2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary
2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary
Results by countyClinton: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Sanders: 40-50% 50-60%
The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election .
On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Illinois , Missouri , North Carolina and Ohio , while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Florida primary , plus the Northern Mariana Islands.
Clinton's landslide was fueled by support from retirees ,[ 2] and Jewish [ 2] and Latino [ 3] voters in South Florida .
Debates and forums
March 2016 debate in Miami
On March 9, 2016, the Democratic Party held an eighth presidential debate at Miami Dade College in Miami, Florida . It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post .
Opinion polling
Poll source
Date
1st
2nd
Other
Official Primary results[ 4]
March 15, 2016
Hillary Clinton 64.4%
Bernie Sanders 33.3%
Other 2.3%
ARG[ 5]
Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400
March 11–13, 2016
Hillary Clinton 58%
Bernie Sanders 37%
Others / Undecided 5%
Quinnipiac[ 6]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 519
March 8–13, 2016
Hillary Clinton 60%
Bernie Sanders 34%
Others / Undecided 6%
Public Policy Polling[ 7]
Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 627
March 11–12, 2016
Hillary Clinton 57%
Bernie Sanders 32%
Others / Undecided 11%
CBS News/YouGov[ 8]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 796
March 9–11, 2016
Hillary Clinton 62%
Bernie Sanders 34%
Others / Undecided 4%
Florida Atlantic University[ 9]
Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 414
March 8–11, 2016
Hillary Clinton 59%
Bernie Sanders 31%
Others / Undecided 10%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[ 10]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500
March 4–10, 2016
Hillary Clinton 61%
Bernie Sanders 34%
Others / Undecided 5%
WTSP/Mason-Dixon[ 11]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 500
March 7–9, 2016
Hillary Clinton 68%
Bernie Sanders 23%
Others / Undecided 9%
Quinnipiac[ 12]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 511
March 2–7, 2016
Hillary Clinton 62%
Bernie Sanders 32%
Others / Undecided 6%
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[ 13]
Margin of error: ± 3.4%
Sample size: 823
March 4–6, 2016
Hillary Clinton 61%
Bernie Sanders 30%
Others / Undecided 9%
CNN/ORC[ 14]
Margin of error: ± 6.0%
Sample size: 264
March 2–6, 2016
Hillary Clinton 61%
Bernie Sanders 34%
Others / Undecided 5%
Wash Post/Univision[ 15]
Margin of error: ± 6.0%
Sample size: 449
March 2–5, 2016
Hillary Clinton 64%
Bernie Sanders 26%
Others / Undecided 10%
University of North Florida[ 16]
Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 685
February 22–27, 2016
Hillary Clinton 54%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Others / Undecided 22%
Public Policy Polling[ 17]
Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 388
February 24–25, 2016
Hillary Clinton 57%
Bernie Sanders 32%
Others / Undecided 11%
Gravis Marketing[ 18]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 514
February 24, 2016
Hillary Clinton 58%
Bernie Sanders 42%
Quinnipiac[ 19]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 476
February 21–24, 2016
Hillary Clinton 59%
Bernie Sanders 33%
Others / Undecided 8%
Florida Southern College[ 20]
Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample Size: 608
January 30 – February 6, 2016
Hillary Clinton 43%
Bernie Sanders 26%
Others / Undecided 31%
Florida Atlantic University[ 21]
Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample Size: 371
January 15–18, 2016
Hillary Clinton 62%
Bernie Sanders 26%
Martin O'Malley 2% Not Reported
Polls in 2015
Poll source
Date
1st
2nd
Other
Florida Atlantic University[ 21]
Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample Size: 355
November 15–16, 2015
Hillary Clinton 66%
Bernie Sanders 22%
Martin O'Malley 4% Other 4.5% Undecided 3.7%
Bay News 9/ News13[ 22]
Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 826
October 28 – November 1, 2015
Hillary Clinton 66%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Martin O'Malley 3% Other 2% Undecided 6%
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[ 23]
Margin of error: ±6.0%
Sample size: 165
October 17–22, 2015
Hillary Clinton 50.9%
Joe Biden 15.2%
Bernie Sanders 13.3% Unsure/Don't Know 8.5%
Quinnipiac University[ 24]
Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 411
September 25 – October 5, 2015
Hillary Clinton 43%
Joe Biden 19%
Bernie Sanders 19% Someone else/Undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling[ 25]
Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 368
September 11–13, 2015
Hillary Clinton 55%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Joe Biden 17% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 1% Lawrence Lessig 0% Someone else/Undecided 6%
Gravis Marketing[ 26]
Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 693
September 5–11, 2015
Hillary Clinton 41.6%
Joe Biden 21.4%
Bernie Sanders 12.5% Martin O'Malley 1.5% Jim Webb 1.3% Lincoln Chafee 0.4% Unsure 21.3%
Quinnipiac University[ 27]
Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 419
Posted September 4, 2015
Hillary Clinton 52%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Joe Biden 15% Lincoln Chafee 4% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Other 1% Undecided 6%
Quinnipiac University[ 28]
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 345
August 7–18, 2015
Hillary Clinton 48%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Joe Biden 11% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 6% Undecided 17%
St Pete Polls[ 29]
Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 1080
July 18–28, 2015
Hillary Clinton 55%
Bernie Sanders 29%
Jim Webb 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Lincoln Chafee <1% Unsure or someone else 13%
Mason-Dixon[ 30]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 500
July 20–23, 2015
Hillary Clinton 58%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Martin O'Malley 2% Lincoln Chafee 0% Jim Webb 0% Undecided 23%
Gravis Marketing[ 31]
Margin of error: ± 3%
Sample size: 881
June 16–20, 2015
Hillary Clinton 64.8%
Bernie Sanders 20.6%
Martin O'Malley 2.1% Bill De Blasio 1.7% Jim Webb 0.9% Lincoln Chafee 0.4% Unsure 9.5%
Quinnipiac University[ 32]
Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 378
June 4–15, 2015
Hillary Clinton 64%
Joe Biden 9%
Bernie Sanders 8% Martin O'Malley 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Jim Webb 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 5% Undecided 13%
Quinnipiac University[ 33]
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 344
March 17–28, 2015
Hillary Clinton 65%
Joe Biden 11%
Elizabeth Warren 7% Bernie Sanders 3% Jim Webb 2% Martin O'Malley 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 10%
Joe Biden 42%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Bernie Sanders 6% Jim Webb 3% Martin O'Malley 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 4% Undecided 22%
Public Policy Polling[ 34]
Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 371
March 19–22, 2015
Hillary Clinton 58%
Joe Biden 14%
Elizabeth Warren 10% Bernie Sanders 3% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 1% Other/Undecided 11%
[ 35]
Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 435
February 24–25, 2015
Hillary Clinton 52%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Joe Biden 9% Martin O'Malley 2% Mark Warner 2% Jim Webb 2% Undecided 18%
Quinnipiac University[ 36]
Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 322
January 22 – February 1, 2015
Hillary Clinton 61%
Joe Biden 11%
Elizabeth Warren 9% Bernie Sanders 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 4% Undecided 10%
Joe Biden 39%
Elizabeth Warren 22%
Bernie Sanders 3% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 2% Other 4% Wouldn't vote 5% Undecided 23%
Polls in 2014
Poll source
Date
1st
2nd
Other
Quinnipiac University[ 37]
Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 457
July 17–21, 2014
Hillary Clinton 67%
Joe Biden 8%
Elizabeth Warren 8% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 3% Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling[ 38]
Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample size: 251
June 6–9, 2014
Hillary Clinton 66%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Joe Biden 7% Cory Booker 5% Andrew Cuomo 4% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Someone else/Undecided 9%
Quinnipiac University[ 39]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 501
April 23–28, 2014
Hillary Clinton 64%
Joe Biden 11%
Elizabeth Warren 6% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 1% Brian Schweitzer 1% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 3% Undecided 13%
Quinnipiac University[ 40]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 529
January 22–27, 2014
Hillary Clinton 64%
Joe Biden 9%
Elizabeth Warren 5% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 1% Mark Warner 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 16%
Polls in 2013
Poll source
Date
1st
2nd
Other
Quinnipiac University[ 41]
Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 544
November 12–17, 2013
Hillary Clinton 70%
Joe Biden 9%
Elizabeth Warren 4% Andrew Cuomo 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Mark Warner 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling [ 42]
Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300
March 15–18, 2013
Hillary Clinton 62%
Joe Biden 12%
Andrew Cuomo 5% Elizabeth Warren 3% Martin O'Malley 1% Brian Schweitzer 1% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Deval Patrick 0% Someone Else/Undecided 14%
Public Policy Polling [ 43]
Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 401
January 11–13, 2013
Hillary Clinton 65%
Joe Biden 15%
Andrew Cuomo 4% Elizabeth Warren 4% Deval Patrick 1% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Someone Else/Undecided 11%
Andrew Cuomo 22%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Deval Patrick 5% Martin O'Malley 4% Kirsten Gillibrand 3% Mark Warner 2% Brian Schweitzer 1% Someone Else/Undecided 48%
Results
Results by district
Florida Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
District
Delegates
Votes Clinton
Votes Sanders
Votes Qualified
Clinton delegates
Sanders delegates
1
3
26987
18497
45484
2
1
2
6
50190
34073
84263
4
2
3
4
32070
27974
60044
2
2
4
4
33920
22765
56685
2
2
5
6
55855
18639
74494
4
2
6
5
37995
24443
62438
3
2
7
5
37410
26795
64205
3
2
8
5
39384
24376
63760
3
2
9
5
40609
19880
60489
3
2
10
5
38011
22213
60224
3
2
11
5
38061
21590
59651
3
2
12
5
35498
23172
58670
3
2
13
6
44121
29707
73828
4
2
14
6
49146
23617
72763
4
2
15
5
32793
20712
53505
3
2
16
6
43921
25856
69777
4
2
17
4
29899
17045
46944
3
1
18
6
42804
20620
63424
4
2
19
4
31958
17235
49193
3
1
20
7
61998
15761
77759
6
1
21
7
57723
22100
79823
5
2
22
6
49602
22209
71811
4
2
23
6
44510
19974
64484
4
2
24
8
59274
13893
73167
6
2
25
3
24897
9287
34184
2
1
26
4
32069
14148
46217
3
1
27
4
30709
12258
42967
3
1
Total
140
1101414
568839
1670253
93
47
PLEO
28
1101414
568839
1670253
18
10
At Large
46
1101414
568839
1670253
30
16
Gr. Total
214
1101414
568839
1670253
141
73
Total vote
64.44%
33.28%
1,709,183
Source: Florida Department of State Division of Elections
Results by county
County[ 46]
Clinton
Votes
Sanders
Votes
Alachua
49.2%
17,733
48.8%
17,590
Baker
38.5%
654
47.4%
805
Bay
52.6%
5,209
41.7%
4,131
Bradford
48.7%
1,056
41.8%
908
Brevard
59.7%
31,835
37.7%
20,083
Broward
72.5%
132,527
26.4%
48,330
Calhoun
36.2%
437
45.2%
545
Charlotte
62.1%
8,125
35.4%
4,634
Citrus
56.3%
6,863
39.2%
4,776
Clay
57.1%
5,345
39.5%
3,698
Collier
66.1%
12,712
31.9%
6,127
Columbia
52.9%
2,299
38.6%
1,676
DeSoto
52.6%
987
38.7%
726
Dixie
40.2%
409
45.1%
459
Duval
67.2%
58,632
30.6%
26,716
Escambia
62.2%
16,765
34.6%
9,318
Flagler
65.8%
6,152
31.9%
2,977
Franklin
47.0%
665
45.7%
647
Gadsden
76.4%
7,446
20.0%
1,944
Gilchrist
37.5%
428
50.7%
578
Glades
49.9%
387
40.3%
313
Gulf
47.4%
568
43.4%
520
Hamilton
54.7%
758
34.6%
479
Hardee
52.7%
529
39.1%
393
Hendry
60.6%
1,156
33.9%
647
Hernando
59.6%
8,882
37.0%
5,512
Highlands
61.4%
3,711
34.0%
2,054
Hillsborough
62.8%
68,936
35.1%
38,505
Holmes
28.3%
339
51.7%
619
Indian River
62.4%
6,897
35.5%
3,926
Jackson
53.9%
2,798
35.5%
1,840
Jefferson
64.6%
1,671
29.5%
762
Lafayette
30.0%
295
50.9%
501
Lake
63.5%
15,914
33.8%
8,465
Lee
62.7%
27,940
35.0%
15,624
Leon
56.5%
27,333
41.1%
19,866
Levy
50.0%
1,570
43.1%
1,354
Liberty
38.0%
316
47.1%
392
Madison
62.4%
1,542
30.0%
741
Manatee
62.5%
18,116
35.1%
10,165
Marion
62.7%
18,220
34.1%
9,892
Martin
59.8%
6,523
37.6%
4,101
Miami-Dade
74.7%
129,467
24.3%
42,009
Monroe
55.3%
4,830
42.8%
3,739
Nassau
56.2%
2,910
39.8%
2,060
Okaloosa
52.0%
4,559
43.1%
3,782
Okeechobee
55.2%
1,150
37.6%
784
Orange
63.8%
66,654
35.1%
36,639
Osceola
68.2%
16,512
30.0%
7,273
Palm Beach
71.5%
103,369
27.2%
39,314
Pasco
58.3%
21,760
38.9%
14,493
Pinellas
60.3%
63,699
37.6%
39,742
Polk
63.0%
29,328
33.3%
15,473
Putnam
49.4%
3,182
42.7%
2,747
Santa Rosa
49.2%
3,938
45.0%
3,602
Sarasota
61.1%
25,881
37.3%
15,776
Seminole
58.3%
22,069
39.9%
15,100
St. Johns
57.0%
9,734
40.7%
6,953
St. Lucie
66.9%
17,554
30.8%
8,091
Sumter
68.1%
7,022
29.3%
3,022
Suwannee
42.2%
1,475
44.3%
1,550
Taylor
45.9%
983
42.4%
907
Union
36.7%
336
51.6%
472
Volusia
60.2%
26,276
37.1%
16,170
Wakulla
48.9%
1,659
42.0%
1,424
Walton
50.0%
1,515
44.9%
1,361
Washington
47.1%
858
42.9%
781
Total
64.4%
1,101,414
33.3%
568,839
Analysis
Florida was generally viewed as a state Hillary Clinton would win, given her strong performance in previous contests with older voters (who comprised 65% of the Democratic electorate in Florida, the largest in any contest) and non-white voters (who made up 52% of the electorate). Clinton won the Florida Primary by 31 points, winning older voters by a margin of 71–26, and non-white voters by a margin of 74–25. Specifically, she won Hispanic/Latino voters by a margin of 68-32 (who made up 20% of the electorate), and African American voters 81-18 (who comprised 27% of the electorate). Clinton also won white voters by a narrower margin of 53–43. She won across all income and educational attainment levels.[ 47]
In terms of religious affiliation, Clinton won Protestants in Florida 69-29 (36% of the electorate), Catholics 69-29 (22% of the electorate), and other religious affiliations 68-31 (Jews were 4% of the electorate but were unaccounted for in exit polls). Sanders won voters who identified as agnostic /atheist 56–31. In terms of political ideology, Clinton won liberals 59-41 and moderates/conservatives 70–26. And while Clinton won Democrats 71–28, Sanders won self-identified Independents 55–41.[ 48]
Clinton won in Miami and along the Gold Coast 73–26, where there is a larger population of Hispanic/Latino voters who in South Florida are predominantly of Cuban or Nicaraguan descent. Clinton also won the Gulf Coast and Mid-Florida 64–35, the Tampa Bay Area 63–37, the Orlando area 62–34, and the Northern Panhandle which is whiter, more conservative and more rural by a smaller margin of 58–37.[ 49]
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