Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa

Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa
Manitoba electoral district
Dauphin—Swan-River—Neepawa in relation to other Manitoba federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order.
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Dan Mazier
Conservative
District created2013
First contested2015
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)[1]89,503
Electors (2015)61,579
Area (km²)[2]56,820
Pop. density (per km²)1.6
Census division(s)Division No. 6, Division No. 7, Division No. 8, Division No. 15, Division No. 16, Division No. 17, Division No. 19, Division No. 20,
Census subdivision(s)Alonsa, Birdtail Creek 57, Cerberry, Clanwilliam - Erickson, Crane River 51, Dauphin (city), Dauphin (RM), Division No. 17, Unorganized, Division No. 19, Unorganized, Division No. 20, Unorganized, North Part, Division No. 20, Unorganized, South Part, Ebb and Flow 52, Ellice - Archie, Elton, Ethelbert, Gambler 63, Gilbert Plains, Glenella - Lansdowne, Grandview, Hamiota, Harrison Park, Hillsburg - Roblin - Shell River, Keeseekoowenin 61, Lakeshore, McCreary, Minitonas - Bowsman, Minnedosa, Minto - Odanah, Mossey River, Mountain, Neepawa, North Cypress - Lanford, North Norfolk, Oakview, Pine Creek 66A, Prairie View, Riding Mountain West, Riverdale, Rolling River 67, Rolling River 67B, Rosedale, Rossburn, Russell - Binscarth, Sandy Bay 5, Shoal River Indian Reserve 65A, Sioux Valley Dakota Nation, Ste. Rose, Swan Lake 65C, Swan Valley West, Valley River 63A, Wallace - Woodworth, Waterhen 45, Waywayseecappo First Nation, WestLake - Gladstone, Yellowhead

Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa is a federal electoral district in Manitoba. It encompasses a portion of Manitoba previously included in the electoral districts of Dauphin—Swan River—Marquette, Brandon—Souris and Portage—Lisgar.[3]

Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, which was held on 19 October 2015.[4]

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, this riding will be renamed Riding Mountain at the first election held after approximately April 2024. It will lose the Sioux Valley Dakota Nation plus the part of the Rural Municipality of Wallace – Woodworth that it exclaves, and the CFB Shilo area to Brandon—Souris and will gain the Municipality of Norfolk Treherne and the area around Long Plain 6 from Portage—Lisgar.[5]

Demographics

Panethnic groups in Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[6] 2016[7] 2011[8]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 56,230 65.5% 57,725 69.63% 61,800 73.62%
Indigenous 24,265 28.26% 21,980 26.51% 20,705 24.66%
Southeast Asian[b] 3,785 4.41% 2,240 2.7% 580 0.69%
South Asian 460 0.54% 250 0.3% 250 0.3%
African 365 0.43% 210 0.25% 140 0.17%
East Asian[c] 330 0.38% 325 0.39% 260 0.31%
Latin American 230 0.27% 85 0.1% 130 0.15%
Middle Eastern[d] 60 0.07% 40 0.05% 50 0.06%
Other/multiracial[e] 130 0.15% 85 0.1% 40 0.05%
Total responses 85,850 95.92% 82,905 94.72% 83,950 96.08%
Total population 89,503 100% 87,527 100% 87,374 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.
According to the 2011 Canadian census[9][10]

Languages: 83.5% English, 5.3% German, 3.7% Ukrainian, 2.3% Ojibway, 2.1% French
Religions: 72.0% Christian (24.4% Catholic, 20.5% United Church, 5.1% Anglican, 3.2% Lutheran, 1.9% Pentecostal, 1.9% Baptist, 1.7% Christian Orthodox, 1.2% Presbyterian, 12.3% Other), 1.9% Traditional Aboriginal Spirituality, 25.4% No religion
Median income (2010): $23,271
Average income (2010): $30,399

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the national political parties:[11]

Party Association name CEO HQ address Neighbourhood
Maverick Party Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa Maverick Party EDA Daniel Bouchard, Dauphin, Manitoba|- Green Katharine Storey Rural Route 1 Grandview
  Conservative Party of Canada Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa Conservative Association Norman Sims 76 Main Street South Minnedosa
  Liberal Party of Canada Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa Federal Liberal Association Crawford Halliday Dauphin
  New Democratic Party David Rehaluk 24 Kerr Avenue Dauphin

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of the House of Commons of Canada:

Parliament Years Member Party
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa
Riding created from Brandon—Souris
Dauphin—Swan River—Marquette and Portage—Lisgar
42nd  2015–2019     Robert Sopuck Conservative
43rd  2019–2021 Dan Mazier
44th  2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Riding Mountain, 2023 representation order

2021 federal election redistributed results[12]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 23,165 59.19
  New Democratic 5,680 14.51
  Liberal 4,987 12.74
  People's 4,128 10.55
  Green 826 2.11
  Others 351 0.90

Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa, 2013 representation order

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Dan Mazier 22,718 59.0 -5.2 $38,088.60
New Democratic Arthur Holroyd 5,678 14.7 +0.6 $0.00
Liberal Kevin Carlson 4,892 12.7 -0.5 $12,490.55
People's Donnan McKenna 4,052 10.5 +8.7 $13,188.78
Green Shirley Lambrecht 835 2.2 -3.3 $0.00
Maverick Lori Falloon-Austin 339 0.9 N/A $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 38,514 99.4 $129,256.28
Total rejected ballots 226 0.6
Turnout 38,740 62.2
Eligible voters 62,242
Conservative hold Swing -2.9
Source: Elections Canada[13]
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Dan Mazier 26,103 64.2 +17.86 $47,835.45
New Democratic Laverne Lewycky 5,724 14.1 +1.85 none listed
Liberal Cathy Scofield-Singh 5,344 13.2 -16.31 $10,110.34
Green Kate Storey 2,214 5.5 +1.67 none listed
People's Frank Godon 711 1.8 none listed
Christian Heritage Jenni Johnson 470 1.2 none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 40,566 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 279
Turnout 40,845 66.2
Eligible voters 61,722
Conservative hold Swing +8.01
Source: Elections Canada[14][15]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Robert Sopuck 19,276 46.34 -18.18 $96,511.06
Liberal Ray Piché 12,276 29.51 +23.18 $30,343.94
New Democratic Laverne Lewycky 5,097 12.25 -12.56 $18,323.29
Independent Inky Mark 3,397 8.07 $7,495.11
Green Kate Storey 1,592 3.83 -0.44 $8,600.31
Total valid votes/expense limit 41,598 100.00   $247,596.77
Total rejected ballots 160 0.38
Turnout 41,758 66.09
Eligible voters 63,187
Conservative hold Swing -20.68
Source: Elections Canada[16][17]
2011 federal election redistributed results[18]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 22,213 64.52
  New Democratic 8,541 24.81
  Liberal 2,179 6.33
  Green 1,468 4.26
  Others 27 0.08

See also

References

  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2021
  2. ^ Statistics Canada: 2021
  3. ^ Commission's Report – Manitoba
  4. ^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
  5. ^ "New Federal Electoral Map for Manitoba". Federal Electoral Districts Redistribution 2022. April 26, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
  6. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  7. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  8. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  9. ^ "Statistics Canada: 2011 Census Profile". February 8, 2012.
  10. ^ "2011 National Household Survey Profile - Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)". May 8, 2013.
  11. ^ "Registered Association Database : Search Electoral District Associations".
  12. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  13. ^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  14. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  15. ^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 9, 2019.
  16. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa, 30 September 2015
  17. ^ Elections Canada – Final Candidates Election Expenses Limits
  18. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections