Next Galician regional election

Next Galician regional election

No later than 25 March 2028
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia 38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Alfonso Rueda Ana Pontón José Ramón Gómez Besteiro Party PP BNG PSdeG–PSOE Leader since 22 May 2022 28 February 2016 18 October 2023 Leader's seat Pontevedra A Coruña Lugo Last election 40 seats, 47.4% 25 seats, 31.3% 9 seats, 14.1% Current seats 40 25 9 Seats needed In majority 13 29   Leader Armando Ojea Party DO Leader since 15 November 2023 Leader's seat Ourense Last election 1 seat, 1.0% Current seats 1 Seats needed 37
Incumbent President Alfonso Rueda PP

The next Galician regional election will be held no later than Saturday, 25 March 2028, to elect the 13th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.^[1] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.^[1][2]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency is entitled the following seats:

Seats	Constituencies
25	A Coruña
22	Pontevedra
14	Lugo, Ourense

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method results in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.^[3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 18 February 2024, which meant that the legislature's term would expire on 18 February 2028. The election decree is required to be published in the DOG no later than 25 January 2028, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 25 March 2028.^[1][2]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[4]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.^[2][5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Votes (%)	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Alfonso Rueda	Conservatism Christian democracy	47.39%	40	Y
	BNG	List Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) – Galician People's Union (UPG) – Galician Movement for Socialism (MGS) – Abrente–Galician Democratic Left (Abrente–EDG) – Galician Workers' Front (FOGA) Renewal–Nationalist Brotherhood (Anova) – Irmandiño Meeting (EI) – Galician People's Front (FPG) – Movement for the Grassroots (MpB)		Ana Pontón	Galician nationalism Left-wing nationalism Socialism	31.34%	25	N
	PSdeG– PSOE	List Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE)		José Ramón Gómez Besteiro	Social democracy	14.07%	9	N
	DO	List Ourensan Democracy (DO)		Armando Ojea	Localism Right-wing populism	1.03%	1	N

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 1]	29 Nov–9 Dec 2024	1,223	?	46.4 40	32.6 24	13.1 10	–	–	0.9 1	13.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 2]	24 Sep–2 Oct 2024	1,223	?	46.6 40	32.9 25	12.3 9	–	–	0.9 1	13.7
2024 EP election	9 Jun 2024	—	42.0	43.6 (39)	16.1 (13)	27.0 (23)	4.4 (0)	2.1 (0)	–	16.6
2024 regional election	18 Feb 2024	—	56.3	47.4 40	31.3 25	14.1 9	2.3 0	1.9 0	1.0 1	15.8

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "El PPdeG afianza su mayoría en Galicia un año después de convocar las elecciones". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 16 December 2024.
2. "El PPdeG repetiría el resultado de las autonómicas con 40 diputados". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 6 October 2024.

Other

1. Ley Orgánica 1/1981, de 6 de abril, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Galicia (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 6 April 1981. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
2. Ley 8/1985, de 13 de agosto, de elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia (Law 2) (in Spanish). 13 August 1985. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
3. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
4. Ley 1/1983, de 22 de febrero, de normas reguladoras de la Xunta y su Presidencia (Law 1) (in Spanish). 22 February 1983. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
5. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 25 November 2023.