2010 United States Senate election in Washington
Senate elections held in Washington in 2010
2010 United States Senate election in Washington
County resultsMurray : 50–60% 60–70% Rossi : 40–50%
50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
The 2010 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat Senator Patty Murray won re-election to a fourth term by a margin of 52.4% – 47.6% over Republican Dino Rossi , who had run for governor in 2004 and 2008 . This was the last U.S. Senate election in Washington where the margin of victory was single digits.
Top-two primary election
Candidates
Democrats
Republicans
Others
Will Baker (Reform Party)[ 3]
Schalk Leonard[ 3]
Skip Mercer, professor[ 9]
Mohammad Said (Centrist Party)[ 3]
Polling
Results
General election
Candidates
The top 2 candidates from the blanket primary advanced to the general election.
Campaign
Rossi heavily criticized Murray for her support of the 2009 economic stimulus package ; however, Rossi's economic promises are nearly identical to those of President Bush who asked for the stimulus.[ 16] Rossi supports repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act . He also criticized Murray for her support for earmarks . In response, Murray said, "You bet that seniority and leadership has a big thing to do with it, but the other part of it is, I get up every day and I work hard and I believe in this and I am going to continue fighting for the community I represent."[ 17]
The National Rifle Association spent $414,100 supporting Rossi and opposing Murray in the 2010 senatorial contest.[ 18]
Debates
Rossi offered six debates, five of which would be in-state and one nationally.[ 19] Murray agreed to two debates, and only two debates were held.[ 20]
Fundraising
Candidate (party)
Receipts
Disbursements
Cash on hand
Debt
Patty Murray (D)
$10,951,403
$12,438,133
$1,032,034
$0
Dino Rossi (R)
$7,365,098
$4,331,414
$2,960,039
$0
Source: Federal Election Commission[ 21]
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Patty Murray (D)
Dino Rossi (R)
Other/Undecided[ a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [ 27]
October 24–31, 2010
October 31, 2010
48.3%
48.0%
3.7%
Murray +0.3%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Patty Murray (D)
Dino Rossi (R)
Other
Undecided
Moore Information [ 28]
January 23–24, 2010
500
± 4.4%
43%
45%
––
––
Rasmussen Reports [ 29]
February 11, 2010
500
± 4.5%
46%
48%
1%
5%
Rasmussen Reports [ 30]
March 9, 2010
500
± 4.5%
46%
49%
3%
2%
Research 2000 [ 31]
March 22–24, 2010
600
± 4.0%
52%
41%
––
7%
Rasmussen Reports [ 32]
April 6, 2010
500
± 4.5%
48%
46%
3%
4%
Survey USA [ 33]
April 22, 2010
517
± 4.4%
42%
52%
––
7%
The Washington Poll [ 34]
May 3–23, 2010
626
± 3.9%
44%
40%
––
16%
Rasmussen Reports [ 32]
May 4, 2010
500
± 4.5%
48%
46%
2%
3%
Rasmussen Reports [ 35]
May 25, 2010
500
± 4.5%
48%
47%
2%
4%
The Washington Poll [ 36]
May 24–28, 2010
221
± 6.6%
39%
42%
5%
13%
The Washington Poll [ 34]
May 28 – June 7, 2010
848
± 3.3%
42%
40%
––
12%
Elway Research [ 37]
June 13, 2010
405
± 5.0%
47%
40%
––
13%
Rasmussen Reports [ 38]
June 22, 2010
500
± 4.5%
47%
47%
3%
3%
Rasmussen Reports [ 39]
July 14, 2010
750
± 4.0%
45%
48%
3%
3%
Rasmussen Reports [ 32]
July 30, 2010
750
± 4.0%
49%
47%
2%
2%
Public Policy Polling [ 13]
July 27 – August 1, 2010
1,204
± 2.8%
49%
46%
––
5%
Rasmussen Reports [ 40]
August 18, 2010
750
± 4.0%
48%
44%
4%
4%
Survey USA [ 41]
August 18, 2010
618
± 4.0%
45%
52%
––
––
Rasmussen Reports [ 42]
August 31, 2010
750
± 4.0%
46%
48%
3%
3%
Elway Research [ 43]
September 9–12, 2010
500
± 4.5%
50%
41%
3%
7%
CNN /Time [ 44]
September 10–14, 2010
906
± 3.5%
53%
44%
2%
1%
Rasmussen Reports [ 45]
September 16, 2010
750
± 4.0%
51%
46%
1%
2%
SurveyUSA [ 46]
September 22, 2010
609
± 4.1%
50%
48%
––
3%
Fox News [ 47]
September 25, 2010
1,000
± 3.0%
48%
47%
2%
3%
Rasmussen Reports [ 45]
September 28, 2010
750
± 4.0%
47%
48%
2%
3%
Rasmussen Reports [ 45]
October 6, 2010
750
± 4.0%
46%
49%
3%
2%
Fox News [ 48]
October 9, 2010
1,000
± 3.0%
46%
47%
7%
0%
Elway [ 49]
October 7–11, 2010
450
± 4.6%
55%
40%
0%
5%
CNN /Opinion Research [ 50]
October 8–12, 2010
850
± 3.5%
51%
43%
2%
0%
The Washington Poll [ 51]
October 4–14, 2010
500
± 4.3%
50%
42%
––
8%
SurveyUSA [ 52]
October 11–14, 2010
606
± 4.1%
50%
47%
0%
3%
Public Policy Polling [ 53]
October 14–16, 2010
1,873
± 2.3%
49%
47%
––
4%
McClatchy /Marist [ 54]
October 14–17, 2010
589
± 4.0%
48%
47%
1%
5%
Rasmussen Reports [ 55]
October 17, 2010
750
± 4.0%
49%
46%
2%
3%
Rasmussen Reports [ 45]
October 27, 2010
750
± 4.0%
47%
48%
3%
2%
SurveyUSA [ 56]
October 24–27, 2010
678
± 3.8%
47%
47%
––
6%
The Washington Poll [ 57]
October 18–28, 2010
500
± 4.3%
51%
45%
––
4%
Marist College [ 58]
October 26–28, 2010
838
± 3.5%
49%
48%
2%
1%
Fox News /Pulse Opinion Research [ 59]
October 30, 2010
1,000
± 3.0%
49%
47%
4%
0%
YouGov [ 60]
October 25–30, 2010
850
± 4.1%
50%
48%
0%
2%
Public Policy Polling [ 61]
October 29–31, 2010
2,055
± 2.2%
48%
50%
0%
2%
Results
Murray defeated Rossi by about 114,000 votes. King County, the home of Seattle, likely gave Murray a victory.[ 62]
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Murray won 5 of 9 congressional districts.[ 64]
Notes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
References
^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00332" . Images.nictusa.com. May 13, 2010. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2010 .
^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR COMMITTEE ID C00483461" . Images.nictusa.com. May 13, 2010. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2010 .
^ a b c d e f g "Candidates who have filed" . Wei.secstate.wa.gov. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010 .
^ Rothenberg, Stuart. "Reasons to Keep Your Eye on Patty Murray" . CQ Politics. Retrieved June 14, 2010 . [permanent dead link ]
^ "Home" . Akers for US Senate. Archived from the original on February 9, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010 .
^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S4WA00466" . Images.nictusa.com. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2010 .
^ Song, Kyung (January 4, 2010). "Ex-footballer latest GOP challenger to Murray's Senate seat" . The Seattle Times . Retrieved January 30, 2010 .
^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00340" . Images.nictusa.com. Archived from the original on July 23, 2012. Retrieved June 14, 2010 .
^ Spokesman-Review (June 1, 2010). "Mercer staying in U.S. Senate race – Spin Control – Spokesman.com – June 1, 2010" . Spokesman.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010 .
^ Elway Research
^ Elway Research Archived February 19, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
^ Survey USA
^ a b Public Policy Polling
^ Survey USA
^ "August 17, 2010 Primary – Federal" . Vote.wa.gov. August 17, 2010. Archived from the original on August 21, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010 .
^ "The Stimulus 18-Month Check Up: Murray Plan Means Big Debt, Few Jobs | Dino Rossi for Senate" . Archived from the original on November 11, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010 .
^ Brunner, Jim (August 7, 2010). "Murray touts bringing home the bucks" . The Seattle Times .
^ "Campaign cash: National Rifle Association (washingtonpost.com)" . www.washingtonpost.com . Retrieved February 16, 2018 .
^ Brunner, Jim (August 20, 2010). "Rossi wants six debates with Murray" . The Seattle Times .
^ Brunner, Jim (August 27, 2010). "Murray agrees to two debates" . The Seattle Times .
^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Washington" . fec.gov. Archived from the original on May 22, 2010. Retrieved May 28, 2010 .
^ "Senate" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010 .
^ "Senate Ratings" . Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010 .
^ "Battle for the Senate" . RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 26, 2010 .
^ "2010 Senate Ratings" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010 .
^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate" . CQ Politics . Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010 .
^ Real Clear Politics
^ Moore Information
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Research 2000
^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
^ Survey USA
^ a b The Washington Poll
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ The Washington Poll
^ Elway Research
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Survey USA
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Elway Research
^ CNN/Time
^ a b c d Rasmussen Reports
^ SurveyUSA
^ Fox News
^ Fox News
^ Elway [permanent dead link ]
^ CNN/Opinion Research
^ The Washington Poll
^ SurveyUSA
^ Public Policy Polling
^ McClatchy/Marist
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ SurveyUSA
^ The Washington Poll
^ Marist College
^ Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research
^ YouGov
^ Public Policy Polling
^ "November 2, 2010 General – Federal" . Archived from the original on November 11, 2010. Retrieved November 11, 2010 .
^ https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20101102/us-senator.html
^ Results . sos.wa.gov (Report).
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