1990 Northern Territory general election

1990 Northern Territory general election

← 1987 27 October 1990 (1990-10-27) 1994 →

All 25 seats of the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly
13 seats needed for a majority
Turnout81.6 (Increase 10.4 pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Marshall Perron Terry Smith Ian Tuxworth
Party Country Liberal Labor Nationals
Leader since 14 July 1988 19 August 1986 10 May 1986
Leader's seat Fannie Bay Millner Barkly
(lost Goyder)
Last election 16 seats 6 seats 2 seats
Seats won 14 9 seats 0
Seat change Decrease 2 Increase 3 Decrease 2
Popular vote 31,758 23,827 3,060
Percentage 48.8% 36.6% 4.7%
Swing Increase 9.4 Increase 0.6 Decrease 13.1
TPP 57.0% 43.0%
TPP Decrease 0.3 Increase 0.3


Chief Minister before election

Marshall Perron
Country Liberal

Elected Chief Minister

Marshall Perron
Country Liberal

A general election was held in the Northern Territory on Saturday 27 October 1990, and was won by the incumbent Country Liberal Party (CLP) under Chief Minister Marshall Perron.

The CLP's political strategy for the campaign, devised by the Chief Minister's media secretary, Tony-Barker May, involved attacking the opposition ALP's policy platform, and using the costings as the basis of a 'where's the money coming from?' media assault. Although the Chief Minister was ill for much of the campaign, government ministers made challenging statements every day.

The CLP also used the services of conservative social researcher Mark Textor, subsequently co-head of Crosby Textor Group, who made accurate polling predictions during this election, outperforming internal ALP polling and independent public polling. The result came as a surprise to most except for CLP insiders.

Six months prior to the election, polling showed the CLP was headed for a big loss. However, the CLP government remained in power with an increase of over 9% to its primary vote, holding 14 of the 25 seats, with the ALP opposition gaining 3 seats for a total of 9 seats in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly. Meanwhile, the Northern Territory Nationals contested the election again, but lost both of their seats. The 1990 election also saw the Greens emerge in territory politics, with 3.05% of the vote—fourth behind the CLP, Labor and the Nationals.

Independents Noel Padgham-Purich and Denis Collins were both re-elected.

The NT Nationals lost both seats of Barkly and Flynn. The NT Nationals faded away soon afterward.

Retiring MPs

Labor

Country Liberal

Results

14 2 9
CLP Ind Labor
Summary of the results of the 1990 Northern Territory general election, Legislative Assembly[1]
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Country Liberal31,75848.83Increase 9.4114Decrease 2
Labor23,82736.64Increase 0.699Increase 3
Independents4,4106.78Decrease 0.072Steady
NT Nationals3,0604.71Decrease 13.080Decrease 1
Greens1,9813.05New0Steady
Total65,036100.0025
Valid votes65,03696.90
Invalid/blank votes2,0813.10Decrease 1.04
Total votes67,117100.00
Registered voters/turnout82,26181.59Increase 10.41
Country Liberal37,07557.01
Labor27,96142.99
Total65,036100.00
Popular vote
Country Liberal
48.83%
Labor
36.63%
NT Nationals
4.71%
Greens
3.05%
Independents
6.78%
Two-party-preferred vote
Country Liberal
57.00%
Labor
43.00%
Seats
Country Liberal
56.00%
Labor
36.00%
Independents
8.00%

Candidates

Sitting members are listed in bold. Successful candidates are highlighted in the relevant colour.

Electorate Held by Labor candidate CLP candidate Nationals candidates Other candidates
 
Arafura Labor Stan Tipiloura Barry Puruntatameri
Araluen CLP Brian Doolan Eric Poole Enzo Floreani
Arnhem Labor Wes Lanhupuy Tony Hayward-Ryan Rod Ansell (Ind)
Barkly National Maggie Hickey Paul Ruger Kenneth Purvis Tony Boulter (Ind)
Charles Hallett (Ind)
Braitling CLP Matthew Storey Roger Vale Damien Ward Leslie Oldfield (Ind)
Brennan CLP Ian Fraser Max Ortmann Col Firmin (Ind)
Casuarina CLP Rod Ellis Nick Dondas Lea Rosenwax
Fannie Bay CLP Paul Costigan Marshall Perron Bob Ellis (Grn)
Strider (Ind)
Goyder CLP Jack Ah Kit Terry McCarthy Ian Tuxworth Kezia Purick (Ind)
Louise Size (Grn)
Thomas Starr (Ind)
Greatorex Independent Harold Furber Robert Kennedy David Johannsen Denis Collins (Ind)
Jingili CLP Fiona Stuchbery Rick Setter Penelope Thomson (Ind)
Karama CLP Margaret Gillespie Mick Palmer Janet Durling
Katherine CLP Phil Maynard Mike Reed Jim Forscutt Laurie Hughes (Ind)
Leanyer CLP Jim Davidson Fred Finch Alan MacKenzie
MacDonnell Labor Neil Bell Brendan Heenan
Alison Hunt
Millner Labor Terry Smith Janice Collins
Nelson Independent Peter Ivinson David Sanderson Graeme Gow Noel Padgham-Purich (Ind)
Nhulunbuy Labor Syd Stirling Susan McClure
Nightcliff CLP David Pettigrew Stephen Hatton John Dunham (Grn)
Palmerston CLP Chris Draffin Barry Coulter Ronald Wright Timothy Fowler (Grn)
Port Darwin CLP Peter Cavanagh Shane Stone David Fuller Jessie Kearney (Grn)
Sanderson CLP Alan Perrin Daryl Manzie Graeme Parsons (Grn)
Andrew Wrenn (Ind)
Stuart Labor Brian Ede Eric Pananka
Alexander Nelson
Victoria River CLP Gary Cartwright Stephen Dunham
Wanguri Labor John Bailey John Hare

Seats changing hands

Seat Pre-1990 Swing Post-1990
Party Member Margin Margin Member Party
Barkly   NT Nationals Ian Tuxworth 5.9 6.6 0.7 Maggie Hickey Labor  
Victoria River   Country Liberal Terry McCarthy 9.5 11.0 1.5 Gary Cartwright Labor  

Post-election pendulum

The following pendulum is known as the Mackerras pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in the Legislative Assembly according to the percentage point margin they are held by on a two-party-preferred basis. This is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted.

Country Liberal seats
Marginal
Goyder Terry McCarthy CLP 4.1 v IND
Fairly safe
Sanderson Daryl Manzie CLP 9.0
Jingili Rick Setter CLP 9.2
Safe
Fannie Bay Marshall Perron CLP 10.0
Brennan Max Ortmann CLP 10.1
Karama Mick Palmer CLP 10.8
Casuarina Nick Dondas CLP 11.5
Port Darwin Shane Stone CLP 11.6
Palmerston Barry Coulter CLP 11.7
Leanyer Fred Finch CLP 11.9
Nightcliff Stephen Hatton CLP 12.1
Very safe
Araluen Eric Poole CLP 20.9
Katherine Mike Reed CLP 21.0
Braitling Roger Vale CLP 26.2
Labor seats
Marginal
Barkly Maggie Hickey ALP 0.7
Victoria River Gary Cartwright ALP 1.5
Fairly safe
Wanguri John Bailey ALP 6.2
Millner Terry Smith ALP 6.7
Nhulunbuy Syd Stirling ALP 9.1
Safe
Arnhem Wes Lanhupuy ALP 11.2
Macdonnell Neil Bell ALP 13.5
Arafura Stan Tipiloura ALP 16.5
Stuart Brian Ede ALP 17.0
Independent seats
Greatorex Denis Collins IND 2.5 v CLP
Nelson Noel Padgham-Purich IND 13.7 v CLP

References

  1. ^ Wade-Marshall, Dean Jaensch, Deborah (1994). Point of order! : the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory 1974-1994. Darwin: Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory. ISBN 0731520769.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)

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