Kabanchuk participated in protests on 10 and 13 March 1997 during the Minsk Spring. He was charged under Article 186 Part 3, relating to street protests, and Article 187 Part 2, relating to resisting arrest, of the Criminal Code of Belarus. He was imprisoned from September 1997 to 27 March 1998 at Pishchalauski Castle. After his release, he continued his political activism as part of the Belarusian opposition, and was sentenced several times to administrative detention.[3]
On 13 February 2011, Kabanchuk was detained when returning to Belarus from Lithuania. The authorities found that he was transporting about 100 copies of opposition newspapers covering the aftermath of the 2010 election. He was sentenced to 10 days of arrest for having participated in the 19 December protests.[5]
As of early 2012, Kabanchuk was a member of Belarusian Christian Democracy (BCD). On 21 March 2012, he was detained in Minsk. Other BCD activists travelling in the same car as Kabanchuk escaped.[6]
Kabancuhuk was appointed Representative for Defense and National Security in the United Transitional Cabinet of Belarus (UTC) on 3 August 2024.[1] For compatibility with his new role, he shifted to reserve status in the Kalinoŭski Regiment.[2]
Following his UTC appointment in August 2024, Kabanchuk stated that the Kalinoŭski Regiment had initially been invited to have a representative in the UTC in 2022, but had declined, seeing its role in Ukraine as its immediate priority. He stated that the regiment had received material help from the UTC. Among the projects started with his role as a member of the UTC, Kabanchuk cited a program to train volunteers in Ukraine.[2]
Kabanchuk stated that the "Kalinoŭski movement", created in July 2024, is a sociopolitical structure associated with the regiment, with the intention of contributing to replacing the Lukashenko government. He said that to satisfy Ukrainian law, regiment members who participated in the Coordination Council resigned from the regiment.[2]
Points of view
In October 2022, Kabanchuk argued that supporters of Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko were disoriented by Russian military losses during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine and that both the general Belarusian population and the Belarusian military were opposed to the invasion as a result of the many wars that had taken place in Belarus.[4]
In March 2023, he argued that for the goal of replacing the Lukashenko government, Belarusians who were at risk due to having participated in the 2020–2021 Belarusian protests should emigrate from Belarus, while those who could remain safely in Belarus should do so and prepare for "decisive events that [would] come soon". He recommended that those staying in Belarus should prepare the "material and technical base" for a political change, in groups of no more than three people, keeping their plans confidential.[7]
In August 2024, Kabanchuk stated the Belarusian ammunition and military equipment had been transported to Russia for use in the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and that there was a risk of Belarusian armed forces also being used in the Russian invasion.[2]
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