2024 Nova Scotia general election

2024 Nova Scotia general election
← 2021 November 26, 2024 Next →
55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout45.19% (Decrease 9.88 pp)
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Leader Tim Houston Claudia Chender Zach Churchill
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Leader since 27 October 2018 25 June 2022 9 July 2022
Leader's seat Pictou East Dartmouth South Yarmouth
(lost re-election)
Last election 31 seats, 38.44% 6 seats, 20.93% 17 seats, 36.67%
Seats before 34 6 14
Seats won 43 9 2
Seat change Increase 9 Increase3 Decrease12
Popular vote 187,047 79,008 80,854
Percentage 52.49% 22.17% 22.69%
Swing Increase 14.05 pp Increase 1.24 pp Decrease 13.98 pp
Popular vote by riding.
Premier before election

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative

The 2024 Nova Scotia general election was held on November 26, 2024, to elect members to the 65th General Assembly of Nova Scotia. The election was held under first-past-the-post voting.

The incumbent Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia (PC) government, led by Premier Tim Houston since 2021, called a snap election and won a second consecutive majority government. It is the first time since 1984 that the PCs won over half of the popular vote, and a supermajority (i.e., greater than two-thirds) of seats in the General Assembly means that it can alter procedural rules without the collaboration of the other parties.[1] In raw numbers (but not proportion of seats), this is the largest government caucus they have ever had. The Nova Scotia New Democratic Party, led by Claudia Chender, formed the official opposition for the first time since 2006, though they narrowly came in third in votes. The Nova Scotia Liberal Party, led by Zach Churchill, recorded its worst result in party history.

This election had the lowest turnout in Nova Scotia history, with only 45% of those eligible participating. This was the first Nova Scotia general election where less than half of eligible voters cast their vote.[2]

Background

During the 2021 election, the Progressive Conservatives included a commitment in their platform to introduce fixed election dates in the province. Under amendments to the provincial Elections Act introduced and passed in October 2021, the first fixed election date following the 2021 Nova Scotia general election was set as 15 July 2025 with all subsequent elections to take place on the third Tuesday in July of the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[3] However, the general assembly may be dissolved earlier by order of the lieutenant governor of Nova Scotia on the advice of the premier, which was the case for this election.[4][5]

Standings in the 64th General Assembly[6]
Affiliation House members
2021 election results At dissolution
Progressive Conservative 31 34
Liberal 17 14
New Democratic 6 6
Independent 1 1
Vacant 0 0

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the election:

Party MLA Riding
  Liberal Rafah DiCostanzo Clayton Park West[7]
Tony Ince Cole Harbour[7]
Keith Irving Kings South[8]
Lorelei Nicoll Cole Harbour-Dartmouth[7]
Kelly Regan Bedford Basin[9]
New Democratic Gary Burrill Halifax Chebucto[10]
  PC Keith Bain Victoria-The Lakes[11]
Steve Craig Sackville-Cobequid[12]
Pat Dunn Pictou Centre[12]
Larry Harrison Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley[13]
Allan MacMaster Inverness[14]

Timeline

See also: 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia
Changes in seats held (2021–2024)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Preston April 1, 2023[24] Angela Simmonds █ Liberal Resignation August 8, 2023 Twila Grosse █ PC
Halifax Atlantic February 22, 2024[25] Brendan Maguire █ Liberal Joined Progressive Conservative caucus █ PC
Pictou West April 12, 2024[26] Karla MacFarlane █ PC Resignation May 21, 2024 Marco MacLeod █ PC
Northside-Westmount October 22, 2024[27] Fred Tilley █ Liberal Joined Progressive Conservative caucus █ PC

Campaign

Candidate contests[28]
Candidates
nominated		 Constituencies Party
PC Lib NDP Grn Ind Totals
3 30 30 30 29 1 90
4 24 24 24 24 22 2 96
5 1 1 1 1 1 1 5
Total 55 55 55 54 23 4 191

Leaders' debates

2024 Nova Scotia general election debates
Date Organizers Venue Moderator(s)  P  Participant  A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee Source
PC Liberal NDP Green NSU
November 14, 2024 CBC Nova Scotia CBC Studios,
Halifax		 Tom Murphy,
Amy Smith 		P
Houston 		P
Churchill 		P
Chender 		N
Edmonds 		N
Baker 		[29]
November 21, 2024 CTV Atlantic CTV Studios,
Halifax		 Todd Battis P
Houston 		P
Churchill 		P
Chender 		N
Edmonds 		N
Baker 		[30]

Results

Main article: Results of the 2024 Nova Scotia general election

Two judicial recounts took place in December:[31]

Recount results
Constituency Date held Reason Confirmed
Yarmouth December 9 on request of the losing incumbent Green tickY[32]
Annapolis December 10 automatic due to narrowness of margin Green tickY[33]

Results by party

Summary of the 2024 Nova Scotia House of Assembly election[34]
Party Leader Candidates Votes Seats
# ± % Change (pp) 2021 2024 ±
Progressive Conservative Tim Houston 55 187,047 24,574Increase 52.49 14.05 14.05
 
 31 43 / 55 12Increase
Liberal Zach Churchill 55 80,854 74,172Decrease 22.69 -13.98
 
 17 2 / 55 15Decrease
New Democratic Claudia Chender 54 79,008 9,469Decrease 22.17 1.24 1.24
 
 6 9 / 55 3Increase
Green Anthony Edmonds 23 2,941 6,101Decrease 0.83 -1.31
 
Independent 4 4,220 740Decrease 1.18 0.10 0.1
 
 1 1 / 55 Steady
Total 354,070 100.00%
Rejected ballots 2,250 539Increase
Turnout 356,320 66,392Decrease 45.19 9.88Decrease
Registered voters 788,427 20,809Increase

Candidates by constituency

Legend
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

Annapolis Valley

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green Independent
Annapolis David Bowlby[35] Carman Kerr[13] Cheryl Burbidge[36] Sara Adams[13] Carman Kerr
Clare Ryan Robicheau[37] Ronnie LeBlanc[13] Dre Taylor[13] Ronnie LeBlanc
Digby-Annapolis Jill Balser[38] Joey Amero[39] Shannon Long[13] Jill Balser
Hants West Melissa Sheehy-Richard[40] Brian Casey[41] Simon Greenough[42] James Omand[13] Melissa Sheehy-Richard
Kings North John A. Lohr[43] Richelle Brown Redden[44] Gillian Yorke[45] Dave Lowe[13] John Lohr
Kings South Julie Vanexan[13] Mike Hamm[13] Ramona Jennex[42] Sheila G. Richardson[13] Keith Irving†
Kings West Chris Palmer[46] Brad Beardsley[47] Paul Doerr[13] Madeline Taylor[13] Chris Palmer

South Shore

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green
Argyle Colton LeBlanc[48] Lorelei Murphy[49] Lauren Skabar[42] Lynette Amirault[13] Colton LeBlanc
Chester-St. Margaret's Danielle Barkhouse[50] Laura Mulrooney[51] Brendan Mosher[52] Danielle Barkhouse
Lunenburg Susan Corkum-Greek[53] Melissa Duggan[54] Nick Jennery[42] Frank Fawson[13] Susan Corkum-Greek
Lunenburg West Becky Druhan[55] Jonathan Crouse[56] Nicholas Piovesan[13] Mitchell Thomas-Langford[13] Becky Druhan
Queens Kim Masland[57] Cathy DeRome[47] Brian Skabar[45] Kim Masland
Shelburne Nolan Young[58] Debbie Muise[13] Bridget Taylor[13] Nolan Young
Yarmouth Nick Hilton[59] Zach Churchill[47] Gillian Rowley[13] Adam Randall[60] Zach Churchill

Fundy-Northeast

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green Independent
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Scott Armstrong[13] Gwynneth (Gwyn) Bellefontaine[47] Janet Moulton[42] Larry Harrison†
Colchester North Tom Taggart[61] Dustin Rekunyk[13] Christina McCarron[42] Jillian Foster[13] Tom Taggart
Cumberland North Bill Dowe[62] Kurt Ditner[13] Tyson Boyd[13] Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin[13] Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
Cumberland South Tory Rushton[63] Liam MacDonald[13] Larry Duchesne[42] Tory Rushton
Hants East John A. MacDonald[64] Shannon MacWilliam[13] Abby Cameron[45] John A. MacDonald
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Dave Ritcey[65] Frank Johnston[13] Cailen Pygott[13] Dave Ritcey

Central Halifax

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green
Clayton Park West Adegoke Fadare[66] Elizabeth Eustaquio-Domondon[13] Wendy Hood-Morris[67] Rafah DiCostanzo†
Fairview-Clayton Park Nicole Mosher[13] Patricia Arab[68] Lina Hamid[42] Patricia Arab
Halifax Armdale Craig Myra[69] Ali Duale[70] Rod Wilson[36] Ali Duale
Halifax Chebucto Tonya Malay[13] Gerard Bray[71] Krista Gallagher[42] Jonathan Bradet-Legris[13] Gary Burrill†
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Eleanor Humphries[13] Rob Grace[72] Lisa Lachance[42] Karen Beazley[13] Lisa Lachance
Halifax Needham Trayvone Clayton[73] Jon Frost[13] Suzy Hansen[42] Amethyste Hamel-Gregory[13] Suzy Hansen

Suburban Halifax

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green
Bedford Basin Tim Outhit[13] Doris Robbins[47] Ryan Lutes[42] Kelly Regan†
Bedford South Damian Stoilov[13] Braedon Clark[74] Isaac G. Wilson[13] Ron G. Parker[13] Braedon Clark
Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire[75] Phil Chisholm[13] Cathy Cervin[76] Gadfly Stratton[13] Brendan Maguire
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Rick Burns[77] Ben Jessome[13] Terry J. Eyland[13] Roger Croll[13] Ben Jessome
Sackville-Cobequid Paul Russell[78] Agatha Bourassa[13] Paul Wozney[79] Steve Craig†
Sackville-Uniacke Brad Johns[80] Thomas Trappenberg[81] Lisa Blackburn[82] Brad Johns
Timberlea-Prospect Trish MacDonald[83] Iain Rankin[13] Rose Gillam[36] Jane Matheson[13] Iain Rankin
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Brian Wong[84] Elizabeth Booth[85] Donna McCarthy[36] Anthony Edmonds[13] Brian Wong

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green Independent
Cole Harbour Leah Martin[86] Tania Meloni[13] Alec Stratford[87] John E. McStay[13] Tony Ince†
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Brad McGowan[13] Vishal Bhardwaj[13] Kayley Dixon[88] Lorelei Nicoll†
Dartmouth East Timothy Halman[89] Stacy Chesnutt[90] Holly Fraughton[45] Tim Halman
Dartmouth North Karina Sanford[91] Pam Cooley[13] Susan Leblanc[42] Susan Leblanc
Dartmouth South Bea MacGregor[13] Barb Henderson[13] Claudia Chender[42] Claudia Chender
Eastern Passage Barbara Adams[92] Chris Peters[13] Tammy Jakeman[a] Barbara Adams
Eastern Shore Kent Smith[94] Doyle Safire[13] Don Carney[13] Kevin Conrod[95] Kent Smith
Preston Twila Grosse[96] Carlo Simmons[13] Colter (C.C.) Simmonds[42] Andre Anderson[13] Twila Grosse

Central Nova

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green
Antigonish Michelle Thompson[97] Sheila Sears[98] John MacIsaac[99] Michelle Thompson
Guysborough-Tracadie Greg Morrow[100] George Grant[13] Deborah Martinello[13] Greg Morrow
Pictou Centre Danny MacGillivray[101] Kris MacFarlane[13] Mary Stewart[45] Pat Dunn†
Pictou East Tim Houston[102] Stephanie Quinn[13] Vernon Theriault[42] Tim Houston
Pictou West Marco MacLeod[103] Mary Wooldridge-Elliott[13] Carol Ferguson[13] Clare Brett[13] Marco MacLeod

Cape Breton

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green Independent
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Darren O'Quinn[104] Joleen Magliaro[47] Kendra Coombes[42] Kendra Coombes
Cape Breton East Brian Comer[105] Joe Ward[13] Isabelle Lalonde[13] Brian Comer
Glace Bay-Dominion John White[106] David Alexander MacLeod[13] Kathy Chapman[13] John White
Inverness Kyle MacQuarrie[107] Jaime Beaton[108] Joanna Clark[45] Allan MacMaster†
Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley[13] Danny Laffin[13] Katelyn Armstrong[13] Fred Tilley
Richmond Trevor Boudreau[109] Rochelle Heudes[13] Marc Currie[13] Trevor Boudreau
Sydney-Membertou Brian MacArthur[110] Derek Mombourquette[13] Alison Aho[111] Steven McGrath[13] Derek Mombourquette
Victoria-The Lakes Dianne Timmins[112] Stephen MacAskill[13] Samuel Stirling[13] Adrianna MacKinnon[13] Stemer MacLeod[13] Keith Bain†

Opinion polls

Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2021 election

Smoothed curves showing results of provincial vote intention in Nova Scotia between the previous (2021) election and the current (2024) one.

Notes

  1. ^ Jakeman was the NDP candidate, but was removed by the party after the candidate deadline. She was subsequently listed as an independent candidate by Elections Nova Scotia.[13][93]

References

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  84. ^ "Brian Wong to represent Progressive Conservatives in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank". Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia. June 6, 2024. Archived from the original on June 7, 2024. Retrieved June 7, 2024.
  85. ^ "Elizabeth Booth Nominated as Liberal Candidate for Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank". Nova Scotia Liberal Party. July 15, 2024. Archived from the original on July 17, 2024. Retrieved July 17, 2024.
  86. ^ "Leah Martin nominated PC candidate in Cole Harbour". Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia. August 26, 2024. Archived from the original on August 27, 2024. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
  87. ^ "Alec Stratford nominated as NSNDP candidate for Cole Harbour". Nova Scotia New Democratic Party. June 27, 2024. Archived from the original on June 28, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.
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  90. ^ "Stacy Chesnutt will be our candidate for Dartmouth East in the next provincial election". Twitter. Nova Scotia Liberal Party. October 24, 2024. Archived from the original on August 13, 2024. Retrieved October 25, 2024.
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  92. ^ Gorman, Michael (June 9, 2024). "Nova Scotia's next provincial election is scheduled for 2025, but parties are lining up candidates now". CBC News. Archived from the original on June 10, 2024. Retrieved June 9, 2024.
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  95. ^ "Your Green Party Candidate for Eastern Shore". Facebook. Kevin Conrod Green Party. November 4, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
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  97. ^ "Michelle Thompson re-offering as PC candidate in Antigonish". Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia. July 11, 2024. Archived from the original on July 11, 2024. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
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  101. ^ "Danny MacGillivray nominated PC candidate in Pictou Centre". Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia. September 6, 2024. Archived from the original on September 7, 2024. Retrieved September 7, 2024.
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  104. ^ "O'Quinn nominated PC candidate in Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier". Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia. October 29, 2024. Retrieved October 29, 2024.
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Opinion poll sources

  1. ^ "NS 2024 Election Results". Archived from the original on October 8, 2021. Retrieved November 26, 2024.
  2. ^ "Tories poised for victory in Nova Scotia election". November 26, 2024. Retrieved November 26, 2024.
  3. ^ "Nova Scotia PCs Close Campaign with Massive Lead". November 25, 2024. Retrieved November 25, 2024.
  4. ^ "Nova Scotia Provincial Election Poll, November 23, 2024". November 25, 2024. Retrieved November 25, 2024.
  5. ^ "Nova Scotia PCs headed for landslide win bucking anti-incumbency trend". November 24, 2024. Archived from the original on November 25, 2024. Retrieved November 24, 2024.
  6. ^ "PCs Heading for Hefty Majority in NS". MQO Research. November 22, 2024. Archived from the original on November 22, 2024. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
  7. ^ "Heading into the election, the PCs lead in terms of overall voter support, with the NDP making some gains in the past quarter". Narrative Research. November 20, 2024. Archived from the original on November 20, 2024. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
  8. ^ "Nova Scotia Provincial Polling November 7-15, 2024". Cardinal Research. November 21, 2024. Retrieved November 21, 2024.
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  10. ^ "Majority Favours Tim Houston and His PCs Lead Everywhere". MQO Research. November 12, 2024. Archived from the original on November 12, 2024. Retrieved November 12, 2024.
  11. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Nova Scotia" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
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  13. ^ "Nova Scotia PCs lead NDP at Beginning of Campaign". Liaison Strategies. October 31, 2024. Retrieved October 31, 2024.
  14. ^ "Satisfaction with the provincial government increases. The PCs maintain a strong lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. August 23, 2024. Retrieved August 26, 2024.
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  18. ^ "A majority remain satisfied with the provincial government's performance" (PDF). Narrative Research. August 24, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
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  26. ^ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid. March 2022. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
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  28. ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  29. ^ "Fall/Winter 2021 Provincial Report Nova Scotia" (PDF). MQO Research. November 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 12, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  30. ^ "High satisfaction with the performance of the newly-elected provincial government of Nova Scotia" (PDF). Narrative Research. November 29, 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 30, 2021.
  31. ^ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments" (PDF). Angus Reid. October 27, 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 27, 2021. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
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