In the run up to the 2015 Finnish legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 17 April 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 19 April 2015.
Graphical summary
Taloustutkimus opinion polling since 2011 election.
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Date
Polling Firm
KOK SDP PS KESK VAS VIHR SFP KD Others
Lead
23 Mar–15 Apr
Taloustutkimus
16.9
15.1
16.7
24.0
8.3
8.8
4.6
3.5
2.0
7.1
8 Apr–12 Apr
TNS Gallup
17.0
17.0
16.2
23.0
8.5
8.1
4.6
3.7
1.9
6.0
27 Mar–1 Apr
Tietoykkönen
16.2
17.0
16.6
23.5
8.4
8.1
4.3
4.1
1.8
6.5
25 Feb–19 Mar
Taloustutkimus
16.1
16.2
14.6
24.9
8.5
8.9
4.5
3.9
2.4
8.7
16 Feb–12 Mar
TNS Gallup
16.8
16.9
15.2
24.7
8.4
8.6
4.2
3.3
1.9
7.8
5–11 Mar
Tietoykkönen
17.3
16.4
16.8
23.5
8.3
8.2
4.1
3.6
1.7
6.2
2–24 Feb
Taloustutkimus
16.2
16.8
15.4
24.9
8.8
8.8
4.0
3.3
1.8
8.1
19 Jan–12 Feb
TNS Gallup
16.9
17.1
14.1
26.2
8.5
8.3
4.2
3.2
1.5
9.3
28 Jan-3 Feb
Tietoykkönen
17.8
16.5
15.3
25.4
8.2
7.8
4.0
3.6
1.4
7.6
29 Dec–27 Jan
Taloustutkimus
16.3
17.2
14.8
26.0
8.2
8.3
4.2
3.5
1.5
8.8
15 Dec–15 Jan
TNS Gallup
17.2
16.5
14.5
25.9
8.8
8.4
4.1
3.3
1.3
8.7
2014
3–27 Dec
Taloustutkimus
17.1
15.3
13.3
26.8
8.9
9.4
3.7
3.9
1.7
9.7
17 Nov-12 Dec
TNS Gallup
16.7
16.9
14.2
26.1
8.1
8.9
4.2
3.5
1.4
9.2
3 Nov-2 Dec
Taloustutkimus
17.3
16.1
14.3
26.7
8.9
8.3
4.0
3.3
1.1
9.4
23 Nov-26 Nov
Tietoykkönen
17.7
15.8
15.7
26.6
8.4
8.1
3.1
2.9
1.7
8.9
21 Nov
TNS Gallup
17.4
16.4
16.2
24.5
8.0
8.3
4.3
3.6
1.3
7.1
30 Sep-28 Oct
Taloustutkimus
19.4
15.2
15.1
25.5
7.9
9.1
3.6
2.7
1.5
6.1
22 Sep-16 Oct
TNS Gallup
19.4
16.2
16.1
22.3
8.7
8.2
4.2
3.6
1.3
2.9
10 Oct-16 Oct
Tietoykkönen
18.5
15.1
16.5
23.4
8.0
8.9
4.2
3.8
1.6
4.9
2 Sep-25 Sep
Taloustutkimus
20.4
15.2
16.6
23.3
8.3
7.8
4.6
3.0
0.8
2.9
21 Aug-26 Aug
Tietoykkönen
20.8
14.7
16.0
21.3
9.9
8.4
4.1
3.1
1.7
0.5
5 Aug-28 Aug
Taloustutkimus
21.2
15.8
17.1
21.3
8.2
8.1
3.7
3.4
1.2
0.1
15 Jul–12 Aug
TNS Gallup
22.1
14.9
15.9
19.9
9.3
8.7
4.5
3.4
1.3
2.2
1 Jul-30 Jul
Taloustutkimus
21.8
13.8
16.4
20.9
9.3
8.8
3.9
3.4
1.7
0.9
2 Jun–25 Jun
Taloustutkimus
20.3
14.8
17.9
19.5
9.3
9.0
4.2
3.8
1.2
0.8
26 May–11 Jun
TNS Gallup
20.5
14.9
17.2
20.3
9.0
8.5
4.4
3.9
1.3
0.2
5–27 May
Taloustutkimus
20.1
15.0
18.9
19.5
8.5
9.3
4.4
3.2
1.1
0.6
2–29 Apr
Taloustutkimus
20.2
15.8
17.6
21.0
8.8
8.2
4.1
3.7
0.6
0.8
5 Mar–1 Apr
Taloustutkimus
20.3
15.5
17.8
20.9
7.7
8.7
4.3
3.5
1.3
0.6
25 Feb–22 Mar
TNS Gallup
19.5
16.3
17.2
21.5
7.5
8.9
4.3
3.5
1.3
2.0
3 Feb–4 Mar
Taloustutkimus
19.4
15.5
16.9
22.8
7.7
9.0
4.2
3.4
1.1
3.4
13 Jan–8 Feb
TNS Gallup
19.2
16.2
17.0
22.4
7.6
8.5
4.2
3.5
1.4
3.2
1–28 Jan
Taloustutkimus
18.7
15.5
17.8
23.6
7.5
8.1
3.8
3.7
1.3
4.9
2013
27 Nov–23 Dec
Taloustutkimus
19.1
15.9
17.4
23.9
7.0
8.2
3.8
3.1
1.6
4.8
19 Dec
TNS Gallup
18.0
16.7
17.5
23.0
7.9
7.9
4.4
3.3
1.3
5.0
30 Oct–26 Nov
Taloustutkimus
18.3
15.4
17.2
24.1
7.4
9.0
4.1
3.2
1.3
5.8
7–29 Oct
Taloustutkimus
18.1
16.9
17.4
23.2
7.6
8.4
3.9
3.5
1.0
5.1
23 Oct
TNS Gallup
18.2
16.2
18.9
21.8
7.7
8.3
4.4
3.4
1.1
2.9
9 Sep–2 Oct
Taloustutkimus
18.4
15.3
18.8
22.6
7.2
9.3
3.9
3.3
1.2
3.8
6 Aug–4 Sep
Taloustutkimus
18.3
15.0
19.3
23.8
7.7
8.4
3.8
2.8
0.9
4.5
15 Aug
TNS Gallup
18.7
16.3
18.7
21.9
7.3
8.2
4.2
3.5
1.2
3.2
2–31 Jul
Taloustutkimus
18.8
15.6
18.0
22.8
7.2
8.4
4.4
3.6
1.2
4.0
29 May–26 Jun
Taloustutkimus
18.4
16.1
18.6
21.5
7.5
9.3
4.0
3.5
1.1
2.9
29 Apr–28 May
Taloustutkimus
19.2
16.5
17.4
21.7
8.0
8.0
4.1
3.8
1.3
2.5
4–25 Apr
Taloustutkimus
19.2
16.2
18.6
19.4
9.0
9.1
4.2
3.2
1.1
0.2
11–27 Mar
Taloustutkimus
19.8
18.0
18.4
18.3
8.5
9.0
4.1
3.1
0.8
1.4
11 Feb–7 Mar
Taloustutkimus
20.8
18.2
18.1
17.2
8.2
8.7
4.3
3.2
1.3
2.6
7–29 Jan
Taloustutkimus
21.9
18.7
17.7
17.1
7.9
8.9
3.9
3.1
0.8
3.2
2012
3–27 Dec
Taloustutkimus
21.0
17.9
18.0
17.8
7.9
8.7
4.3
3.4
1.0
3.0
1–24 Oct
Taloustutkimus
20.9
18.5
15.3
17.3
8.5
9.1
3.9
4.0
2.5
2.4
3–19 Sep
Taloustutkimus
21.5
19.9
17.2
15.9
7.8
8.9
4.3
3.2
1.3
1.6
7–29 Aug
Taloustutkimus
22.7
18.7
15.8
16.6
8.2
9.4
4.3
3.2
1.1
4.0
3 Jul–1 Aug
Taloustutkimus
20.8
20.3
17.5
15.5
8.0
8.5
4.4
3.7
1.3
0.5
4–27 Jun
Taloustutkimus
21.6
20.8
15.6
16.5
7.5
8.2
3.9
3.7
2.2
0.8
7–31 May
Taloustutkimus
21.7
20.5
15.9
16.7
7.7
8.8
3.7
3.6
1.4
1.2
3–26 Apr
Taloustutkimus
22.6
19.1
14.1
16.4
8.9
10.4
3.7
3.2
1.6
3.5
5–29 Mar
Taloustutkimus
22.6
17.3
15.8
16.7
8.1
11.0
3.5
3.7
1.3
5.3
30 Jan–23 Feb
Taloustutkimus
22.1
16.0
16.1
17.7
7.9
11.4
4.1
3.5
1.3
4.4
2–26 Jan
Taloustutkimus
23.1
16.3
17.4
15.6
9.0
9.6
3.8
4.1
1.1
5.8
2011
7–28 Dec
Taloustutkimus
22.7
16.4
19.9
16.2
8.5
7.6
3.9
3.6
1.2
2.8
9–17 Nov
Taloustutkimus
24.3
17.6
19.9
13.9
7.0
7.9
4.1
3.9
1.4
4.4
10 Oct–3 Nov
Taloustutkimus
24.4
17.1
21.4
13.1
7.4
7.7
4.1
3.7
1.1
3.0
15 Aug–13 Sep
Taloustutkimus
23.7
18.6
21.1
12.6
8.0
7.4
3.8
3.6
1.3
2.6
5 Jul–10 Aug
Taloustutkimus
21.4
19.8
22.0
13.2
7.6
7.4
3.9
3.4
1.3
0.6
6–29 Jun
Taloustutkimus
21.1
18.1
23.0
13.8
8.0
7.2
4.1
3.1
1.6
1.9
9–31 May
Taloustutkimus
21.5
18.8
20.6
14.3
7.7
7.6
4.3
3.8
1.4
0.9
17 Apr 2011
Election Results
20.4
19.1
19.1
15.8
8.1
7.3
4.3
4.0
2.3
1.3
Seats
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 101 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Finnish Parliament .
Notes
^ Counted by ScenariPolitici, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.
^ Counted by Accuscore, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.
^ Not a single poll, but based on five separate Taloustutkimus polls. Åland's MP is the other.
