020 General Primary". Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved April 3, 2022.
  8. ^ 270toWin
  9. ^ RealClear Politics
  10. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  11. ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-17 at the Wayback Machine
  12. ^ Emerson College/Nexstar
  13. ^ "Gravis Marketing" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 15, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2020.
  14. ^ ROI Rocket
  15. ^ Victory Research
  16. ^ Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club
  17. ^ Victory Research
  18. ^ Southern Illinois University
  19. ^ Victory Research
  20. ^ Victory Research
  21. ^ Sandvoss, Steven S. (Executive Director) (April 17, 2020). Official Canvass of the 2020 Illinois General Election. Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
  22. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Illinois Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 2, 2020.