2020 Kaohsiung mayoral by-election

2020 Kaohsiung mayoral by-election
← 2018 15 August 2020 (2020-08-15) 2022 →
Turnout41.83%
 
Nominee Chen Chi-mai Li Mei-jhen
Party DPP Kuomintang
Popular vote 671,804 248,478
Percentage 70.03% 25.90%
2020 Kaohsiung by-election results by district
Mayor before election

Yang Ming-jou (acting)
Independent

Elected mayor

Chen Chi-mai
DPP

The 2020 Kaohsiung mayoral by-election was held on 15 August 2020 following a successful recall attempt.[1] The registered candidates were Chen Chi-mai representing the Democratic Progressive Party, Li Mei-jhen representing the Kuomintang, and Wu Yi-jheng representing the Taiwan People's Party.[2] Chen Chi-mai won the by-election by a landslide margin with slightly over 70 percent of the votes.[3] He replaced acting mayor Yang Ming-jou on 24 August 2020.[4]

Background

The by-election followed a successful recall attempt against Kaohsiung mayor Han Kuo-yu on 6 June 2020. By law, the Central Election Commission (CEC) was mandated to announce the results of the recall vote within seven days of the vote itself. The law also required the CEC to hold a by-election no later than 11 September 2020, three months after the results of the recall were publicly announced.[5][6] The CEC confirmed the result on 12 June and announced that the by-election would be held on 15 August.[7]

Procedures and timetable

Han Kuo-yu is barred, by law, from contesting the Kaohsiung mayoralty for four years as a result of the successful recall petition.[8][9]

Registration of candidates took place between 20 June and 24 June.[10] The sole debate between all three candidates took place on 1 August.[11] Municipal infrastructure was discussed.[12]

Candidates

Following a meeting of the Central Standing Committee of the Democratic Progressive Party on 17 June 2020, Chen Chi-mai was nominated as the DPP candidate for the by-election.[13][14] On 23 June 2020, the Kuomintang selected Kaohsiung City Councillor Li Mei-jhen to contest the by-election.[15] Following the Kuomintang's announcement, Wu Yi-jheng [zh], a city councilor affiliated with the People First Party, joined the Taiwan People's Party to represent the TPP in the by-election.[16]

Opinion polling

Date Pollster Sample size Chen Chi-mai
DPP 		Li Mei-jhen
KMT 		Wu Yi-jheng
TPP 		Leading by
(points)
29 July – 2 August 2020 TPP (All Dimensions)[17] 903 46.5% 12.8% 11.5% 33.7
30–31 July 2020 Formosa[18] 1,071 52.4% 12.6% 5.3% 39.8
27–28 July 2020 Taiwan Brian Trust[19] 1,082 53.7% 14.4% 8.3% 39.3
21–28 July 2020 All Dimensions[20] 750 39.1% 16.0% 8.9% 23.1
22–24 July 2020 TVBS[21] 919 55% 21% 5% 34
9–10 July 2020 Formosa[22] 1,070 52.9% 14.3% 4.4% 38.6
29 June – 1 July 2020 TVBS[23] 953 54% 22% 5% 32
29–30 June 2020 TISR[24] 1,077 54.6% 14.4% 4.0% 40.2

Results

CandidatePartyVotes%
Chen Chi-maiDemocratic Progressive Party671,80470.03
Li Mei-jhenKuomintang248,47825.90
Wu Yi-jhengTaiwan People's Party38,9604.06
Total959,242100.00
Valid votes959,24299.63
Invalid/blank votes3,5840.37
Total votes962,826100.00
Registered voters/turnout2,301,59741.83
Source: [25]

Chen Chi-mai won 671,804 of the votes cast on 15 August 2020, a vote share of 70.03%. Li Mei-jhen finished second with 248,478 votes or 25.9%. Wu Yi-jhen claimed 4.06% of the vote, a total of 38,960 ballots. Voter turnout was 41.83%.[26][27] The Central Election Commission certified Chen's electoral victory on 21 August 2020.[28] On 24 August 2020, Chen replaced acting mayor Yang Ming-jou.[29]

2020 Kaohsiung by-election results by district[25]
District Electorate Total votes Chen Chi-mai % Li Mei-jhen % Wu Yi-jheng % Invalid votes Turnout
Yancheng 21,055 9,961 7,113 71.73 2,381 24.01 423 4.27 44 47.31%
Gushan 113,538 47,245 31,799 67.51 13,315 28.27 1,990 4.22 141 41.61%
Zuoying 158,517 63,323 39,352 62.35 21,062 33.37 2,701 4.28 208 39.95%
Nanzih 151,733 62,029 42,700 69.12 16,730 27.08 2,344 3.79 255 40.88%
Sanmin 281,098 119,051 85,121 71.74 28,434 23.97 5,091 4.29 405 42.35%
Sinsing 43,352 19,247 12,833 66.95 5,135 26.79 1,200 6.26 79 44.40%
Cianjin 23,646 10,474 6,954 66.67 2,811 26.95 665 6.38 44 44.30%
Lingya 142,696 62,078 41,222 66.65 16,903 27.33 3,722 6.02 231 43.50%
Cianjhen 157,241 68,668 48,346 70.64 17,295 25.27 2,803 4.10 224 43.67%
Cijin 23,940 10,030 7,642 76.49 2,089 20.91 260 2.60 39 41.90%
Siaogang 129,652 52,747 38,358 72.96 12,269 23.34 1,947 3.70 173 40.68%
Fongshan 294,369 121,720 82,698 68.19 33,561 27.67 5,015 4.14 446 41.35%
Linyuan 57,682 24,014 18,143 75.89 4,905 20.52 858 3.59 108 41.63%
Daliao 95,149 38,962 28,357 73.04 9,180 23.64 1,289 3.32 136 40.95%
Dashu 35,739 15,579 11,738 75.66 3,321 21.41 456 2.94 64 43.59%
Dashe 29,293 12,832 9,702 75.93 2,634 20.61 442 3.46 54 43.81%
Renwu 74,502 31,307 23,305 74.74 6,708 21.51 1,170 3.75 124 42.02%
Niaosong 39,030 16,810 12,005 71.62 4,076 24.32 681 4.06 48 43.07%
Gangshan 79,254 33,527 22,854 68.45 9,327 27.93 1,209 3.62 137 42.30%
Ciaotou 32,724 16,053 12,372 77.32 2,982 18.64 647 4.04 52 49.06%
Yanchao 25,353 10,691 7,834 73.68 2,480 23.32 319 3.00 58 42.17%
Tianliao 6,408 2,592 1,961 75.95 561 21.73 60 2.32 10 40.45%
Alian 23,839 9,838 7,611 77.69 1,905 19.44 281 2.87 41 41.27%
Lujhu 42,420 17,395 12,465 71.96 4,052 23.39 806 4.65 72 41.01%
Hunei 25,136 9,763 7,409 76.19 2,008 20.65 307 3.16 39 38.84%
Qieding 25,543 9,894 7,419 75.29 2,209 22.42 226 2.29 40 38.73%
Yong'an 11,698 4,745 3,420 72.37 1,141 24.14 165 3.49 19 40.56%
Mituo 15,902 6,769 4,655 69.16 1,868 27.75 208 3.09 38 42.57%
Zihguan 30,269 13,795 10,444 76.02 2,842 20.69 452 3.29 57 45.57%
Cishan 30,757 12,683 8,798 69.67 3,359 26.60 472 3.74 54 41.24%
Meinong 34,062 13,435 7,895 59.02 5,125 38.31 356 2.66 59 39.44%
Liouguei 10,868 3,514 2,319 66.50 1,088 31.20 80 2.29 27 32.33%
Jiasian 5,222 1,863 1,077 58.22 738 39.89 35 1.89 13 35.68%
Shanlin 10,210 3,539 2,219 63.09 1,222 34.75 76 2.16 22 34.66%
Neimen 12,507 4,592 3,077 67.24 1,357 29.65 142 3.10 16 36.72%
Maolin 1,524 538 104 19.33 403 74.91 31 5.76 0 35.30%
Taoyuan 3,338 862 245 28.42 597 69.26 20 2.32 4 25.94%
Namasia 2,331 657 238 36.39 405 61.93 11 1.68 3 28.19%

References

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  8. ^ Wei, Katherine (8 June 2020). "Kaohsiung set to hold mayoral by-election". Straits Times. Retrieved 8 June 2020.
  9. ^ Ku, Chuan; Yeh, Joseph (9 June 2020). "Han accepts recall decision, won't challenge result". Central News Agency. Retrieved 9 June 2020.
  10. ^ Liu, Chien-pang; Mazzetta, Matthew (13 June 2020). "Protesters defy Han to rally against Kaohsiung recall vote". Central News Agency. Retrieved 13 June 2020.
  11. ^ Chung, Jake (31 July 2020). "Kaohsiung policy debate to air". Taipei Times. Retrieved 31 July 2020.
  12. ^ "Kaohsiung mayoral candidates face off before by-election". Taipei Times. 3 August 2020. Retrieved 5 August 2020.
  13. ^ Yen, Su-ping; Ku, Chuan; Yu, Hsiang; Yeh, Joseph (17 June 2020). "DPP nominates outgoing vice premier for Kaohsiung mayoral by-election". Central News Agency. Retrieved 17 June 2020.
  14. ^ Pan, Jason (18 June 2020). "DPP selects vice premier to run for Kaohsiung mayor". Taipei Times. Retrieved 18 June 2020.
  15. ^ Wang, Shwu-feng; Kao, Evelyn (23 June 2020). "KMT picks city councilor Li Mei-jhen for Kaohsiung mayoral by-election". Central News Agency. Retrieved 23 June 2020.
  16. ^ Kuo, Chien-shen; Kao, Evelyn (23 June 2020). "City councilor Wu Yi-jheng to represent TPP in Kaohsiung mayoral race". Central News Agency. Retrieved 23 June 2020.
  17. ^ "操作棄保？民眾黨封關民調：李眉蓁、吳益政可能黃金交叉". newtalk.tw (in Chinese (Taiwan)). 3 August 2020. Retrieved 3 August 2020.
  18. ^ "美麗島民調：高雄市長補選民調結果". 美麗島電子報 (in Chinese (Taiwan)). 3 August 2020. Retrieved 3 August 2020.[dead link‍]
  19. ^ "最新高雄市長補選選情評估" (PDF) (in Chinese (Taiwan)). Taiwan Brian Trust. 3 August 2020. Retrieved 3 August 2020.
  20. ^ "【高雄補選】學者民調陳其邁獲過半支持 李眉蓁政見會表現恐催動棄保". tw.appledaily.com (in Chinese (Taiwan)). 2 August 2020. Retrieved 4 August 2020.
  21. ^ "TVBS民調：未受論文風波影響 李眉蓁穩住基本盤". tvbs.com.tw (in Chinese (Taiwan)). 27 July 2020. Retrieved 27 July 2020.
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  26. ^ Liu, Kuan-ting; Yeh, Su-ping; Chen, Christie; Huang, Frances (15 August 2020). "KMT chair vows to win back Kaohsiung mayorship in 2022". Central News Agency. Retrieved 15 August 2020.
  27. ^ Chen, Chao-fu; Yang, Ssu-jui; Kuo, Chu-chen; Huang, Frances (15 August 2020). "DPP's Chen Chi-mai wins Kaohsiung by-election by wide margin (update)". Central News Agency. Retrieved 15 August 2020.
  28. ^ Wang, Flor; Yu, Hsiang (21 August 2020). "Chen confirmed as Kaohsiung mayor-elect". Central News Agency. Retrieved 21 August 2020.
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