2024 Croatian presidential election

2024 Croatian presidential election
← 2019–20 29 December 2024
 
Nominee Zoran Milanović Dragan Primorac Marija Selak Raspudić
Party Independent
(SDP)[a] 		Independent (HDZ)[b] Independent
 
Nominee Tomislav Jonjić Ivana Kekin Miro Bulj
Party Independent (HSP) Možemo! Most
Incumbent President

Zoran Milanović
Independent[c]



A presidential election is scheduled to be held in Croatia on 29 December 2024, with a second round on 12 January 2025 if no candidate receives a majority.[11] Incumbent president Zoran Milanović is eligible for a second term. His first term began on 19 February 2020 and will end on 18 February 2025.[12]

Background

A presidential election will be held in the super-election year of 2024 during which voters in Croatia had also voted for the Croatian Parliament in April and European Parliament in June.[13]

The first round was planned for December 2024, but on 15 March 2024 incumbent president Zoran Milanović announced he would run as a candidate of the Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP) for the position of prime minister.[14] During this press conference, he also revealed he would tend his resignation as the president only in case of a parliamentary election victory on 17 April 2024.[15] If he would have become the next prime minister, the first round of the presidential election would have had to be held no later than 16 June 2024. However, since the Rivers of Justice coalition secured only 42 seats in the election, Milanović continued to hold the office of president.

On 20 November 2024, prime minister Andrej Plenković announced that the presidential election would be held on 29 December, which is subject to a vote by the Croatian Parliament on 21 November.[16]

Electoral system

The president of Croatia is directly elected by secret ballot to a term of five years using the two-round system, with presidents limited to two full terms in office. The constitution requires that a presidential election be held no sooner than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the expiration of the incumbent president's term. An absolute majority (50% + 1 vote) of all votes cast (including invalid, blank and uncast ballots) is required to win in the first round. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a second-round is to be held fourteen days later, with the two candidates with the highest number of votes in the first round taking part. The candidate who receives the highest number of votes in the second round (a majority of valid votes cast) is declared the winner. If one of the candidates who has qualified for the second round were to withdraw their candidacy or die, the candidate with the next highest number of votes in the first round takes their place in the second round.[17]

In order for a potential candidate to be allowed to contest the elections and have their name placed on the ballot, they must gather at least 10,000 signatures from eligible voters, with every signatory being permitted to give their signature to only one potential candidate. The timeframe for collecting the said number of signatures is set at twelve days, and after the expiry of this period potential candidates must submit them to the State Electoral Commission for verification.[18]

Candidates

On 11 December, the State Electoral Commission published a list of 8 candidates.[19]

Candidate Party affiliation Political remarks Proof of nomination
Miro Bulj Most Incumbent MP for electoral district IX (since 2015) and mayor of Sinj. Co-endorsed also by HS.[20] His bid was announced on 8 October 2024.[21] Submitted undisclosed number of signatures on 6 December.[22]
Tomislav Jonjić Independent Lawyer, diplomat, and publicist.[23] Although formally independent, he was nominated by the minor far-right Croatian Party of Rights (HSP). Co-endorsed also by HS.[20] His bid was announced on 23 May 2024.[24] Submitted undisclosed number of signatures on 10 December.[25]
Ivana Kekin Možemo! Incumbent MP for electoral district I. Her bid was announced on 10 September 2024.[26] Submitted some 18,000 signatures on 10 December.[27]
Branka Lozo DOMiNO Professor at the University of Zagreb Faculty of Graphic Arts. Co-endorsed also by HS. Her bid was announced on 28 September.[28] Submitted undisclosed number of signatures on 10 December.[29]
Zoran Milanović Independent Incumbent President of Croatia since 2020. Milanović is standing for re-election to a second and final term. Although formally independent, he was nominated by the biggest opposition party, the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SDP)[30] and by 9 other centre-left, green and liberal parties (NPS,[31] Centre, [32] IDS, HSS,[2] DO i SIP, NS-R,[33] SU,[34] BUZ,[6] GLAS, and MDS).[35][36] Former Prime Minister of Croatia (2011–2016) and the president of SDP (2007–2016). His bid was announced on 26 June 2024.[37] Submitted 45,833 signatures on 3 December.[38][39]
Dragan Primorac Independent Although formally independent, he was nominated by the ruling Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) and is supported by 6 other centrist to right-wing parties (HSU,[40] HDS,[41] DP,[42] HSLS, HNS,[43] and Independents).[35] Former Minister of Science, Education and Sports (2003–2009)[44] and a presidential candidate in the 2009 election. His bid was announced on 30 July 2024.[45] Submitted 109,505 signatures on 4 December.[46]
Marija Selak Raspudić Independent Incumbent MP for electoral district I.[47] Her bid was announced on 22 July 2024.[48] Submitted undisclosed number of signatures on 9 December.[49][50]
Niko Tokić Kartelo [hr] Independent Businessman.[51] His bid was announced on 2 August 2024.[52] Submitted some 11,800 signatures on 9 December.[53]

Failed candidacies

These individuals failed to submit the required number of endorsement signatures.

  • Dražen Keleminec [hr] (A-HSP), Incumbent president of Autochthonous Croatian Party of Rights (A-HSP) since 2005. His bid was announced on 21 September 2024.[54] Submitted 10,932 on 10 December.[55] On 11 December, his bid was rejected by the State Electoral Commission because he failed to submit the required number of endorsement signatures. Only 7,712 signatures were verified as authentic.[56]
  • Slobodan Midžić (independent), a potential perennial candidate who submitted just one signature of endorsement on 9 December.[35][57] On 11 December, his bid was rejected by the State Electoral Commission because he failed to submit the required number of endorsement signatures.[58] He had previously unsuccessfully attempted to become a candidate in 2009, 2014, and 2019 elections.
  • Pavle Perović (independent). His bid was announced on 13 November 2024.[59][60]
  • Dražen Pilić (independent), president of Cultural-Sports Veterans' Association. His bid was announced on 20 October 2024.[61][62]
  • Karolina Vidović Krišto (OiP [hr]), Journalist and former MP for electoral district IX (2020–2024). Her bid was announced on 26 November 2024.[63] Submitted some 11,000 signatures on 10 December.[64] On 11 December, her bid was rejected by the State Electoral Commission because she failed to submit the required number of endorsement signatures. Only 8,084 signatures were verified as authentic.[65]

Withdrawn bids

  • Anton Filić (independent), former journalist of Večernji list and former president of the Union of Croatian Journalists. His bid was announced on 11 November 2024.[66] He withdrew on 8 December.[67]
  • Ava Karabatić (independent), model and television personality. Her bid was announced on 23 November 2024.[68] She withdrew on 5 December.[69]
  • Mislav Kolakušić (PiP), former MEP (2019–2024), presidential candidate in the 2019 election. His bid was announced on 23 April 2024.[70] He withdrew on 10 December.[71]
  • Aurora Weiss (independent), journalist. Her bid was announced on 11 September 2024.[72] She withdrew on 10 December.[73]

Declined to be candidates

These individuals have been the subject of presidential speculation, but have publicly denied or recanted interest in running for president.

Opinion polls

First round

Date Polling Firm Milanović Primorac Selak Raspudić Kekin Kolakušić Jonjić Weiss Tokić Kartelo Keleminec Lozo Bulj Stier Penava Petrov Undecided / none Lead
16 Dec 2024 CroElecto 35.5 26.9 12.3 6.9 - 2.2 - 0.3 - 2.5 3.4 - - - 9.8 8.6
6 Dec 2024 Promocija plus 37.4 20.8 10.4 9.2 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.3 3.7 - - - 12 16.6
2 Dec 2024 CroElecto 35.7 26.5 11.3 6.3 - 2.1 - - - 2.4 3.5 - - - 10.5 9.2
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS 35.1 24.5 8.0 6.8 - - - - - - 3.9 - - - 13.4 10.6
21 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 36.8 22.0 9.0 7.5 1.5 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.3 2.1 4.3 - - - 14.1 14.8
9 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 38.3 21.3 10.0 7.6 1.1 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.6 - 3.8 - - - 14.4 17.0
3 Nov 2024 Croelecto 35.8 23.2 10.3 7.2 1.9 2.8 - - - 3.0 2.9 - - - - 13.5
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS 37.0 25.8 7.8 5.8 3.3 - - - - - 3.0 - - - 14.4 11.2
21 Oct 2024 Promocija plus 36.5 23.9 9.4 7.1 1.6 1.4 0.4 - 0.4 3.1 2.9 - - - 12.1 12.6
8 Oct 2024 Miro Bulj (MOST) officially announces his candidacy.
30 Sep 2024 Croelecto 42.5 25.4 12.1 6.8 - - - 3.5 - - - - - - 8.9 17.1
28 Sep 2024 Branka Lozo (DOMiNO) officially announces her candidacy.
21 Sep 2024 Dražen Keleminec (A-HSP) officially announces his candidacy.
11 Sep 2024 Aurora Weiss (Independent) officially announces her candidacy.
10 Sep 2024 Ivana Kekin (We Can!) officially announces her candidacy.
7 Sep 2024 Promocija plus 36.3 21.2 8.2 4.8 1.2 1.3 - - - - - - 4.3 4.6 15.5 15.1
4 Aug 2024 IPSOS 32.0 28.0 20.0 9.0 - - - - - - - - - - 13.0 4.0
02 Aug 2024 Niko Tokić Kartelo (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
30 Jul 2024 Dragan Primorac (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy and endorsed by HDZ.
22 Jul 2024 Marija Selak Raspudić (Ind.) officially announces her candidacy.
6 Jul 2024 Promocija plus 35.9 7.7 7.3 5.9 2.4 - - - - - - 15.4 5.7 4.0 12.0 20.5
26 Jun 2024 Zoran Milanović (incumbent president) officially announces his candidacy.
23 May 2024 Tomislav Jonjić (HSP) officially announces his candidacy.
23 Apr 2024 Mislav Kolakušić (PiP) officially announces his candidacy.

Second round

Milanović vs Stier

Date Polling Firm Milanović Stier Undecided / none Lead
6 Jul 2024 Promocija plus 54.2 31.6 8.6 22.6

Milanović vs Primorac

Date Polling Firm Milanović Primorac Undecided / none Lead
6 Dec 2024 Promocija plus 54.9 28.9 16.2 26.0
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS 53.5 30.3 10.0 23.2
21 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 52.0 33.1 7.7 18.9
9 Nov 2024 Promocija plus 53.9 30.2 8.0 23.7
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS PULS 51.0 35.6 8.8 15.4
21 Sep 2024 Promocija plus 52.6 33.9 7.4 18.7
7 Sep 2024 Promocija plus 48.3 34.0 10.3 14.3
4 Aug 2024 IPSOS 49.0 40.0 11.0 9.0

Milanović vs Selak Raspudić

Date Polling Firm Milanović Selak Raspudić Undecided / none Lead
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS PULS 47.7 31.9 13.4 15.8
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS PULS 50.0 28.5 11.0 21.5

Selak Raspudić vs Primorac

Date Polling Firm Selak Raspudić Primorac Undecided / none Lead
25 Nov 2024 IPSOS PULS 45.7 29.6 14.0 16.1
25 Oct 2024 IPSOS PULS 38.1 35.3 15.3 2.8

Results

CandidateParty
Miro BuljMost
Tomislav JonjićIndependent (Croatian Party of Rights)
Ivana KekinMožemo!
Branka LozoDOMiNO
Zoran MilanovićIndependent (Social Democratic Party)[a]
Dragan PrimoracIndependent (Croatian Democratic Union)[b]
Marija Selak RaspudićIndependent
Niko Tokić Kartelo [hr]Independent
Total
Source: TBA

Reactions

On December 7, a group of Croatian veterans from Imotski held a peaceful protest at the Vinjani Donji-Gorica border crossing due to, according to their claims, "the media blockade of candidate Tomislav Jonjić".[77]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Endorsed by SDP,[1] HSS,[2] NS-R,[3] NPS,[4] SU,[5] BUZ,[6] Centre, IDS, DO i SIP, Glas and MDS
  2. ^ a b Endorsed by HDZ,[7] HSU,[8] HDS,[9] DP,[10] HSLS, HNS and Independents
  3. ^ Milanović was elected in the 2019–2020 election as the candidate of the SDP. However, under Article 96 of the Constitution of Croatia, sitting presidents are prohibited from holding party memberships for the duration of their term. As a result, he will stand as an independent candidate, albeit with informal SDP affiliation.

References

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  77. ^ "BLOKADOM NA BLOKADU Imotskim braniteljima prekipjelo, izišli na granicu, ljuti ih tretman prema jednom predsjedničkom kandidatu: "Spremni smo na totalnu blokadu"". dalmacijadanas.hr (in Croatian). Dalmacija Danas. 7 December 2024.

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