Opinion polling for the 2024 Portuguese legislative election

In the run up to the 2024 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, held on 30 January, to the day the next election was held on 10 March.

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local Regression of polls conducted since the election
Local Regression of polls conducted since the election

Polling

For the events during these years, see 2022 in Portugal, 2023 in Portugal, and 2024 in Portugal.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, parties are shaded with their colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Polls that show their results without distributing those respondents who are undecided or said they would abstain from voting, are re-calculated by removing these numbers from the totals through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results.

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS
Aliança Democrática 2024 (Portugal) logo.png
 CH IL BE CDU PAN L O Lead
PSD CDS–PP
2024 legislative election 10 Mar 2024 — 59.9 28.0
78 		28.8
80 		18.1
50 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		3.2
4 		2.0
1 		3.2
4 		7.5
0 		0.8
CESOP–UCP 10 Mar 2024 36,149 62–68 25–29
69/77 		29–33
83/91 		14–17
40/46 		5–7
7/10 		4–6
5/7 		2–4
2/3 		1.5–
2.5
0/2 		3–5
4/6 		4
ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris 10 Mar 2024 20,888 53.5–
59.5 		24.2–
28.4
68/80 		27.6–31.8
77/89 		16.6–
20.8
44/54 		4.1–
7.3
6/12 		3.2–
6.4
3/9 		1.3–
4.5
1/5 		0.5–
3.1
1/4 		2.3–
4.9
2/6 		3.4
Pitagórica 10 Mar 2024 28,089 59.5–
64.5 		24.5–
29.5
63/75 		28.0–33.0
79/91 		16.6–
21.6
35/47 		3.3–
6.3
9/15 		3.0–
6.0
3/7 		2.3–
5.3
1/5 		0.8–
2.8
1/3 		2.2–
5.2
6/12 		3.5
Intercampus 10 Mar 2024 24,328 57–61 23.8–
29.8
67/79 		27.2–33.2
77/89 		15.6–
20.6
42/52 		3.3–
7.3
6/12 		2.7–
6.7
4/10 		1.2–
5.2
1/5 		0.5–
3.5
0/4 		2.1–
6.1
4/8 		3.4
Duplimétrica[a] 5–7 Mar 2024 600 ? 29 35 15 6 5 3 1 4 2 6
Duplimétrica[a] 4–6 Mar 2024 600 ? 29 35 14 6 5 3 1 4 3 6
Consulmark2 1–6 Mar 2024 801 ? 27.0 29.8 18.2 6.4 5.2 2.5 1.2 4.6 5.1 2.8
Duplimétrica[a] 3–5 Mar 2024 600 ? 28 35 15 6 5 4 1 4 2 7
CESOP–UCP 28 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,405 ? 28
70/80 		34
88/98 		16
33/41 		6
6/10 		5
4/10 		5
4/7 		1
0/1 		3
2/3 		2
0 		6
Duplimétrica[a] 2–4 Mar 2024 600 ? 27 36 16 5 6 3 1 4 2 9
Intercampus[b] 28 Feb–4 Mar 2024 802 ? 25.0 31.5 16.8 8.4 5.9 2.3 4.0 4.6 1.5 6.5
Duplimétrica[a] 1–3 Mar 2024 600 ? 26 35 17 5 6 3 1 3 4 9
Duplimétrica[a] 29 Feb–2 Mar 2024 600 ? 26 35 17 4 6 4 1 4 3 9
Duplimétrica[a] 28 Feb–1 Mar 2024 600 ? 27 34 18 5 5 3 1 3 4 7
Duplimétrica[a] 27–29 Feb 2024 600 ? 27 34 17 5 5 2 1 4 5 7
Duplimétrica[a] 26–28 Feb 2024 600 ? 26 32 18 6 6 2 2 4 4 6
Duplimétrica[a] 25–27 Feb 2024 600 ? 27 33 17 6 5 2 2 4 4 6
Aximage 23–27 Feb 2024 809 ? 33.1 29.6 16.7 3.9 6.6 4.0 2.0 1.7 2.4 3.5
Duplimétrica[a] 24–26 Feb 2024 600 ? 26 33 17 6 5 2 1 3 6[c] 7
CESOP–UCP 22–26 Feb 2024 1,207 ? 27
69/79 		33
86/96 		17
33/41 		6
6/10 		5
5/7 		3
3/5 		2
2 		4
3/4 		3
0 		6
Duplimétrica[a] 23–25 Feb 2024 600 ? 26 33 17 7 5 2 1 3 6[d] 7
ICS/ISCTE 17–25 Feb 2024 907 ? 30 31 17 4 5 3 2 2 6 1
Duplimétrica[a] 22–24 Feb 2024 600 ? 26 31 17 8 6 2 1 4 5[e] 5
Duplimétrica[a] 21–23 Feb 2024 600 ? 28 28 20 7 6 2 1 3 5 Tie
CESOP–UCP 19–21 Feb 2024 1,284 ? 29 35 17 6 4 2 1 3 3 6
Duplimétrica 10–20 Feb 2024 800 ? 26 29 20 7 4 2 2 3 7 3
Intercampus[f] 8–17 Feb 2024 1,203 ? 26.0 26.4 20.8 8.4 6.8 3.0 3.1 3.7 2.0 0.4
Aximage 8–13 Feb 2024 805 ? 33.1 27.7 16.4 4.9 6.3 2.3 3.3 2.8 3.2 5.4
Consulmark2 6–12 Feb 2024 804 ? 27.4 30.0 18.1 5.5 4.2 2.6 1.1 2.9 8.1 2.6
Intercampus[g] 6–10 Feb 2024 608 ? 25.6 27.8 18.8 7.5 6.2 3.1 3.7 3.1 4.2 2.2
CESOP–UCP 24 Jan–1 Feb 2024 1,192 ? 28 32 19 6 5 2 1 3 4 4
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Jan 2024 804 ? 29 27 21 5 5 3 1 1 8 2
Aximage 16–20 Jan 2024 801 ? 32.7 27.4 16.2 4.2 8.0 2.6 2.9 1.9 4.1 5.3
Intercampus[h] 16–20 Jan 2024 637 ? 30.9 24.3 19.4 6.3 8.7 4.6 2.6 1.5 1.8 6.6
Consulmark2 11–17 Jan 2024 801 ? 26.7 28.1 17.5 6.3 7.2 3.3 1.2 2.1 7.5 1.4
Aximage 18–23 Dec 2023 805 ? 34.1 24.8 1.2 16.3 4.1 6.3 2.7 3.7 1.8 5.0 9.3
Intercampus[i] 18–21 Dec 2023 611 ? 29.3 26.0 1.8 13.4 7.6 10.1 2.7 3.5 3.3 2.3 3.3
Consulmark2 17–20 Dec 2023 803 ? 24.1 37.6 12.0 4.9 9.1 3.3 1.1 2.8 5.0 13.5
? 26.5 27.5 1.7 15.2 5.8 7.7 2.8 0.8 2.3 9.7 1.0
Consulmark2 30 Nov–6 Dec 2023 575 ? 26.0 30.0 2.3 17.2 6.7 4.4 2.1 1.4 2.3 7.6 4.0
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 2023 1,102 ? 28 29 2 16 9 6 3 2 2 3 1
Aximage 18–23 Nov 2023 802 ? 32.9 26.7 1.5 16.2 5.0 6.9 3.2 2.9 2.0 2.7 6.2
Intercampus[j] 14–17 Nov 2023 604 ? 25.5 23.6 2.0 14.6 9.1 10.2 3.5 4.7 3.2 3.6 1.9
Aximage[k] 10–13 Nov 2023 504 ? 28 27 1 18 6 9 3 3 3 2 1
Intercampus[l] 7–8 Nov 2023 602 ? 22.2 27.0 2.5 16.1 8.7 9.8 4.0 2.8 3.3 3.6 4.8
Aximage 18–24 Oct 2023 805 ? 28.6 24.9 1.6 14.6 6.7 7.1 3.8 4.8 2.9 5.0 3.7
Intercampus[m] 18–23 Oct 2023 604 ? 27.3 27.9 1.7 12.7 9.0 7.3 4.4 3.5 1.5 4.7 0.6
Aximage[n] 2–5 Oct 2023 601 ? 29.3 25.6 2.6 13.6 5.3 7.1 4.3 3.6 2.8 5.8 3.7
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Sep 2023 804 ? 31 25 2 13 3 6 6 2 2 10 6
Intercampus[o] 9–14 Sep 2023 614 ? 30.0 28.6 0.8 12.8 9.3 6.4 4.3 2.1 2.3 3.4 1.4
Intercampus[p] 7–11 Aug 2023 607 ? 27.9 26.6 1.1 13.4 8.3 8.0 3.7 3.4 2.8 4.8 1.3
CESOP–UCP 6–15 Jul 2023 1,006 ? 32 33 1 10 7 7 4 1 2 3 1
Aximage 6–11 Jul 2023 800 67.9 28.8 27.7 1.1 13.0 5.2 8.0 3.2 3.8 2.7 6.5 1.1
Intercampus[q][1] 3–6 Jul 2023 623 ? 25.2 24.5 1.2 13.6 9.8 9.5 4.6 4.8 2.5 4.3 0.7
CESOP–UCP[r][2] 1–21 Jun 2023 2,042 ? 32 35 1 9 6 6 3 1 1 6 3
Intercampus[s] 25–31 May 2023 611 ? 24.5 26.3 2.4 12.9 8.8 10.2 4.1 3.9 2.4 4.5 1.8
ICS/ISCTE 13–28 May 2023 1,204 ? 31 30 1 13 4 5 5 2 1 8 1
Intercampus[t] 4–5 May 2023 606 ? 25.7 25.5 1.8 14.7 8.4 9.6 4.2 2.4 2.3 5.4 0.2
Aximage 10–14 Apr 2023 805 70.2 28.3 28.6 1.3 12.1 6.1 6.3 3.5 4.5 2.7 6.6 0.3
Intercampus[u] 6–12 Apr 2023 610 ? 28.1 26.9 1.6 14.7 8.2 7.8 4.8 2.6 1.2 4.1 1.2
ICS/ISCTE 11–20 Mar 2023 807 ? 30 30 2 13 4 5 5 2 1 8 Tie
Intercampus[v] 9–15 Mar 2023 613 ? 28.4 27.3 1.5 15.2 7.9 7.2 3.6 1.7 2.7 4.5 1.1
CESOP–UCP 9–17 Feb 2023 1,002 ? 32 31 1 11 8 7 4 2 2 2 1
Intercampus[w][3] 3–10 Feb 2023 602 ? 28.4 27.6 1.1 14.1 9.0 5.8 4.7 2.9 1.6 4.8 0.8
Pitagórica 11–17 Jan 2023 828 ? 26.9 30.6 0.0 14.2 8.0 5.6 2.2 0.9 1.9 9.7 3.7
Aximage 10–14 Jan 2023 805 65.1 27.1 25.1 1.4 12.9 9.5 6.6 4.8 3.1 3.4 6.1 2.0
Intercampus[x] 6–11 Jan 2023 605 ? 31.1 29.5 0.7 10.7 7.6 7.5 3.7 3.7 2.4 3.3 1.6
Pitagórica 9–15 Dec 2022 828 ? 35.9 30.4 0.7 9.1 5.2 3.4 4.3 0.6 2.2 8.2 5.5
ICS/ISCTE 3–15 Dec 2022 809 ? 37 29 0 9 2 7 5 3 0 8 8
Intercampus[y][4] 12–14 Dec 2022 663 ? 30.9 25.3 2.2 11.0 8.6 8.6 4.4 3.6 1.9 3.5 5.6
Intercampus[z] 15–20 Nov 2022 605 ? 28.8 26.2 1.6 13.6 8.0 7.3 6.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6
Pitagórica 11–17 Nov 2022 828 ? 35.1 30.4 1.3 8.2 6.1 3.8 5.1 1.2 2.0 6.8 4.7
Intercampus[aa] 17–22 Oct 2022 607 ? 33.2 29.1 0.7 10.8 8.6 7.1 3.0 2.1 2.6 2.8 4.1
Pitagórica 11–17 Oct 2022 828 ? 36.2 30.0 1.6 9.3 7.9 3.9 3.8 1.2 1.0 5.1 6.2
Aximage 21–24 Sep 2022 810 59.2 34.5 30.9 1.9 8.9 6.7 3.8 3.2 3.0 2.1 5.0 3.6
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 2022 807 ? 37 28 0 11 3 4 4 3 0 10 9
Intercampus[ab] 9–15 Sep 2022 606 ? 35.5 28.7 1.3 10.7 6.0 6.0 3.4 2.9 2.1 3.4 6.8
Intercampus[ac] 3–10 Aug 2022 605 ? 38.5 26.5 0.8 9.8 8.3 5.8 2.6 1.5 2.2 4.0 12.0
Pitagórica 28 Jul–10 Aug 2022 828 ? 36.7 27.6 2.5 9.5 8.5 4.4 4.2 1.5 1.5 3.6 9.1
CESOP–UCP 11–15 Jul 2022 885 ? 38 30 1 9 6 5 5 1 2 3 8
Intercampus[ad] 6–11 Jul 2022 605 ? 39.8 22.5 2.3 9.4 9.6 6.1 3.2 2.5 1.9 2.7 17.3
Aximage 5–10 Jul 2022 810 57.2 35.8 30.1 1.4 10.2 6.1 5.6 3.3 1.9 2.0 3.6 5.7
Pitagórica 21 Jun–4 Jul 2022 828 ? 38.9 24.9 1.8 8.3 8.6 5.3 3.9 1.2 1.8 5.3 14.0
Intercampus[ae] 8–14 Jun 2022 611 ? 38.8 24.6 3.0 9.3 7.8 5.9 3.6 3.0 1.4 2.6 14.2
Intercampus[af][5] 7–15 May 2022 611 ? 39.5 21.2 3.3 8.8 7.8 5.9 4.1 4.1 2.1 3.2 18.3
Aximage 12–18 Apr 2022 807 ? 40.7 25.2 2.2 7.8 7.9 4.0 4.1 1.5 1.5 5.1 15.5
Pitagórica 15–20 Feb 2022 600 ? 37.1 31.7 1.4 5.6 7.3 4.5 4.3 1.3 2.7 4.1 5.4
2022 legislative election[6] 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		1.6
0 		7.2
12 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		4.3
0 		12.3

Hypothetical scenarios

Hypothetical polling

Jorge Moreira da Silva as PSD leader

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS CH IL BE CDU CDS–PP PAN L O Lead
Pitagórica 7–24 Apr 2022 625 ? 42.3 19.9 6.4 10.3 5.1 4.5 1.7 1.1 2.4 6.3 22.4
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		7.2
12 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
0 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		4.3
0 		12.3

Luís Montenegro as PSD leader

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS CH IL BE CDU CDS–PP PAN L O Lead
Pitagórica 7–24 Apr 2022 625 ? 41.5 21.6 5.7 10.0 5.1 4.3 2.0 1.4 2.4 6.0 19.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		7.2
12 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
0 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		4.3
0 		12.3

Luís Montenegro as PSD leader and Nuno Melo as CDS-PP leader

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS CH IL BE CDU Nuno Melo PAN L O Lead
Pitagórica 15–20 Feb 2022 600 ? 36.5 30.6 4.2 7.2 4.4 4.4 5.3 1.3 2.5 3.6 5.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		7.2
12 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
0 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		4.3
0 		12.3

Pedro Nuno Santos as PS leader

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS PSD CH IL BE CDU CDS–PP PAN L O Lead
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 2023 803 ? 29 26 15 6 6 4 1 3 1 3 5.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		7.2
12 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
0 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		4.3
0 		12.3

José Luís Carneiro as PS leader

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS PSD CH IL BE CDU CDS–PP PAN L O Lead
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 2023 803 ? 30 25 15 6 5 3 2 3 2 3 5.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		7.2
12 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
0 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		4.3
0 		12.3

PSD/CDS–PP/IL coalition

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS PSD/CDSIL CH BE CDU PAN L O Lead
PSD CDS–PP IL
Consulmark2 17–20 Dec 2023 803 ? 24.3 42.0 12.8 8.5 3.5 0.9 3.2 4.9 17.7
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		1.6
0 		4.9
8 		7.2
12 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		4.3
0 		12.3

Constituency polling

Madeira

Unlike the rest of the country, in Madeira, the PSD and CDS–PP contested the election under a coalition called Madeira First, while PPM presented a list of its own.[7][8]

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSD/CDS PS
Logo Juntos pelo Povo.png
 CH IL BE CDU PAN L ADN O Lead
2024 legislative election 10 Mar 2024 — 58.9 35.4
3 		19.8
2 		9.6
0 		17.6
1 		3.9
0 		2.9
0 		1.6
0 		2.1
0 		1.2
0 		1.6
0 		2.0
0 		15.6
Intercampus[ag] 26 Feb–3 Mar 2024 401 ? 34.6
3 		22.3
2 		6.4
0 		9.9
1 		9.1
0 		3.3
0 		3.7
0 		1.8
0 		1.8
0 		2.7
0 		4.4
0 		12.3
Aximage 21–29 Feb 2024 512 ? 46.5
3 		24.9
2 		5.1
0 		12.4
1 		4.0
0 		2.7
0 		0.7
0 		1.6
0 		0.9
0 		— 1.2
0 		21.6
2023 regional election 24 Sep 2023 — 53.3 43.1
(4) 		21.3
(2) 		11.0
(0) 		8.9
(0) 		2.6
(0) 		2.2
(0) 		2.7
(0) 		2.2
(0) 		0.6
(0) 		0.5
(0) 		2.2
(0) 		21.8
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 50.3 39.8
3 		31.5
3 		6.9
0 		6.1
0 		5.6
0 		3.2
0 		2.0
0 		1.6
0 		0.7
0 		0.4
0 		2.2
0 		8.3

Leadership polls

Preferred prime minister

Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best prime minister or who is better positioned to win are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Pedro Nuno Santos vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date N Both/
O 		NO Lead
Intercampus 28 Feb–4 Mar 2024 30.8 44.1 — — 25.1 13.3
CESOP–UCP 19–21 Feb 2024 34 46 — — 20 12
Intercampus 6–10 Feb 2024 30.0 40.6 — — 29.4 10.6
Intercampus 16–20 Jan 2024 36.3 31.2 — — 32.5 5.1
Consulmark2 11–17 Jan 2024 31.1 34.8 — 22.3 11.7 3.7
Aximage 18–23 Dec 2023 37 34 — — 29 3
Intercampus 18–21 Dec 2023 28.2 24.1 31.4 4.1 12.2 4.1
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 2023 39 40 — — 21 1
Aximage 18–23 Nov 2023 47 31 — — 22 16
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 2023 35.9 30.7 — — 33.4 5.2
Aximage 10–13 Nov 2023 33 40 — — 27 7
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 2023 27.0 44.9 — — 28.1 17.9

António Costa vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date N Both/
O 		NO Lead
Aximage 18–24 Oct 2023 34 20 40 1 5 14
Aximage 2–5 Oct 2023 26 22 39 6 7 4
Aximage 6–11 Jul 2023 37 20 38 2 3 17
Aximage 10–14 Apr 2023 38 21 34 2 5 17
Intercampus 9–15 Mar 2023 40.6 26.8 5.2 — 27.4 13.8
Aximage 10–14 Jan 2023 38 19 37 1 5 19
Aximage 21–24 Sep 2022 38 20 30 1 11 18
Intercampus[ah] 9–15 Sep 2022 43.6 30.0 3.6 — 22.8 13.6
Aximage 5–10 Jul 2022 45 17 28 2 8 28

Hypothetical scenarios

Hypothetical polling

José Luís Carneiro vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date N Both/
O 		NO Lead
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 2023 42 37 — — 21 5
Aximage 18–23 Nov 2023 38 37 — — 25 1
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 2023 34.2 30.4 — — 35.4 3.8
Aximage 10–13 Nov 2023 28 43 — — 29 15

Possible PS candidates vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date N Both/
O 		NO Lead
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 2023 36.9 — — — 42.0 — — 21.1 5.1
— 30.7 — — 43.4 — — 25.9 12.7
— — 22.1 — 49.8 — — 28.1 27.7
— — — 20.8 46.1 — — 33.1 25.3

Leaders' ratings

Poll results showing the public opinion on all political party leaders rated from 0 to 10[ai] (with the former being strong disapproval and the latter strong approval) are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order (showing the most recent first).

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Debate com Rui Rocha na CNN, Fev.2024 (53539434166) (cropped) (cropped) Nuno Melo Lead
Intercampus 29 Feb–4 Mar 2024 — 5.2 — 6.0 4.6 — 5.8 — 5.2 — 4.6 5.2 5.6 5.8 0.2
Intercampus 6–10 Feb 2024 — 5.0 — 5.4 4.6 — 5.4 — 5.4 — 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.4 Tie
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Jan 2024 — 4.3 — 4.0 3.4 — 2.9 — 3.8 — 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 0.3
Intercampus 16–20 Jan 2024 — 5.0 — 5.0 4.6 — 5.2 — 5.4 — 4.6 5.0 5.2 5.4 Tie
Intercampus 18–21 Dec 2023 — 5.4 — 5.6 4.6 — 5.8 — 5.8 — 5.3 5.4 5.4 6.0 0.2
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 2023 4.8 — — 5.2 4.6 — 5.6 — 5.6 — 4.8 5.0 5.6 5.6 Tie
Intercampus 18–23 Oct 2023 4.8 — — 5.2 4.4 — 5.6 — 5.6 — 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.6 Tie
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Sep 2023 4.6 — — 3.6 2.9 — 3.2 — 3.8 — 2.9 2.7 2.7 3.1 0.8
Intercampus 9–14 Sep 2023 5.2 — — 5.4 4.4 — 5.4 — 5.4 — 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.4 Tie
Intercampus 7–11 Aug 2023 5.4 — — 5.6 4.4 — 5.4 — 5.4 — 4.8 5.0 5.4 5.4 0.2
CESOP–UCP 6–15 Jul 2023 5.1 — — 5.2 3.5 — 4.7 — 5.4 — 4.4 — 4.5 5.1 0.2
Intercampus 3–6 Jul 2023 5.2 — — 5.6 4.6 — 5.6 — 5.8 — 4.8 5.2 5.6 5.6 0.2
Intercampus 25–31 May 2023 5.0 — — 5.8 4.6 — 6.0 5.8 — — 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.8 0.2
ICS/ISCTE 13–28 May 2023 4.8 — — 3.9 3.0 — 3.2 4.1 — — 3.2 — 3.3 3.3 0.7
Aximage 10–14 Apr 2023 4.8 — — 5.2 5.0 — 5.8 5.4 — — 4.8 5.2 5.6 6.0 0.2
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 2023 5.2 — — 5.6 4.4 — 5.6 5.2 — — 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.4 Tie
ICS/ISCTE 11–20 Mar 2023 4.6 — — 4.2 3.4 — 3.1 4.1 — — 3.2 — 3.3 3.5 0.4
Intercampus 9–15 Mar 2023 5.2 — — 5.4 4.6 — 5.2 5.2 — — 4.4 4.8 5.0 5.2 0.2
Intercampus 3–10 Feb 2023 5.2 — — 5.6 4.8 5.6 — 5.0 — — 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.4 Tie
Aximage 10–14 Jan 2023 4.8 — — 5.2 4.8 6.2 — 5.6 — — 5.4 5.2 5.4 6.0 0.2
Intercampus 6–11 Jan 2023 5.2 — — 5.8 4.6 5.6 — 5.2 — — 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 0.2
ICS/ISCTE 3–15 Dec 2022 5.4 — — 4.5 3.0 3.9 — 4.5 — — 3.6 — 3.8 3.7 0.9
Intercampus 12–14 Dec 2022 5.8 — — 5.8 4.4 5.8 — 5.4 — — 4.8 5.2 5.2 5.4 Tie
Intercampus 15–20 Nov 2022 5.6 — — 5.6 4.2 5.6 — 5.0 — 4.4 — 5.0 5.0 5.2 Tie
Intercampus 17–22 Oct 2022 5.6 — — 5.6 4.4 5.6 — 5.0 — 4.0 — 4.8 4.8 5.0 Tie
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 2022 5.3 — — 4.4 3.0 3.8 — 3.9 — 2.9 — — 3.3 3.6 0.9
Intercampus 9–15 Sep 2022 6.0 — — 5.8 4.4 5.6 — 5.0 — 4.0 — 5.0 5.0 5.2 0.2
Intercampus 3–10 Aug 2022 5.8 — — 5.6 4.2 5.6 — 5.0 — 3.8 — 4.8 4.8 5.2 0.2
Intercampus 6–11 Jul 2022 6.0 — — 5.6 4.2 5.8 — 5.2 — 3.8 — 5.0 5.2 5.4 0.2
Intercampus 8–14 Jun 2022 6.4 — — 5.6 4.2 5.8 — 5.2 — 4.0 — 5.2 5.2 5.6 0.6
ICS/ISCTE 11 Feb–7 Mar 2022 6.0 — 4.0 — 2.3 3.6 — 4.0 — 3.7 — — 3.3 2.5 2.0

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Graphical summary

Polling

Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size António Costa's cabinet
Approve Disapprove Neither No opinion Net
Intercampus 6–10 Feb 2024 608 16.5 60.3 22.0 1.2 38.3
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Jan 2024 804 26 69 — 5 43
Intercampus 16–20 Jan 2024 637 19.0 57.3 21.8 1.9 35.5
Intercampus 18–21 Dec 2023 611 21.3 49.6 25.2 3.9 24.4
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 2023 803 27 69 — 4 42
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 2023 602 16.9 61.3 21.4 0.3 39.9
Aximage 18–24 Oct 2023 805 25 56 17 2 31
Intercampus 18–23 Oct 2023 604 17.4 60.0 21.7 0.9 38.3
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Sep 2023 804 28 66 — 6 38
Intercampus 9–14 Sep 2023 614 21.2 52.4 24.6 1.8 27.8
Intercampus 7–11 Aug 2023 607 20.5 50.8 27.8 0.9 23.0
CESOP–UCP 6–15 Jul 2023 1,006 9 52 38 1 14
Aximage 6–11 Jul 2023 800 26 54 16 4 28
Intercampus 3–6 Jul 2023 623 21.8 54.1 23.0 1.1 31.1
Intercampus 25–31 May 2023 611 14.7 60.1 24.1 1.1 36.0
ICS/ISCTE 13–28 May 2023 1,204 25 71 — 4 46
Aximage 10–14 Apr 2023 805 23 60 15 2 37
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 2023 610 20.4 56.6 22.0 1.0 34.6
ICS/ISCTE 11–20 Mar 2023 807 29 64 — 7 35
Intercampus 9–15 Mar 2023 613 21.6 55.3 20.9 2.2 33.7
CESOP–UCP 9–17 Feb 2023 1,002 7.0 52.2 38.9 1.9 13.3
Intercampus 3–10 Feb 2023 602 17.8 54.6 25.7 1.8 28.9
Pitagórica 11–17 Jan 2023 828 12 53 34 1 19
Aximage 10–14 Jan 2023 805 20 59 18 3 39
Intercampus 6–11 Jan 2023 605 19.1 54.4 24.6 1.8 29.8
Pitagórica 9–15 Dec 2022 828 17 41 40 2 1
ICS/ISCTE 3–15 Dec 2022 809 41 52 — 6 11
Pitagórica 11–17 Nov 2022 828 19 32 47 2 15
Intercampus 17–22 Oct 2022 607 29.4 42.7 26.5 1.4 13.3
Pitagórica 11–17 Oct 2022 828 15 42 41 2 1
Aximage 21–24 Sep 2022 810 30 48 17 5 18
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 2022 807 42 49 — 9 7
Intercampus 9–15 Sep 2022 606 29.5 40.8 27.2 2.5 11.3
Intercampus 3–10 Aug 2022 605 29.9 36.0 31.7 2.4 4.3
Pitagórica 28 Jul–10 Aug 2022 828 19 42 37 2 5
CESOP–UCP 11–15 Jul 2022 885 10 37 50 3 13
Intercampus 6–11 Jul 2022 605 32.0 40.0 25.6 2.4 8.0
Aximage 5–10 Jul 2022 810 35 43 17 5 8
Pitagórica 21 Jun–4 Jul 2022 828 18 34 47 1 13
Intercampus 8–14 Jun 2022 611 36.4 33.2 29.3 1.1 3.2
Intercampus 7–15 May 2022 611 40.1 27.2 31.1 1.6 9.0
Pitagórica 7–24 Apr 2022 625 28 27 41 4 13
Aximage 12–18 Apr 2022 807 45 27 21 7 18

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Tracking Poll
  2. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (6.9%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 29.3%; PS: 23.3%; CHEGA: 15.6%; IL: 7.8%; BE: 5.5%; Livre: 4.3%; PAN: 3.7%; CDU: 2.1%; Others/Invalid: 1.4%.
  3. ^ National Democratic Alternative (ADN): 1%; Others/Invalid: 5%.
  4. ^ National Democratic Alternative (ADN): 1%; Others/Invalid: 5%.
  5. ^ National Democratic Alternative (ADN): 1%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
  6. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (18.8%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 21.4%; PS: 21.1%; CHEGA: 16.9%; IL: 6.8%; BE: 5.5%; Livre: 3.0%; PAN: 2.5%; CDU: 2.4%; Others/Invalid: 1.6%.
  7. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.4%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 24.3%; PS: 22.4%; CHEGA: 16.5%; IL: 6.6%; BE: 5.4%; PAN: 3.2%; CDU: 2.7%; Livre: 2.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.7%.
  8. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (14.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 26.4%; AD: 20.8%; CHEGA: 16.6%; BE: 7.4%; IL: 5.4%; CDU: 3.9%; PAN: 2.2%; Livre: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 1.5%.
  9. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (13.2%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.4%; PSD: 22.5%; CHEGA: 11.6%; BE: 8.8%; IL: 6.6%; PAN: 3.0%; Livre: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 2.0%.
  10. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (7.4%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.6%; PSD: 21.9%; CHEGA: 13.5%; BE: 9.5%; IL: 8.4%; PAN: 4.4%; CDU: 3.2%; Livre: 3.0%; CDS-PP: 1.9%; Others/Invalid: 3.3%.
  11. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 26%; PSD: 25%; CHEGA: 17%; BE: 8%; IL: 6%; CDU: 3%; PAN: 3%; Livre: 3%; CDS-PP: 1%; Others/Invalid: 2%.
  12. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (19.1%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 21.8%; PS: 17.9%; CHEGA: 13.0%; BE: 7.9%; IL: 7.0%; CDU: 3.2%; Livre: 2.7%; PAN: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 2.0%; Others/Invalid: 2.9%.
  13. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (7.7%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 25.7%; PS: 25.2%; CHEGA: 11.7%; IL: 8.3%; BE: 6.7%; CDU: 4.1%; PAN: 3.2%; CDS-PP: 1.6%; Livre: 1.4%; Others/Invalid: 4.3%.
  14. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (5.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.6%; PSD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 12.8%; BE: 6.7%; IL: 5.0%; CDU: 4.0%; PAN: 3.4%; Livre: 2.6%; CDS-PP: 2.4%; Others/Invalid: 5.5%.
  15. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (13.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.8%; PSD: 24.6%; CHEGA: 11.0%; IL: 8.0%; BE: 5.5%; CDU: 3.7%; Livre: 2.0%; PAN: 1.8%; CDS-PP: 0.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.0%.
  16. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.3%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.6%; PSD: 22.5%; CHEGA: 11.4%; IL: 7.0%; BE: 6.8%; CDU: 3.1%; PAN: 2.9%; Livre: 2.4%; CDS-PP: 0.9%; Others/Invalid: 4.1%.
  17. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (6.8%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.5%; PSD: 22.8%; CHEGA: 12.7%; IL: 9.1%; BE: 8.9%; PAN: 4.5%; CDU: 4.3%; Livre: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 4.1%.
  18. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (21%), would not vote (6%) and refused to answer (5%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 24%; PS: 22%; CHEGA: 6%; IL: 4%; BE: 4%; CDU: 2%; CDS-PP: 1%; Livre: 1%; PAN: <1%; Others/Invalid: 5%.
  19. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (8.4%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 24.1%; PS: 22.4%; CHEGA: 11.8%; BE: 9.3%; IL: 8.1%; CDU: 3.8%; PAN: 3.6%; Livre: 2.2%; CDS-PP: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 4.1%.
  20. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.4%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 21.2%; PSD: 21.1%; CHEGA: 12.1%; BE: 7.9%; IL: 6.9%; CDU: 3.5%; PAN: 2.0%; Livre: 1.9%; CDS-PP: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 4.5%.
  21. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.4%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.2%; PSD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 13.2%; IL: 7.3%; BE: 7.0%; CDU: 4.3%; PAN: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.4%; Livre: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 3.7%.
  22. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (11.3%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.2%; PSD: 24.2%; CHEGA: 13.5%; IL: 7.0%; BE: 6.4%; CDU: 3.2%; Livre: 2.4%; PAN: 1.5%; CDS-PP: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 4.0%.
  23. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.4%; PSD: 22.8%; CHEGA: 11.6%; IL: 7.4%; BE: 4.8%; CDU: 3.9%; PAN: 2.4%; Livre: 1.3%; CDS-PP: 0.9%; Others/Invalid: 4.0%.
  24. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 26.3%; PSD: 24.9%; CHEGA: 9.0%; IL: 6.4%; BE: 6.3%; CDU: 3.1%; PAN: 3.1%; Livre: 2.0%; CDS-PP: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 2.8%.
  25. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.7%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.0%; PSD: 22.1%; CHEGA: 9.6%; IL: 7.5%; BE: 7.5%; CDU: 3.8%; PAN: 3.1%; CDS-PP: 1.9%; Livre: 1.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.0%.
  26. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 24.2%; PSD: 22.0%; CHEGA: 11.4%; IL: 6.7%; BE: 6.1%; CDU: 5.4%; Livre: 2.3%; PAN: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 2.3%.
  27. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (14.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 28.3%; PSD: 24.8%; CHEGA: 9.2%; IL: 7.3%; BE: 6.1%; CDU: 2.6%; Livre: 2.2%; PAN: 1.8%; CDS-PP: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
  28. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (13.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 30.6%; PSD: 24.7%; CHEGA: 9.2%; IL: 5.2%; BE: 5.2%; CDU: 2.9%; PAN: 2.5%; Livre: 1.8%; CDS-PP: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 2.9%.
  29. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (14.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 33.1%; PSD: 22.8%; CHEGA: 8.4%; IL: 7.1%; BE: 5.0%; CDU: 2.2%; Livre: 1.9%; PAN: 1.3%; CDS-PP: 0.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.4%.
  30. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (11.8%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 35.1%; PSD: 19.8%; IL: 8.5%; CHEGA: 8.3%; BE: 5.4%; CDU: 2.8%; PAN: 2.2%; CDS-PP: 2.0%; Livre: 1.9%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
  31. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (11.6%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 34.3%; PSD: 21.7%; CHEGA: 8.2%; IL: 6.9%; BE: 5.2%; CDU: 3.2%; PAN: 2.7%; CDS-PP: 2.7%; Livre: 1.2%; Others/Invalid: 2.3%.
  32. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.6%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 34.5%; PSD: 18.5%; CHEGA: 7.7%; IL: 6.8%; BE: 5.2%; CDU: 3.6%; PAN: 3.6%; CDS-PP: 2.9%; Livre: 1.8%; Others/Invalid: 2.9%.
  33. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.1%). With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 29.4%; PS: 18.9%; CHEGA: 8.4%; IL: 7.7%; JPP: 5.4%; CDU: 3.1%; BE: 2.8%; ADN: 2.3%; Livre: 1.5%; PAN: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 3.8%.
  34. ^ Question: Between Montenegro and Costa, which would be the best Prime Minister to face the economic crisis?
  35. ^ Intercampus and Aximage polls rate party leaders from 1 to 5. CESOP–UCP poll rates party leaders from 0 to 20. The results are adapted to match the ICS/ISCTE polls.

References

  1. ^ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects Facebook page. Retrieved 8 July 2023.
  2. ^ "Portugal, CESOP-UCP poll:". Europe Elects Facebook page. Retrieved 5 July 2023.
  3. ^ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects. Retrieved 16 February 2023.
  4. ^ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects. Retrieved 19 December 2022.
  5. ^ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  6. ^ "Resultados Globais". Ministry of Internal Administration (in Portuguese). Retrieved 31 January 2022.
  7. ^ "PSD/Madeira vai "defender" região mesmo que tenha de ir contra o partido". Notícias ao Minuto (in Portuguese). 2024-01-22. Retrieved 2024-01-23.
  8. ^ "PPM Madeira entregou lista de candidata às legislativas". Diário de Notícias da Madeira (in Portuguese). 2024-01-25. Retrieved 2024-01-27.

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هذه المقالة يتيمة إذ تصل إليها مقالات أخرى قليلة جدًا. فضلًا، ساعد بإضافة وصلة إليها في مقالات متعلقة بها. (نوفمبر 2019) جلبة قوى عظمى تستوجب مسؤولية عظمى (بالإنجليزية: With great power comes great responsibility)‏ هي عبارة ذات صيت وتعرف أيضاً بمبدأ بيتر باركر (بالإنجليزية: Peter Parker principle)‏ ، شُهرت ...

 

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