Opinion polling for the 2024 Japanese general election

In the run up to the 2024 Japanese general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 31 October 2021 to 27 October 2024.

Graphical summary

LOESS curve of the party identification polling for the next Japanese general election with a 7-day average

Party identification

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP NHK Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
27 Oct Election results 53.84%[a] 26.7 21.2 9.4 10.9 6.2 11.3 7 3.4 1.7 0 2.1[b] – – 5.5
19–20 Oct Kyodo News 1,262 31.8 15.4 5.4 4.2 2.5 5.4 4 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.5 21.1 6.5 10.7
18–20 Oct NHK 2,524 31.3 9.2 3.4 4.4 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.1 34.8 6.9 3.5
12–14 Oct NHK 2,515 35.1 8.4 3 3.7 2.5 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.5 0 1.1 34.4 7.9 0.7
12–13 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 982 33.2 13.5 4.9 3.5 5.5 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.2 0 – 33 – 0.2
11–14 Oct Jiji Press 1,172 18.9 4.6 2.2 4 1.5 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.3 – – 62.2 3.2 43.3
11–12 Oct Kyodo News 1,264 37.7 12.6 4.9 5.1 2.7 3 2 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.2 21.1 7.9 16.6
9 Oct The House of Representatives is dissolved. A general election is called for 27 October 2024.[1]
5–6 Oct JNN 1,019 33.9 11.7 3.9 2.2 2 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 – 0.8 37.1 4.8 3.2
5–6 Oct ANN 1,024 40.8 12.4 3.3 3.6 4.8 1.1 1.9 0.7 0.3 – 1.5 25.2 4.4 15.6
3 Oct Mainichi/SSRC 2,061 29 10 4 2 1 3 2 1 – – – 45 3 16
1–2 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo 784 41 11 5 3 3 1 2 – – – 1 29 3 12
1–2 Oct Kyodo News 1,102 42.3 11.7 5.4 4.1 4 3.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 – 4.9[c] 18.6 1.1 23.7
1–2 Oct Asahi 1,178 33 6 2 3 1 2 1 1 – – 1 42 8 9
1–2 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,095 38 7 3 3 2 1 1 – 1 – – 40 3 2
1 Oct Shigeru Ishiba succeeds Fumio Kishida as Prime Minister of Japan. The Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
28 Sep Keiichi Ishii succeeds Natsuo Yamaguchi as President of Komeito.[2]
27 Sep Shigeru Ishiba is elected President of the LDP.
23 Sep Yoshihiko Noda is elected President of the CDP.
21–22 Sep ANN 1,012 39.8 10.8 4.8 3.9 3.8 1.5 1.6 0.4 1 – 1.4[d] 26.8 4.1 13
21 Sep SSRC 2,044 25 10 6 2 2 2 3 1 – – 1 49 – 24
14–15 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 992 32.5 14.2 4.7 2.8 5.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 – 36.7 – 4.2
14–15 Sep Sankei/FNN 1,012 30.6 7.5 2.5 2.5 1.7 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1[e] 46.9 5.2 16.3
14–15 Sep Asahi 1,070 28 7 2 2 1 1 – – – – 1 48 10 20
13–15 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,040 31 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 – – 48 4 17
13–15 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 902 37 9 5 3 4 2 2 – 1 – 1 34 3 3
6–9 Sep Jiji Press 1,170 21.1 4 2.3 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 – 0.1[f] 64.1 2.6 43
7–8 Sep JNN 1,011 31 5.3 2.3 2.4 1.7 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.2 – 1.2[g] 48.6 4.3 17.6
6–8 Sep NHK 1,220 31.3 6.6 3 2.3 2.6 1 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.5 45.3 5.7 14
24–25 Aug SSRC 1,752 23 9 5 2 2 3 3 1 – – 1 51 – 28
24–25 Aug Asahi 1,058 26 7 2 3 2 1 1 – – – 1 50 7 24
24–25 Aug ANN 1,015 39.1 11 4.2 3.8 3.2 1.7 2.1 0.5 0.7 – 0.7 29.4 3.6 9.7
23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 30 6 3 2 1 1 2 – – – – 48 7 18
21–22 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 595 36 8 7 2 2 3 2 – – – 1 34 4 2
17–19 Aug Kyodo News 1,064 36.7 12.3 8.5 4.2 4.2 2.8 3.3 2.3 1 0.5 0.7[h] 17.8 5.7 18.9
17–18 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 987 29.5 13.3 5.5 3.1 3 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.1[i] 41.4 – 11.9
14 Aug Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
5 Aug Nikkei 225 decline
2–5 Aug Jiji Press 1,194 19.9 3.7 1.8 2.2 1.3 1 0.7 0.4 0.2 – 0.1[j] 65.5 3.2 45.6
3–4 Aug JNN 1,010 27.1 5.2 3.7 2.3 2.6 2 1.4 0.6 0.4 – 0.9 48.1 5.7 21
2–4 Aug NHK 1,199 29.9 5.2 2.4 3.3 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.3 45.7 8.1 15.8
26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 32 10 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 – 1 35 3 3
20–21 Jul Sankei/FNN 1,033 25.1 6.1 2.6 2.8 4.1 1.3 2.7 1 0.5 – – 51.1 2.7 26
20–21 Jul Kyodo News 1,035 33.1 10.1 6.6 3 3.2 4.7 3.3 0.3 0.8 0.1 2.8[k] 30 2 3.1
20–21 Jul Mainichi 1,020 21 14 8 4 5 4 5 – – – – 33 6 12
20–21 Jul SSRC 2,044 20 7 6 3 2 4 3 1 – – 1 54 – 34
19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 24 5 5 3 2 1 1 – 1 – – 54 4 30
13–14 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 987 25.9 12.2 4.9 3.5 7.2 1 1.2 1.3 1 0.7 0.1[l] 40.9 – 15
13–14 Jul ANN 1,012 35.2 9.5 5.5 4.7 4 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.6 – 1.6 31.4 3.3 3.8
5–8 Jul Jiji Press 1,160 16 6.3 2.7 2.5 2.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.4 – – 64.1 3.7 48.1
6–7 Jul JNN 1,021 24.1 7.4 4.3 2.6 2.1 1.6 3.4 0.6 0.6 – 1[m] 47.8 4.5 23.7
5–7 Jul NHK 1,211 28.4 5.2 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 – 0.6 47.2 6 18.8
28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 31 9 9 3 4 2 2 1 – – 1 33 – 2
22–23 Jun SSRC 2,043 18 10 6 2 2 3 2 1 1 – 1 52 2 34
22–23 Jun Mainichi 1,057 18 17 8 4 6 4 5 1 1 – – 32 4 14
22–23 Jun Kyodo News 1,056 26.5 11.7 7.2 2 3.4 2.7 5.1 1 0.2 0.3 3.2[n] 34.8 1.9 8.3
21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 25 6 6 3 2 2 2 – – – 1 47 6 22
15–16 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 984 22.3 16.2 6.2 3.4 6 1.8 2.1 0.9 1 0.1 0.3[o] 39.7 – 17.4
15–16 Jun Sankei/FNN 1,013 25.5 8.1 4.4 2.6 2.1 1.5 2.3 0.3 0.5 – 1.5[p] 47.9 3.3 22.4
15–16 Jun ANN 1,026 30.7 12.6 7.8 4.2 3.9 2.2 2.9 0.2 0.4 – 2 30.1 3 0.6
7–10 Jun Jiji Press 1,240 16.4 4.4 2.4 3.4 1.6 1 0.9 0.2 0.1 – – 66.8 2.8 50.4
7–9 Jun NHK 1,192 25.5 9.5 3.6 2.4 3 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 44 8.1 18.5
1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 23.8 7.3 4.3 3.1 3 2.3 2 1 0.2 – 1 48.2 3.8 24.4
24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 27 12 9 5 3 2 2 1 – – 1 33 5 6
18–19 May Mainichi 1,093 17 20 10 3 7 3 5 2 1 – – 28 4 8
18–19 May ANN 1,045 32.5 12.9 5.9 4.8 3.2 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.9 – 1.7 30 4 2.5
17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 27 7 4 3 2 1 3 1 – – 1 46 5 19
11–13 May Kyodo News 1,055 24.7 12.7 7.4 3.4 4.9 4.5 3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4[q] 32.3 4.9 7.6
11–12 May Senkyo.com/JX 976 23.5 17.8 4.8 3.3 6.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.1[r] 40.3 – 16.8
10–13 May Jiji Press 1,260 15.7 5.1 2.1 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.4 – 0.2[s] 66.9 3.3 51.2
10–12 May NHK 1,202 27.5 6.6 4.5 3.1 3 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.7 – 1.1 44.3 6.7 16.8
4–5 May JNN 1,013 23.4 10.2 4.6 2.9 2.9 2.3 1.8 0.3 0.2 – 1.4[t] 46.9 3.1 23.5
29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 29 13 8 4 4 2 3 1 – – 1 33 2 4
28 Apr 2024 Japan by-elections
20–21 Apr Mainichi 1,032 20 15 9 3 6 4 6 – – – – 28 9 8
19–21 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 24 5 4 3 2 1 3 1 – – 1 51 5 27
13–15 Apr Kyodo News 1,049 25.1 10.9 8.1 3.5 2.5 2.3 4.5 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.9[u] 35.2 4.2 10.1
13–14 Apr ANN 1,037 36 9.3 6.4 3.3 4.5 2.3 2.3 0.4 0.3 – 1.4 29.4 4.7 6.6
13–14 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 981 24.7 15.4 4.4 2.7 5.7 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.2[v] 42.5 – 17.8
5–8 Apr Jiji Press 1,200 15.3 3.8 3.5 3.6 1.6 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.3 – – 66.9 2.4 51.6
5–7 Apr NHK 1,204 28.4 6.5 4.7 4 2.4 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 41.3 8 12.9
30–31 Mar JNN 1,036 25 6.1 4.3 2.1 2.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 – 1.5[w] 52.9 2.6 27.9
22–24 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 925 28 11 9 3 4 3 4 1 1 – – 34 2 6
22–24 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,020 23 8 5 3 2 2 2 – – – 1 51 3 28
16–17 Mar ANN 1,031 35.5 11.1 7.5 3.2 4 1.4 3.7 0.8 0.8 – 1.3 25.9 4.8 9.6
16–17 Mar SSRC 2,044 16 9 8 2 2 4 4 1 1 – 1 53 – 37
16–17 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 983 23.6 13.6 6.8 3.7 6.6 1.4 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2[x] 40.1 – 16.5
16–17 Mar Mainichi 997 17 13 10 3 7 4 6 – – – – 34 6 17
16–17 Mar Asahi 1,065 22 6 4 3 3 1 4 – – – – 56 1 34
8–11 Mar Jiji Press 1,160 17.7 4.7 3.6 2.8 1.6 1 1.6 0.3 0.3 – – 64.8 1.6 47.1
9–10 Mar Kyodo News 1,043 24.5 10.1 8.9 4.1 4.7 3.1 4.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.5[y] 31.3 6.1 6.8
8–11 Mar NHK 1,206 28.6 6.8 3.8 3.1 2.8 1.2 2.5 0.4 0.6 – 0.7 42.4 7 13.8
24–25 Feb ANN 1,034 35.2 11.9 7.4 2.8 4.5 2.2 2.3 0.8 0.9 – 1.3 26.4 4.3 8.8
23–25 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 867 25 9 8 6 3 4 3 1 1 – 1 36 3 11
17–18 Feb SSRC 2,043 16 9 10 2 3 4 3 1 – – 1 50 1 34
17–18 Feb Mainichi 1,024 16 16 13 3 7 5 6 1 – – – 28 5 12
17–18 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 991 23.3 12.9 6.5 3.9 6 1.5 2.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.1[z] 41.8 – 18.5
16–18 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,083 24 5 4 4 2 2 2 – – – – 52 5 28
10–12 Feb NHK 1,215 30.5 6.7 3.1 3.2 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.6 44 6.4 13.5
9–12 Feb Jiji Press 1,180 16.3 4.1 3.3 3.6 2.4 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.3 – – 64.7 3.7 48.4
27–28 Jan JNN/Mainichi 1,049 23 14 9 3 8 4 7 2 – – – 27 3 4
26–28 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 969 31 8 7 4 5 4 4 1 – – 1 32 3 1
21 Jan SSRC 2,052 20 8 8 2 3 3 3 1 – – 1 49 2 29
20–21 Jan ANN 1,007 34.6 8.1 8.4 4.2 6.3 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.1 29.4 3.5 5.2
19–21 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,074 25 5 5 3 2 2 3 – – – 0 48 7 23
19 Jan Dissolution of Kōchikai,[3] Shisuikai[4] and Seiwakai[5] factions of the LDP.
18 Jan Tomoko Tamura succeeds Kazuo Shii as Chairperson of the JCP.
13–14 Jan Senkyo.com/JX 996 30.2 12.9 7.2 3 5.5 1 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 – 37 – 6.8
12–14 Jan NHK 1,212 30.9 5.3 3.9 3.4 1.9 0.8 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 45 5.4 14.1
6–7 Jan JNN 1,209 29.1 5.5 4.8 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.6 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.7[aa] 47.2 2.3 18.1
1 Jan 2024 Noto earthquake
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

2023

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP NHK Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
16–17 Dec JNN/Mainichi 1,080 17 14 13 3 5 4 7 2 1 – – 31 3 14
16–17 Dec Senkyo.com/JX 990 23.9 11.6 6.5 3.7 5.3 1 2.4 1 0.8 0.3 0.3[ab] 43.1 – 19.2
16–17 Dec ANN 1,011 37.1 9.9 6.1 2.3 4.6 2.1 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 2.2[ac] 29.5 3.2 7.6
16–17 Dec Kyodo News 1,018 26 9.3 12 3 3.3 5.9 3.2 1.4 1.3 0.3 1.8[ad] 29.1 3.4 3.1
15–17 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 28 5 5 3 2 1 2 1 – – 1 48 4 20
15–16 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 729 30 9 12 3 3 2 4 1 1 – 1 32 2 2
8–11 Dec Jiji Press 1,188 18.3 4.4 3.2 2.8 1.9 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.3 – – 62.5 3.6 44.2
8–10 Dec NHK 1,212 29.5 7.4 4 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 43.3 5.1 13.8
8 Dec Slush fund scandal
3 Dec SSRC 2,047 19 7 9 2 2 4 4 1 – – 1 49 – 30
25–26 Nov ANN 1,015 38.4 8.3 6.3 3.9 3.3 1.5 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 1.8 29.7 3.2 8.7
24–26 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 869 34 8 8 4 3 3 2 2 – – 1 30 5 4
18–19 Nov Mainichi 1,032 24 9 14 3 6 5 7 2 – – – 26 4 2
17–19 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,067 28 5 7 2 1 2 2 1 – – 1 48 3 20
11–12 Nov Senkyo.com/JX 993 28 12 7.6 3.4 5.4 2.1 1.8 0.5 0.7 0.2 – 38.3 – 10.3
10–12 Nov NHK 1,224 37.7 4.7 4 3.4 2.6 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.7 38.5 4.8 0.8
5 Nov SSRC 1,511 20 7 10 3 3 3 4 1 2 47 – 27
28–29 Oct ANN 1,019 38.3 10.9 6.6 3.9 3.6 2.3 1.7 0.6 0.9 0.1 1.9 23.6 5.6 14.7
27–29 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo 852 32 9 9 5 4 3 3 1 1 – 1 30 4 2
22 Oct October 2023 Japan by-elections
14–15 Oct Mainichi 1,030 23 11 13 4 4 5 5 3 – – – 27 5 4
14–15 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 991 28.7 11.9 8.2 4.3 4.6 2 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.2 – 36.2 – 7.5
13–15 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,022 30 4 7 4 2 1 1 1 – – – 27 23 3
7–9 Oct NHK 1,219 36.2 5.3 4.9 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 40 5.4 3.8
6–9 Oct Jiji Press 1,176 21 3.1 3.9 3.1 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.3 – – 61.1 3.1 40.1
1 Oct SSRC 1,505 21 7 12 2 2 3 3 2 1 – 1 46 – 25
30 Sep – 1 Oct JNN 1,208 31.6 5.1 5.5 2.4 2.7 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 – 1.3 45.7 2.1 14.1
23–24 Sep ANN 1,018 41 7.8 9.5 2.7 2.9 2.5 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.3 2.1 24.8 3,4 16.2
16–17 Sep Mainichi 1,030 26 11 13 2 5 5 5 3 1 – – 25 4 1
13–14 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 749 38 6 11 4 5 3 3 1 – – 1 24 3 14
13–14 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,088 31 4 6 3 3 3 1 1 – – – 41 5 10
13 Sep Second Reshuffle of Kishida Cabinet
9–10 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 995 27.7 12.1 8.3 3.8 4.7 1.5 2.3 1.7 1 0.2 – 36.6 – 8.9
8–10 Sep NHK 1,236 34.1 4 5.8 2.2 2.3 1.9 0.9 1 0.4 0.2 – 42.8 4.4 8.7
3 Sep SSRC 1,509 24 7 12 3 3 3 3 1 1 – – 42 – 18
2–3 Sep JNN 1,219 32.4 4.9 6.1 2.8 2.2 1.3 1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 43.4 3.4 11.5
25–27 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 847 38 5 10 4 2 2 3 1 – – – 33 2 5
25–27 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 30 3 6 3 3 3 3 – – – – 44 3 14
19–20 Aug Kyodo News 1,049 35.8 8.7 11.4 3.6 3.5 4.4 4.8 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.9 22.5 2.6 13.3
19–20 Aug ANN 1,010 39.4 6.7 10.3 3.9 3.5 2.5 2 0.6 0.4 0.3 2 25.6 2.8 13.8
12–13 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 997 29 9.9 9.5 2.6 5.8 1.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.2 – 37.1 – 8.1
11–13 Aug NHK 1,223 34.1 4.7 4.8 3.4 2.7 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 39.2 7 5.1
6 Aug SSRC 1,509 23 8 13 2 2 2 3 1 – – 0 44 2 21
5–6 Aug JNN 1,206 30.5 4.6 6.7 2.5 2.1 1.7 3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 43.6 3.5 13.1
28–30 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 904 36 6 10 4 6 3 3 1 – – – 27 4 9
22–23 Jul Mainichi 1,022 24 9 16 4 6 4 7 3 – 1 – 25 1 1
21–23 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 33 4 9 2 2 2 2 1 – – – 42 3 9
15–16 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 997 29.8 9.6 9.9 2.9 4.7 1.2 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.5 – 37.2 – 7.4
14–16 Jul Kyodo News 1,034 30.1 8.7 10.6 5.9 2.9 3 3.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0 32.5 1.2 2.4
8–9 Jul ANN 1,023 42 7.1 10 3.9 2 1.9 2 0.6 0.4 0.5 2.1 24.5 3 7.5
7–10 Jul Jiji Press 1,184 23.6 3.2 5.2 3.6 1.5 0.8 1.7 0.9 0.2 – – 56.8 2.5 33.2
7–9 Jul NHK 1,218 34.2 5.1 5.6 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 38.7 6.8 4.5
2 Jul SSRC 1,501 25 8 11 3 3 3 3 1 1 – 1 41 – 16
23–25 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 913 34 9 12 3 3 3 3 2 – – – 27 4 7
23–25 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,018 34 4 6 3 1 2 2 1 – – – 40 7 6
17–18 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 993 30.1 9.9 8.4 4.9 5.9 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 – 35.6 – 5.5
10–11 Jun ANN 1,021 41.5 8.0 8.7 3.9 4.8 1.5 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 23.6 3.2 17.9
9–11 Jun NHK 1,208 34.7 4.1 6.2 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 38.6 6.5 3.9
4–5 Jun JNN 1,202 32.7 4.3 7.9 3.9 2.5 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.8 39.3 3.6 6.6
4 Jun SSRC 1,502 25 7 12 3 3 3 3 1 – 1 – 41 – 16
27–28 May Kyodo News 1,052 40.9 8.8 12.6 4.5 3.6 2.1 3.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 – 19.8 2.9 21.1
26–28 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 928 37 8 13 3 2 2 1 1 1 – – 29 3 8
20–21 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,061 38 5 7 2 3 1 2 1 – – – 37 4 1
20–21 May Mainichi 1,053 28 9 17 4 6 3 4 – – – – 24 5 4
19–21 May 49th G7 summit in Hiroshima
13–14 May Senkyo.com/JX 1,000 30.6 10.3 8.4 4.2 5.3 1.8 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.3 – 34.8 – 4.2
13–14 May ANN 1,028 41.6 7.4 9.8 4.4 4.2 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.9 23.7 3.3 17.9
12–15 May Jiji News 1,228 24.4 4.2 5.9 3.9 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 – 54.8 3.1 24.4
12–14 May NHK 1,225 36.5 4.2 6.7 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 – 0.3 38.9 6.1 2.4
29–30 Apr Kyodo News 1,046 39.4 7.6 12.2 3.4 3.8 2 3.2 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.6 23.4 1.6 16
28–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 816 43 9 13 4 3 1 2 1 – – – 21 2 22
23 Apr April 2023 Japan by-elections
15–16 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 992 32.6 10.6 7.4 4.5 6.3 1.1 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.4 – 34.1 – 1.5
15–16 Apr ANN 1,054 43.7 7.1 8 2.8 3.9 2 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 2.1 22.3 5.3 21.4
14–16 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,071 34 4 6 3 2 2 1 1 – – 1 41 3 7
15 Apr Attempted assassination of Fumio Kishida
7–9 Apr NHK 1,232 36 5.3 4.1 3.2 2.1 1.3 1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 34 11.5 2
24–26 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 927 43 8 8 4 3 2 3 1 – – – 24 4 19
18–19 Mar ANN 1,008 42.6 7.4 5.7 4.0 2.9 1.6 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.8 27.9 3.8 14.7
18–19 Mar Mainichi 1,034 25 11 11 4 5 4 4 2 – – – 30 4 5
17–19 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,001 35 5 3 3 2 2 1 1 – 1 – 42 5 7
11–13 Mar Kyodo News 1,057 40.6 9.6 7.2 6.7 3.4 3.5 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.4 22 1.2 18.6
10–13 Mar Jiji Press 1,198 23.3 3.5 2.9 3.4 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 – 61 1.4 37.7
11–12 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 994 31.5 11.4 6.2 3.9 4.8 1.5 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.3 – 36.5 – 5
10–12 Mar NHK 1,227 36.3 5.5 3.7 3.7 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 38.5 6.2 2.2
5 Mar SSRC 3,072 28 8 9 3 3 3 2 1 – 1 – 41 – 13
24–26 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 819 39 9 8 4 3 2 2 – – – – 27 6 12
18–19 Feb ANN 1,011 42.3 8.5 6.2 3.7 3.4 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 1.7 23.9 5.3 18.4
17–19 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,044 35 6 4 4 2 1 1 2 – 1 – 39 5 4
11–13 Feb Kyodo News 1,060 38.2 8.5 8.7 4.1 5 3.1 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.8 24.8 2.2 13.4
11–12 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 986 32.5 12.1 5.8 4.3 5.5 1.9 1 1 1.1 0.3 – 34.6 – 2.1
10–12 Feb NHK 1,229 38 5.4 4.1 3.3 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 35.3 7.7 2.7
5 Feb SSRC 3,076 27 8 9 3 4 4 2 1 1 1 – 40 – 13
4–5 Feb JNN 1,167 31.7 6.4 4.2 2 2.3 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 45.1 3.3 13.4
28–29 Jan Kyodo News 1,044 38.3 9.6 10.5 4 4 2.2 3 1.6 0.4 1.2 1.1 22.1 2 16.2
27–29 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 940 42 8 6 4 2 3 2 1 – 1 – 27 4 15
21–22 Jan Mainichi 1,059 26 13 11 4 5 4 2 3 – – – 29 3 3
21–22 Jan ANN 1,024 43.8 9.8 6.2 3.6 3.3 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.7 24.9 3 18.9
13–16 Jan Jiji Press 1,210 24.6 2.5 3.6 3.4 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 – 58.7 2 34.1
14–15 Jan Senkyo.com/JX 996 30.2 12.9 7.2 3 5.5 1 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 – 37 – 6.8
13–15 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 36 6 3 3 2 1 1 1 – 1 – 41 5 5
7–9 Jan NHK 1,250 38.9 5.7 3.4 3 2.5 1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 36.7 6.4 2.2
8 Jan SSRC 3,069 25 8 9 2 3 3 3 1 – 1 – 44 – 19
7–8 Jan JNN 1,225 32.1 5.4 3.7 3.6 2.6 2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 44.7 3.6 12.6
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

2022

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP NHK Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
23–25 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 947 40 7 9 2 4 2 2 1 – 1 – 29 3 11
17–18 Dec Senkyo.com/JX 994 28.4 12.9 6.9 4 5.6 1.7 1.7 1.9 0.4 0.2 – 36.2 – 7.8
17–18 Dec Kyodo News 1,051 40.1 9.2 9.5 3.9 3.4 3.2 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.4 1.6 22.3 1.6 17.8
17–18 Dec ANN 1,015 43.5 9.2 6.2 3.5 4.2 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.7 23.2 2.9 20.3
17–18 Dec SSRC 3,061 23 9 8 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 – 45 – 22
9–12 Dec Jiji Press 1,228 22.8 5.5 3.8 3.7 1.8 1.4 0.8 1 0.2 0.2 – 55.7 3.1 32.9
9–11 Dec NHK 1,234 35.5 7.3 4.1 3.1 2.8 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 37.3 6.3 1.8
3–4 Dec JNN 1,227 32 5.6 5 2.6 2.9 0.8 1.4 1 0.4 0.2 0.1 45.8 2.2 13.8
2–4 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 33 6 6 3 2 1 1 1 – – – 42 5 9
26–27 Nov Kyodo News 1,035 34.7 9.5 12.3 4.5 3.8 3.8 1.9 1 0.8 0.7 1.4 24.8 0.8 9.9
25–27 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 1,030 40 10 8 3 4 2 2 2 1 1 – 26 1 14
19–20 Nov SSRC 3,069 25 9 9 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 – 42 1 17
19–20 Nov ANN 1,021 43.1 10.1 7.6 2.8 3.7 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.8 0.3 1 23.6 2.4 19.5
12–13 Nov Senkyo.com/JX 995 28.1 15.7 6.3 2.3 5.3 1.7 1.3 1.7 0.9 0.4 – 36.2 – 8.1
11–14 Nov Jiji Press 1,234 22.8 4.8 2.8 3.7 2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 – 58.9 2.7 36.1
11–13 Nov NHK 1,236 37.1 7 4.4 2.3 3.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 35.7 6.9 1.4
5–6 Nov JNN 1,213 33.7 6.2 6.7 2.6 2.4 2 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.6 39.7 3.7 6
4–6 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,049 33 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 – – – 43 3 10
29–30 Nov Kyodo News 1,049 41.7 9.5 9.5 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.5 2.2 0.8 1 1.6 19.6 2.3 22.1
28–30 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 929 41 7 9 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 – 28 3 13
22–23 Nov SSRC 3,072 23 7 8 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 – 42 6 19
15–16 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 987 28.3 13.4 6.7 3.3 5.7 1.3 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 – 38.1 – 9.8
15–16 Oct ANN 1,058 44.5 10 7.4 3.4 3.3 2 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.5 1.4 19.9 3.4 24.6
8–10 Oct NHK 1,247 36.9 5.6 3.7 3 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 38.4 6.7 1.5
7–10 Oct Jiji Press 1,266 23.5 3.6 4 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 – 58.9 2.1 35.4
8–9 Oct Kyodo News 1,067 34.1 10.7 12.6 3.5 4.8 2.6 3.1 2.6 0.6 0.1 – 24.2 1.1 9.9
1–2 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,089 40 5 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 – – 37 3 3
17–18 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 997 29.6 11.7 7.8 3.6 5 1.1 1.9 1.2 1.2 0.2 – 36.6 – 7
17–18 Sep Kyodo News 1,049 39.3 9.9 9.8 3.5 4.3 2.9 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.9 21 2.4 18.3
17–18 Sep ANN 1,013 43.8 10.3 6.5 3.4 3.6 1.4 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.4 23.1 3.7 20.7
17–18 Sep Mainichi/SSRC 1,064 23 10 13 4 5 4 5 2 1 1 1 29 2 6
16–18 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 957 37 10 10 4 4 2 3 1 1 – – 26 2 11
9–12 Sep Jiji Press 1,238 22.4 4 3.4 3.4 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 – 59.1 2.3 36.7
9–11 Sep NHK 1,255 36.2 4.8 5.1 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 34.9 7.4 1.3
3–4 Sep JNN 1,218 34 5.5 6.3 4.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 37.2 5 3.2
2–4 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,075 40 5 6 2 3 1 1 1 – – – 37 4 3
20–21 Aug Mainichi/SSRC 965 29 10 13 2 5 4 4 4 1 1 1 25 1 4
20–21 Aug ANN 1,016 44.9 8.3 8.3 3.1 4.5 2.4 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.6 1 20.3 3.2 24.6
13–14 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 1,005 29 12.4 7 4 5.8 1.2 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 – 35.4 – 6.4
10–11 Aug Kyodo News 1,052 40.6 10.2 11.3 5.4 3.8 3 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 16.6 2.6 24
10–11 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 907 46 9 13 3 2 3 2 1 1 – 1 15 2 31
10–11 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,095 35 6 5 3 3 1 2 2 – – – 37 4 2
10 Aug First Reshuffle of Kishida Cabinet
5–8 Aug Jiji Press 1,200 24.3 4.8 4.5 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.4 – 56.3 1.8 32
6–7 Aug JNN 1,162 35.2 6.1 6.3 3.8 3.4 1.7 2 – 1 0.3 1.3 34.7 4.2 0.5
5–7 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 38 6 5 3 3 1 1 2 1 1 – 36 3 2
5–7 Aug NHK 1,223 36.1 5.5 6 2.7 3.4 1.5 1 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.6 34.3 7.2 1.8
30–31 Jul Kyodo News 1,050 41 7 11.8 4.8 3.8 2.5 2.3 2.6 2.3 0.3 – 19.6 2 21.4
29–31 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 985 43 7 10 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 – 24 2 19
15–18 Jul Jiji Press 1,224 26.5 4.1 4.5 3.8 1.3 1.9 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 – 51.6 2.7 25.1
16–18 Jul NHK 1,216 38.4 5.3 6.5 4.4 3 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.1 29.6 7.3 8.8
16–17 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 998 36.7 11 6.9 4.1 5.1 1.1 1.9 1.4 1.4 0.6 – 29.8 – 6.9
16–17 Jul Mainichi/SSRC 1,031 34 8 15 4 3 3 5 4 1 1 1 20 1 14
16–17 Jul ANN 1,008 45.1 7.5 10.1 4 3.4 2.6 2.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.3 14.8 6,9 30.3
11–12 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,109 44 6 8 5 2 1 2 2 1 – – 25 3 19
10 Jul 2022 House of Councillors election 52.05%[a] 34.4 12.8 14.8 11.7 6.8 6.0 4.4 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.1 3.0 – 19.6
8 Jul Assassination of Shinzo Abe
2–3 Jul JNN 1,198 35.4 6 4.5 3 3.4 0.6 1.7 – 0.6 0.4 0.8 37 6.6 1.6
1–3 Jul NHK 2,035 35.6 5.8 5.4 4.8 4 1.4 0.5 – 0.3 0.5 1 31.3 9.5 4.3
24–26 Jun NHK 2,049 35.6 6 4.8 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.5 – 0.7 0.2 1.4 33.7 8.5 1.9
22–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,585 37 6 6 5 2 1 1 – – – 1 35 6 2
18–19 Jun ANN 1,043 42.4 8.9 6.6 4.5 4.3 1.9 1.2 – 0.2 0.4 – 25.9 3.7 16.5
18 Jun Mainichi/SSRC 995 34 7 13 6 6 3 3 – 1 2 – 20 5 14
17–19 Jun NHK 2,035 38.4 5.1 3.7 4.3 2.7 0.8 0.4 – 0.5 0.3 0.7 34.1 8.8 4.3
17–19 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 912 45 7 8 4 3 2 1 – – – 1 25 3 20
11–13 Jun Kyodo News 1,051 46.5 8.3 8 4.6 3.1 1.4 2.6 – 0.7 0.3 0.6 22 1.9 24.5
11–12 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 983 35.5 10.7 5.7 4.9 6.1 1.6 0.6 – 0.3 0.2 – 34.4 – 1.1
10–13 Jun Jiji Press 1,234 27.2 3.9 3.1 4.2 2.3 0.6 0.3 – 0.4 0.3 – 53.2 4.5 26
10–12 Jun NHK 1,994 40.1 5.9 4.0 2.9 2.6 1.3 0.8 – 0.5 0.3 0.7 33.1 8.1 7
4–5 Jun JNN 1,207 38 4.6 5 3.3 1.7 1.4 1.1 – 0.5 0.3 – 37.1 7 0.9
3–5 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,485 43 4 5 3 2 1 1 – – – – 38 3 5
27–29 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 935 51 7 6 3 2 2 – – – – – 23 6 28
21–22 May ANN 1,035 49.3 6.8 6 3.3 3.5 2.4 1.7 – 0.5 – – 24.8 1.7 24.5
21–22 May Kyodo News 1,048 47.6 8.7 8.1 4.3 2.5 2.1 2 – 0.7 0.6 1.4 20.1 1.9 27.5
21 May Mainichi/SSRC 1,041 37 8 11 3 4 3 3 – – 1 – 28 2 9
13–16 May Jiji Press 1,254 29.5 2.7 3 3.9 1.8 1 0.5 – 0.4 0.1 – 54.1 3 24.6
14–15 May Senkyo.com/JX 995 32.0 11.7 7.1 4.6 5 1.4 1.1 – 0.4 – – 36.8 – 4.8
13–15 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 42 4 3 3 2 1 – – – – – 37 6 5
7–8 May JNN 1,223 37.3 5.6 4.5 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.2 – 0.3 0.1 – 41.4 4.4 4.1
6–8 May NHK 1,214 39.8 5 3.5 2.7 2.7 1.2 0.5 – 0.4 0.1 0.3 36.2 7.6 3.6
23 Apr Mainichi/SSRC 1,018 35 7 10 3 4 4 2 – 1 1 – 31 2 4
22–24 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 905 48 7 7 3 3 2 1 – 1 – – 26 2 22
16–17 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 995 35.1 11.9 6.5 3.4 5.5 1.3 1.4 – 0.6 0 – 34.3 – 0.8
16–17 Apr ANN 1,014 46 9.3 5.4 3.4 4.3 1.5 1 – 0.7 0.1 1.6 26.7 – 19.3
16–17 Apr Kyodo News 1,067 46.1 8.5 9 3.4 3.4 1.6 1.8 – 0.3 2 0.9 20.1 2.9 26
8–10 Apr NHK 1,235 38.9 5.2 3.6 3 2.5 1.5 0.2 – 0.4 – 0.6 36.7 7.5 2.2
1–3 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 41 5 5 4 2 2 1 – 1 – – 35 4 6
25–27 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 976 49 6 7 3 3 1 2 – – – – 24 5 25
19–20 Mar ANN 1,008 47.1 7.8 6.4 2.9 4.6 2.3 0.6 – 0.4 0.2 – 26.9 0.8 20.2
19–20 Mar Kyodo News 1,053 47.3 9.4 13.4 3.6 3.1 2.7 2.5 – 0.3 0.5 0.6 14.3 2.3 33
19 Mar Mainichi/SSRC 1,040 34 9 12 2 3 4 2 – 1 1 – 30 2 4
12–13 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 1,001 34.7 12.9 8.8 3.7 4.4 1.4 0.6 – 0.6 0.1 – 32.9 – 1.8
11–14 Mar Jiji Press 1,226 26.7 4.3 3.8 4.4 1.6 1.2 0.6 – 0.5 0.2 – 54 2.7 27.3
11–13 Mar NHK 1,223 38.4 5.9 4.5 3.8 2.3 1 0.6 – 0.7 0.2 0.2 35.5 7 2.9
5–6 Mar JNN 1,229 38.1 6.9 6.4 2.8 3.2 1.4 0.3 – 0.3 0.3 – 34.6 5.7 3.5
4–6 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,063 40 5 7 4 3 2 – – – – – 36 3 4
25–27 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 992 46 7 8 4 2 2 2 – – – – 26 3 20
19–20 Feb Kyodo News 1,054 48.4 8 12.6 4 2.4 2.4 1.8 – 0.9 0.7 – 15.3 3.5 33.1
19–20 Feb ANN 1,008 47.1 8.6 7 4 3 1.9 1.2 – 0.5 – – 25.9 0.8 21.2
19 Feb Mainichi/SSRC 1,050 35 8 16 3 4 4 3 – 1 1 – 25 – 10
12–13 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 1,004 33.9 10.1 9.8 3.7 5.1 0.7 0.8 – 0.3 0.3 – 35.3 – 1.4
11–14 Feb Jiji Press 1,256 26 4.8 3.8 3.5 1.3 1 0.5 – 0.2 – – 57.4 1.5 31.4
11–13 Feb NHK 1,240 41.5 7.3 5.2 3.5 2.2 1 0.6 – 0.3 0.1 0.3 31 6.9 10.5
5–6 Feb JNN 1,205 39.3 5.2 7.3 2.7 2.1 1.6 0.6 – 0.1 0.2 – 37 3.9 2.3
4–6 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,071 40 5 7 3 2 1 1 – – – – 34 7 6
28–30 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 958 46 8 10 2 4 2 1 – – – – 24 3 22
22–23 Jan ANN 1,025 45.1 9.6 8.6 3.8 3.9 1.7 1 – 0.4 0.1 – 25.2 0.6 19.9
22–23 Jan Kyodo News 1,059 44.2 13.1 12.5 4.1 3.8 2.5 1.6 – 0.8 1 0.6 14.3 1.5 29.9
22 Jan Mainichi/SSRC 1,061 30 9 18 3 3 4 4 – – 1 – 25 3 5
15–16 Jan Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 32.8 12.3 9.6 4.9 5.7 0.6 1.2 – 1 0.3 – 31.6 – 1.2
14–16 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,057 41 5 6 3 2 2 – – – – – 35 6 6
8–10 Jan NHK 1,219 41.1 5.4 5.8 2.8 2.6 1 0.3 – 0.2 – 0.3 34 6.3 7.1
7–10 Jan Jiji Press 1,292 25.6 4 4.3 3 1.6 0.7 0.8 – 0.4 0.2 – 57.4 2 31.8
8–9 Jan JNN 1,215 39.6 5.5 7.6 3.8 2 1.1 0.7 – 0.6 0.2 – 35.8 3.1 3.8
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

2021

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa SDP NHK Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
24–26 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 947 43 10 13 4 4 2 – – – – 20 3 23
18–19 Dec Asahi 1,318 36 8 7 3 2 1 1 – – – 34 8 2
18–19 Dec ANN 1,032 41 11.6 10.1 3.8 4 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 – 25.1 0.8 15.9
18–19 Dec Kyodo News 1,065 43.8 11.6 12.5 3.4 4.3 2 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.5 17.9 1.4 25.9
18 Dec Mainichi/SSRC 1,023 27 11 22 4 5 3 4 – 1 – 22 1 5
11–12 Dec Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 27.8 12.8 11.6 4.3 5.4 1.9 1.1 1.0 0.1 – 33.9 – 6.1
10–12 Dec NHK 1,190 34.9 8.7 7.3 3.1 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.3 32.3 7.4 2.6
3–5 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,088 41 7 8 3 2 1 1 – – 1 32 4 9
20–21 Nov ANN 1,031 42 11.4 11.1 4.6 4.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 – 23.5 0.4 18.5
13–14 Nov Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 31.1 11 9.6 5.4 7.6 1.6 1.1 1.4 0.2 – 31 – 0.1
10–11 Nov Kyodo News 520 42.7 10.7 13 7.4 3.9 2.7 2.9 0.6 0.2 – 13.6 2.3 29.1
10–11 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 852 44 9 13 5 2 2 2 – – – 20 3 24
10 Nov The Second Kishida Cabinet is formed.
5–8 Nov Jiji Press 1,270 27.2 5.4 4.7 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 – 53.1 2.4 25.9
6–7 Nov JNN 1,225 35.9 9.3 9.8 4.9 3.1 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.5 – 29 3.7 6.9
5–7 Nov NHK 1,208 39.5 8.2 7.3 4 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 28.6 7.8 10.9
1–2 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,107 39 11 10 4 2 2 2 1 – – 26 3 13
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

Voting intention (party vote)

LOESS curve of the voter intention polling for the next Japanese general election with a 7-day average.

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP NHK Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
27 Oct Election results 53.84%[a] 26.7 21.2 9.4 10.9 6.2 11.3 7 3.4 1.7 0 2.1[ae] – – 5.5
19–20 Oct Kyodo News 1,262 22.6 14.1 5.8 5.1 2.7 6.1 3.9 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.6 35.4[af] 0.7 12.8
12–13 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 982 30.8 23.4 8.7 3.9 7.6 3.5 2.6 0.6 1.6 0.2 3.7 13.4 – 7.4
11–14 Oct Jiji Press 1,172 26.1 10.1 4.3 5.2
11–12 Oct Kyodo News 1,264 26.4 12.4 4.8 6.4 3.2 3.3 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.6 1.2 36.9[ag] 1.8 10.5
9 Oct The House of Representatives is dissolved. A general election is called for 27 October 2024.[1]
5–6 Oct JNN 1,019 35.6 18.8 7.6 4.9 3.4 2.6 2.5 1.5 0.4 – 5.7 17 – 16.8
5–6 Oct ANN 1,024 31 14 3 3 5 2 1 1 – – 2 39[ah] 8
1–2 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo 784 40 15 8 4 2 2 4 1 – 1 2[ai] 13 9 25
1–2 Oct Kyodo News 1,102 38.4 16.5 7.8 3.6 3.8 3.5 2.2 1 0.9 0.5 3.8[aj] 18 – 20.4
1–2 Oct Asahi 1,178 36 16 9 5 3 4 2 2 – – 3[ak] 20 – 16
1–2 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,095 39 12 7 4 3 2 4 1 1 – 2[al] 19 6 20
1 Oct Shigeru Ishiba succeeds Fumio Kishida as Prime Minister of Japan. The Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
21 Sep SSRC 2,044 26 16 8 3 3 3 3 – – – – 35 – 9
14–15 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 992 33.6 23.3 6.9 4 7.6 1.9 2 1.2 0.5 0.4 2.2[am] 16.4 – 10.3
14–15 Sep Sankei/FNN 1,012 33 12.3 6 3.7 2.9 1.6 1.9 1.4 0.2 0.2 1.9[an] 31.7 3.2 1.3
14–15 Sep Asahi 1,070 37 16 9 4 3 3 3 1 – – 2 22 – 15
13–15 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 902 42 12 6 3 3 3 4 1 1 – 1 14 10 28
13–15 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,040 35 12 8 4 2 3 3 1 1 – 1[ao] 18 12 17
24–25 Sep SSRC 1,752 25 14 8 3 3 4 3 1 – – 1 37 – 12
24–25 Aug Asahi 1,058 32 15 10 5 3 4 4 2 1 – 5[ap] 19 – 13
23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 34 12 10 4 3 3 4 1 1 – 1 20 9 14
21–22 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 595 39 11 10 3 3 3 3 – 1 – 2[aq] 17 9 22
17–19 Aug Kyodo News 1,064 37.1 15.2 8.4 3.5 4.1 3 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.8 1.2[ar] 19.7 – 17.4
17–18 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 987 32 19.5 10.7 3.9 5.9 1.7 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 3.8[as] 18.3 – 12.5
14 Aug Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 30 13 11 5 4 3 3 1 1 – 1 18 9 12
20–21 Jul SSRC 2,044 20 11 8 3 3 4 3 1 1 – 2 44 – 24
20–21 Jul Kyodo News 1,035 30.5 14.6 9 4 3 5.9 3 0.4 1.2 0.2 3.3[at] 24.9 – 5.9
19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 27 12 11 4 3 3 4 1 1 – 2[au] 21 12 6
13–14 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 987 24.8 18.8 10.8 4.7 10 2.5 2.1 1.2 1.4 0.2 3.6[av] 19.7 – 5.1
28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 31 14 10 3 3 3 4 1 1 – – 18 11 13
22–23 Jun SSRC 2,043 17 17 9 3 4 4 3 1 1 – 2 40 – 23
22–23 Jun Kyodo News 1,056 23.1 13.5 9.6 2.6 4.7 2.9 4.4 0.9 0.3 0.6 3.5[aw] 33.9 – 10.8
21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 29 14 10 5 4 3 6 1 1 – 1 19 9 10
15–16 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 984 22 23.7 10.1 4.3 9.1 2.7 3.8 0.7 1.5 0.2 3.6[ax] 18.4 – 1.7
1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 24.2 16.9 10.3 5.4 5.5 5.1 4 1.7 0.8 – 1.5[ay] 24.6 – 0.4
24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 24 16 13 6 4 3 5 2 1 – 1 16 9 8
17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 27 15 10 5 3 2 5 1 1 – 2[az] 20 9 7
11–13 May Kyodo News 1,055 20.9 15.4 9.3 4.2 5.4 5 4 0.4 0.8 0.2 3[ba] 31.4 – 10.5
11–12 May Senkyo.com/JX 976 17.8 27.3 12.2 5.1 8.6 2 3.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 3.5[bb] 19.1 – 8.2
29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 28 18 9 5 3 3 4 2 – 1 1 18 8 10
28 Apr 2024 Japan by-elections
19–21 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 26 10 10 4 4 3 6 1 1 – 2[bc] 24 8 2
13–14 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 981 23.1 21.2 13 3.9 8.3 1.7 3.1 0.9 1.3 0.2 4[bd] 19.3 – 1.9
22–24 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 925 28 14 13 3 4 4 5 1 1 – 1[be] 17 9 11
16–17 Mar SSRC 2,044 13 14 12 3 3 5 4 1 1 – 4[bf] 41 – 27
16–17 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 983 19.1 18.9 13.2 4.8 10.7 3.2 4.4 0.9 0.4 0 3.7[bg] 20.8 – 1.7
23–25 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 867 26 12 11 7 3 5 5 1 1 1 1 20 8 6
17–18 Feb SSRC 2,043 14 12 14 2 4 4 5 1 1 – 2 41 – 27
17–18 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 991 20.3 20 13.6 5.2 9.1 2.3 3.8 0.9 1.2 0.1 3.2[bh] 20.2 – 0.1
26–28 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 969 30 13 11 4 5 4 5 2 1 1 1[bi] 17 8 13
21 Jan SSRC 2,052 18 12 11 3 4 3 4 1 1 – 2 38 – 20
13–14 Jan Senkyo.com/JX 996 24.8 16.5 15.2 4.8 6.3 2.9 3.1 1.2 1.1 0.1 4.1[bj] 19.9 – 4.9
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

2023

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP NHK Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
16–17 Dec Senkyo.com/JX 990 18.5 18.1 13.7 5.9 9.6 2.4 4.1 1.3 1.1 0.1 4.3[bk] 20.8 – 2.3
15–16 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 729 27 13 16 3 3 3 5 2 1 – 1[bl] 16 10 11
8 Dec Slush fund scandal
3 Dec SSRC 2,047 19 10 12 3 4 4 5 1 1 – 3[bm] 38 – 19
24–26 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 869 33 12 12 4 3 3 4 2 1 – 1 16 9 17
11–12 Nov Senkyo.com/JX 993 24.3 16.4 13.7 4.9 8.4 3.2 2.7 0.9 1.6 0.6 3.9 19.3 – 5
5 Nov SSRC 1,511 19 10 14 3 3 5 5 1 1 – 3 37 – 18
27–29 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo 852 29 10 13 5 4 5 4 2 – – – 17 11 12
14–15 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 991 28.5 15.4 14.8 5.3 8.1 3.2 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.2 2.6 16.9 – 11.6
13–15 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,022 33 7 12 6 3 2 2 1 – – – 26 6 7
1 Oct SSRC 1,505 21 10 15 2 3 4 4 2 1 – 2 36 – 15
13–14 Sep Kyodo News 1,046 33.8 10 13 6.4 3 4.6 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.4 2.5 20.6 – 13.2
13–14 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 749 37 9 16 4 4 5 5 2 – – 1 9 8 21
13–14 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,088 32 7 13 5 3 4 3 2 – 1 – 25 5 7
9–10 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 995 26.2 16.3 15.1 5.4 6.7 2.8 3 1.3 1.9 0.5 3 17.7 – 8.5
3 Sep SSRC 1,509 21 9 16 4 4 4 3 1 – – 1 35 – 14
25–27 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 847 35 9 15 5 3 3 4 1 – – – 18 8 17
12–13 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 997 25.5 15.6 17.1 4.4 8.9 2.4 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.6 2.1 17.6 – 7.9
6 Aug SSRC 1,509 20 10 16 2 3 5 4 1 1 – 1 37 – 17
28–30 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 904 33 9 16 4 5 3 5 2 – – – 13 8 17
21–23 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 34 8 15 4 3 3 4 2 – – – 19 7 15
15–16 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 997 28.8 14.5 16.8 4 8.3 2 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 2.7 17.4 – 11.4
2 Jul SSRC 1,501 21 10 15 3 3 4 3 1 1 – 1 35 – 14
23–25 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 913 34 11 14 3 3 3 5 3 1 1 – 14 8 20
23–25 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,018 38 9 13 5 3 3 5 2 – – – 15 6 23
17–18 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 993 28.5 14.6 16.2 6.4 8.1 2 1.7 1.6 0.9 0.8 2.2 16.9 – 11.6
17–18 Jun Kyodo News 1,044 34.4 8.2 16.8 3.7 3.8 4.1 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 1.9 22.9 – 11.5
10–11 Jun ANN 1,021 32.6 7.7 10.4 4.4 5.1 1.9 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 34[bn] 1.4
4 Jun SSRC 1,502 21 9 15 3 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 37 – 16
26–28 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 928 36 10 16 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 – 14 9 20
20–21 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,061 41 8 13 3 3 2 4 2 1 1 – 14 7 27
19–21 May 49th G7 summit in Hiroshima
13–14 May Senkyo.com/JX 1,000 30.2 14.3 18.8 4.4 6.3 3 3 1.6 0.9 1.1 3 13.4 – 11.4
15–16 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 992 32.3 13.8 15.4 5.6 8.7 2.6 2 1.4 1.1 0.5 2.1 14.4 – 16.9
15 Apr Attempted assassination of Fumio Kishida
11–12 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 994 31 17.3 12.2 5.3 7.6 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.3 0.2 3.2 15.7 – 13.7
11–12 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 986 31.7 14.9 12.6 5.1 7.3 3.4 2 1.9 1.1 0.4 3.1 16.3 – 15.4
14–15 Jan Senkyo.com/JX 996 28.3 17.4 11.9 5.2 7.7 2 2.3 1.1 0.9 0.6 3.1 19.4 – 8.9
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

2022

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP NHK Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
17–18 Dec Senkyo.com/JX 994 27.2 18.1 12.3 5.4 9.1 2.3 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.6 2.7 17.3 – 9.1
12–13 Nov Senkyo.com/JX 995 27.7 19.6 12.6 4.1 8 2.3 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.4 3.6 16.7 – 8.1
15–16 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 987 27.5 17.1 13.1 5.2 10.1 2.1 1.5 1.8 1 0.6 3.6 16.3 – 10.4
17–18 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 997 25.8 17.3 14.5 5.5 7.5 2.4 2.9 1.4 1.7 0.6 2.8 17.6 – 8.2
13–14 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 1,005 27.4 17.4 13.1 5.2 8.4 2.9 3.7 2.1 1.5 0.7 3.2 14.5 – 10
10 Jul 2022 House of Councillors election 52.05%[a] 34.4 12.8 14.8 11.7 6.8 6.0 4.4 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.1 3.0 – 19.6
8 Jul Assassination of Shinzo Abe
22–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,585 36 8 10 6 3 2 2 1 1 1 – 23 7 13
18–19 Jun ANN 1,043 33.1 8.5 7.3 5.4 4.8 2 1.2 – 0.6 0.4 1.7 35[bo] 1.9
17–19 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 912 43 8 10 6 3 2 2 – 1 1 1 17 6 26
11–13 Jun Kyodo News 1,051 39.7 9.7 9.9 5.8 3.7 1.8 1.7 – 0.8 0.3 1.1 25.5 14.2
11–12 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 983 36.1 16 12.6 6.3 7.9 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.8[bp] 12.3 – 20.1
3–5 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,485 45 7 9 4 4 3 2 – 1 1 – 17 8 28
27–29 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 935 50 7 8 4 3 2 2 – 0 0 1 15 8 35
21–22 May ANN 1,035 35.1 6.4 7.3 4.1 3.6 1.7 1.4 – 0.6 0.1 1.7 38[bq] 2.9
21–22 May Kyodo News 1,048 44 10 8.7 4.7 3.5 2.4 1.9 – 0.2 0.6 1.5 22.5 21.5
13–16 May Jiji Press 1,254 38.5 6.1 6.3 5.5 2.6 1.5 2 – 1 – – 36.7 – 1.8
14–15 May Senkyo.com/JX 995 34.5 17 14.8 6.5 6.8 2.9 1.7 – 1 0.5 1.5 12.7 – 17.5
13–15 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 44 8 10 5 2 3 1 – – – – 18 8 26
25 Apr Asahi 1,892 43 14 17 5 4 3 2 – 1 – – 11 26
16–17 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 995 33.3 15.5 13.7 5.6 7.9 2.8 1.8 – 1.2 1.1 1.9 15.2 – 17.8
16–17 Apr ANN 1,014 33.9 9.2 7.3 3.3 4.8 1.6 0.9 – 0.7 0 1.3 37[br] 3.1
16–17 Apr Kyodo News 1,067 41.9 8.7 10.9 4.6 3.6 1.4 1.6 – 0.3 1.6 0.7 24.7 17.2
8–11 Apr Jiji Press 1,226 37.4 7 8.6 3.8 2.4 2.1 1.7 – 0.2 0.5 – 34.9 – 2.5
19–20 Mar ANN 1,008 35.1 8.5 6.7 3.5 5.2 2.4 0.8 – 0.5 0.1 0.4 36.8[bs] 1.7
19–20 Mar Kyodo News 1,053 42.1 9.5 13.3 3.8 3.7 2.5 2.2 – 0.4 0.7 1.1 20.7 21.4
12–13 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 1,001 31.2 19.1 17.8 5.4 6 2.3 1.2 – 0.8 0.8 2.3 13.2 – 12.1
19–20 Feb ANN 1,008 36.3 8.3 8.2 4.3 2.7 1.7 1.1 – 0.8 0.1 0.5 36[bt] 0.3
19–20 Feb Kyodo News 1,054 42.7 9.2 13.5 4.2 2 3.1 2.4 – 0.7 0.8 1.5 19.9 22.8
12–13 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 1,004 32.5 13.9 19.2 5.3 6.5 2.5 1.5 – 1 0.9 3.1 13.6 – 13.3
4–6 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,071 41 9 14 4 3 2 2 – 1 1 – 18 6 23
22–23 Jan ANN 1,025 33.8 9.8 9.3 3.7 4.5 1.7 1.2 – 0.5 0.2 0.1 35.2[bu] 1.4
22–23 Jan Kyodo News 1,059 38.3 15.3 13.5 4.5 3.8 2.4 1.5 – 0.9 0.8 0.8 18.2 20.1
15–16 Jan Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 32.8 17.7 16.7 5.8 5.9 2 1.5 – 1.6 0.7 1.5 13.9 – 15.1
14–16 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,057 42 9 14 4 3 3 1 – 1 – – 16 6 26
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

2021

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa SDP NHK Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
11–12 Dec Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 25.2 18.3 22.9 5.5 6.3 3 2.4 0.9 1.4 1.6 12.6 – 2.3
13–14 Nov Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 30.2 17.3 18.4 6.2 8.6 2.9 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.7 11.1 – 11.8
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97%[a] 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 1.8 1.4 1.7 – – 14.7

Voting intention (district vote)

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP Komei CDP Ishin JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP NHK Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
19–20 Oct Kyodo News 1,262 24.6 33.2 – 42.2 9
11–12 Oct Kyodo News 1,264 28.5 22.9 – 46.6 2 20.1
3 Oct Mainichi/SSRC 2,061 25 26 – 48 1 22

Preferred outcome

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP–Komei coalition LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition Close result Change of regime Und./
no ans.
19–20 Oct Kyodo News 1,262 24.8 – 49.7 20.5 5
11–14 Oct Jiji Press 1,172 45.3 – – 27.5 27.2
11–12 Oct Kyodo News 1,264 27.1[bv] – 50.7 15.1[bw] 7.1
9 Oct The House of Representatives is dissolved. A General election is called for 27 October 2024.[1]
5–6 Oct JNN 1,019 49 – – 37 14
5–6 Oct Sankei/FNN 1,014 53.1 – – 35.3 11.6
5–6 Oct ANN 1,024 38 – – 38 24
1–2 Oct Asahi 1,178 48 – – 23[bx] 29
1–2 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,095 53 – – 29 18
1 Oct Shigeru Ishiba succeeds Fumio Kishida as Prime Minister of Japan. The Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
21–22 Sep ANN 1,012 42 – – 41 18
21 Sep SSRC 2,044 16 12 – 27[by] 43
14–15 Sep Asahi 1,070 48 – – 27[bz] 25
13–15 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,040 48 – – 36 16
7–8 Sep JNN 1,011 44 – – 37 19
24–25 Aug SSRC 1,752 16 13 – 26[ca] 44
24–25 Aug ANN 1,015 42 – – 40 17
23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 51 – – 33 16
14 Aug Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
3–4 Aug JNN 1,010 41 – – 42 17
26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 60[cb] – – 27 13
20–21 Jul Sankei/FNN 1,033 39.3 – – 46 14.7
20–21 Jul Kyodo News 1,035 21.9[cc] – 51.2 21.9[cd] 5
20–21 Jul SSRC 2,044 15 13 – 26[ce] 46
19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 44 – – 37 19
13–14 Jul ANN 1,012 38 – – 43 18
5–8 Jul Jiji Press 1,160 36.3 – – 39.3 24.4
6–7 Jul JNN 1,021 38 – – 47 15
28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 61[cf] – – 26 13
22–23 Jun SSRC 2,043 13 13 – 30[cg] 44
22–23 Jun Mainichi 1,057 11 15 – 53[ch] 21
21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 46 – – 42 12
15–16 Jun Sankei/FNN 1,013 43.7 – – 43.9 12.4
15–16 Jun ANN 1,026 34 – – 49 17
1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 39 – – 48 13
24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 60[ci] – – 27 13
18–19 May ANN 1,045 39 – – 52 9
17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 42 – – 42 16
10–13 May Jiji Press 1,260 33.2 – – 43.9 22.9
11–12 May Senkyo.com/JX 976 21.1[cj] – 39.2 25.9[ck] 13.8
4–5 May JNN 1,013 34 – – 48 18
29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 63[cl] – – 28 9
28 Apr 2024 Japan by-elections
20–21 Apr Mainichi 1,032 24 – – 62 14
13–15 Apr Kyodo News 1,049 17.7[cm] – 50.5 23.8[cn] 8
30–31 Mar JNN 1,036 32 – – 42 26
16–17 Mar ANN 1,031 38 – – 46 17

Seat projections

Color key:   Exit poll

Seat projections from analysts (district seats + proportional representation)
Analysts Publication/
Newspapers 		Fieldwork date LDP CDP Ishin Komei JCP DPFP Reiwa DIY SDP CPJ Ind./
Oth. 		LDP
Majority 		Gov. Opp. Gov.
Majority
Election results 27 Oct 2024 191
(132+59) 		148
(104+44) 		38
(23+15) 		24
(4+20) 		8
(1+7) 		28
(11+17) 		9
(0+9) 		3
(0+3) 		1
(1+0) 		3
(1+2) 		12
(12+0) 		–42 215 250 –18
NHK 27 Oct 2024 153–219 128–191 28–45 21–35 7–10 20–33 6–14 0–4 1 1–4 9–17 – 174–254 200–319 –
JNN 27 Oct 2024 181 159 35 27 10 27 7 3 1 – 15 –52 208 257 –25
Kaoru Matsuda Zakzak 24 Oct 2024 203
(144+59) 		144
(99+45) 		38
(19+19) 		25
(6+19) 		11
(1+10) 		19
(6+13) 		6
(0+6) 		3
(0+3) 		1
(1+0) 		3
(1+2) 		12
(12+0) 		–30 228 237 –5
Masashi Kubota[1] Shūkan Bunshun 23 Oct 2024 197
(136+61) 		153
(109+44) 		42
(20+22) 		25
(6+19) 		12
(1+11) 		11
(4+7) 		6
(0+6) 		2
(0+2) 		1
(1+0) 		5
(1+4) 		11
(11+0) 		–36 222 243 –11
Mainichi[2] 22–23 Oct 2024 171–225 126–177 29–40 23–29 7–9 23–29 6–7 0–1 1 – 11–23[co] – 194–254 203–287 –
JNN 22–23 Oct 2024 ~195 ~138 <43 <32 <10 >11 – – 1–2 >5 – – <227 ~232 –
Sankei/FNN 19–20 Oct 2024 ~196 ~148 <43 ~22 >10 ~22 >3 – – – – – ~218 ~247 –17
Asahi 19–20 Oct 2024 200[cp]
(144+56) 		138
(97+41) 		38
(19+19) 		25
(5+20) 		12
(1+11) 		21
(7+14) 		11
(0+11) 		2
(0+2) 		1
(1+0) 		– 17[cq]
(15+2) 		–33 225 240 –8
Hiroshi Miura BS11 18 Oct 2024 235
(170+65) 		118
(77+41) 		38
(13+25) 		29
(8+21) 		9
(0+9) 		12
(5+7) 		5
(0+5) 		1
(0+1) 		2
(1+1) 		2
(1+1) 		14
(14+0) 		2 264 201 31
Masashi Kubota Shūkan Bunshun 18 Oct 2024 204
(135+69) 		145
(106+39) 		45
(23+22) 		28
(6+22) 		11
(1+10) 		11
(4+7) 		6
(0+6) 		1
(0+1) 		1
(1+0) 		– 13[cr]
(13+0) 		–29 232 233 –1
Yomiuri/NNN[3] Nikkei 15–16 Oct 2024 231[cs]
(167+64) 		130
(85+45) 		32
(17+15) 		30
(7+23) 		12
(1+11) 		12
(5+7) 		6
(0+6) 		1
(0+1) 		2
(1+1) 		4
(1+3) 		5
(5+0) 		–2 261 204 28
Mainichi/JNN 15–16 Oct 2024 203–250 117–163 28–34 24–29 5–6 13–20 6 0 1 – 12–14 – 227–279 182–244 –
Tadaoki Nogami Nikkan Gendai 15 Oct 2024 202[ct]
(148+54) 		150
(99+51) 		49
(21+28) 		28
(8+20) 		10
(1+9) 		11
(4+7) 		4
(0+4) 		1
(0+1) 		2
(1+1) 		1
(0+1) 		7
(7+0) 		–31 230 235 –3
Hiroshi Miura BS Prime News 15 Oct 2024 228–258 98–117 44–46 24–32 10 – – – – – – – 257 208 24
Masahiko Hisae 230 130 45 28 10 – – – – – – –3 258 207 25
Hiroshi Miura Sports Hochi 14 Oct 2024 229 116 47 29 10 12 5 0 2 1 14 –4 258 207 25
Tadaoki Nogami AERA
(only district seats) 		13 Oct 2024 153 91 23 6 0 5 0 0 1 1 9 – 159 130 –
Koichi Kakutani 152 85 23 8 1 4 0 0 1 1 14 – 160 129 –
Kaoru Matsuda Zakzak 9 Oct 2024 226
(165+61) 		122
(79+43) 		45
(19+26) 		29
(8+21) 		11
(1+10) 		11
(4+7) 		5
(0+5) 		2
(0+2) 		1
(1+0) 		2
(1+1) 		11
(11+0) 		–7 255 210 22
Hiroshi Miura Sunday Mainichi 8 Oct 2024 234
(166+68) 		112
(74+38) 		43
(17+26) 		30
(9+21) 		10
(1+9) 		12
(5+7) 		5
(0+5) 		0
(0+0) 		2
(1+1) 		1
(1+0) 		16[cu]
(15+1) 		1 264 201 31
Tadaoki Nogami Nikkan Gendai 6 Oct 2024 202
(147+55) 		148
(97+51) 		54
(26+28) 		25
(5+20) 		10
(1+9) 		12
(5+7) 		4
(0+4) 		0
(0+0) 		2
(1+1) 		1
(0+1) 		7
(7+0) 		–31 227 238 –6
Masashi Kubota Shūkan Bunshun 3 Oct 2024 219
(147+72) 		131
(94+37) 		50
(24+26) 		25
(6+19) 		10
(1+9) 		11
(4+7) 		6
(0+6) 		0
(0+0) 		1
(1+0) 		– 12[cv]
(12+0) 		–14 244 221 11
Kaoru Matsuda Zakzak 27 May 2024 205
(149+56) 		151
(102+49) 		45
(20+25) 		25
(5+20) 		10
(1+9) 		10
(5+5) 		6
(0+6) 		4
(0+4) 		1
(1+0) 		2
(0+2) 		6[cw]
(6+0) 		–28 230 235 –3
Tadaoki Nogami Nikkan Gendai 5 May 2024 184
(133+51) 		161
(114+47) 		58
(25+33) 		23
(3+20) 		11
(1+10) 		10
(5+5) 		6
(0+6) 		1
(0+1) 		2
(1+1) 		– 9[cx]
(7+2) 		–49 207 258 –26
2021 general election 31 Oct 2021 259
(187+72) 		96
(57+39) 		41
(16+25) 		32
(9+23) 		10
(1+9) 		11
(6+5) 		3
(0+3) 		– 1
(1+0) 		– 12
(12+0) 		26 291 174 58

Preferred prime minister

After the LDP presidential election

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size 		Ishiba
LDP 		Noda
CDP 		NOT/
UD/NA
19–20 Oct 2024 Kyodo News 1,262 47.2 29.5 23.3
11–12 Oct 2024 Kyodo News 1,264 47.2 24.3 28.5

After the call of LDP presidential election

This section is an excerpt from 2024 Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) presidential election § Polling.[edit]
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 LDP leadership election with a 7-day average since the election was called. Note that the approval ratings of Liberal Democratic Party Supporters are omitted from the graph.
(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Liberal Democratic Party supporters)
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size[vague] Shigeru
Ishiba 		Sanae
Takaichi 		Shinjirō
Koizumi 		Yoshimasa
Hayashi 		Takayuki
Kobayashi 		Toshimitsu
Motegi 		Yōko
Kamikawa 		Taro
Kono 		Katsunobu
Katō 		Others NOT/
UD/NA
27 Sep 2024 LDP presidential election 695.536 (29.12) (29.30) (16.63) (7.50) (5.10) (3.75) (4.73) (2.15) (1.72) – –
21–22 Sep 2024 ANN 1,012 31 15 20 3 3 2 5 5 1 – 15
21 Sep 2024 SSRC 2,044 26
(24) 		17
(29) 		14
(23) 		3 3 1 5 4 1 – 26
(24)
20–21 Sep 2024 Nippon TV/JX 1,007 (31) (28) (14) (5) (6) (2) (6) (2) (1) – (5)
15–16 Sep 2024 Kyodo News N/A (23.7) (27.7) (19.1) (6.3) (5.2) (1.8) (5.1) (3.8) (1.7) – (5.6)
14–15 Sep 2024 go2senkyo/JX 992 31 16.7 17 4.5 3.1 1.7 7 3.6 0.6 – 14.6
14–15 Sep 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,012 25.6
(24.1) 		12.5
(16.3) 		21.9
(29.4) 		3.5
(3.8) 		3
(3.6) 		1.6
(3) 		5.5
(3.6) 		4.6
(5.2) 		0.2
(0.3) 		– 21.6
(10.7)
14–15 Sep 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,500 (26) (25) (16) (5) (6) (2) (6) (3) (1) – (9)
14–15 Sep 2024 Asahi 1,070 32 17 24 4 3 1 3 3 0 – 13
13–15 Sep 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,040 27 13 21 2 2 2 5 6 1 – 20[cy]
13–15 Sep 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 902 26 16 20 5 3 2 6 5 1 – 16
12 Sep 2024 Nippon TV/JX 1,022 (25) (22) (19) (5) (5) (3) (9) (3) (1) – (9)
12 Sep 2024 Nomination period closes. Official campaign period begins.
7–8 Sep 2024 JNN 1,011 23.1
(24.1) 		9.2
(11.7) 		28.5
(34.5) 		1.8
(2.8) 		2.8
(2.6) 		2.1
(2.9) 		6.1
(5.9) 		6.4
(6.7) 		0.5
(0.8) 		3.6
(2)[cz] 		15.9
(6)
6–9 Sep 2024 Jiji Press 1,170 24.2
(27.1) 		8.5
(12.1) 		25.5
(35.6) 		1.4 2.9 1.4 2.1 4.9
(3.6) 		0.3 – 27.8[da]
6–8 Sep 2024 NHK 1,220 27.8 9.3 22.6 1.9 3.6 1.7 4.2 6.1 0.7 3.8[db] 18.3[dc]
3–4 Sep 2024 Nippon TV/JX 1,019[dd] (28) (17) (18) (4) (5) (2) (7) (3) (2) (4)[de] (10)
31 Aug – 1 Sep 2024 go2senkyo 1,000 16.5
(28.6) 		7.5
(11.8) 		11.6
(17.6) 		0.7 1.3 0.7 2.9 4.3 0.2 3.7[df] 50.6
24–25 Aug 2024 SSRC 1,752 23 11 16 2 5 1 5 5 – 5[dg] 28
24–25 Aug 2024 Asahi 1,058 21 8 21 1 5 2 6 6 1 1[dh] 28[di]
24–25 Aug 2024 ANN 1,015 27 9 23 1 6 1 6 6 – 1 19
24–25 Aug 2024 Mainichi 950 29 13 16 1 7 1 6 5 1 1[dj] 20[dk]
24–25 Aug 2024 Sankei/FNN N/A 21.6 10.8 22.4 1.0 3.6 1.3 4.2 7.7 0.6 3.1[dl] 23.7
23–25 Aug 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 22 10 20 1 5 2 6 7 1 1[dm] 25[dn]
21–22 Aug 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo N/A 18 11 23 2 8 1 6 7 1 2[do] –
17–19 Aug 2024 Kyodo News 1,064 25.3 10.1 19.6 – 3.7 – 7.6 9.7 – – –
17–18 Aug 2024 go2senkyo/JX 987 29.1 12.6 14.7 – 5.7 2.0 6.2 5.8 – 7.6[dp] 16.4

Before the call of LDP presidential election

LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 LDP leadership election with a 7-day average.
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size[vague] Shigeru
Ishiba 		Shinjirō
Koizumi 		Taro
Kono 		Sanae
Takaichi 		Yoshihide
Suga 		Yōko
Kamikawa 		Fumio
Kishida 		Seiko
Noda 		Toshimitsu
Motegi 		Yoshimasa
Hayashi 		Katsunobu
Katō 		Others NOT/
UD/NA
19 Aug 2024 LDP presidential election is called for 27 September.
14 Aug 2024 Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
3–4 Aug 2024 JNN 1,010 23.1 14.5 7.1 7 4.8 6.9 6.4 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.8[dq] 26.6
26–28 Jul 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 24 15 5 8 5 6 6 2 1 2 – 4[dr] 24
20–21 Jul 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,033 24.7 12.1 7.0 7.5 5.4 4.8 4.1 1.4 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.1[ds] 30.4[dt]
20–21 Jul 2024 Kyodo News 1,035 28.4 12.7 9 10.4 – 8.2 7.5 1.1 2.5 0.7 0.7 1.1[du] 17.7
20–21 Jul 2024 SSRC 2,044 17 12 4 7 7 5 6 – – – – 9[dv] 33
19–21 Jul 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 25 15 8 6 6 4 6 2 1 1 – 1[dw] 25[dx]
13–14 Jul 2024 ANN 1,012 27 18 6 6 4 6 4 2 1 – 1 1 24
6–7 Jul 2024 JNN 1,021 24 16.6 9.3 5.8 5.8 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.8[dy] 25.5
22–23 Jun 2024 SSRC 2,043 18 11 5 5 7 5 5 – – – – 9[dz] 35
22–23 Jun 2024 Mainichi 1,057 20 7 5 9 6 8 5 – 1 – – – 39
22–23 Jun 2024 Kyodo News 1,056 26.2 12.1 7.8 6.8 – 7.8 6.6 2.4 2.4 1 0.9 1.9 25.1
21–23 Jun 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 23 15 6 7 8 6 6 3 1 1 1 1[ea] 22[eb]
15–16 Jun 2024 Senkyo.com/JX 984 23.2 9.9 4.8 8.5 – 8.6 7.8 – 0.9 2.4 – 8 25.9
15–16 Jun 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,013 16.4 14.6 8.4 6.3 5.8 5.6 4.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.7[ec] 35.3[ed]
15–16 Jun 2024 ANN 1,026 23 18 8 6 5 7 3 3 1 – – 1 25
18–19 May 2024 ANN 1,045 23 18 7 6 5 9 4 1 1 – – 1 25
17–19 May 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 22 16 10 7 6 7 4 1 2 2 – 2[ee] 21[ef]
4–5 May 2024 JNN 1,013 24.2 14.1 8.4 6.1 7 7.8 4.5 1.8 0.3 0.9 1.4 8.2 15.3
13–14 Apr 2024 ANN 1,037 21 18 8 6 5 9 5 2 1 – – 1 24
22–24 Mar 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,020 22 15 8 5 6 9 7 1 1 1 – 2[eg] 23[eh]
16–17 Mar 2024 ANN 1,031 22 18 9 6 5 11 4 2 1 – – 1 21
16–17 Mar 2024 SSRC 2,044 17 11 6 6 6 8 3 – – – – 8[ei] 35
8–11 Mar 2024 Jiji Press 1,160 18.6 12.1 6.4 4.7 5.7 5.9 2.3 0.9 0.4 1.1 0.1 1.4[ej] 40.4
9–10 Mar 2024 Kyodo News 1,043 22.2 15.4 7.9 8.3 – 10.8 4.9 1.8 0.9 0.5 – 2.8[ek] 24.5
24–25 Feb 2024 ANN 1,034 23 17 9 6 4 11 2 3 1 – – 1[el] 34
17–18 Feb 2024 SSRC 2,043 17 10 7 6 7 10 3 – – – – 7[em] 33
17–18 Feb 2024 Mainichi 1,024 25 9 7 9 – 12 1 2 1 – – – 34
16–18 Feb 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,083 21 17 10 6 4 8 4 2 2 – – 2[en] 12
26–28 Jan 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 969 22 15 10 7 7 5 3 2 2 3 – 3[eo] 17
21 Jan 2024 SSRC 2,052 17 12 7 7 9 5 4 – – – 5 3[ep] 32
20–21 Jan 2024 ANN 1,007 23 19 9 7 6 5 4 2 1 – – 2[eq] 24
16–17 Dec 2023 ANN 1,011 23 19 11 7 4 6 3 1 1 – – 2[er] 23
16–17 Dec 2023 Kyodo News 1,018 25.7 15.9 13.2 6.2 – 5.9 5.2 2.4 1.3 3.9 – 2.7[es] 17.6
15–17 Dec 2023 Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 20 17 12 7 8 4 4 2 2 2 – 1[et] 23[eu]
15–16 Dec 2023 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 729 21 19 12 7 5 4 3 1 1 3 – 1[ev] 23
8–11 Dec 2023 Jiji Press 2,000 15 16 8.8 5 6.2 3.1 1.6 – – – – 1 40.3
25–26 Nov 2023 ANN 1,015 17 19 13 7 6 4 4 2 1 – – 1[ew] 26
24–26 Nov 2023 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 869 16 15 13 9 5 2 4 2 1 3 – 3[ex] 26
18–19 Nov 2023 Asahi 1,086 15 16 13 8 – – 7 – 1 1 – – 36
11–12 Nov 2023 Sankei/FNN N/A 18.2 16 11.9 5.4 4.2 4.3 2.5 – – – – 5.2 32.3
3–5 Nov 2023 Kyodo News 1,040 20.2 14.1 14.2 10 – – 5.7 3.1 2.3 2.4 – 5.8[ey] 22.2
23–24 Sep 2023 ANN 1,018 18 15 14 5 7 – 5 3 3 – – 3[ez] 22
19–20 Aug 2023 Kyodo News 1,049 18.5 11.9 13.5 7 – – 10.2 1.6 2 3.7 – 3[fa] 28.6
8–9 Jul 2023 ANN 1,023 15 16 13 5 10 – 10 2 – – – 3[fb] 27
4 Jun 2023 SSRC 1,502 4 4 9 4 4 – 19 – – – – 7[fc] 49
3–4 Dec 2022 JNN 1,227 11 – 19 5 7 – 6 2 2 1 – – 39
19–20 Nov 2022 Mainichi/SSRC 3,069 5.9 4 14.7 4.7 4.4 – 15.8 – – – – 6.4[fd] 17
17–18 Sep 2022 SSRC 642 5.1 2.1 13.6 5.1 3.4 – 10.3 – – – – 8[fe] 20.9

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
19–20 Oct Asahi N/A Shigeru Ishiba 33 39 28 6
19–20 Oct Kyodo News 1,262 41.4 40.4 18.2 1
18–20 Oct NHK 2,524 41.3 35.3 23.4 6
12–14 Oct NHK 2,515 44.2 32.2 23.6 12
12–13 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 982 42.9[ff] 29.5[fg] 27.5 13.4
11–14 Oct Jiji Press 1,172 28 30.1 41.9 11.8
11–12 Oct Kyodo News 1,264 42 36.7 21.3 5.3
9 Oct The House of Representatives is dissolved. A general election is called for 27 October 2024.[1]
5–6 Oct JNN 1,019 Shigeru Ishiba 51.6 46.5 1.9 5.1
5–6 Oct Sankei/FNN 1,014 53.3 35.8 10.9 17.5
5–6 Oct ANN 1,024 42.3 32.3 25.4 10
3 Oct Mainichi/SSRC 2,061 46 37 16 9
1–2 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo 784 51 37 12 14
1–2 Oct Kyodo News 1,102 50.7 28.9 20.4 21.8
1–2 Oct Asahi 1,178 46 30 24 16
1–2 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,095 51 32 17 19
1 Oct Shigeru Ishiba succeeds Fumio Kishida as Prime Minister of Japan. The Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
25 Sep – 1 Oct Morning Consult N/A Fumio Kishida 21.3 59.4 19.3 38.1
21–22 Sep ANN 1,012 25.7 56.8 17.4 31.1
21 Sep SSRC 2,044 20 65 16 45
14–15 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 992 21.1[fh] 50.3[fi] 28.5 21.8
14–15 Sep Sankei/FNN 1,012 25.7 69.1 5.2 43.4
13–15 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,040 25 63 11 38
13–15 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 902 27 65 8 38
7–8 Sep JNN 1,011 34.3 60.6 5.1 26.3
6–9 Sep Jiji Press 1,170 18.7 57.5 23.8 33.7
6–8 Sep NHK 1,220 20.2 59.9 19.9 39.7
24–25 Aug SSRC 1,752 19 67 14 48
24–25 Aug Mainichi 950 23 71 6 48
24–25 Aug Asahi 1,058 23 62 15 39
24–25 Aug ANN 1,015 20.3 62.5 17.2 42.2
24–25 Aug Sankei/FNN N/A 26.1 70.1 3.8 44
23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 24 63 13 39
21–22 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 595 28 66 7 38
17–19 Aug Kyodo News 1,064 26.1 67.4 6.5 41.3
17–18 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 987 24.7[fj] 49.1[fk] 26.2 24.4
14 Aug Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
5 Aug Nikkei 225 decline
3–4 Aug JNN 1,010 Fumio Kishida 31 66.4 2.6 35.4
2–4 Aug NHK 1,199 24.9 55.1 20 30.2
26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 28 64 8 36
20–21 Jul Sankei/FNN 1,033 25.1 68.9 6 43.8
20–21 Jul Kyodo News 1,035 24.6 60.7 14.7 36.1
20–21 Jul Mainichi 1,020 21 73 6 52
20–21 Jul Asahi 1,035 26 61 13 35
20–21 Jul SSRC 2,044 19 66 15 47
19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 25 62 13 37
13–14 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 987 20[fl] 54.8[fm] 25.2 29.6
13–14 Jul ANN 1,012 20.2 61.4 18.4 41.2
5–8 Jul Jiji Press 1,160 15.5 58.4 26.1 32.3
6–7 Jul JNN 1,021 26.9 71.5 1.6 44.6
5–7 Jul NHK 1,211 24.9 56.8 18.2 31.9
28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 25 67 8 42
22–23 Jun SSRC 2,043 17 71 12 54
22–23 Jun Mainichi 1,057 17 77 6 60
22–23 Jun Kyodo News 1,056 22.2 62.4 15.4 40.2
21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 23 64 13 41
15–16 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 984 19.4[fn] 58.1[fo] 22.5 35.6
15–16 Jun Sankei/FNN 1,013 31.2 64.4 4.4 33.2
15–16 Jun ANN 1,026 19.1 62.4 18.5 43.3
7–10 Jun Jiji Press 1,240 16.4 57 26.6 30.4
7–9 Jun NHK 1,192 21.4 60.2 18.4 38.8
30 May – 5 Jun Morning Consult N/A 13 72 15 57
1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 25.1 71.6 3.3 46.5
24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 28 67 5 39
18–19 May ANN 1,045 20.7 60.8 18.5 40.1
18–19 May Mainichi 1,093 20 74 6 54
17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 26 63 11 37
11–13 May Kyodo News 1,055 24.2 62.6 13.2 38.4
10–13 May Jiji Press 1,260 19 56 25 31
11–12 May Senkyo.com/JX 976 19.8[fp] 58.3[fq] 21.9 36.4
10–12 May NHK 1,202 23.9 54.6 21.5 30.7
1–7 May Morning Consult N/A 15 71 14 56
4–5 May JNN 1,013 29.8 67.9 2.3 38.1
29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 26 69 5 43
28 Apr 2024 Japan by-elections
20–21 Apr Mainichi 1,032 Fumio Kishida 22 74 4 52
19–21 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 25 66 9 41
13–15 Apr Kyodo News 1,049 23.8 62.1 14.1 38.3
13–14 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 981 25.7[fr] 50.4[fs] 23.9 24.7
13–14 Apr ANN 1,037 26.3 51.7 22 25.4
5–8 Apr Jiji Press 1,200 16.6 59.4 24 35.4
5–7 Apr NHK 1,204 23 58.2 18.8 35.2
28 Mar – 3 Apr Morning Consult N/A 16 70 14 54
30–31 Mar JNN 1,036 22.8 75 2.2 52.2
22–24 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 925 26 66 8 40
22–24 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,020 25 62 13 37
16–17 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 983 23.6[ft] 58.8[fu] 17.6 35.2
16–17 Mar ANN 1,031 20.9 61.1 18 40.2
16–17 Mar SSRC 2,044 16 73 11 57
16–17 Mar Mainichi 997 17 77 6 60
16–17 Mar Asahi 1,065 22 67 11 45
8–11 Mar Jiji Press 1,160 18 57.4 24.6 39.4
9–10 Mar Kyodo News 1,043 20.1 64.4 15.5 44.3
8–10 Mar NHK 1,206 24.9 57 18.1 32.1
24–25 Feb ANN 1,034 20.6 59.7 19.7 39.1
23–25 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 867 25 67 8 42
17–18 Feb Mainichi 1,024 14 82 4 68
17–18 Feb SSRC 2,043 14 74 12 60
17–18 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 991 19.5[fv] 59.7[fw] 20.8 38.9
16–18 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,083 24 61 15 37
10–12 Feb NHK 1,215 25.1 58.2 16.7 33.1
9–12 Feb Jiji Press 1,180 16.9 60.4 22.7 37.7
3–4 Feb Kyodo News 1,055 24.5 58.9 16.6 34.4
27–28 Jan Mainichi 1,049 21 72 7 51
26–28 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 969 27 66 7 39
21 Jan SSRC 2,052 19 70 11 51
20–21 Jan ANN 1,007 20.4 61.3 18.3 40.9
19–21 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,074 24 61 15 37
19 Jan Dissolution of Kōchikai, Shisuikai and Seiwakai factions of the LDP.
13–14 Jan Senkyo.com/JX 987 Fumio Kishida 28.3[fx] 42.6[fy] 29.1 13.5
13–14 Jan Kyodo News 1,056 27.3 57.5 15.2 30.2
12–14 Jan NHK 1,212 26.4 55.5 18.1 29.1
6–7 Jan JNN 1,209 27.1 70.4 2.5 42.9
1 Jan 2024 Noto earthquake

2023

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
16–17 Dec Mainichi 1,080 Fumio Kishida 16 79 5 63
16–17 Dec Senkyo.com/JX 990 17.5[fz] 60.8[ga] 21.7 39.1
16–17 Dec ANN 1,011 21.3 60.4 18.3 39.1
16–17 Dec Kyodo News 1,018 22.3 65.4 12.3 43.1
15–17 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 25 63 12 38
15–16 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 729 26 68 6 42
8–11 Dec Jiji Press 1,188 17.1 58.2 24.7 33.5
8–10 Dec NHK 1,212 23.2 57.5 19.3 34.3
6–12 Dec Morning Consult N/A 16 73 11 57
8 Dec Slush fund scandal
3 Dec SSRC 2,047 Fumio Kishida 17 71 11 54
2–3 Dec JNN 1,213 28.9 68 3.1 39.1
25–26 Nov ANN 1,015 26.1 54.2 19.7 28.1
24–26 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 869 30 62 8 32
15–21 Nov Morning Consult N/A 16 71 13 55
18–19 Nov Asahi 1,086 25 65 10 40
18–19 Nov Mainichi 1,032 21 74 5 53
17–19 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,067 24 62 14 38
11–12 Nov Senkyo.com/JX 993 23.4[gb] 48.8[gc] 27.7 21.1
10–12 Nov NHK 1,224 29 52 19 23
5 Nov SSRC 1,511 19 67 14 48
3–5 Nov Kyodo News 1,040 28.3 56.7 15 28.4
28–29 Oct ANN 1,019 26.9 51.8 21.3 24.9
27–29 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo 852 33 59 8 26
14–15 Oct Mainichi 1,030 25 68 7 43
14–15 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 991 27.3[gd] 42.5[ge] 30.2 12.3
14–15 Oct Kyodo News 1,026 32.3 52.5 15.2 20.2
13–15 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,022 34 49 17 15
6–9 Oct Jiji Press 1,176 26.3 46.3 27.4 18.9
7–9 Oct NHK 1,219 36.3 43.6 20.2 7.3
1 Oct SSRC 1,505 23 64 13 41
30 Sep – 1 Oct JNN 1,208 39.6 57.8 2.6 18.2
23–24 Sep ANN 1,018 30.7 48.3 21 17.6
16–17 Sep Mainichi 1,030 25 68 7 43
13–14 Sep Kyodo News 1,046 39.8 39.7 20.5 0.1
13–14 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 749 42 51 6 9
13–14 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,088 35 50 15 15
13 Sep Second Reshuffle of Kishida Cabinet
9–10 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 995 Fumio Kishida 30.2[gf] 41[gg] 28.7 10.8
8–10 Sep NHK 1,236 36.3 43 20.6 6.7
3 Sep SSRC 1,509 25 63 12 38
2–3 Sep JNN 1,219 38.7 58.1 3.2 19.4
30 Aug – 5 Sep Morning Consult N/A 25 63 12 38
26–27 Aug Mainichi 1,039 26 68 6 42
25–27 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 847 42 50 8 8
25–27 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 35 50 15 15
19–20 Aug Kyodo News 1,049 33.6 50 16.4 16.4
19–20 Aug ANN 1,010 33.4 45.9 20.7 12.5
16–22 Aug Morning Consult N/A 23 63 14 40
12–13 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 997 25.4[gh] 45.3[gi] 29.4 15.9
11–13 Aug NHK 1,223 33.4 44.8 21.7 11.4
9–15 Aug Morning Consult N/A 23 64 13 41
6 Aug SSRC 1,509 22 66 11 44
5–6 Aug JNN 1,206 37.1 58.7 4.2 21.6
26 Jul – 1 Aug Morning Consult N/A 23 65 12 42
28–30 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 904 40 51 9 11
22–23 Jul Mainichi 1,022 28 65 7 37
21–23 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 35 52 13 17
15–16 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 997 30.1[gj] 41.6[gk] 28.4 11.5
14–16 Jul Kyodo News 1,034 34.3 48.6 17.1 15
12–18 Jul Morning Consult N/A 25 62 13 37
8–9 Jul ANN 1,023 34.5 42.5 23 8
7–10 Jul Jiji Press 1,184 30.8 39.3 29.9 8.5
7–9 Jul NHK 1,218 38.2 40.6 21.3 2.4
5–11 Jul Morning Consult N/A 27 60 13 33
2 Jul SSRC 1,501 26 59 15 33
23–25 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 913 39 51 10 12
23–25 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,018 41 44 15 3
17–18 Jun Kyodo News 1,044 40.8 41.6 17.6 0.8
17–18 Jun Mainichi 1,029 33 58 9 25
17–18 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 993 34.2[gl] 38.7[gm] 27.1 4.5
14–20 Jun Morning Consult N/A 25 60 15 35
10–11 Jun ANN 1,021 36.9 37.7 25.4 0.8
9–11 Jun NHK 1,208 43 37.2 19.9 5.8
4 Jun SSRC 1,502 31 54 15 23
3–4 Jun JNN 1,202 46.7 48.3 5 1.6
24–30 May Morning Consult N/A 34 53 13 19
27–28 May Asahi 1,130 46 42 12 4
27–28 May Kyodo News 1,052 47 35.9 17.1 11.1
26–28 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 928 47 44 9 3
20–21 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,061 56 33 11 23
20–21 May Mainichi 1,053 45 46 9 1
19–21 May 49th G7 summit in Hiroshima
13–14 May Senkyo.com/JX 1,000 Fumio Kishida 37[gn] 32.9[go] 30.1 4.1
13–14 May ANN 1,028 41.3 33.6 25.1 7.7
12–15 May Jiji Press 1,228 38.2 31.8 30 6.4
12–14 May NHK 1,225 46.4 30.9 22.7 15.5
10–16 May Morning Consult N/A 31 54 15 23
29–30 Apr Kyodo News 1,046 46.6 35.5 17.9 11.1
28–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 816 52 40 8 12
15–16 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 992 37[gp] 32.7[gq] 30.2 4.3
15–16 Apr ANN 1,054 45.3 34.6 20.2 10.7
14–16 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,071 47 37 17 10
15 Apr Attempted assassination of Fumio Kishida
7–9 Apr NHK 1,232 Fumio Kishida 42 35.2 22.8 6.8
24–26 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 927 48 44 7 4
18–19 Mar ANN 1,008 35.1 39 25.9 3.9
18–19 Mar Asahi 1,304 40 50 10 10
18–19 Mar Mainichi 1,034 33 59 8 26
17–19 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,001 42 43 15 1
15–21 Mar Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38
11–13 Mar Kyodo News 1,057 38.1 43.5 18.4 5.4
11–12 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 994 30.8[gr] 42.4[gs] 26.7 11.6
10–13 Mar Jiji Press 1,198 29.9 40.9 29.2 11
10–12 Mar NHK 1,227 41.4 40.2 18.4 1.2
5 Mar SSRC 3,072 25 61 14 36
24–26 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 819 43 49 8 6
18–19 Feb ANN 1,011 29.5 44.8 25.7 15.3
17–19 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,044 41 47 12 6
15–21 Feb Morning Consult N/A 24 63 13 39
11–13 Feb Kyodo News 1,060 33.6 47.7 18.7 14.1
11–12 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 986 28.1[gt] 43.3[gu] 28.6 14.7
10–12 Feb NHK 1,229 35.7 40.9 23.4 5.2
5 Feb SSRC 3,076 23 65 12 42
4–5 Feb JNN 1,167 35.5 62.2 2.3 26.7
28–29 Jan Kyodo News 1,044 33.4 49.9 16.7 16.5
27–29 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 940 39 54 7 15
21–22 Jan Mainichi 1,059 27 66 7 39
21–22 Jan ANN 1,024 28.1 47.5 24.4 19.4
13–16 Jan Jiji Press 1,210 26.5 43.6 29.9 13.7
14–15 Jan Senkyo.com/JX 996 28.3[gv] 42.6[gw] 29.1 13.5
13–15 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 39 47 14 8
7–9 Jan NHK 1,250 32.7 44.7 22.6 12
8 Jan SSRC 3,069 25 63 12 38
7–8 Jan JNN 1,225 37.4 59.4 3.2 22
4–10 Jan Morning Consult N/A 23 64 13 41

2022

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
23–25 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 947 Fumio Kishida 35 57 8 22
17–18 Dec Senkyo.com/JX 994 28.1[gx] 46.7[gy] 25.2 18.6
17–18 Dec Kyodo News 1,051 33.1 51.5 15.4 18.4
17–18 Dec ANN 1,015 31.1 43.3 25.6 12.2
17–18 Dec SSRC 3,061 24 64 12 40
7–13 Dec Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38
9–12 Dec Jiji Press 1,228 29.2 42.5 28.3 13.3
9–11 Dec NHK 1,234 36.3 43.5 20.2 7.2
3–4 Dec JNN 1,227 34.2 61.9 3.9 27.7
2–4 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 39 52 9 13
26–27 Nov Kyodo News 1,035 33.1 51.6 15.3 18.5
25–27 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 1,030 37 55 8 18
19–20 Nov SSRC 3,069 27 59 14 32
19–20 Nov ANN 1,021 30.5 44.7 24.8 14.2
11–14 Nov Jiji Press 1,234 27.7 43.5 28.8 14.7
12–13 Nov Asahi 1,365 37 51 12 14
12–13 Nov Senkyo.com/JX 995 23.9[gz] 49.5[ha] 26.5 23
11–13 Nov NHK 1,236 32.6 46 21.4 13.4
9–15 Nov Morning Consult N/A 22 63 15 41
5–6 Nov JNN 1,213 39.6 57.7 2.7 18.1
4–6 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,049 36 50 14 14
29–30 Oct Kyodo News 1,049 37.6 44.8 17.6 7.2
28–30 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo 929 42 49 9 7
22–23 Oct SSRC 3,072 26 62 13 36
15–16 Oct Senkyo.com/JX 987 27.4[hb] 44.7[hc] 28 16.7
15–16 Oct ANN 1,058 33.1 40.9 26 7.8
12–18 Oct Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38
8–10 Oct NHK 1,247 37.5 43 19.5 5.5
8–9 Oct Kyodo News 1,067 35 48.3 16.7 13.3
7–10 Oct Jiji Press 1,266 27.4 43.9 28.7 15.2
5–11 Oct Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38
1–2 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,089 45 46 9 1
17–18 Sep Senkyo.com/JX 997 29.5[hd] 41.7[he] 28.9 12.2
17–18 Sep Kyodo News 1,049 40.2 46.5 13.3 6.3
17–18 Sep ANN 1,013 36.3 40.9 22.8 4.6
17–18 Sep Mainichi/SSRC 1,064 29 64 7 35
16–18 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 957 43 49 8 6
10–11 Sep Asahi 1,462 41 47 12 6
9–12 Sep Jiji Press 1,238 32.3 40 27.7 7.7
9–11 Sep NHK 1,255 40.4 40.1 19.5 0.3
7–13 Sep Morning Consult N/A 28 59 13 31
3–4 Sep JNN 1,218 48.1 48.3 3.6 0,2
2–4 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,075 50 41 9 9
27–28 Aug Asahi 998 47 39 14 8
20–21 Aug Mainichi/SSRC 965 36 54 10 18
20–21 Aug ANN 1,016 43.7 32.7 23.6 11
13–14 Aug Senkyo.com/JX 1,005 35.4[hf] 34.8[hg] 29.9 0.6
10–11 Aug Kyodo News 1,052 54.1 28.2 17.7 25.9
10–11 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 907 57 35 8 22
10–11 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,095 51 34 14 17
10 Aug First Reshuffle of Kishida Cabinet
5–8 Aug Jiji Press 1,200 Fumio Kishida 44.3 28.5 27.2 15.8
6–7 Aug JNN 1,162 57.5 39.3 3.2 18.2
5–7 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 57 32 11 25
5–7 Aug NHK 1,223 46.4 27.9 25.8 18.5
30–31 Jul Kyodo News 1,050 51 29.5 19.5 21.5
29–31 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 985 58 32 10 26
16–18 Jul NHK 1,216 59.4 21.1 19.6 38.3
16–17 Jul Senkyo.com/JX 998 49.6[hh] 22.3[hi] 28.1 21.5
16–17 Jul Mainichi/SSRC 1,031 52 37 11 15
16–17 Jul ANN 1,008 53.6 22.7 23.7 30.9
15–18 Jul Jiji Press 1,224 49.9 20 30.1 29.9
11–12 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,109 65 24 11 41
10 Jul 2022 Japanese House of Councillors election
8 Jul Assassination of Shinzo Abe
2–3 Jul JNN 1,198 Fumio Kishida 60.4 34.7 4.9 25.7
1–3 Jul NHK 2,035 53.5 26.6 19.9 26.9
24–26 Jun NHK 2,049 50.2 26.6 23.1 23.6
22–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,585 57 28 15 29
18 Jun Mainichi/SSRC 995 48 44 8 4
18–19 Jun ANN 1,043 49 26.7 24.3 22.3
17–19 Jun NHK 2,035 54.7 24.8 20.5 29.9
17–19 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 912 60 32 8 28
14–21 Jun Morning Consult N/A 41 41 18 0
11–13 Jun Kyodo News 1,051 56.9 26.9 16.2 30
11–12 Jun Senkyo.com/JX 983 47.9[hj] 22.6[hk] 29.5 18.4
10–13 Jun Jiji Press 1,234 48.7 22 29.3 19.4
10–12 Jun NHK 1,994 58.8 23.1 18.1 35.7
8–14 Jun Morning Consult N/A 42 42 16 0
4–5 Jun JNN 1,207 64.5 31.6 3.9 32.9
3–5 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,485 64 26 10 38
27–29 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 935 66 23 11 43
21–22 May ANN 1,035 51 22 27 24
21–22 May Kyodo News 1,048 61.5 21.8 16.7 39.7
21 May Mainichi/SSRC 1,041 53 37 10 16
13–16 May Jiji Press 1,254 50.8 19.2 30 20.8
14–15 May Senkyo.com/JX 995 48.8[hl] 18.2[hm] 32.9 15.9
13–15 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 63 23 14 40
6–8 May NHK 1,214 55.4 22.5 22.2 32.9
23 Apr Mainichi/SSRC 1,018 50 34 16 16
22–24 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 905 64 27 9 37
16–17 Apr Senkyo.com/JX 995 45.6[hn] 22.1[ho] 32.3 13.3
16–17 Apr ANN 1,014 51.9 21.7 26.4 25.5
16–17 Apr Kyodo News 1,067 58.7 23.1 18.2 35.6
8–10 Apr NHK 1,235 53 22.7 24.3 28.7
1–3 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 59 29 12 30
25–27 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 976 61 27 12 34
19–20 Mar ANN 1,008 47.8 26.3 25.9 21.5
19–20 Mar Kyodo News 1,053 60.1 21.9 18 38.2
19 Mar Mainichi/SSRC 1,040 48 38 14 10
12–13 Mar Senkyo.com/JX 1,001 42.5[hp] 22.7[hq] 34.9 7.6
11–14 Mar Jiji Press 1,226 50.2 21.1 28.7 21.5
11–13 Mar NHK 1,223 53.1 25.2 21.7 27.9
4–6 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,063 57 28 15 29
25–27 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 992 55 31 14 24
19–20 Feb Kyodo News 1,054 56.6 27.4 16 29.2
19–20 Feb ANN 1,008 46.5 25.1 28.4 18.1
19 Feb Mainichi/SSRC 1,050 45 46 9 1
12–13 Feb Senkyo.com/JX 1,004 38.6[hr] 27.5[hs] 33.9 4.7
11–14 Feb Jiji Press 1,256 43.4 25.3 31.3 12.1
11–13 Feb NHK 1,240 53.5 27.3 19.2 26.2
4–6 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,071 58 28 14 30
28–30 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 958 59 30 11 29
22–23 Jan ANN 1,025 51.5 23.2 25.3 26.2
22–23 Jan Kyodo News 1,059 55.9 25.2 18.9 30.7
22 Jan Mainichi/SSRC 1,061 52 36 12 16
15–16 Jan Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 49.2[ht] 17.6[hu] 33.2 16
14–16 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,057 66 22 12 44
8–10 Jan NHK 1,219 56.8 20 23.1 33.7
7–10 Jan Jiji Press 1,292 51.7 18.7 29.6 22.1

2021

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
24–26 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 947 Fumio Kishida 65 26 9 39
18–19 Dec Asahi 1,318 49 23 28 21
18–19 Dec ANN 1,032 51.3 24.7 24 26.6
18–19 Dec Kyodo News 1,065 60 22.7 17.3 37.3
18 Dec Mainichi/SSRC 1,023 54 36 10 18
11–12 Dec Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 38.6[hv] 28[hw] 33.4 5.2
10–12 Dec NHK 1,190 50.3 26.1 23.5 24.2
3–5 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,088 62 22 16 40
20–21 Nov ANN 1,031 45.5 26.1 28.4 17.1
13–14 Nov Senkyo.com/JX ~1,000 43[hx] 26.1[hy] 30.9 12.1
10–11 Nov Kyodo News 1,040 60.5 23 16.5 37.5
10–11 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 852 61 27 12 34
10 Nov The Second Kishida Cabinet is formed.
5–8 Nov Jiji Press 1,270 Fumio Kishida 47.1 21.3 31.6 15.5
5–7 Nov NHK 1,208 52.8 25.3 21.9 27.5
1–2 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,107 56 29 15 27

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Election turnout.
  2. ^ Conservative Party of Japan: 2.1%
  3. ^ Others: 3.4%; Free Education For All: 1.5%
  4. ^ Others: 1.3%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  5. ^ Free Education For All: 0.1%
  6. ^ Free Education For All: 0.1%
  7. ^ Others: 0.6%; Free Education For All: 0.6%
  8. ^ Others: 0.6%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  9. ^ Free Education For All: 0.1%
  10. ^ Free Education For All: 0.1%
  11. ^ Others: 2%; Free Education For All: 0.8%
  12. ^ Free Education For All: 0.1%
  13. ^ Others: 0.6%; Free Education For All: 0.4%
  14. ^ Others: 2.1%; Free Education For All: 1.1%
  15. ^ Free Education For All: 0.3%
  16. ^ Others: 1.2%; Free Education For All: 0.3%
  17. ^ Free Education For All: 0.4%
  18. ^ Free Education For All: 0.1%
  19. ^ Free Education For All: 0.2%
  20. ^ Others: 1.2%; Free Education For All: 0.2%
  21. ^ Free Education For All: 0.9%
  22. ^ Free Education For All: 0.2%
  23. ^ Others: 1.4%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  24. ^ Free Education For All: 0.2%
  25. ^ Free Education For All: 1.5%
  26. ^ Free Education For All: 0.1%
  27. ^ Others: 0.6%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  28. ^ Free Education For All: 0.3%
  29. ^ Others: 2.1%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  30. ^ Free Education For All: 1.8%
  31. ^ Conservative Party of Japan: 2.1%
  32. ^ Undecided: 32.3%; None: 3.1%
  33. ^ Undecided: 33.2%; None: 3.7%
  34. ^ Undecided/no answer: 36%; None: 3%
  35. ^ Others: 1%; Free Education For All: 1%
  36. ^ Others: 2.7%; Free Education For All: 1.1%
  37. ^ Others: 2%; Free Education For All: 1%
  38. ^ Others: 1%; Free Education For All: 1%
  39. ^ Others: 2.1%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  40. ^ Others: 1.7%; Free Education For All: 0.2%
  41. ^ Free Education For All: 1%
  42. ^ Others: 3%; Free Education For All: 2%
  43. ^ Others: 1%; Free Education For All: 1%
  44. ^ Others: 0.8%; Free Education For All: 0.4%
  45. ^ Others: 3.5%; Free Education For All: 0.3%
  46. ^ Others: 2.1%; Free Education For All: 1.2%
  47. ^ Others: 1%; Free Education For All: 1%
  48. ^ Others: 3.4%; Free Education For All: 0.2%
  49. ^ Others: 2%; Free Education For All: 1.5%
  50. ^ Others: 3.5%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  51. ^ Others: 0.7%; Free Education For All: 0.8%
  52. ^ Others: 1%; Free Education For All: 1%
  53. ^ Others: 2.6%; Free Education For All: 0.4%
  54. ^ Others: 3.4%; Free Education For All: 0.1%
  55. ^ Others: 1%; Free Education For All: 1%
  56. ^ Others: 3.5%; Free Education For All: 0.5%
  57. ^ Free Education For All: 1%
  58. ^ Others: 3%; Free Education For All: 1%
  59. ^ Others: 3.5%; Free Education For All: 0.2%
  60. ^ Others: 3%; Free Education For All: 0.2%
  61. ^ Free Education For All: 1%
  62. ^ Others: 3.7%; Free Education For All: 0.4%
  63. ^ Others: 3.4%; Free Education For All: 0.9%
  64. ^ Free Education For All: 1%
  65. ^ Others: 2%; Free Education For All: 1%
  66. ^ Undecided/no answer: 31.1%; Do not vote: 2.9%
  67. ^ Undecided/no answer: 31%; Do not vote: 4%
  68. ^ Happiness Realization Party: 0.2%; Kunimori Conservative Party: 0.2%; Ishin Seito Shimpu: 0%; First no Kai: 0.2%; Others: 1.2%
  69. ^ Undecided/no answer: 35.4%; Do not vote: 2.6%
  70. ^ Undecided/no answer: 34.1%; Do not vote: 2.9%
  71. ^ Undecided/no answer: 34.5%; Do not vote: 2.3%
  72. ^ Undecided/no answer: 34%; Do not vote: 2%
  73. ^ Undecided/no answer: 32.3%; Do not vote: 2.9%
  74. ^ Clear government win: 27.1%
  75. ^ Clear opposition win: 15.1%
  76. ^ CDP-led coalition: 23%
  77. ^ CDP-led coalition: 19%; Another regime: 8%
  78. ^ CDP-led coalition: 27%
  79. ^ CDP-led coalition: 18%; Another regime: 8%
  80. ^ LDP-Komei coalition: 24%; LDP-Komei coalition with reduced majority: 36%
  81. ^ Clear government win: 21.9%
  82. ^ Clear opposition win: 21.9%
  83. ^ CDP-led coalition: 16%; Another regime: 10%
  84. ^ LDP-Komei coalition: 21%; LDP-Komei coalition with reduced majority: 40%
  85. ^ CDP-led coalition: 21%; Another regime: 9%
  86. ^ CDP-led coalition: 33%; Another regime: 20%
  87. ^ LDP-Komei coalition: 19%; LDP-Komei coalition with reduced majority: 41%
  88. ^ Clear government win: 21.1%
  89. ^ Clear opposition win: 25.9%
  90. ^ LDP-Komei coalition: 20%; LDP-Komei coalition with reduced majority: 43%
  91. ^ Clear government win: 17.7%
  92. ^ Clear opposition win: 23.8%
  93. ^ Others: 1–6; Independents: 10–17
  94. ^ LDP-Independents: 5 (5+0)
  95. ^ Others: 3 (1+2); Independents: 14 (14+0)
  96. ^ Independents: 13 (13+0)
  97. ^ LDP-Independents: 5 (5+0)
  98. ^ LDP-Independents: 4 (4+0)
  99. ^ Free Education For All: 2 (1+1); Independents: 14 (14+0)
  100. ^ Free Education For All: 1 (1+0); Independents: 11 (11+0)
  101. ^ Free Education For All: 1 (1+0); Independents: 5 (5+0)
  102. ^ Free Education For All: 3 (1+2); Independents: 6 (6+0)
  103. ^ None of these: 8%; Don't know: 12%
  104. ^ Shigeharu Aoyama: 2,4% (0.9%); Ken Saitō: 0.6% (0.5%); Seiko Noda: 0.6% (0%)
  105. ^ None of these: 12.0%; Don't know: 15.8%
  106. ^ Shigeharu Aoyama: 2,4%; Seiko Noda: 1.4%
  107. ^ None of these: 6.5%
  108. ^ Among members or allies of LDP.
  109. ^ Shigeharu Aoyama: (3%); Seiko Noda: (1%)
  110. ^ Shigeharu Aoyama: 2.7%; Seiko Noda: 0.7%; Ken Saitō: 0.3%
  111. ^ Others: 3%; Seiko Noda: 2%; Ken Saitō: 0%
  112. ^ Seiko Noda: 1%
  113. ^ None of these: 22%
  114. ^ Ken Saitō: 1%
  115. ^ None of these: 12%; Undecided and Don't know: 7%; No answer: 1%
  116. ^ Shigeharu Aoyama: 1.6%; Seiko Noda: 1.3%; Ken Saitō: 0.2%
  117. ^ Seiko Noda: 1%
  118. ^ None of these: 10%
  119. ^ Seiko Noda: 1%; Ken Saitō: 1%
  120. ^ Seiko Noda: 2.4%; Others: 5.2%
  121. ^ Takayuki Kobayashi: 0.8%
  122. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 1%; Takayuki Kobayashi: 1%
  123. ^ Takayuki Kobayashi: 0.1%
  124. ^ None of these: 21.8%
  125. ^ Takayuki Kobayashi: 0.7%; Another MP: 0.4%
  126. ^ Another government politician: 2%; An opposition politician: 7%
  127. ^ Takayuki Kobayashi: 1%
  128. ^ None of these: 13%
  129. ^ Takayuki Kobayashi: 0.8%
  130. ^ Another government politician: 3%; An opposition politician: 6%
  131. ^ Takayuki Kobayashi: 1%
  132. ^ None of these: 11%
  133. ^ Kenta Izumi (CDP): 1.7%
  134. ^ None of these: 27.7%
  135. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 2%
  136. ^ None of these: 11%
  137. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 2%
  138. ^ None of these: 15%
  139. ^ Another government politician: 2%; An opposition politician: 6%
  140. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 0.7%; Yasutoshi Nishimura: 0.4%; Kōichi Hagiuda: 0.3%
  141. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 0.3%; Another MP: 2.5%
  142. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 1%
  143. ^ Another government politician: 2%; An opposition politician: 5%
  144. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 2%
  145. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 2%; Another MP: 1%
  146. ^ Taro Yamamoto (Reiwa): 3%
  147. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 1%; Another MP: 1%
  148. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 1%; Another MP: 1%
  149. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 1.2%; Another MP: 1.5%
  150. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 1%
  151. ^ None of these: 11%; No answer: 12%
  152. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 1%; Another MP: 0%
  153. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 1%; Another MP: 0%
  154. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 2%; Kōichi Hagiuda: 1%
  155. ^ Yūko Obuchi: 2.3%; Yasutoshi Nishimura: 2.1%; Another MP: 1.4%
  156. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 2%; Another MP: 1%
  157. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 1.4%; Another MP: 1.6%
  158. ^ Yasutoshi Nishimura: 2%; Another MP: 1%
  159. ^ Taro Yamamoto (Reiwa): 2%; Hirofumi Yoshimura (Ishin): 2%; Tōru Hashimoto (Ishin): 1%; Yuriko Koike (Ind.): 1%; Yuichiro Tamaki (DPFP): 1%
  160. ^ Tōru Hashimoto (Ishin): 2.1%; Hirofumi Yoshimura (Ishin): 1.9%; Taro Yamamoto (Reiwa): 1.4%
  161. ^ Tōru Hashimoto (Ishin): 4.7%; Taro Yamamoto (Reiwa): 3.3%
  162. ^ Strongly approve: 13%; Approve on balance: 29.9%
  163. ^ Disapprove on balance: 12.3%; Completely disapprove: 17.2%
  164. ^ Strongly approve: 4.8%; Approve on balance: 16.3%
  165. ^ Disapprove on balance: 23.4%; Completely disapprove: 26.9%
  166. ^ Strongly approve: 6.9%; Approve on balance: 17.8%
  167. ^ Disapprove on balance: 18.9%; Completely disapprove: 30.2%
  168. ^ Strongly approve: 4.9%; Approve on balance: 15.1%
  169. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20.7%; Completely disapprove: 34.1%
  170. ^ Strongly approve: 4.5%; Approve on balance: 14.9%
  171. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20.1%; Completely disapprove: 38%
  172. ^ Strongly approve: 4.6%; Approve on balance: 15.2%
  173. ^ Disapprove on balance: 21%; Completely disapprove: 37.3%
  174. ^ Strongly approve: 5.6%; Approve on balance: 20.1%
  175. ^ Disapprove on balance: 18.5%; Completely disapprove: 31.9%
  176. ^ Strongly approve: 4.7%; Approve on balance: 18.9%
  177. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20.4%; Completely disapprove: 38.4%
  178. ^ Strongly approve: 5%; Approve on balance: 14.5%
  179. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20%; Completely disapprove: 39.7%
  180. ^ Strongly approve: 6.5%; Approve on balance: 21.8%
  181. ^ Disapprove on balance: 21.4%; Completely disapprove: 21.2%
  182. ^ Strongly approve: 5.4%; Approve on balance: 12.1%
  183. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20.9%; Completely disapprove: 39.9%
  184. ^ Strongly approve: 5.4%; Approve on balance: 18%
  185. ^ Disapprove on balance: 19.9%; Completely disapprove: 28.9%
  186. ^ Strongly approve: 6.1%; Approve on balance: 21.2%
  187. ^ Disapprove on balance: 15.6%; Completely disapprove: 26.9%
  188. ^ Strongly approve: 7.1%; Approve on balance: 23.1%
  189. ^ Disapprove on balance: 15.6%; Completely disapprove: 25.4%
  190. ^ Strongly approve: 4.8%; Approve on balance: 20.6%
  191. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20.2%; Completely disapprove: 25.1%
  192. ^ Strongly approve: 7.6%; Approve on balance: 22.5%
  193. ^ Disapprove on balance: 16.8%; Completely disapprove: 24.8%
  194. ^ Strongly approve: 7.5%; Approve on balance: 26.7%
  195. ^ Disapprove on balance: 17.7%; Completely disapprove: 21%
  196. ^ Strongly approve: 7.8%; Approve on balance: 29.2%
  197. ^ Disapprove on balance: 16.8%; Completely disapprove: 16.1%
  198. ^ Strongly approve: 9.5%; Approve on balance: 27.5%
  199. ^ Disapprove on balance: 14.7%; Completely disapprove: 18%
  200. ^ Strongly approve: 7.3%; Approve on balance: 23.5%
  201. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20.3%; Completely disapprove: 22.1%
  202. ^ Strongly approve: 6.3%; Approve on balance: 21.8%
  203. ^ Disapprove on balance: 18.4%; Completely disapprove: 24.9%
  204. ^ Strongly approve: 6.5%; Approve on balance: 21.8%
  205. ^ Disapprove on balance: 18.4%; Completely disapprove: 24.9%
  206. ^ Strongly approve: 5.5%; Approve on balance: 22.6%
  207. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20.6%; Completely disapprove: 26.1%
  208. ^ Strongly approve: 5.5%; Approve on balance: 18.4%
  209. ^ Disapprove on balance: 21.8%; Completely disapprove: 27.7%
  210. ^ Strongly approve: 6.7%; Approve on balance: 20.7%
  211. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20%; Completely disapprove: 24.7%
  212. ^ Strongly approve: 6.4%; Approve on balance: 23.1%
  213. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20%; Completely disapprove: 21.7%
  214. ^ Strongly approve: 8.8%; Approve on balance: 26.6%
  215. ^ Disapprove on balance: 20%; Completely disapprove: 21.7%
  216. ^ Strongly approve: 13.9%; Approve on balance: 35.7%
  217. ^ Disapprove on balance: 12.3%; Completely disapprove: 10%
  218. ^ Strongly approve: 12.5%; Approve on balance: 35.4%
  219. ^ Disapprove on balance: 12.7%; Completely disapprove: 9.9%
  220. ^ Strongly approve: 12.3%; Approve on balance: 36.5%
  221. ^ Disapprove on balance: 9.8%; Completely disapprove: 8.4%
  222. ^ Strongly approve: 9.9%; Approve on balance: 35.7%
  223. ^ Disapprove on balance: 12.3%; Completely disapprove: 9.8%
  224. ^ Strongly approve: 10.7%; Approve on balance: 31.8%
  225. ^ Disapprove on balance: 12.9%; Completely disapprove: 9.8%
  226. ^ Strongly approve: 7.8%; Approve on balance: 30.8%
  227. ^ Disapprove on balance: 15%; Completely disapprove: 12.5%
  228. ^ Strongly approve: 11.8%; Approve on balance: 37.4%
  229. ^ Disapprove on balance: 9%; Completely disapprove: 8.6%
  230. ^ Strongly approve: 9.3%; Approve on balance: 29.3%
  231. ^ Disapprove on balance: 14.8%; Completely disapprove: 13.2%
  232. ^ Strongly approve: 11.2%; Approve on balance: 31.8%
  233. ^ Disapprove on balance: 13.1%; Completely disapprove: 13%

References

  1. ^ a b c d "自民･石破総裁 あす衆院解散の意向を表明へ 総選挙１０月１５日公示、２７日投開票で最終調整｜FNNプライムオンライン". FNNプライムオンライン. 2024-09-29. Retrieved 2024-09-29.
  2. ^ "Ishii to head Komeito in first leadership change in 15 years". The Japan Times. 2024-09-18. Retrieved 2024-09-20.
  3. ^ "岸田派 解散を正式に決定 政治資金事件受け 67年の歴史に幕". January 23, 2024. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
  4. ^ "LDP heavyweight Nikai to disband his faction following funding scandal". NHK. 19 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024.
  5. ^ "Biggest faction in Japan's ruling party decides to disband". Kyodo News. 19 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024.

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