2018 Oregon gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2018 United States gubernatorial elections.

2018 Oregon gubernatorial election
← 2016 (special) November 6, 2018 2022 →
 
Nominee Kate Brown Knute Buehler
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Popular vote 934,498 814,988
Percentage 50.05% 43.65%
Brown:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Buehler:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
Governor before election

Kate Brown
Democratic

Elected Governor

Kate Brown
Democratic

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The 2018 Oregon gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Oregon to serve a full four-year term. In the 2016 special election, Democratic governor Kate Brown had been elected to serve the last two years of John Kitzhaber's term.[1]

The Republican Party nominated Knute Buehler, her opponent in the 2012 Oregon Secretary of State election; the Independent Party of Oregon nominated Patrick Starnes. Brown, running for a full term, won the election; because of term limits, she became ineligible to seek the governorship again.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Kate Brown

U.S. senators

Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Brown
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kate Brown (incumbent) 324,541 81.9
Democratic Ed Jones 33,464 8.4
Democratic Candace Neville 29,110 7.4
Democratic Write-ins 8,912 2.3
Total votes 396,027 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Bruce Cuff, real estate broker and candidate for governor in 2014 and 2016 (endorsed Greg Wooldridge)[3][17]

Declined

Endorsements

Knute Buehler
U.S. senators

State legislators

Individuals

  • Rob Harris, co-chair of the Independent Party of Oregon[32]
  • Antoinette Hatfield, former first lady of Oregon[33]
  • Phil Knight, businessman, co-founder of Nike[34][9]

Organizations

Newspapers

Greg Wooldridge
State legislators

Organizations

Debates

Host
network 		Date Link(s) Participants
Knute
Buehler 		Sam
Carpenter 		Greg
Wooldridge
KXL-FM May 11, 2018 [51] Invited Invited Invited

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Knute
Buehler 		Sam
Carpenter 		Lori
Chavez-DeRemer 		Greg
Wooldridge 		Other Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[52] May 3–6, 2018 438 ± 4.7% 33% 25% – 8% – 33%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter)[53] April 19–22, 2018 1,013 ± 3.1% 39% 24% – 12% 6%[a] 20%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter)[54] March 19–25, 2018 628 – 23% 23% – 4% – 50%
iCitizen[55] September 13–28, 2017 168 ± 3.9% 28% – 8% 31% 6% 26%

Results

Results by county:
  Buehler
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Carpenter
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Knute Buehler 144,103 45.9
Republican Sam Carpenter 90,572 28.8
Republican Greg C. Wooldridge 63,049 20.1
Republican Bruce Cuff 4,857 1.5
Republican Jeff Smith 4,691 1.5
Republican David Stauffer 2,096 0.7
Republican Write-ins 1,701 0.5
Republican Jonathan Edwards III 861 0.3
Republican Keenan Bohach 787 0.3
Republican Brett Hyland 755 0.2
Republican Jack W. Tacy 512 0.2
Total votes 313,984 100

Independent Party primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Skye Allen[3]
  • Dan Pistoresi[3]
  • Patrick Starnes[3]

Results

Independent primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Party Write-ins 13,497 56.8
Independent Party Patrick Starnes 6,030 25.4
Independent Party Skye J. Allen 2,405 10.6
Independent Party Dan Pistoresi 1,846 7.8
Total votes 23,778 100.0

General election

Knute Buehler Campaign Logo

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Tossup October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[57] Tossup November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[58] Likely D November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[59] Tilt D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] Lean D November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[61] Tossup November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[62] Lean D November 5, 2018
Fox News[63][b] Lean D November 5, 2018
Politico[64] Lean D November 5, 2018
Governing[65] Tossup November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ Bruce Cuff and Jeff Smith with 3%
  2. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kate
Brown (D) 		Knute
Buehler (R) 		Other/Undecided
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[66] October 4–30, 2018 October 30, 2018 44.0% 39.7% 16.3% Brown +4.3%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kate
Brown (D) 		Knute
Buehler (R) 		Patrick
Starnes (IPO) 		Other Undecided
Hoffman Research Group[67] October 29–30, 2018 694 ± 3.7% 45% 42% 4% 2%[68] 7%
Emerson College[69] October 26–28, 2018 747 ± 3.7% 47% 42% – 7% 4%
DHM Research[70] October 4–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 40% 35% 4% 3%[71] 17%
Riley Research Associates[72] September 24 – October 7, 2018 356 ± 5.0% 49% 45% 4% 3%[73] –
Clout Research (R)[74] September 20–23, 2018 679 ± 3.8% 42% 41% – – –
Hoffman Research Group[75] September 12–13, 2018 680 ± 3.8% 46% 36% 4% 2%[68] 12%
Causeway Solutions (R-No Supermajorities PAC)[76] September 6–11, 2018 2,831 ± 2.0% 41% 43% – – –
Clout Research (R)[77] July 30–31, 2018 559 ± 4.1% 42% 43% – – 15%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 16–17, 2018 770 ± 3.5% 45% 45% – – 10%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter)[54] March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 41% 46% – – 14%
DHM Research[79] January 25–31, 2018 604 ± 4.0% 46% 29% – – 25%
Zogby Analytics[80] November 10–12, 2017 508 ± 4.4% 39% 36% – – 25%
iCitizen[55] September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% 41% 40% – 11% 8%
Hypothetical polling

with Sam Carpenter

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kate
Brown (D) 		Sam
Carpenter (R) 		Other Undecided
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter)[54] March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 41% 46% – 13%
Zogby Analytics[80] November 10–12, 2017 508 ± 4.4% 38% 36% – 26%

with Greg Wooldridge

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kate
Brown (D) 		Greg
Wooldridge (R) 		Other Undecided
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter)[54] March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 42% 47% – 11%
iCitizen[55] September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% 42% 39% 11% 7%

with Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kate
Brown (D) 		Lori
Chavez-DeRemer (R) 		Other Undecided
iCitizen[55] September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% 40% 34% 17% 8%

Results

Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018[81]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kate Brown (incumbent) 934,498 50.05% −0.57%
Republican Knute Buehler 814,988 43.65% +0.20%
Independent Party Patrick Starnes 53,392 2.86% +0.42%
Libertarian Nick Chen 28,927 1.55% −0.77%
Constitution Aaron Auer 21,145 1.13% +0.13%
Progressive Chris Henry 11,013 0.59% N/A
Write-in 3,034 0.16% -0.01%
Total votes 1,866,997 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By congressional district

Brown carried two out of the state's five congressional districts, losing two swing districts that simultaneously voted for Democrats in the US House, with Oregon's 4th congressional district held by veteran congressman Peter DeFazio and Oregon's 5th congressional district held by former veterinarian Kurt Schrader.

District Kate
Brown 		Knute
Buehler 		Elected
Representative
1st 53.77% 40.51% Suzanne Bonamici
2nd 35.38% 57.19% Greg Walden
3rd 69.17% 26.45% Earl Blumenauer
4th 44.84% 47.15% Peter DeFazio
5th 46.02% 47.97% Kurt Schrader

By county

County Kate Brown

Democrat

Votes Knute Buehler

Republican

Votes Patrick Starnes

Independent

Votes Nick Chen

Libertarian

Votes Aaron Auer

Constitution

Votes Chris Henry

Progressive

Votes Write-in Votes Total
Baker 19.0% 1,572 72.9% 6,023 4.2% 347 1.6% 132 1.5% 126 0.6% 49 0.2% 15 8,264
Benton 60.1% 26,592 33.9% 14,990 2.8% 1,225 1.6% 721 0.8% 357 0.7% 293 0.1% 53 44,231
Clackamas 45.5% 91,088 49.2% 98,468 2.4% 4,726 1.4% 2,827 0.9% 1,853 0.5% 941 0.2% 363 200,266
Clatsop 48.0% 8,909 44.7% 8,294 3.3% 616 1.6% 305 1.4% 259 0.8% 140 0.2% 35 18,558
Columbia 38.7% 9,519 52.6% 12,953 4.0% 975 1.9% 480 2.0% 481 0.7% 167 0.2% 42 24,617
Coos 33.5% 9,622 57.5% 16,520 4.4% 1,262 1.8% 505 1.8% 510 0.9% 256 0.2% 52 28,727
Crook 19.8% 2,285 73.8% 8,516 3.6% 418 1.0% 110 1.2% 140 0.4% 42 0.2% 25 11,536
Curry 35.9% 4,141 56.1% 6,474 3.8% 443 1.6% 188 1.7% 199 0.7% 75 0.1% 13 11,533
Deschutes 42.3% 40,676 52.0% 49,983 2.9% 2,764 1.4% 1,353 0.8% 766 0.5% 460 0.1% 97 96,099
Douglas 24.0% 11,824 65.8% 32,413 5.0% 2,481 1.5% 738 2.7% 1,326 0.7% 368 0.2% 88 49,238
Gilliam 22.0% 218 69.6% 691 4.6% 46 1.9% 19 1.4% 14 0.5% 5 0.0% 0 993
Grant 16.8% 649 75.9% 2,923 3.9% 151 1.2% 48 1.5% 56 0.5% 19 0.2% 7 3,853
Harney 16.5% 584 76.7% 2,722 3.6% 126 0.8% 29 1.8% 63 0.6% 20 0.1% 3 3,547
Hood River 59.9% 6,485 35.0% 3,789 2.5% 271 1.3% 136 0.7% 81 0.5% 55 0.1% 11 10,828
Jackson 41.4% 42,207 50.7% 51,623 4.1% 4,196 1.7% 1,720 1.3% 1,313 0.7% 716 0.1% 132 101,907
Jefferson 29.8% 2,635 62.3% 5,518 4.4% 388 1.3% 111 1.6% 145 0.5% 45 0.1% 10 8,852
Josephine 30.2% 12,214 60.5% 24,499 4.3% 1,735 1.9% 767 2.2% 881 0.8% 308 0.2% 66 40,470
Klamath 22.3% 6,301 67.7% 19,134 4.9% 1,371 2.3% 643 2.0% 564 0.7% 198 0.2% 45 28,256
Lake 13.4% 476 78.0% 2,774 4.4% 155 1.5% 52 2.3% 81 0.4% 14 0.1% 5 3,557
Lane 54.7% 96,841 38.2% 67,737 3.2% 5,683 1.8% 3,106 1.2% 2,173 0.8% 1,335 0.2% 297 177,172
Lincoln 52.1% 12,610 40.8% 9,884 3.4% 825 1.6% 391 1.2% 302 0.7% 164 0.2% 43 24,219
Linn 30.1% 16,461 60.5% 33,051 4.2% 2,293 1.9% 1,061 2.2% 1,204 0.8% 421 0.3% 171 54,662
Malheur 24.1% 2,159 66.9% 6,000 4.1% 364 1.7% 156 2.5% 227 0.6% 52 0.1% 12 8,970
Marion 43.5% 55,238 49.9% 63,323 2.8% 3,511 1.7% 2,100 1.4% 1,831 0.5% 650 0.3% 325 126,978
Morrow 22.5% 844 67.5% 2,534 4.3% 163 1.8% 68 3.0% 111 0.8% 29 0.1% 5 3,754
Multnomah 73.9% 279,384 22.1% 83,507 1.7% 6,309 1.2% 4,447 0.5% 1,793 0.6% 2,174 0.1% 484 378,098
Polk 41.6% 15,529 51.8% 19,341 2.9% 1,076 1.6% 589 1.3% 491 0.6% 206 0.2% 83 37,315
Sherman 19.3% 190 74.7% 736 3.5% 34 0.7% 7 1.5% 15 0.2% 2 0.1% 1 985
Tillamook 42.7% 5,616 50.3% 6,606 3.5% 464 1.2% 158 1.5% 202 0.6% 77 0.1% 19 13,142
Umatilla 29.4% 7,085 63.0% 15,178 3.7% 885 1.7% 419 1.6% 393 0.5% 117 0.1% 31 24,108
Union 24.5% 2,877 67.9% 7,983 3.8% 441 1.4% 162 1.8% 209 0.5% 60 0.2% 24 11,756
Wallowa 27.0% 1,088 66.2% 2,668 3.6% 145 1.2% 47 1.5% 61 0.5% 19 0.1% 4 4,032
Wasco 40.5% 4,604 51.4% 5,841 3.8% 427 1.8% 203 1.6% 177 0.7% 85 0.2% 20 11,357
Washington 55.5% 137,886 39.2% 97,286 2.2% 5,535 1.7% 4,229 0.8% 2,010 0.5% 1,161 0.1% 372 248,479
Wheeler 19.3% 158 72.6% 594 4.6% 38 1.8% 15 1.2% 10 0.4% 3 0.0% 0 818
Yamhill 39.1% 17,931 53.3% 24,412 3.3% 1,503 1.9% 885 1.6% 721 0.6% 287 0.2% 81 45,820

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

References

  1. ^ KOIN 6 News Staff (November 8, 2016). "Kate Brown wins 2-year term as Oregon governor". KOIN 6 News. Retrieved November 15, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)[permanent dead link‍]
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  5. ^ Riley, John (November 14, 2017). "Victory Fund endorses Rich Madeleno for governor". Metro Weekly. Retrieved February 7, 2018.
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  66. ^ Real Clear Politics
  67. ^ Hoffman Research Group
  68. ^ a b Aaron Auer (C) and Nick Chen (L) with 1%
  69. ^ Emerson College
  70. ^ DHM Research
  71. ^ Nick Chen (L) and Chris Henry (P) with 1%, Aaron Auer (C) with <1%, somebody else with 1%
  72. ^ Riley Research Associates
  73. ^ Nick Chen (L) with 2%, Aaron Aauer (C) with 1%
  74. ^ Clout Research (R)
  75. ^ Hoffman Research Group
  76. ^ Causeway Solutions (R-No Supermajorities PAC)
  77. ^ Clout Research (R)
  78. ^ Gravis Marketing
  79. ^ DHM Research
  80. ^ a b Zogby Analytics
  81. ^ Content Manager WebDrawer – 2018 General Election Official Results

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Strategi Solo vs Squad di Free Fire: Cara Menang Mudah!